12 06 Sismo 2017. Guillermo Diaz Fanas
12 06 Sismo 2017. Guillermo Diaz Fanas
12 06 Sismo 2017. Guillermo Diaz Fanas
https://www.issmge.org/publications/online-library
Abstract. Mexico City is one of the world's most tectonically active regions, with a
long history of destructive earthquakes and volcanic eruptions. With over 100
earthquakes of magnitude 6 or higher since 1787 and poor subsurface conditions,
Mexico City is a modern metropolis with challenges for architects, urban planners,
engineers, developers and stakeholders.
On September 19th, 1985, a M8.0 earthquake in Michoacán killed more than
40,000 people and caused 880 buildings to collapse in Mexico City. At the wake of
its 32nd anniversary, the 2017 Mw7.1 Puebla-Morelos earthquake struck, leaving
behind about 219 dead and 38 collapsed buildings in Mexico City.
This paper will present similarities and differences of the two events in aspects
of: (i) geotechnical and seismological observations, (ii) building code evolution and
its impact to building response, and (iii) analytical predictions of response of
characteristic soil profiles at sites with actual recordings of the ground motions.
1. Introduction
Exactly on the 32nd anniversary of the September 19th, 1985 M8.0 Michoacán earthquake,
the 2017 Mw7.1 Puebla-Morelos earthquake struck south of Puebla in Mexico. This event
was a dire reminder of the city’s seismic vulnerability that generated direct losses of over
2b USD and claimed the life of 219 people [1]. Historically, Mexico City has experienced
devastation from major earthquakes - including these two events - primarily due to
effects generated by its unique geologic and topographic setting. This setting amplifies
and modifies the seismic waves as they propagate upwards within the former great Lake
Texcoco. In this paper, key unique features of Mexico City and valuable lessons learned
from the two important earthquakes in 1985 and 2017 will be presented. The catalytic
influence of lessons learned from these events in the state-of-the-art in engineering
seismology and state-of-practice in both geotechnical and structural earthquake
engineering will be discussed.
1
Corresponding Author, Geotechnical & Tunneling Technical Excellence Center, WSP USA, 1 Penn
Plaza, New York, NY, United States; E-mail: Guillermo.DiazFanas@wsp.com.
1992 G. Díaz-Fañas et al. / Mexico City 1985 and 2017 Earthquakes
2. Background
Mexico City is mainly built on a basin formerly occupied by the ancient Lake Texcoco.
Prior to the arrival of the Aztecs in the 13th century, the lake had already been split in
four smaller water bodies due to natural desiccation. In the decades following and prior
to colonization, the Aztec cities were growing with the addition of more pyramids and
temples and the introduction of the “chinampas”passive-farming system for irrigation
and food production [2]. The chinampas were created by transferring clay from the lakes
and included canals cut into the lacustrine strata. Canals, levees and low banks were
constructed to avoid infiltration of saline water and prevent frequent flooding, which
made the lakes to continue to desiccate. With the arrival of the Spaniards in the 16 th-18th
centuries, the desiccation became worse by deforestation, agriculture, pasture lands,
construction and land reclamation.
To avoid damage from differential settlements and prevent earthquake-induced
damage, the new settlers established the Cervantes de Salazar code in 1550, limiting
construction height to two stories, introducing “probably the first rule for building
earthquake-resistant structures in the Americas” [3]. The Lake Texcoco area decreased
from 700 km2 during Aztec times to 140 km2 by the end of 18th century [4]. The drainage
of the lake system, shown on Fig. 1 as ancient and current lake has caused significant
soil settlements of the ancient lake bed that currently underlies the more recent sediments
in Mexico City. The location of the former “chinampas” and the ancient Aztec capital
“Tenochtitlán”, with respect to Mexico City are also shown on Fig. 1. Today, the lake is
almost completely drained and the city rests on the lake bed’s saturated clay,
experiencing subsidence due to the continuing extraction of groundwater, which has
reached levels of 9 m since the beginning of the 20th century [5].
Figure 1. Evolution of the former lake system in Mexico City valley [2].
G. Díaz-Fañas et al. / Mexico City 1985 and 2017 Earthquakes 1993
Four large tectonic plates (North American, Cocos, Caribbean, Pacific) and microplate
Rivera converge at Mexico. Most of the country lies on the North American tectonic
plate, but the Pacific Ocean floor at the south rests on the Cocos plate which moves
towards the North American plate at a rate of 61 mm/yr [6]. The two plates meet off the
southern shore, forming a deep underwater trench that runs parallel to the shoreline.
While most of Mexico’s seismic activity occurs at the Pacific coast in the mid-American
subduction [7, 8, 9], events also originate at the Rivera and Caribbean plates edge [10].
A generalized section across central Mexico City is shown on Fig. 2. The dominant layer
is the Upper Clay (in purple), which contains volcanic ash and is characterized by
unusually high plasticity (PI ≈ 200-300), natural water content (wn ≈ 200-600) and low
shear wave velocity (Vs ≈ 40-90 m/s) [11]. Below lies a compact silty sand layer that are
underlain by a hard crust: a compact and very dense sand, followed by a series of
preconsolidated lacustrine clays, which eventually turn in thick layers of very dense silts,
sands and hard clay known as “Depósitos Profundos” (Deep Deposits, in orange and
gray).
Fill
Deep Deposits
Silty Sand
Deep Deposits
Figure 2. Generalized soil stratigraphy in central Mexico City represented by colors [3], yellow (fill), purple
(upper clay), blue (hard crust sands), green (lower clay), orange (deep silty sands deposits), gray (deep clays).
Currently, regional developments are founded in soils that contain volcanic material
and lacustrine clays. The urban landscape of Mexico City is supported by foundations
that differ in age and type to accommodate for loads from a variety of structures, ranging
from magnificent high-rises in Paseo de la Reforma, such as the iconic 55-story Torre
Mayor [12], to colonial and other traditional structures.
1994 G. Díaz-Fañas et al. / Mexico City 1985 and 2017 Earthquakes
On September 19th, 1985, the Mexican state of Michoacán was struck by one of the most
severe earthquakes in the history of the country, a M8.0 occurring in the subduction zone
off the western coast. This event is unique because the severe damage was localized
damage in Mexico City, about 400 km away from the epicenter. The effect on the capital
was catastrophic, with life loss reaching 40,000. Structures of 6-20 stories were severely
affected [13, 14, 15] due to resonance; i.e., their natural period coinciding with the
predominant period of the ground motion. It also became clear that the basin’s soft clay
was a main contributor to the disaster [14, 15, 16, 17], amplifying the incoming motion
predominantly at around 2 s [15], within the 1.5-3.0 s range [11, 17, 18], which coincided
with the natural period of the collapsed buildings. This “double resonance” resulted in
pancake and soft story collapses (Fig. 3) throughout the city [13, 19]. A smaller number
of buildings outside the 6-20-story range (with less than 5 or more than 15 stories) also
sustained significant damage.
Figure 3. Collapse of residential multistory building in the 1985 Michoacán earthquake [13, 19].
Most buildings exhibiting severe damage or collapse had been constructed before 1985,
as they were designed to a version of the code with accelerations values up to 40% lower
than what post-1985 codes prescribe. Generally, newer buildings had only cosmetic
damage. Nonstructural unreinforced concrete masonry partition walls suffered damage,
and in many cases, may have contributed significantly to the lateral strength of the
structure and prevented further damage and collapse. The resonance phenomenon was
also evident in this earthquake. Comparing rock or hard soil response spectra from
records in 2017 and in 1985 shows that the incoming motion was rich in periods around
2 s [11]. Response spectra recorded in soft soil sites indicate that the most significant site
amplification effects were within the 0.5 to 1.8 s range [11, 20, 22]. These coincided with
the periods of damaged buildings throughout the city, particularly at locations where the
soil column’s period was similar and thus amplified ground motion further.
Figure 4. Collapse of school in the 2017 Puebla-Morelos earthquake (Photo by Carlos Cisneros/AP).
The accelerograms recorded during the Puebla-Morelos 2017 event at stations CU (rock
outcrop) and SCT (soft soil), outside and inside the lake basin, respectively, provide an
indication of the intensity of ground shaking. The recorded Peak Ground Acceleration
(PGA) at CU was 0.05 g and 0.1 g at SCT. Figure 5 compares recorded acceleration time
series and corresponding elastic response Spectral Accelerations (SA) at the two from
the 1985 and 2017 earthquakes. The comparison shows that the rock motion was similar
for both events in terms of PGA; however, the largest peak in 2017 occurred at 0.2 s,
while the 1985 showed additional peaks between periods of 1.0 to 3.0 s. The records had
more striking differences at the SCT soft soil site with overburden thickness of about 40
m [11]. The 2017 event produced lower that the 1985 SAs for most structural periods.
The properties of the Mexico City clay deposits have been the topic of research for
many years following the 1985 earthquake. In 1991, Vucetic and Dobry concluded,
through advanced soil testing and observations, that the remarkably high Plasticity Index
(PI) of the upper clay results in an almost purely elastic response to earthquake shaking,
with almost absent strength degradation, even under strong excitation [23]. Using this
1996 G. Díaz-Fañas et al. / Mexico City 1985 and 2017 Earthquakes
unique characteristic allows practitioners to reproduce typical seismic site response using
simplified, equivalent linear methods with software like Shake [24] and DeepSoil [25]
or even by using analytical engineering approximations [10, 26, 27].
A generalized and simplified soil profile of Mexico City can be a one-dimensional
(1D) column of soft clay with Vs = 80 m/s and PI = 200 overlying an assumed interface
between stiff soil and bedrock at a depth H from the ground surface. The fundamental
soil elastic period of this column is approximately equal to Ts ≈ 4 H / Vs . Contours of Ts
[28] are available from maps in the local building code which reflect the stiffness of the
subsurface soils on or before 1992. The regional consolidation of the clay of the Mexico
Valley, due to intensive pumping and construction growth has modified the site
conditions, causing the fundamental elastic soil periods to decrease with time, as
suggested in [29].
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Figure 5. NS acceleration time histories at stations CU (left) and SCT (right) in the 1985 (black) and 2017
(grey) earthquakes (top). Response spectra with computed peak SA at Ts= 2 s in 1985 (bottom).
Using the simplified soil column model with H = 40 m to represent the conditions
at SCT, where severe damage occurred in 1985, analyses can compare the site effects in
2017. In 1985, the site had an estimated Ts of 4 × 40 / 80 = 2 s [28] with corresponding
theoretical amplification at resonance of ≈ 11 (assuming material damping of 4%).
Therefore, the prediction of SA at SCT at soil resonance may be computed by amplifying
the recorded SA at rock (CU) by a factor of 11, or about 0.9 g, which is close to peak SA
recorded at SCT in 1985 (Fig. 5). The agreement between the 1985 observations and the
simplified analysis is excellent and confirms that it is the soil resonance at Ts ≈ 2 s
subjected to a high-period rock motion that generated the high SAs between 1.5 and 3 s
[11, 15, 17, 18].
G. Díaz-Fañas et al. / Mexico City 1985 and 2017 Earthquakes 1997
Mexico does not have a national building code [30], and applying international
guidelines is common in local structural design. Mexico City has a local Construction
Code (MCCC), which is used as a reference in the entire country [31]. The first MCCC
traces back to 1921 [31a], but it is not until 1942 when seismic loading was mandated
[31b]. Emergency regulations were issued mainly due to lessons from damaging
earthquakes in 1957, 1985 [32], and 2017 [33] and were incorporated in the code
revisions of 1966, 1976, 1987, 2004, [32] and 2017 [34a]. Since the 1976 version,
Mexico City is divided in 3 Zones (I: hill; II: transition; III: lake) depending on the site
conditions and location with respect to the lake basin [34b].
Following the devastation of the 1985 earthquake, emergency seismic design and
construction document was issued for the reconstruction and recovery shortly after the
event. This document was incorporated in the 1987 MCC, with modifications in: (i)
increasing values of PGA and design shear coefficient at the plateau range of structural
period for buildings in Zones II and III; (ii) modifying ductility “Q” values for certain
systems; (iii) bringing stricter restrictions for steel transverse rebar and design of
columns; (iv) restricting the use of simplified analysis method to walls up to 8.5 m, with
parallel increase of the design shear coefficients [34c].
In 2004, a new seismic design code was introduced [34d] that further modified the
zoning of the city. Specifically, Zone III was subdivided into four subzones to refine the
fundamental soil periods and expected design accelerations. This version allows for two
design approaches: a conventional procedure in line with the previous versions, and a
more advanced approach seen as a first step towards a performance-based design code
[32], despite not incorporating explicitly performance objectives for different seismic
hazard levels. The latter provides uniform hazard rock accelerations for an event with a
return period of 125 years, with amplification factors for different site conditions based
on seismic zoning and ductility and overstrength reductions through empirical formulae
and tabulated values. When a dynamic nonlinear analysis is being performed, at least
four acceleration time histories - actually-recorded or simulated - consistent with the
hazard code level are applied to the structural model [32d].
In 2017, emergency regulations were issued for the recovery of concrete buildings
affected by the Puebla-Morelos earthquake [33] shortly after the event, followed by a
code revision two weeks later [34a]. This version brings many changes, most notably: (i)
the seismic hazard level is increased to a return period of 250 years; (ii) in a dynamic
nonlinear analysis at least eight orthogonal pairs of representative acceleration time
histories are used for buildings with structural period less than 2.0 s or twelve for
buildings that exceed this period; (iii) the rock spectrum is defined as the envelope of a
deterministic scenario of a subduction event and an intermediate depth event; (iv) allows
use of the computer tool SASID (Sistema de Acciones Sísmicas de Diseño, or “Design
System of Seismic Actions”) [35] to derive the design acceleration spectrum.
The 2017 standards define performance objectives for different seismic hazard
levels, in a similar way as contemporary United States building codes; considering
functionality and immediate occupancy for frequent events of low to moderate intensity
that may occur more than once during the structural design life [12].
As the local city code evolves, a clear path towards Performance Based Design
(PBD) would be desirable, especially for the very tall and typically irregular buildings
with very deep basements of 5 or more levels. Rather than using a deterministic hazard
approach that is currently prescribed for a relatively frequent, design-level, the PBD it is
1998 G. Díaz-Fañas et al. / Mexico City 1985 and 2017 Earthquakes
the state-of-practice for tall buildings to use a probabilistic seismic hazard analysis to
estimate the accelerations for varying earthquake levels and corresponding performance
expectations [36]. The current code is defining the design event through deterministic
scenarios, but naming it an event with return period of 250 years, which is relating it
probabilistically to a single-level hazard event. The deterministic scenarios may have a
return period that is higher than the one defined in the code; i.e., maybe rare.
In the PBD approach, the rare events are incorporated in typically higher return
periods, accompanied by expectations of some damage or downtime, without the loss of
life. In addition, in a dynamic analysis approach, the Soil-Structure Interaction (SSI)
effects can be incorporated by allowing modeling of the substructure, rather than
imposing the motion at the ground surface that is currently in the local codes. With
modern high-rise buildings having basements that reach 20-30 m below the ground
surface [12], the site effects and ground motions can be drastically different at the base
of the structure compared to a rigid-base motion at the surface.
International guidelines such as the Tall Buildings Initiative (TBI), address
incorporation of SSI effects within a PBD approach [36], and can be used as models for
next revisions of the Mexico City code, especially for very tall structures. Similarly,
unique regional challenges in design and construction should also be addressed,
including: (i) differential and total settlements and lateral deformations; (ii) depth at
which the input ground motions will be derived for application to the structural model,
(iii) drainage or corrosive soils issues that may affect the foundation materials,; and (iv)
interaction with existing adjacent structures, underground structures or utilities.
6. Conclusions
The lessons learned from earthquakes in Mexico City in the past three decades have
shaped the state-of-the-art in engineering seismology and the state-of-practice in
geotechnical and structural engineering.
The high soil amplification of ground motions in the lake zone and the “double
resonance” phenomena observed in both the 1985 Michoacán and 2017 Puebla-Morelos
events resulted in significant destruction throughout the City, and in the need for
updating local codes to better protect the city and its residents in future events. The more
recent, 2017 event, caused less damage and loss of life than the 1985 one that can be
partially attributed to the facts of: (i) smaller magnitude; (ii) lower rock accelerations
recorded at higher periods; and (iii) stricter building and construction requirements with
an increase in the code-specified spectral accelerations (from 0.25g to 0.4g - 0.45g
between the 1.0 through 3.0 s range in Zone III).
In addition to generally higher accelerations, the current code has made an attempt
to incorporate some performance objectives which is consistent with contemporary
United States building codes, such as functionality and immediate occupancy for
frequent events of low to moderate intensity. However, the current code does not
consider probabilistically rare events in the design. With the clear trend of higher
buildings with deeper basements that Mexico City has been implementing, there is a need
to add criteria to address associated design and construction challenges, including
prediction and analysis for rare and extreme events through a probabilistic seismic hazard
with corresponding performance objectives, in line with international developments and
practices for dense urban environments.
G. Díaz-Fañas et al. / Mexico City 1985 and 2017 Earthquakes 1999
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