Assignment 1
Assignment 1
2. Consider a group there are 5 students. What is the probability that all these students
have different birthdays? Take one year as 365 days.
3. A contractor selects the suppliers A, B, C with probabilities 0.45, 0.35 and 0.20,
respectively. The 5% of the items supplied by supplier A are defective. The same
percentages for supplier B and supplier C are 8% and 2%, respectively.
a) What is the probability that a supplied item is defective?
b) If the supplied item is defective, find the probability that it is supplied by suppler
B.
4. A message can follow different paths through servers on a network. The sender’s
message can go to one of five servers for the first step; each of them can send to five
servers at the second step; each of those can send to four servers at the third step; and
then the message goes to the recipient’s server.
(a) How many paths are possible?
(b) If all paths are equally likely, what is the probability that a message passes through
the first of four servers at the third step?
5. A computer system uses passwords that are six characters, and each character is one of
the 26 letters (a–z) or 10 integers (0–9). Uppercase letters are not used. Let A denote
the event that a password begins with a vowel (either a, e, i, o, or u), and let B denote
the event that a password ends with an even number (either 0, 2, 4, 6, or 8). Suppose a
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hacker selects a password at random. Determine the following probabilities:
(a) P(A) (b) P(B) (c) P(A∩B) (d) P(A∪B).
6. Samples of 20 parts from a metal punching pro cess are selected every hour. Typically,
1% of the parts require rework. Let X denote the number of parts in the sample of 20
that require rework. A process problem is suspected if X exceeds its mean by more than
3 standard deviations.
a) If the percentage of parts that require rework remains at 1%, what is the probability
that X exceeds its mean by more than 3 standard deviations?
b) If the rework percentage increases to 4%, what is the probability that X exceeds 1?
c) If the rework percentage increases to 4%, what is the probability that X exceeds 1
in at least one of the next five hours of samples?
7. The distribution of weights (in gm) of sparrows is normal with mean 28.5 gm and
standard deviation 6 gm.
a) Calculate the percentage of sparrows having weight more than 35 gm.
b) Calculate the percentage of sparrows having weight between 25 gm and 30 gm.
c) Find the weight in gm such that 15% of the sparrows are above that weight.
8. Inclusions are defects in poured metal caused by contaminants. The number of (large)
inclusions in cast iron follows a Poisson distribution with a mean of 2.5 per cubic mm.
Determine the following:
a) Probability of at least one inclusion in a cubic mm.
b) Probability of at least five inclusions in 5.0 cubic mm.
c) Volume of material to inspect such that the probability of at least one inclusion is
0.99.
d) Instead of a mean of 2.5 per cubic mm, the mean inclusions per cubic mm such that
the probability of at least one inclusion is 0.95.
9. Cabs pass your workplace according to a Poisson pro cess with a mean of five cabs
per hour. Suppose that you exit the workplace at 6:00 p.m. Determine the following:
a) Probability that you wait more than 10 minutes for a cab.
b) Probability that you wait fewer than 20 minutes for a cab.
c) Mean number of cabs per hour so that the probability that you wait more than 10
minutes is 0.1.
10. Write a paragraph of about 400 words about the importance and application areas
of the topics we covered so far in lecture classes.
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