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The Added Value of Water Footprint Assessment for National Water Policy: A
Case Study for Morocco

Article  in  PLoS ONE · June 2014


DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0099705 · Source: PubMed

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The Added Value of Water Footprint Assessment for
National Water Policy: A Case Study for Morocco
Joep F. Schyns*, Arjen Y. Hoekstra
Twente Water Centre, University of Twente, Enschede, The Netherlands

Abstract
A Water Footprint Assessment is carried out for Morocco, mapping the water footprint of different activities at river basin
and monthly scale, distinguishing between surface- and groundwater. The paper aims to demonstrate the added value of
detailed analysis of the human water footprint within a country and thorough assessment of the virtual water flows leaving
and entering a country for formulating national water policy. Green, blue and grey water footprint estimates and virtual
water flows are mainly derived from a previous grid-based (565 arc minute) global study for the period 1996–2005. These
estimates are placed in the context of monthly natural runoff and waste assimilation capacity per river basin derived from
Moroccan data sources. The study finds that: (i) evaporation from storage reservoirs is the second largest form of blue water
consumption in Morocco, after irrigated crop production; (ii) Morocco’s water and land resources are mainly used to
produce relatively low-value (in US$/m3 and US$/ha) crops such as cereals, olives and almonds; (iii) most of the virtual water
export from Morocco relates to the export of products with a relatively low economic water productivity (in US$/m3); (iv)
blue water scarcity on a monthly scale is severe in all river basins and pressure on groundwater resources by abstractions
and nitrate pollution is considerable in most basins; (v) the estimated potential water savings by partial relocation of crops
to basins where they consume less water and by reducing water footprints of crops down to benchmark levels are
significant compared to demand reducing and supply increasing measures considered in Morocco’s national water strategy.

Citation: Schyns JF, Hoekstra AY (2014) The Added Value of Water Footprint Assessment for National Water Policy: A Case Study for Morocco. PLoS ONE 9(6):
e99705. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0099705
Editor: Vanesa Magar, Centro de Investigacion Cientifica y Educacion Superior de Ensenada, Mexico
Received December 6, 2013; Accepted May 18, 2014; Published June 11, 2014
Copyright: ß 2014 Schyns, Hoekstra. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits
unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
Funding: The research was funded by Deltares (http://www.deltares.nl/en). Karen Meijer (Deltares) had a role in study design. Wil van der Krogt (Deltares) had a
role in data collection. The writing stage of the manuscript was funded by the Institute for Innovation and Governance Studies (IGS) of the University of Twente
(http://www.utwente.nl/Igs/). The funders had no role in data analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.
Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist.
* E-mail: j.f.schyns@utwente.nl

Introduction pollution, the national water strategy includes action plans to


reduce demand, increase supply and preserve and protect water
Morocco is a semi-arid country in the Mediterranean facing resources [1]. It also proposes legal and institutional reforms for
water scarcity and deteriorating water quality. The limited water proper implementation and enforcement of these actions. Demand
resources constrain the activities in different sectors of the management focuses on improving the efficiency of irrigation and
economy of the country. Agriculture is the largest water consumer urban supply networks and pricing of water to rationalise its use.
and withdrawals for irrigation peak in the dry period of the year, Plans to increase supply include the construction of more dams
which contributes to low surface runoff and desiccation of streams. and a large North-South inter-basin water transfer, protection of
Currently, 130 reservoirs are in operation to deal with this existing hydraulic infrastructure, desalinization of sea water and
mismatch in water demand and natural water supply and to serve reuse of treated wastewater.
for generation of hydroelectricity and flood control [1]. Ground- Although the national water strategy considers options to reduce
water resources also play an important role in the socio-economic water demand in addition to options to increase supply, it does not
development of the country, in particular by ensuring the water include the global dimension of water by considering international
supply for rural communities [2]. However, a large part of the virtual water trade, nor does it consider whether water resources
aquifers is being overexploited and suffer from deteriorating water are efficiently allocated based on physical and economic water
quality by intrusion of salt water, caused by the overexploitation, productivities of crops (the main water consumers). Analysis of the
and nitrates and pesticides that leach from croplands, caused by water footprint of activities in Morocco and the virtual water trade
excessive use of fertilizers. Surface water downstream of some balance of the country therefore might reveal new insights to
urban centres is also polluted, due to untreated wastewater alleviate water scarcity.
discharges. The concept of water footprint was introduced by Hoekstra [4];
In 1995, the Moroccan Water Law (no. 10–95) came into force this subsequently led to the development of Water Footprint
and introduced decentralized integrated water management and Assessment as a distinct field of research and application [5,6].
rationalisation of water use, including the user-pays and polluter- The water footprint is an indicator of freshwater use that looks not
pays principles. It also dictates the development of national and only at direct water use of a consumer or producer, but also at the
river basin master plans [3], which are elaborated in accordance
with the national water strategy. To cope with water scarcity and

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Water Footprint Assessment for National Water Policy (Morocco)

indirect water use. As such, it provides a link between human allocate water resources more efficiently. Results and conclusions
consumption and human appropriation of freshwater systems. from the Water Footprint Assessment are compared with the scope
Water Footprint Assessment refers to a variety of methods to of analysis of, and action plans included in Morocco’s national
quantify and map the water footprint of specific processes, water strategy and river basin plans in order to address the added
products, producers or consumers, to assess the environmental, value of Water Footprint Assessment relative to these existing
social and economic sustainability of water footprints at catchment plans.
or river basin level and to formulate and assess the effectiveness of The water footprint of Morocco has not been assessed
strategies to reduce water footprints in prioritized locations. The previously on the river basin level on a monthly scale. Morocco
water footprint of a product is the volume of freshwater used to has been included in a number of global studies, but these studies
produce the product, measured over the full supply chain [6]. did not analyse the spatial and temporal variability of the water
Three different components of a water footprint are distinguished: footprint within the country [11–13]. Furthermore, this study is
green, blue and grey. The green water footprint is the volume of the first to include specific estimates of the evaporative losses from
rainwater evaporated or incorporated into the product. Blue water the irrigation supply network and from storage reservoirs as part of
refers to the volume of surface- or groundwater evaporated, a comprehensive Water Footprint Assessment. Finally, it is new in
incorporated into the product or returned to another catchment or providing quantitative estimates of the potential water savings by
the sea. The grey water footprint relates to pollution and is defined partial relocation of crop production to regions with lower water
as the volume of freshwater that is required to assimilate the load consumption per ton of crop by means of an optimization and by
of pollutants given natural background concentrations and existing reducing water footprints of crops down to benchmark levels.
ambient water quality standards [6]. The total freshwater volume Several insights and response options emerged from the Water
consumed or polluted within the territory of a nation as a result of Footprint Assessment, which are currently not considered in the
activities within the different sectors of the economy is called the national water strategy of Morocco and the country’s river basin
water footprint of national production. International trade of plans. Therefore, Water Footprint Assessment is considered to
products creates ‘virtual water flows’ leaving and entering a have an added value for formulating national water policy in
country. The virtual-water export from a nation refers to the water Morocco.
footprint of the products exported. The virtual-water import into a
nation refers to the water footprint of the imported products. Method and Data
Several authors have assessed the water footprint and virtual
water trade balance of nations and regions and state the relevance Water Footprint of Morocco’s Production
of the tool for well-informed water policy on the national and river This study follows the terminology and methodology developed
basin level [7–10]. In a case study for a Spanish region, Aldaya et by Hoekstra et al. [6]. The water footprint of Morocco’s
al. [10] conclude that water footprint analyses can provide a production is estimated at river basin level on a monthly scale
transparent framework to identify potentially optimal alternatives for the activities included in Table 1. The river basins are chosen
for efficient water use at the catchment level and that this can be such that they coincide with the action zones of Morocco’s river
very useful to achieve an efficient allocation of water and economic basin agencies (Figure 1A). Due to data limitations, the grey water
resources in the region. Chahed et al. [8] state that integration of footprint is analysed on an annual scale and the water footprints of
all water resources at the national scale, including the green water grazing and animal water supply are analysed at national and
used in rain-fed agriculture and as part of the foodstuffs trade annual level. The study considers the average climate, production
balance, is essential in facing the great challenges of food security and trade conditions over the period 1996–2005. The water
in arid countries. footprints of agriculture, industry and households are obtained
The objective of this study is to explore the added value of from Mekonnen and Hoekstra [13,14], who estimated these
analysing the water footprint of activities in Morocco and the parameters globally at a 5 by 5 arc minute spatial resolution. The
virtual water flows from and to Morocco in formulating national annual blue water footprint estimates for industries and house-
water policy. The study includes an assessment of the water holds by Mekonnen and Hoekstra [13] are distributed throughout
footprint of activities in Morocco (at the river basin level on a the year according to the monthly distribution of public water
monthly scale) and the virtual water trade balance of the country supply obtained from Ministry EMWE (unpublished data 2013).
and, based on this, response options are formulated to reduce the These distributions are available for the basins Loukkos, Sebou,
water footprint within Morocco, alleviate water scarcity and

Table 1. Water footprint estimates included in this study.

Water footprint of Components Period Source

Crop production Green, blue, grey 1996–2005 [14]


Grazing Green 1996–2005 [13]
Animal water supply Blue 1996–2005 [13]
Industrial production Blue, grey 1996–2005 [13]
Domestic water supply Blue, grey 1996–2005 [13]
Storage reservoirs Blue - Own elaboration
Irrigation water supply network Blue 1996–2005 Own elaboration

doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0099705.t001

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Water Footprint Assessment for National Water Policy (Morocco)

Figure 1. Water footprint of Morocco’s production per river basin. Period: 1996–2005. Morocco’s river basins (A) and total green (B), blue (C)
and grey (D) water footprint of Morocco’s production per river basin (in Mm3/yr).
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0099705.g001

Bouregreg and Oum Er Rbia. For the other basins an average of to the fraction of irrigation water withdrawn from surface water (as
these distributions is taken. opposed to groundwater) per river basin based on data from the
The monthly water footprint of storage reservoirs (in m3/yr) is associated river basin plans. K is calculated as:
calculated as the open water evaporation (in m/yr) times the
surface area of storage reservoirs (in m2). Data on open water  
1 1
evaporation from the reservoirs in the basins Loukkos, Sebou, K~ { | fE
ea | ec ea
Bouregreg and Oum Er Rbia is obtained from Ministry EMWE
(unpublished data 2013) and for the other basins from a model in which ea represents the field application efficiency, ec the
simulation with the global hydrological model PCR-GLOBWB irrigation canal efficiency and fE the fraction of losses in the
carried out by Sperna Weiland et al. [15]. The surface area of irrigation canal network that evaporates (as opposed to percolates).
reservoirs at upper storage level is derived from Ministry EMWE The irrigation efficiencies ea and ec are estimated based on data
(unpublished data 2013) and FAO [16]. Since storage levels vary from a local river basin agency and FAO [17]. The value of fE is
throughout the year (and over the years), and reservoir areas assumed at fifty percent. The resultant K for Morocco’s irrigated
accordingly, this gives an overestimation of the evaporation from agriculture as a whole is 15%, i.e. the evaporative loss from the
reservoirs. To counteract this overestimation, but due to lack of irrigation water supply network represents a volume equal to 15%
data on monthly storage level and reservoir area, for all months a of the blue surface water footprint of crop production at field level
fraction of the evaporation at upper storage level (43%) is taken as on average.
estimate of the water footprint of storage reservoirs. This fraction
represents the average reservoir area as fraction of its area at upper Water Footprint and Economic Water and Land
storage level, calculated as the average over the reservoirs in the
basins Loukkos, Sebou, Bouregreg and Oum Er Rbia for which
Productivity of Crops
data on surface area at different reservoir levels is available from The water footprint of crops per unit of production (in m3/ton)
is calculated by dividing the water footprint per hectare (in m3/
Ministry EMWE (unpublished data 2013).
ha/yr) by the yield (in ton/ha/yr), for which data are obtained
The water footprint of the irrigation supply network refers to the
from Mekonnen and Hoekstra [14]. Economic water productivity
evaporative loss in the network and is estimated based on a factor
(in US$/m3) represents the economic value of farm output per unit
K, which is defined as the ratio of the blue water footprint of the
of water consumed and is calculated as the average producer price
irrigation supply network to the blue surface water footprint of
for the period 1996–2005 (in US$/ton) obtained from FAO [18]
crop production at field level (i.e. crop evapotranspiration of
divided by the green plus blue water footprint (in m3/ton).
irrigation water stemming from surface water). The blue water
Similarly, economic land productivity (in US$/ha) represents the
footprint of crop production at field level is taken from Mekonnen
and Hoekstra [14] and the split to surface water is made according

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Water Footprint Assessment for National Water Policy (Morocco)

economic value of farm output per hectare of harvested land and is rainwater and from rivers, minus the direct evaporation from
calculated as the same producer price multiplied by crop yield (in aquifers. These data are obtained from the river basin plans and
ton/ha), which is also obtained from Mekonnen and Hoekstra from Laouina [23] for the basin of Souss Massa.
[14]. Blue water scarcity is defined as the ratio of the total blue water
footprint in a catchment over the blue water availability in that
Virtual Water Flows and Associated Economic Value catchment [6]. In this study, this ratio is calculated as the total blue
Green, blue and grey virtual water flows related to Morocco’s water footprint to monthly natural runoff and as the groundwater
import and export of agricultural and industrial commodities for footprint to annual groundwater availability. Following Hoekstra et
the period 1996–2005 are obtained from Mekonnen and Hoekstra al. [24], blue water scarcity values have been classified into four
[13], who estimated these flows at a global scale based on trade levels of water scarcity. The classification in this study corresponds
matrices and water footprints of traded products at the locations of with their classification, with the note that the current study does
origin. The virtual water export that originates from domestic not account for environmental flow requirements in the definition
water resources (another part is re-export) is estimated based on of blue water availability, since they are generally not considered
the relative share of the virtual water import to the total water in Morocco’s river basin plans and local studies on the level of
budget: these requirements are lacking. This is compensated for by using
stricter threshold values for the different scarcity levels, so that the
resultant scheme is equivalent to that of Hoekstra et al. [24]:
WF national
Ve,dom:res: ~ | Ve
Vi z WF national N low blue water scarcity (,0.20): the blue water footprint is
lower than 20% of natural runoff; river runoff is unmodified or
in which WFnational is the water footprint within the nation, Vi the slightly modified.
virtual water import and Ve the virtual water export.
The average earning per unit of water exported (in US$/m3) is N moderate blue water scarcity (0.20–0.30): the blue water
calculated by dividing the value of export (in US$/yr) by virtual footprint is between 20 and 30% of natural runoff; runoff is
moderately modified.
water export (in m3/yr). Similarly, the cost per unit of virtual water
import is calculated by dividing the import value (in US$/yr) by N significant blue water scarcity (0.30–0.40): the blue water
virtual water import (in m3/yr). The average economic value of footprint is between 30 and 40% of natural runoff; runoff is
import and export for the period 1996–2005 are derived from the significantly modified.
Statistics for International Trade Analysis (SITA) database from N severe water scarcity (.0.40): the monthly blue water footprint
the International Trade Centre [19]. exceeds 40% of natural runoff, so runoff is seriously modified.

Water Footprint versus Water Availability and Waste The water pollution level is defined as the total grey water
footprint in a catchment divided by the waste assimilation capacity
Assimilation Capacity [6]. In other words, it shows the fraction of actual runoff that is
To assess the environmental sustainability of the water footprint required to dilute pollutants in order to meet ambient water
within Morocco, the total blue (surface- plus groundwater) water quality standards. A water pollution level greater than 1 means
footprint of production is placed in the context of monthly natural that ambient water quality standards are violated. The nitrate-
runoff and the groundwater footprint in the context of annual related grey water footprint of crop production as computed in this
groundwater availability. The water needed to assimilate the study is assumed to mostly contribute to groundwater pollution
nitrogen fertilizers that reach the water systems due to leaching is and is therefore compared with the waste assimilation capacity of
compared with the waste assimilation capacity of aquifers. groundwater. As a measure of the latter, we use the actual
The groundwater footprint is calculated by splitting the blue groundwater availability, calculated as (natural) groundwater
water footprint of crop production, industrial production and availability minus the groundwater footprint.
domestic water supply according to the fraction withdrawn from
groundwater per river basin based on data from the associated
Relocation of Crop Production and Reducing Water
river basin plans. Assuming that none of the water abstracted from
groundwater for industrial production and domestic water supply Footprints of Crops to Benchmark Levels
returns (clean) to the groundwater in the same period of time, the The potential water savings by changing the pattern of crop
groundwater footprints of these purposes are increased to equal production across river basins (which is possible due to spatial
water withdrawal (as opposed to consumption) by dividing them differences in crop water use) are quantified by means of an
by the consumptive fractions assumed by Mekonnen and Hoekstra optimization model. The total green plus blue water footprint of
[13]: 5% for industries and 10% for households. twelve main crops in the country (in Mm3/yr) is minimized by
Long-term average monthly natural runoff (1980–2011) for the changing the spatial pattern of production (in ton/yr) over the
river basins of Loukkos, Sebou, Bouregreg and Oum Er Rbia is river basins under constraints for production demand (in ton/yr)
derived from Ministry EMWE (unpublished data 2013). Natural and land availability (in ha/yr). The analysed crops are: almonds,
runoff is estimated as the inflow of reservoirs. It is considered barley, dates, grapes, maize, olives, oranges, sugar beets, sugar
undepleted runoff, since large-scale blue water withdrawals come cane, mandarins, tomatoes and wheat. Results are compared with
a base case, which corresponds with the average green plus blue
from the reservoirs. For the other basins, long-term average
water footprint of the analysed crops over the period 1996–2005.
annual natural runoff is derived from the river basin plans for the
Land availability is restricted per river basin and taken equal to the
respective river basins and subsequently distributed over the
average harvested area in the period 1996–2005 obtained from
months according to intra-annual rainfall patterns [20,21] or
Mekonnen and Hoekstra [14]. Two cases are distinguished: 1) all
monthly natural discharge [22]. Due to lack of data, for the Souss
crops can be relocated; 2) only annual crops (barley, maize, sugar
Massa basin the same monthly variation is applied as for the
beets, tomatoes and wheat) can be relocated, perennials cannot.
adjacent Tensift basin. Groundwater availability is assessed on
river basin scale and defined as the recharge by percolation of

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Water Footprint Assessment for National Water Policy (Morocco)

For both cases, the restriction is imposed that the total national which together account for 60% of the total irrigation water
production per crop (in ton/yr) should be equal to (or greater than) consumed in the period 1996–2005. In the basin of Sebou, 56% of
the total national production of the crop in the base case, which is the blue water footprint of crop production relates to the irrigation
defined as the average production in the period 1996–2005 of wheat, olives, sugar beets, sugar cane and sunflower seed.
obtained from Mekonnen and Hoekstra [14].
Additionally, an assessment is made of the potential water Water Footprint and Economic Water and Land
savings by reducing the water footprints of the twelve main crops Productivity of Main Crops
down to certain benchmark levels. For each basin and crop a In the period 1996–2005, most green water was consumed by
benchmark is set in the form of the lowest water consumption the production of wheat, barley and olives (Figure 2). The largest
(green plus blue) of that crop which is achieved in a comparable blue water footprints relate to the production of wheat, olives and
river basin in Morocco. In this case, basins are considered maize. For wheat, the number one blue water consuming crop, the
comparable when the reference evapotranspiration (ET0 in mm/ blue water footprint was largest in the period March–May and
yr) is in the same order of magnitude (see Table 2). Reference peaked in April.
evapotranspiration expresses the evaporating power of the
Water consumption of crops (green plus blue, in m3/ton) varies
atmosphere at a specific location (and time of the year) and does
significantly per river basin due to differences in climatic
not consider crop characteristics and soil factors [6]. Differences in
conditions. In general, water consumption of crops is above
soil and development conditions are thus not accounted for.
country-average in the basins Oum Er Rbia and Tensift and below
country-average in the northern basins Bouregreg, Sebou,
Results Loukkos and Moulouya (Figure 3). In the basins Sud Atlas and
Water Footprint of Morocco’s Production Souss Massa the picture is not so clear, with some crops having
The total water footprint of Morocco’s production in the period above and others below country-average water footprints (in m3/
1996–2005 was 38.8 Gm3/yr (77% green, 18% blue, 5% grey), ton).
see Table 3. Crop production is the largest contributor to this The five crops that consumed the most green plus blue water in
water footprint, accounting for 78% of all green water consumed, the period 1996–2005 are the crops with the lowest economic
83% of all blue water consumed (evaporative losses in irrigation water productivity, ranging from 0.08 US$/m3 for wheat to only
water supply network included) and 66% of the total volume of 0.02 US$/m3 for almonds (Figure 2). Production of tomatoes
polluted water. Evaporative losses from storage reservoirs are yielded 22 times more value per drop than production of wheat.
estimated at 884 Mm3/yr, which is 13% of the total blue water The same five crops also have the lowest economic land
footprint within Morocco. For most reservoirs, these losses are productivity, ranging from 375 US$/ha for olives to 112 US$/
ultimately linked to irrigated agriculture and in some cases potable ha for almonds (Figure 4). The highest value per hectare cultivated
water supply. was obtained by production of tomatoes.
Largest water footprints (green, blue and grey) are found in the
basins Oum Er Rbia and Sebou, the basins containing the main Virtual Water Trade Balance of Morocco
agricultural areas of Morocco (see Figure 1B–D). Together, these Morocco’s virtual water trade balance for the period 1996–2005
two basins account for 63% of the total water footprint of national is shown in Figure 5. Virtual water import exceeds virtual water
production. In general, the green water footprint is largest in the export, which makes Morocco a net virtual water importer. Only
rainy period December–May, while the blue water footprint is 31% of the virtual water export originates from Morocco’s water
largest in the period April–September when irrigation water use resources, the other 69% is related to re-export of imported virtual
increases. water. By import of products instead of producing them
In the basins Bouregreg and Loukkos, evaporation from storage domestically, Morocco saved 27.8 Gm3/yr (75% green, 21% blue
reservoirs accounts for 45% and 55% of the total blue water and 4% grey) of domestic water in the period 1996–2005,
footprint, respectively. Irrigated agriculture is the largest blue equivalent to 72% of the water footprint within Morocco.
water consumer in the other basins, but evaporation from storage The value of the total virtual water imported in the period
reservoirs is also significant in these basins. Main irrigated crops in 1996–2005 was 12.4 billion US$/yr. Import of industrial products
the Oum Er Rbia basin are maize, wheat, olives and sugar beets, accounted for 83%, import of crop products for 16% and import

Table 2. Comparison of river basins based on reference evapotranspiration (ET0 in mm/yr, period: 1961–1990).

No. River basin ET0 (mm/yr) Considered comparable with no.

1 Sud Atlas 1,652 -


2 Souss Massa 1,450 3
3 Moulouya 1,409 2
4 Tensift 1,389 5
5 Oum Er Rbia 1,387 4
6 Sebou 1,266 7,8
7 Bouregreg 1,239 6,8
8 Loukkos 1,212 6,7

Source: ET0 from FAO [31].


doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0099705.t002

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Water Footprint Assessment for National Water Policy (Morocco)

Table 3. Water footprint of Morocco’s production in the period 1996–2005 (in Mm3/yr).

Water footprint of Green Blue Grey Total


a)
Crop production 23,245 5,097 1,378 29,719
Grazinga) 6,663 - - 6,663
Animal water supplya) - 151 - 151
Industrial productiona) - 18 69 88
Domestic water supplyb) - 125 640 765
Storage reservoirsb) - 884 - 884
Irrigation water supply networkb) - 549 - 549
Total water footprint 29,908 6,824 2,087 38,819

Source: a) [13], b) Own elaboration.


doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0099705.t003

of animal products for 1%. The average cost of imported value (1.37 US$/m3) larger than the average for crop products
commodities per unit of virtual water imported was 0.98 US$/ (0.87 US$/m3). On the other hand, virtual water export related to
m3. The value of the total virtual water exported in this period was Moroccan tomatoes (24 Mm3/yr) yielded 7.13 US$/m3.
7.1 billion US$/yr (industrial products: 51%, crop products: 48%,
animal products: 1%). The average earning of exported commod- Water Footprint versus Water Availability and Waste
ities per unit of virtual water exported was 1.66 US$/m3. Assimilation Capacity
The total volume of Morocco’s water virtually exported out of Blue water scarcity manifests itself in specific months of the year
the country (i.e. excluding re-export) in the period 1996–2005 is (Figure 6; Table 4). The average monthly water scarcity indicates
estimated at 1,333 Mm3/yr. This means that about 4% of the severe water scarcity, more severe than annual (total) water
water used in Morocco’s agricultural and industrial sector is used scarcity values suggest. In all basins, the total blue water footprint
for making export products. The remainder is used to produce exceeds natural runoff during a significant period of the year. In
products that are consumed by the inhabitants of Morocco. the months June, July and August, severe water scarcity occurs in
Virtual export of blue water from Morocco’s resources was 435 all river basins. Crops with a large blue water footprint in July are:
Mm3/yr, which is to equivalent 3.4% of long-term average natural sugar beets in Oum Er Rbia and Sebou; grapes in the basins of
runoff (13 Gm3/yr). Sud Atlas, Souss Massa and Oum Er Rbia; dates in Oum Er Rbia
Most of the virtual water export from Morocco’s resources and Sebou; sunflower seed in the Sebou basin; maize in the basin
returns relatively little foreign currency per unit of virtual water of Oum Er Rbia. Demand for potable water peaks in the months
exported. Export of crop products had the largest share in the June, July and August due to tourism and evaporation from
virtual water export from Morocco’s water resources (1,305 Mm3/ storage reservoirs is large in these months due to the strong
yr), returning 0.87 US$/m3 on average. Specific crop products evaporative power of the atmosphere. Annual runoff in the Oum
associated with large virtual water export from Moroccan origin Er Rbia basin is almost completely consumed (inter-basin water
are olives, oranges, wheat, sugar beets and mandarins. Out of transfers not yet considered), which raises the question whether it
these products, only export of mandarins (122 Mm3/yr) returned a

Figure 2. Economic water productivity and green and blue water footprint of main crops in Morocco. Period: 1996–2005. Source: Water
footprint from Mekonnen and Hoekstra [14], producer prices from FAO [18].
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0099705.g002

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Water Footprint Assessment for National Water Policy (Morocco)

Figure 3. Variation in green plus blue water consumption (in m3/ton) across river basins. Period: 1996–2005.
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0099705.g003

is wise to export water out of this basin to the basins of Bouregreg water pollution level (Table 6). In the basins of Tensift and Oum
and Tensift as is common practice. Er Rbia, waste assimilation capacity of the groundwater is also
The total groundwater footprint in Morocco constitutes about exceeded, even by 43 times the natural groundwater availability in
half of the country’s groundwater availability (Table 5). Ground- the Tensift basin. These findings correspond with figures reported
water stress is severe in all river basins, except for the basins of in the river basin plans for these three basins, which indicate
Loukkos and Sud Atlas. In the Bouregreg basin, the annual severely high nitrate concentrations in the groundwater (at some
groundwater footprint exceeds annual groundwater availability. As measurement stations exceeding the maximum permissible limit in
confirmed in the 2012 river basin plan for this basin, most of the drinking water), mainly caused by diffuse nitrate pollution by the
aquifers in this basin are indeed overexploited, especially the main irrational use of nitrogen fertilizers, but in the case of the Sahel-
aquifers of Berrechid and Chaouia côtière. Doukkala aquifer in the Oum Er Rbia basin also by the infiltration
In the Bouregreg basin there is no waste assimilation capacity of of untreated domestic wastewater.
the groundwater left (because the blue groundwater footprint
exceeds groundwater availability), which results in an infinite

Figure 4. Economic land productivity and harvested area of main crops in Morocco. Period: 1996–2005. Source: Harvested area and yield
from Mekonnen and Hoekstra [14], producer prices from FAO [18].
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0099705.g004

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Water Footprint Assessment for National Water Policy (Morocco)

Figure 5. Morocco’s virtual water trade balance related to trade in agricultural and industrial commodities. Period: 1996–2005. Source:
Virtual water import and (total) virtual water export from Mekonnen and Hoekstra [13].
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0099705.g005

Reducing the Water Footprint of Crop Production in of Sebou and Loukkos is generally larger than in other parts of
Morocco Morocco [1].
The regional differences in crop water use (Figure 3) provide an Reducing the water footprints of crops to benchmark levels
opportunity for reduction of the water footprint of crop production leads to a potential green plus blue water saving of 2,768 Mm3/yr,
in Morocco. Potential water savings (green plus blue) are in the a reduction of 11% (Table 9). Fifty-two per cent of this saving is
order of 1.9 and 1.2 billion m3 per year when all crops (case A) and related to reduced water footprints (i.e. improved water produc-
when only annual crops (case B) are relocated over the river tivities) in the Sebou basin alone. Largest potential water savings
basins, respectively (Table 7). Blue water savings are 1,276 Mm3/ are associated with reducing the water footprints of cereals,
yr in case A and 697 Mm3/yr in case B. These are significant especially wheat. Blue water savings are estimated at 422 Mm3/yr
savings when put in the context of Morocco’s national water and are largest in the basins of Sebou and Oum Er Rbia.
strategy, which includes actions plans to mobilize 1.7 billion m3/yr
by 2030 through the construction of 60 large and 1000 small local Added Value of Water Footprint Assessment for
dams and an additional 0.8 billion m3/yr with the North-South Morocco’s Water Policy
inter-basin water transfer [1]. Several insights and response options emerged from the Water
Largest potential water savings can be obtained by partial Footprint Assessment, which are currently not considered in the
relocation of the production of maize and wheat (Table 7), national water strategy of Morocco and the country’s river basin
particularly by moving maize production from the Oum Er Rbia plans. They include:
basin to the Moulouya basin and wheat production from the
Bouregreg basin to the basin of Sebou. Partial relocation of crop (i) New insights in the water balance of Morocco and the
production in case A results in decreased water footprints (green country’s main river basins:
plus blue) in all basins, except for the basin of Bouregreg where the
water footprint increases (Table 8). In case B, the water footprints N The evaporative losses from storage reservoirs account for a
in the basins Bouregreg, Sebou and Loukkos increase, particularly significant part of the blue water footprint within Morocco.
due to increased wheat production in these basins, while the water This sheds fresh light on the national water strategy that
footprints in the other basins decrease. Precipitation in the basins

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Water Footprint Assessment for National Water Policy (Morocco)

Figure 6. Total blue water footprint and natural runoff per river basin. Period of blue water footprint: 1996–2005. Natural runoff is
estimated as the long-term average inflow of reservoirs. It is considered undepleted runoff, since large-scale blue water withdrawals come from the
reservoirs. The estimates can be considered conservative, because net precipitation in areas downstream of reservoirs is not included.
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0099705.g006

proposes to build another 60 large and 1000 small dams by the case considering the costs of the construction and
2030. maintenance of the large dams and intra- and inter-basin
N Blue water scarcity on a monthly scale is severe and hidden water transfers in the country and the costs associated with
the negative externalities of water (over) consumption, such
by annual analysis of demand versus supply, which is the
common scale of analysis in Morocco’s river basin plans. as the salt-intrusion in Morocco’s coastal aquifers.

(ii) New insights in how economically efficient water and land (iii) New response options to reduce the water footprint of crop
resources are used: production:

N Analysis of the economic value of crop products per unit of


N Analysis of the water footprint of the main crops in Morocco
water and land used in the period 1996–2005 indicate that and its variation across the river basins offers new ways of
agricultural policy may be better brought in line with water looking at reducing water consumption in the agricultural
policy by reconsidering which crops to grow. sector. The estimated potential water savings by partial
N It is shown that the export policy in this period was not relocation of crops to basins where they consume less water
optimal from a water-economics point of view, which raises and by reducing water footprints of crops down to
the question whether the foreign income generated by export benchmark levels are significant compared to demand
covers the direct and indirect costs of mobilization and (over) reducing and supply increasing measures considered in the
exploitation of Morocco’s water resources. This might not be national water strategy of Morocco.

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Water Footprint Assessment for National Water Policy (Morocco)

Blue water scarcity is defined as the ratio of the total blue water footprint in a catchment over the natural runoff in that catchment. Classification: low blue water scarcity (,0.20); moderate blue water scarcity (0.20–0.30); significant
Discussion
Morocco’s water footprint is mostly green (77%). This
Avg

2.32
1.18
1.02
1.33
1.93
1.76
0.32
1.55
1.15
underlines the importance of green water resources, also (or
especially) in semi-arid countries with a high dependency on blue
water, and is in line with other studies showing the dominance of
the green over the blue water flow in Africa (and most of the
0.37
0.25
0.41
0.98
0.53
0.46
0.19
0.50
0.52
Tot

world) [25,26]. The relevance of the green water footprint should


not be underestimated. Although rain is free and evaporation
happens anyway, green water that is used for one purpose cannot
be used for another purpose [27].
Dec

0.06
0.02
0.05
0.16
0.02
0.12
0.06
0.11
0.06
Storage reservoir evaporation accounts for a significant share
(13%) in the blue water footprint in Morocco. The need for
seasonal storage of water is evident given the large mismatch in
Nov

0.19
0.08
0.16
0.51
0.14
0.40
0.10
0.34
0.22
natural runoff and water demand (Figure 6). However, the large
evaporation from reservoirs shows that these should be seen as
water consumers, besides their role in water supply. This water
footprint can ultimately be linked to the end-purpose of the
1.01
0.69
0.37
1.10
1.21
0.81
0.14
0.64
0.66
Oct

reservoir, which for most cases in Morocco is primarily serving


irrigated agriculture. Therefore, to reduce the need for seasonal
storage and hence the water footprint of storage reservoirs, it
would be worthwhile to take the timing of crop water demands
Sep

2.78
2.49
1.03
1.93
3.05
4.45
0.21
3.66
1.55

with respect to natural water availability into account in deciding


which crops or crop varieties to grow. Furthermore, local
alternatives to the large surface water reservoirs are groundwater
dams, which enhance underground water storage in alluvial
Aug

7.30
4.11
3.09
2.14
6.72
6.82
0.56
5.40
2.98

aquifers and thereby loose less water by evaporation [28].


Our analysis shows that from a strictly water-economics point of
view it would be worthwhile to reconsider which crops to grow in
Morocco (due to the low value in US$/m3 and US$/ha for some
11.3
4.04
4.41
2.91
6.66
6.35
1.67
5.39
4.15
Jul

crops compared to others). In practice, the choice of which crops


to produce is part of the national strategy regarding food security
and of course closely linked to the demand for crops (national and
2.89
1.85
1.65
3.08
3.01
1.28
0.54
1.72
2.23
Jun

global). Nevertheless, we consider it useful and important to


analyse economic water and land productivities (as done in this
study) in addition to these considerations. Especially for water-
short countries as Morocco it is relevant to evaluate the economic
May

1.57
0.42
0.62
2.42
1.19
0.36
0.19
0.66
1.03

efficiency of water allocation. This also relates to the question


whether the foreign income generated by export products, which
have a footprint on national resources, outweighs the direct and
indirect costs associated with the resource use.
Apr

0.47
0.25
0.40
0.98
0.86
0.17
0.12
0.29
0.56

Uncertainties and Limitations


The water footprint of crop production is largely influenced by
the input data used and assumptions made by Mekonnen and
Mar

0.14
0.12
0.23
0.38
0.22
0.11
0.09
0.16
0.22

Hoekstra [14] and can easily contain an uncertainty of 620%


blue water scarcity (0.30–0.40); severe water scarcity (.0.40).

[14,29,30]. The calculated economic water and land productivities


Table 4. Blue water scarcity per river basin.

of crops are, apart from the water footprints and yields, dependent
Feb

0.06
0.04
0.10
0.20
0.04
0.14
0.07
0.16
0.09

on the producer prices. Variations in these prices largely influence


the economic water and land productivity of crops. The water
footprints of industrial production and domestic water supply are
very sensitive to the consumptive fractions applied.
0.05
0.03
0.07
0.11
0.02
0.07
0.05
0.06
0.05
Jan

Although figures on water availability are based on data from


doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0099705.t004

the river basin plans and the Ministry EMWE (unpublished data
2013), the way they are estimated exactly is often unclear and so is
the uncertainty in them. Since natural runoff is estimated as the
inflow of reservoirs (thus excluding small-scale local abstractions
upstream) and net precipitation in areas downstream of reservoirs
is not included, the estimates of natural runoff can be considered
conservative.
River basin

Oum Er Rbia

Souss Massa

In general, the river basin plans indicate larger pressure on


Bouregreg

Moulouya

Sud Atlas
Loukkos

groundwater resources than suggested in this study. This might be


Tensift
Sebou

Total

caused by the fact that the river basin plans include more recent
withdrawals and because the unit of analysis in this study (river

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Water Footprint Assessment for National Water Policy (Morocco)

Table 5. Blue water scarcity related to groundwater.

Groundwater footprint Groundwater availability (1996–2005) Blue water


River basin (Mm3/yr) (Mm3/yr) scarcity (2) Level of water scarcity

Bouregreg 106 66 1.60 Severe


Tensift 259 262 0.99 Severe
Oum Er Rbia 510 667 0.77 Severe
Souss Massa 219 349 0.63 Severe
Sebou 689 1,502 0.46 Severe
Moulouya 144 351 0.41 Severe
Loukkos 93 377 0.25 Moderate
Sud Atlas 137 697 0.20 Moderate
Total 2,159 4,347

Basins are sorted top-down from highest to lowest scarcity.


doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0099705.t005

basin agency action zone) is larger than the unit used in the river should be interpreted carefully. However, the order of magnitude
basin plans (individual aquifers), whereby in this study overex- of the estimated savings gives a rough indication of the potential of
ploitation of one aquifer might be masked by low exploitation of these measures. When considering relocation of crop production it
another. Also local groundwater pollution according to the river is necessary to assess how the green and blue water footprints of
basin plans is sometimes worse than the water pollution level crops manifest themselves on a monthly scale. This study looked at
estimated here. This could be explained by the fact that the water annual water savings, but the associated relocation of crops might
quality measurements recorded in the basin plans are partly more well aggravate monthly water scarcity in some river basins.
recent and are measured at specific points, whereas this study Furthermore, the feasibility and desirability of relocation of crop
considered homogeneous distribution of nitrates in the ground- production are of course largely determined by social and
water. economic factors which are not considered in this study.
Given the uncertainties and limitations of the study, the
presented water footprint estimates and water scarcity values Conclusion
should be interpreted with care. Nevertheless, the order of
magnitude of the estimates in this study gives a good indication The study finds that: (i) evaporation from storage reservoirs is
to which activities and crops Morocco’s water resources are the second largest form of blue water consumption in Morocco,
allocated, in which months and basins the water footprints are after irrigated crop production; (ii) Morocco’s water and land
relatively large or small and where and when this leads to highest resources are mainly used to produce relatively low-value (in US$/
water scarcity. m3 and US$/ha) crops such as cereals, olives and almonds; (iii)
Uncertainties in the estimated potential savings by relocation of most of the virtual water export from Morocco relates to the
crop production and reducing the water footprints of crops to export of products with a relatively low economic water
benchmark levels are closely linked to the uncertainties in the productivity (in US$/m3); (iv) blue water scarcity on a monthly
estimates of the water footprint of crop production and the results scale is severe in all river basins and pressure on groundwater

Table 6. Water pollution level related to nitrate-nitrogen in groundwater.

Grey water footprint of Actual groundwater


crop production availability/Waste Waste assimilation capacity
River basin (1996–2005) (Mm3/yr) assimilation capacity (Mm3/yr) Water pollution level (2) exceeded?

Bouregreg 148 0 ‘ Yes


Tensift 129 3 43.2 Yes
Oum Er Rbia 435 157 2.78 Yes
Sebou 428 813 0.53 No
Moulouya 99 207 0.48 No
Souss Massa 51 130 0.39 No
Loukkos 63 284 0.22 No
Sud Atlas 25 560 0.04 No
Total 1,378 2,188 0.63 No

Basins are sorted top-down from highest to lowest pollution level.


doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0099705.t006

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Water Footprint Assessment for National Water Policy (Morocco)

Table 7. Potential water savings by partial relocation of crop production per crop.

Partial relocation Partial relocation


considered for all crops* considered for annual crops only**

Base case
green plus
blue water Saving (green+blue) Saving (green+blue)
footprint (Mm3/yr) (Mm3/yr) Relative saving (%) (Mm3/yr) Relative saving (%)

Almonds 641 14 2% 0 0%
Barley 6,787 –116 –2% –202 –3%
Dates 449 131 29% 0 0%
Grapes 367 183 50% 0 0%
Maize 1,148 939 82% 939 82%
Olives 2,951 58 2% 0 0%
Oranges 440 15 3% 0 0%
Sugar Beets 353 157 44% 157 44%
Sugar Cane 200 91 46% 0 0%
Mandarins 209 7 3% 0 0%
Tomatoes 99 2 2% 2 2%
Wheat 10,981 413 4% 278 3%
Total 24,625 1,896 8% 1,174 5%

*All analysed crops are: almonds, barley, dates, grapes, maize, olives, oranges, sugar beets, sugar cane, mandarins, tomatoes and wheat.
**Annual crops are: barley, maize, sugar beets, tomatoes and wheat.
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0099705.t007

resources by abstractions and nitrate pollution is considerable in key in determining efficient and equitable water allocation within
most basins; (v) the estimated potential water savings by partial the boundaries of what is environmentally sustainable, both on the
relocation of crops to basins where they consume less water and by river basin and on the national level. This is especially relevant for
reducing water footprints of crops down to benchmark levels are water-scarce countries such as Morocco. Furthermore, considering
significant compared to demand reducing and supply increasing the green and grey components of a water footprint provides new
measures considered in Morocco’s national water strategy. perspectives on blue water scarcity, because pressure on blue water
On the basis of these new insights and response options it is resources might be reduced by more efficient use of green water
concluded that Water Footprint Assessment has an added value and by less pollution.
for national water policy in Morocco. Water Footprint Assessment
forces to look at end-users and -purposes of freshwater, which is

Table 8. Potential water savings by partial relocation of crop production per river basin.

Partial relocation Partial relocation


considered for all crops considered for annual crops only**

Base case green


plus blue water Saving (green+blue) Saving (green+blue)
footprint (Mm3/yr) (Mm3/yr) Relative saving (%) (Mm3/yr) Relative saving (%)

Sud Atlas 306 189 62% 12 4%


Souss Massa 903 175 19% 14 2%
Tensift 2,525 388 15% 124 5%
Oum Er Rbia 8,498 1,229 14% 821 10%
Bouregreg 2,813 2994 –35% –95 –3%
Moulouya 1,737 605 35% 412 24%
Sebou 6,905 154 2% –95 –1%
Loukkos 939 151 16% –19 –2%
Total 24,625 1,896 8% 1,174 5%

*All analysed crops are: almonds, barley, dates, grapes, maize, olives, oranges, sugar beets, sugar cane, mandarins, tomatoes and wheat.
**Annual crops are: barley, maize, sugar beets, tomatoes and wheat.
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0099705.t008

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Table 9. Potential water savings by benchmarking water productivities of main crops* (in Mm3/yr).

Sud Atlas Souss Massa Tensift Oum Er Rbia Bouregreg Moulouya Sebou Loukkos Total

Almonds 0 2 1 0 3 0 8 0 14
Barley 0 0 0 100 158 222 238 0 717
Dates 0 0 0 10 0 4 48 0 63
Grapes 0 20 0 5 0 0 18 4 48

PLOS ONE | www.plosone.org


Maize 0 13 0 175 32 0 33 0 254
Olives 0 9 4 0 10 0 35 0 59
Oranges 0 1 1 0 1 0 6 0 9
Sugar Beets 0 0 0 0 0 0 70 4 73
Sugar Cane 0 0 0 0 0 0 79 10 89
Mandarins 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 4
Tomatoes 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 3
Wheat 0 14 0 102 417 0 904 0 1,436
Total (gn+bl) 0 60 6 392 623 226 1,444 18 2,768
Total (blue)** 0 23 2 113 11 2 258 12 422
Total (blue) (% of natural runoff) 0% 4% 0% 4% 2% 0% 7% 1% 3%

13
*Analysed crops are: almonds, barley, dates, grapes, maize, olives, oranges, sugar beets, sugar cane, mandarins, tomatoes and wheat.
**Assuming that the green/blue water ratio remains the same for all basins and crops.
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0099705.t009
Water Footprint Assessment for National Water Policy (Morocco)

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Water Footprint Assessment for National Water Policy (Morocco)

Acknowledgments Author Contributions


We like to thank Mesfin Mekonnen (University of Twente, Enschede, Conceived and designed the experiments: JFS AYH. Performed the
Netherlands), Karen Meijer and Wil van der Krogt (Deltares, Delft, experiments: JFS. Analyzed the data: JFS AYH. Wrote the paper: JFS
Netherlands), Abdelkader Larabi (Mohammadia School of Engineers, AYH.
Rabat, Morocco) and Siham Laraichi (Ministry of Energy, Mining, Water
and Environment, Rabat, Morocco) for their feedback during the various
stages of research.

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