State-of-the-Art Predictive Maintenance Techniques
State-of-the-Art Predictive Maintenance Techniques
State-of-the-Art Predictive Maintenance Techniques
Abstract—This paper discusses the limitations of time-based industrial equipment does not benefit from predictive main-
equipment maintenance methods and the advantages of predictive tenance technologies. The annual calibration of equipment
or online maintenance techniques in identifying the onset of equip- mandated by quality assurance procedures and/or regulatory
ment failure. The three major predictive maintenance techniques,
regulations is a typical example of these time-based meth-
defined in terms of their source of data, are described as follows:
1) the existing sensor-based technique; 2) the test-sensor-based ods. In 2007, Emerson/Rosemount Company published data
technique (including wireless sensors); and 3) the test-signal-based on the performance history of their pressure, level, and flow
technique (including the loop current step response method, transmitters in various industries (excluding the nuclear power
the time-domain reflectrometry test, and the inductance– industry), where time-based and hands-on maintenance tech-
capacitance–resistance test). Examples of detecting blockages in niques are still the norm. The data showed that during peri-
pressure sensing lines using existing sensor-based techniques and odic maintenance actions, technicians in these industries found
of verifying calibration using existing-sensor direct current out-
put are given. Three Department of Energy (DOE)-sponsored
transmitters to be experiencing no problems 70% of the time
projects, whose aim is to develop online and wireless hardware and [1]. By contrast, in nuclear power plants, where online or
software systems for performing predictive maintenance on criti- predictive maintenance is used, this number is over 90% [2].
cal equipment in nuclear power plants, DOE research reactors, The data in [1] also showed that 20% of periodic maintenance
and general industrial applications, are described. actions revealed calibration shift problems (followed by sensing
Index Terms—Inductance–capacitance–resistance (LCR) test- line blockage at 6% and failures at 4%). By comparison, only
ing, loop current step response (LCSR) method, predictive main- 5%–10% of periodic maintenance actions at nuclear power
tenance, time-domain reflectrometry (TDR) test, wireless sensor. plants reveal calibration shift problems (though sensing line
blockages occurred 10% of the time). The lower incidence of
I. I NTRODUCTION calibration faults in nuclear power plant pressure transmitters
suggests that the online monitoring and predictive maintenance
P REDICTIVE maintenance—sometimes called “online
monitoring,” “condition-based maintenance,” or “risk-
based maintenance”—has a long history. From visual inspec-
of equipment can reduce calibration problems in other indus-
tries as well.
tion, which is the oldest method yet still one of the most
powerful and widely used, predictive maintenance has evolved II. L IMITATIONS OF T IME -BASED
to automated methods that use advanced signal processing tech- M AINTENANCE T ECHNIQUES
niques based on pattern recognition, including neural networks,
fuzzy logic, and data-driven empirical and physical modeling. Though time-based and hands-on equipment maintenance is
As equipment begins to fail, it may display signs that can still the norm in industrial processes, these techniques have
be detected if sharp eyes, ears, and noses are used to sense increasingly been seen as flawed and unreliable in recent years
the failure precursors. Fortunately, sensors are now available [3]. Fig. 1 shows data on 30 identical bearing elements tested
to provide the sharp eyes, ears, and noses and identify the under identical conditions by SKF Group, a vibration and pre-
onset of equipment degradations and failures. Integrating these dictive maintenance analysis company. SKF engineers stressed
sensors with the predictive maintenance techniques described in the bearings to cause them to fail, then measured the time to
this paper can avoid unnecessary equipment replacement, save failure. As Fig. 1 shows, some failed in fewer than 15 h, and
costs, and improve process safety, availability, and efficiency. others lasted ten times longer or more; one operated for 300 h.
Despite advances in predictive maintenance technologies, Despite the identical bearings and identical conditions, the
time-based and hands-on equipment maintenance is still the time-to-failure varied by more than an order of magnitude. The
norm in many industrial processes. Nowadays, nearly 30% of conclusion to be drawn is that it is impossible to tell how long
a component may last in an industrial process. It is therefore
imprudent to set maintenance schedules based on failure time-
∗ An incorrect version of this paper first appeared in IEEE Trans. Instrum. based data like SKFs.
Meas., vol 60, no. 1, pp. 226–236, Jan. 2011. The correct version is printed Fig. 2 shows six curves that are currently considered as
here. failure models for industrial equipment such as pressure trans-
Manuscript received March 12, 2009; revised October 21, 2009; accepted
October 22, 2009. Date of current version September 14, 2011. The Associate
mitters, all of which can be managed by periodic time-based
Editor coordinating the review process for this paper was Dr. V. R. Singh. maintenance activities. The three curves on the left-hand
H. M. Hashemian is with the Analysis and Measurement Services (AMS) side—bath tub, wear-out, and fatigue—show the percentage of
Technology Center, AMS Corporation, Knoxville, TN 37923 USA (e-mail:
hash@ams-corp.com). time that the failure characteristics of equipment may follow
W. C. Bean is with Lamar University, Beaumont, TX 77710 USA (e-mail: each of the three failure types. According to U.S. Department
bean@ee.lamar.edu). of Defense (DOD) data, however, these types of failures ac-
Color versions of one or more of the figures in this paper are available online
at http://ieeexplore.ieee.org. count for only about 11% of all failures [4]. The plots on the
Digital Object Identifier 10.1109/TIM.2009.2036347 right-hand side of Fig. 2 show the following three more recent
failure models that move past the time-based failure models: through a “burn-in” process before they are installed in plants
1) initial break-in period model; 2) random failure model; and and that increased monitoring is desirable during equipment’s
3) infant mortality failure model. The DOD’s data suggest that end-of-life or wear-out period.
89% of failures involve these three types, with infant mortality However, the bath tub curve cannot be used as the dominant
failures constituting by far the single largest type (68% of model for equipment degradation and failure. According to
failures). Moubray, Nolan, and Heap, its accuracy in predicting the aging
Although bath tub curve failures can be managed by periodic and eventual failure of equipment is only about 4%. Like
time-based maintenance activities, these activities are unreli- other time-based failure models, the bath tub curve provides no
able. The bath tub curve is an intuitive concept based on com- precision regarding when end-of-life occurs [5]. The length of
mon sense and empirical knowledge rather than engineering or an equipment’s stable period is never accurately known and will
scientific principles. It was used for many years to formulate clearly vary for different types of equipment and the different
aging management programs in industrial processes and to conditions in which that equipment is used. For an industrial
establish equipment replacement schedules. The idea behind component such as a process sensor, a shaft in a motor, or tubes
the bathtub curve is that the probability of failure of equipment in a heat exchanger, maintenance and replacement schedules
is high when equipment is new (“infant mortality”). This is are not easy to establish. Following the bath tub curve, some
followed by a period of stable performance and lower failures plants replace equipment periodically (e.g., every 5–10 years)
(in which there are only random failures), which eventually to avoid reaching the end-of-life. However, when a piece of
leads to increased failure probability (known as the end-of- equipment is replaced prematurely, the failure rate can actually
life or wear-out period). The bath tub curve is useful in that it increase because the new equipment may experience infant
suggests that to avoid infant mortality, equipment should be put mortality.
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3482 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INSTRUMENTATION AND MEASUREMENT, VOL. 60, NO. 10, OCTOBER 2011
Fig. 3. Integrated system employing three categories of techniques for predictive maintenance of industrial sensors and equipment.
TABLE I
PARAMETERS R ELATED TO E QUIPMENT C ONDITION
TABLE II
A PPLICATIONS OF E QUIPMENT C ONDITION M ONITORING
or predictive maintenance and the typical purposes for which plants with performance information. For example, pressure
each industry may use them. In 20–30 years, most industrial sensors can be used to monitor thermal hydraulic effects in
processes will have an integrated online condition monitoring addition to measuring pressure. Furthermore, standing waves,
system for performing automated predictive maintenance. turbulence, and flow-induced vibration effects can be diagnosed
using the normal output of existing pressure sensors in an
operating process.
A. Category 1 Online or Predictive Maintenance Techniques:
Fig. 4 shows how plants can use the output of existing
Existing Sensors
sensors—the first group of online or predictive maintenance
At frequencies usually below 30 Hz, existing process sensors techniques—to verify the performance of the sensors them-
can not only measure a process parameter, but can also provide selves. The figure shows the normal output of a process sensor,
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3484 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INSTRUMENTATION AND MEASUREMENT, VOL. 60, NO. 10, OCTOBER 2011
Fig. 4. (a) Typical output of a process sensor. (b) Separating the ac and dc
components of a sensor output. Fig. 5. Effect of sensing line blockage on dynamic performance of a pressure
transmitter.
Fig. 11. Principle of LCSR test for in situ measurement of an RTD response time.
Fig. 14. (a) RTD circuit. (b) TDR test results of the RTD circuit.
Fig. 14 shows the TDR of a three-wire RTD as installed in critical. Fig. 16 shows a TDR of a thermocouple measured in
a plant. It clearly shows all locations where there is a change 1999 and 2008. The 2008 data indicate that the thermocouple
in impedance, including the end of the cable that has an RTD. impedance has changed significantly.
If the TDR is trended, problems that may develop along the A complementary set of cable tests that measure impedance,
cable or at the end device can be identified and located. The called LCR testing, is often used in addition to TDR to identify
simplest application of TDR is locating an open circuit along a whether a circuit problem is caused by an open circuit, a
cable. You can tell if the circuit is open by measuring its loop short circuit, a shunt, a moisture intrusion, or other problems.
resistance, but only a TDR would tell you where the circuit Alternatively, one can perform an LCR test by itself to mea-
is open. Fig. 15 shows how TDR identified a failed RTD in a sure cable inductance and capacitance and trend the values to
nuclear power plant, where knowing if the open circuit is inside identify problems or compare against a baseline. Typical cable
the reactor containment or outside the reactor containment is circuits can be characterized both by series inductance and
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HASHEMIAN AND BEAN: STATE-OF-THE-ART PREDICTIVE MAINTENANCE TECHNIQUES 3489
Fig. 17. (a) Capacitance measurement results for ten RTDs and dissipation
IV. P REDICTIVE M AINTENANCE R&D P ROJECTS factor calculations (for lead X1 to ground). (b) RTD circuit for the results shown
in this table.
The three predictive maintenance technologies discussed in
this paper are part of three U.S. DOE projects under the Small DOE’s Research Reactors,” is to determine the feasibility of
Business Innovation Research program to subsidize R&D work using wireless sensors to monitor the condition of equipment in
at small (under 500 employees) high-technology firms that can research reactors such as the high-flux isotope reactor (HFIR)
convert the R&D results into commercial products. The goal at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory.
of the first of these projects, namely, “On-Line Monitoring of Since the wireless and HFIR projects are still under way, we
Accuracy and Reliability of Instrumentation,” is to develop will focus here on the progress made in the Online monitoring
systems for online condition monitoring of equipment and (OLM) project. The OLM project is aimed at developing new
processes in industrial plants. As noted previously, the goals of technology that uses signals from existing process sensors to
the second project, namely, “Wireless Sensors for Equipment verify the performance of the sensors and assess the health of
Health and Condition Monitoring in Nuclear Power Plants,” the process. The work involves both software and hardware
are to develop data qualification and data processing techniques development, testing, and validation using existing hardware
for wireless sensors, to identify which parameters these sensors and software that have been adapted to the project. The soft-
should measure, and to determine the correlation between these ware packages we developed are for data acquisition, data
parameters and the actual condition of the equipment being qualification, and data analysis equipment. This equipment is
monitored. The goal of the third project, namely, “Wireless designed for fast data acquisition and will be used for ac and dc
Sensors for Predictive Maintenance of Rotating Equipment in data acquisition. The AMS Corporation is currently adapting
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3490 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INSTRUMENTATION AND MEASUREMENT, VOL. 60, NO. 10, OCTOBER 2011
process safety and efficiency. Integrating the predictive mainte- [3] R. K. Mobley, An Introduction to Predictive Maintenance, 2nd ed.
nance techniques described in this paper with the latest sensor St. Louis, MO: Butterworth-Heinemann, 2002.
[4] F. S. Nowlan and H. F. Heap, “Reliability centered maintenance,” Nat.
technologies will enable plants to avoid unnecessary equipment Tech. Inf. Service, Springfield, VA, Rep. A066-J79, 1978.
replacement, save costs, and improve process safety, availabil- [5] J. M. Moubray, Reliability Centered Maintenance. New York: Industrial
ity, and efficiency. Press, 1992.
[6] H. M. Hashemian, “On-line testing of calibration of process instrumenta-
tion channels in nuclear power plants,” U.S. Nucl. Regulatory Commission,
Rockville, MD, NUREG/CR-6343, Nov. 1995.
[7] H. M. Hashemian, Sensor Performance and Reliability. Research
R EFERENCES Triangle Park, NC: ISA, 2005.
[1] G. Hale, “InTech survey: Predictive maintenance top technology challenge [8] H. M. Hashemian, “Accurately measure the dynamic response of pressure
in 2007,” in InTech. Pittsburgh, PA: ISA, Jan. 2007. instruments,” Power, pp. 72–78, 2007.
[2] H. M. Hashemian et al., “Advanced instrumentation and maintenance [9] J. W. Hines and R. Seibert, “Technical review of on-line monitoring tech-
technologies for nuclear power plants,” U.S. NRC, Rockville, MD, niques for performance assessment,” U.S. Nucl. Regulatory Commission,
NUREG/CR-5501, 1998. Rockville, MD, NUREG/CR-6895, Jan. 2006, vol. 1, State-of-the-Art.
Authorized licensed use limited to: Universidad Federal de Pernambuco. Downloaded on August 31,2023 at 18:32:37 UTC from IEEE Xplore. Restrictions apply.
3492 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON INSTRUMENTATION AND MEASUREMENT, VOL. 60, NO. 10, OCTOBER 2011
H. M. (Hash) Hashemian (SM’07) received the Wendell C. Bean (SM’97) received the Ph.D. de-
B.S. degree in physics from the National University gree in electrical engineering from the University of
of Iran, Tehran, Iran, the M.S. degree in nuclear Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA.
engineering from the University of Tennessee (UT), In 1968, he joined Lamar University, Beaumont,
Knoxville, TN, the D.Eng. degree in electrical en- TX, as Head of the Department of Electrical Engi-
gineering from Lamar University, Beaumont, TX, neering, where he is currently a Professor of elec-
and the Ph.D. degree in nuclear engineering from trical and nuclear engineering. From 1955 to 1967,
Chalmers University of Technology, Göthenburg, he was an Engineer with the Bettis Atomic Power
Sweden. Laboratory, Pittsburgh, PA. From 1961 to 1967, he
He has been with the Analysis and Measurement taught, for the U.S. Naval Reactor Branch under Ad-
Services (AMS) Corporation, Knoxville, TN, since miral Rickover, the Nuclear Reactor Plant Analysis
1977 when the company was founded. He specializes in process instrumen- and Control postgraduate course for naval ROTC graduates located at the Bettis
tation, equipment condition monitoring, online diagnostics of anomalies in Laboratory. During 1967–1968, he was a National Institutes of Health Special
industrial equipment and processes, automated testing, and technical training. Research Fellow, where he did postdoctoral fellowship with the University of
He is the author of two books, six book chapters, and over 200 published Michigan in baroreceptor response for the cardiovascular system.
papers. His books have been translated to Chinese, Japanese, and Russian. He Dr. Bean is a member of Sigma XI, the Honor Society for Engineering Tau
is the holder of nine U.S. patents. Through AMS Corporation, he has worked Beta Pi, and Eta Kappa Nu. He is a registered Professional Engineer in nuclear
for almost all the 104 nuclear power plants that are currently operating in the engineering in Texas. He was the recipient of the Millennium Medal from a
U.S. Furthermore, he has presented seminars, training course, and lectures to local chapter of the IEEE.
nuclear industry professionals in 15 countries. In addition to technical and
business management of AMS Corporation, he has been involved with national
and international organizations concerned with nuclear energy such as the
U.S. Department of Energy, the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, the
International Atomic Energy Agency, and the International Electrotechnical
Commission.
Dr. Hashemian was elected a Fellow of the International Society of Automa-
tion in 1992 and is a member of the American Nuclear Society and the European
Nuclear Society.
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