Location via proxy:   [ UP ]  
[Report a bug]   [Manage cookies]                
Scribd Logo
Upload

Welcome to Scribd!

  • 51 views

    ch02 4

    Uploaded by

    yi Lee
    The document discusses probabilities related to different scenarios: 1) Heart failure probabilities are discussed, including the likelihood of failure due to induced substances (9.49%) or disease/infection (38.28%). 2) Semiconductor chip failure probabilities are calculated, such as the chance the second chip selected is defective (20%) or the probability all three chips selected are defective (0.007%). 3) Computer keyboard failure likelihoods are provided, such as the chance a failure is due to loose keys (23.76%) or improperly connected/poorly welded wires (7.8%). 4) Hospital emergency room data probabilities are determined, including the probability a visit is to hospital 4 and results

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd

    ch02 4

    Uploaded by

    yi Lee
    51 views2 pages
    The document discusses probabilities related to different scenarios: 1) Heart failure probabilities are discussed, including the likelihood of failure due to induced substances (9.49%) or disease/infection (38.28%). 2) Semiconductor chip failure probabilities are calculated, such as the chance the second chip selected is defective (20%) or the probability all three chips selected are defective (0.007%). 3) Computer keyboard failure likelihoods are provided, such as the chance a failure is due to loose keys (23.76%) or improperly connected/poorly welded wires (7.8%). 4) Hospital emergency room data probabilities are determined, including the probability a visit is to hospital 4 and results

    Original Title

    ch02-4 (1)

    Copyright

    © © All Rights Reserved

    Available Formats

    DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd

    Did you find this document useful?

    Is this content inappropriate?

    The document discusses probabilities related to different scenarios: 1) Heart failure probabilities are discussed, including the likelihood of failure due to induced substances (9.49%) or disease/infection (38.28%). 2) Semiconductor chip failure probabilities are calculated, such as the chance the second chip selected is defective (20%) or the probability all three chips selected are defective (0.007%). 3) Computer keyboard failure likelihoods are provided, such as the chance a failure is due to loose keys (23.76%) or improperly connected/poorly welded wires (7.8%). 4) Hospital emergency room data probabilities are determined, including the probability a visit is to hospital 4 and results

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as docx, pdf, or txt
    51 views2 pages

    ch02 4

    Uploaded by

    yi Lee
    The document discusses probabilities related to different scenarios: 1) Heart failure probabilities are discussed, including the likelihood of failure due to induced substances (9.49%) or disease/infection (38.28%). 2) Semiconductor chip failure probabilities are calculated, such as the chance the second chip selected is defective (20%) or the probability all three chips selected are defective (0.007%). 3) Computer keyboard failure likelihoods are provided, such as the chance a failure is due to loose keys (23.76%) or improperly connected/poorly welded wires (7.8%). 4) Hospital emergency room data probabilities are determined, including the probability a visit is to hospital 4 and results

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as DOCX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as docx, pdf, or txt
    of 2

    2.6.4. Heart failures are due to either natural occurrences (87%) or outside factors (13%).

    Outside factors are

    related to induced substances (73%) or foreign objects (27%). Natural occurrences are caused by arterial blockage

    (56%), disease (27%), and infection (e.g., staph infection) (17%).

    (a) Determine the probability that a failure is due to an induced substance.

    (b) Determine the probability that a failure is due to disease or infection

    (a)P = 0.13¿ 0.73=0.0949

    (b)P = 0.87¿ (0.27+0.17)=0.3828


    2.6.6. A lot of 100 semiconductor chips contains 20 that are defective.

    (a) Two are selected, at random, without replacement, from the lot. Determine the probability that the second chip

    selected is defective.

    (b) Three are selected, at random, without replacement, from the lot. Determine the probability that all are

    defective. Let A and B denote the events that the first and second chips selected are defective, respectively.

    (a) P(B) = P(B|A)P(A) + P(B|A')P(A') = (19/99)(20/100) + (20/99)(80/100) = 0.2

    (b) Let C denote the event that the third chip selected is defective.
    P( A∩B∩C )=P(C|A∩B )P( A∩B )=P(C|A∩B )P( B|A ) P( A )
    = ( )( )
    18 19 20
    98 99 100
    =0.00705

    2.6.7. Computer keyboard failures are due to faulty electrical connects (12%) or mechanical defects(88%).

    Mechanical defects are related to loose keys (27%) or improper assembly (73%). Electrical connect

    defects are caused by defective wires (35%), improper connections (13%), or poorly welded wires

    (52%).

    (a) Find the probability that a failure is due to loose keys.

    (b) Find the probability that a failure is due to improperly connected or poorly welded wires.

    (a) (0.88)(0.27) = 0.2376

    (b) (0.12)(0.13+0.52) = 0.0.078

    2.6.9. Consider the hospital emergency room data given below. Let A denote the event that a visit is to hospital 4

    and let B denote the event that a visit results in LWBS (at any hospital).

    Determine the following probabilities.

    (a) PA B (b) PA B (c) PA B (d)Use the total probability rule to determine P(A)
    P(A) = 4329/22252 = 0.1945, P(B) = 953/22252 = 0.0428
    (a) P(A  B) = P(A | B)P(B) = (242/953)(953/22252) = 0.0109

    (b) P(A  B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A  B) = 0.1945 + 0.0428 – 0.0109 = 0.2264

    (c) P(A  B) = 1 – P(A  B) = 1 – 0.0109 = 0.9891


    (d) P(A) = P(A | B)P(B) + P(A | B’)P(B’) = (242/953)(953/22252) + (4087/21299)(21299/22252) =

    0.1945

    2.6.11.A Web ad can be designed from four different colors, three font types, five font sizes, three images, and five

    text phrases. A specific design is randomly generated by the Web server when you visit the site. Determine the

    probability that the ad color is red and the font size is not the smallest one.

    Let R denote red color and F denote that the font size is not the smallest. Then P(R) = 1/4, P(F) = 4/5.

    Because the Web sites are generated randomly these events are independent. Therefore, P(R ∩ F) =

    P(R)P(F) = (1/4)(4/5) = 0.2

    You might also like