Location via proxy:   [ UP ]  
[Report a bug]   [Manage cookies]                
Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 12

CHAPTER 1

Introduction to Engineering Economy


1.1 WHAT IS ENGINEERING ECONOMY?
Before we begin to develop the fundamental concepts upon which engineering
economy is based, it would be appropriate to define what is meant by engineering
economy. In the simplest of terms, engineering economy is a collection of tech-
niques that simplify comparisons of alternatives on an economic basis. In defining
what engineering economy is, it might also be helpful to define what it is not. Engi-
neering economy is not a method or process for determining what the alternatives
are. On the contrary, engineering economy begins only after the alternatives have
been identified. If the best alternative is actually one that the engineer has not even
recognized as an alternative, then all of the engineering economic analysis tools in
this book will not result in its selection.
While economics will be the sole criterion for selecting the best alternatives in
this book, real-world decisions usually include many other factors in the decision-
making process. For example, in determining whether to build a nuclear-powered,
gas-fired, or coal-fired power plant, factors such as safety, air pollution, public accept-
ance, water demand, waste disposal, global warming, and many others would be
considered in identifying the best alternative. The inclusion of other factors (besides
economics) in the decision-marking process is called multiple attribute analysis. This
topic is introduced in Appendix C.

1.2 Basic Terminology and Fundamental Concepts in Engineering Economy


In order to apply economic analysis techniques, it is necessary to understand the
basic terminology and fundamental concepts that form the foundation for engineering-
economy studies. Some of these terms and concepts are described below.

1.2.1 Alternatives
An alternative is a stand-alone solution for a given situation. We are faced with alter-
natives in virtually everything we do, from selecting the method of transportation we
use to get to work every day to deciding between buying a house or renting one.
Similarly, in engineering practice, there are always several ways of accomplishing a
given task, and it is necessary to be able to compare them in a rational manner so
that the most economical alternative can be selected. The alternatives in engineering
considerations usually involve such items as purchase cost (first cost), anticipated
useful life, yearly costs of maintaining assets (annual maintenance and operating
costs), anticipated resale value (salvage value), and the interest rate. After the facts
and all the relevant estimates have been collected, an engineering economy analysis
can be conducted to determine which is best from an economic point of view.

1.2.2 Cash Flows


The estimated inflows (revenues) and outflows (costs) of money are called cash
flows. These estimates are truly the heart of an engineering economic analysis.
They also represent the weakest part of the analysis, because most of the numbers
are judgments about what is going to happen in the future. After all, who can accu-
rately predict the price of oil next week, much less next month, next year, or next
decade? Thus, no matter how sophisticated the analysis technique, the end result
is only as reliable as the data that it is based on.

1.2.3 Alternative Selection


Every situation has at least two alternatives. In addition to the one or more formu-
lated alternatives, there is always the alternative of inaction, called the do-nothing
(DN) alternative. This is the as-is or status quo condition. In any situation, when
one consciously or subconsciously does not take any action, he or she is actually
selecting the DN alternative. Of course, if the status quo alternative is selected, the
decision-making process should indicate that doing nothing is the most favorable
economic outcome at the time the evaluation is made. The procedures developed
in this book will enable you to consciously identify the alternative(s) that is (are)
economically the best.

1.2.4 Evaluation Criteria


Whether we are aware of it or not, we use criteria every day to choose between
alternatives. For example, when you drive to campus, you decide to take the “best”
route. But how did you define best? Was the best route the safest, shortest, fastest,
cheapest, most scenic, or what? Obviously, depending upon which criterion or com-
bination of criteria is used to identify the best, a different route might be selected
each time. In economic analysis, financial units (dollars or other currency) are gen-
erally used as the tangible basis for evaluation. Thus, when there are several ways
of accomplishing a stated objective, the alternative with the lowest overall cost or
highest overall net income is selected.

1.2.5 Intangible Factors


In many cases, alternatives have noneconomic or intangible factors that are diffi-
cult to quantify. When the alternatives under consideration are hard to distinguish
economically, intangible factors may tilt the decision in the direction of one of the
alternatives. A few examples of noneconomic factors are goodwill, convenience,
friendship, and morale.
(QJLQHHULQJ(FRQRPLFV'HVFULSWLRQDQG5ROHLQ'HFLVLRQ
0DNLQJ
'HFLVLRQV DUH PDGH URXWLQHO\ WR FKRRVH RQH DOWHUQDWLYH RYHU DQRWKHU E\
LQGLYLGXDOV LQ HYHU\GD\ OLIH E\ HQJLQHHUV RQ WKH MRE E\ PDQDJHUV ZKR
VXSHUYLVH WKH DFWLYLWLHV RI RWKHUVE\ FRUSRUDWHSUHVLGHQWV ZKR RSHUDWH D
EXVLQHVV DQG E\ JRYHUQPHQW RIILFLDOV ZKR ZRUN IRU WKH SXEOLF JRRG
0RVW GHFLVLRQV LQYROYH PRQH\ FDOOHG FDSLWDO RU FDSLWDO IXQGV ZKLFK LV
XVXDOO\OLPLWHGLQDPRXQW7KHGHFLVLRQRIZKHUHDQGKRZWRLQYHVWWKLV
OLPLWHGFDSLWDOLVPRWLYDWHGE\DSULPDU\JRDORIDGGLQJYDOXHDVIXWXUH
DQWLFLSDWHGUHVXOWVRIWKHVHOHFWHGDOWHUQDWLYHDUHUHDOL]HG(QJLQHHUVSOD\
D YLWDO UROH LQ FDSLWDO LQYHVWPHQW GHFLVLRQV EDVHG XSRQ WKHLU DELOLW\ DQG
H[SHULHQFHWRGHVLJQDQDO\]HDQGV\QWKHVL]H7KHIDFWRUVXSRQZKLFKD
GHFLVLRQ LV EDVHG DUH FRPPRQO\ D FRPELQDWLRQ RI HFRQRPLF DQG
QRQHFRQRPLF HOHPHQWV (QJLQHHULQJ HFRQRP\ GHDOV ZLWK WKH HFRQRPLF
IDFWRUV%\GHILQLWLRQ
(QJLQHHULQJ HFRQRP\ LQYROYHV IRUPXODWLQJ HVWLPDWLQJ DQG HYDOXDWLQJ
WKHH[SHFWHGHFRQRPLFRXWFRPHVRIDOWHUQDWLYHVGHVLJQHGWRDFFRPSOLVKD
GHILQHG SXUSRVH 0DWKHPDWLFDO WHFKQLTXHV VLPSOLI\ WKH HFRQRPLF
HYDOXDWLRQRIDOWHUQDWLYHV
%HFDXVHWKHIRUPXODVDQGWHFKQLTXHVXVHGLQHQJLQHHULQJHFRQRPLFVDUH
DSSOLFDEOH WR DOO W\SHV RI PRQH\ PDWWHUV WKH\ DUH HTXDOO\ XVHIXO LQ
EXVLQHVV DQG JRYHUQPHQW DV ZHOO DV IRU LQGLYLGXDOV 7KHUHIRUH EHVLGHV
DSSOLFDWLRQVWRSURMHFWVLQ\RXUIXWXUHMREVZKDW\RXOHDUQIURPWKLVERRN
DQG LQ WKLV FRXUVH PD\ ZHOO RIIHU \RX DQ HFRQRPLF DQDO\VLV WRRO IRU
PDNLQJ SHUVRQDO GHFLVLRQV VXFK DV FDU SXUFKDVHV KRXVH SXUFKDVHV DQG
PDMRUSXUFKDVHVRQFUHGLWHJIXUQLWXUHDSSOLDQFHVDQGHOHFWURQLFV
2WKHUWHUPVWKDWPHDQWKHVDPHDVHQJLQHHULQJHFRQRP\DUHHQJLQHHULQJ
HFRQRPLF DQDO\VLV FDSLWDO DOORFDWLRQ VWXG\ HFRQRPLF DQDO\VLV DQG
VLPLODU GHVFULSWRUV 3HRSOH PDNH GHFLVLRQV FRPSXWHUV PDWKHPDWLFV
FRQFHSWV DQG JXLGHOLQHV DVVLVW SHRSOH LQ WKHLU GHFLVLRQPDNLQJ SURFHVV
6LQFH PRVW GHFLVLRQV DIIHFW ZKDW ZLOO EH GRQH WKH WLPH IUDPH RI
HQJLQHHULQJHFRQRP\LVSULPDULO\WKHIXWXUH7KHUHIRUHWKHQXPEHUVXVHG
LQHQJLQHHULQJHFRQRP\DUHEHVWHVWLPDWHVRIZKDWLVH[SHFWHGWRRFFXU
7KHHVWLPDWHVDQGWKHGHFLVLRQXVXDOO\LQYROYHIRXUHVVHQWLDOHOHPHQWV
&DVKIORZV
7LPHVRIRFFXUUHQFHRIFDVKIORZV
,QWHUHVWUDWHVIRUWLPHYDOXHRIPRQH\
0HDVXUHRIHFRQRPLFZRUWKIRUVHOHFWLQJDQDOWHUQDWLYH
6LQFHWKHHVWLPDWHVRIFDVKIORZDPRXQWVDQGWLPLQJDUHDERXWWKHIXWXUH
WKH\ ZLOO EH VRPHZKDW GLIIHUHQW WKDQ ZKDW LV DFWXDOO\ REVHUYHG GXH WR
FKDQJLQJ FLUFXPVWDQFHV DQG XQSODQQHG HYHQWV ,Q VKRUW WKH YDULDWLRQ
EHWZHHQDQDPRXQWRUWLPHHVWLPDWHGQRZDQGWKDWREVHUYHGLQWKHIXWXUH
LV FDXVHG E\ WKH VWRFKDVWLF UDQGRP  QDWXUH RI DOO HFRQRPLF HYHQWV
6HQVLWLYLW\DQDO\VLVLVXWLOL]HGWRGHWHUPLQHKRZDGHFLVLRQPLJKWFKDQJH
DFFRUGLQJWRYDU\LQJHVWLPDWHVHVSHFLDOO\WKRVHH[SHFWHGWRYDU\ZLGHO\
([DPSOH  LOOXVWUDWHV WKH IXQGDPHQWDO QDWXUH RI YDULDWLRQ LQ HVWLPDWHV
DQG KRZ WKLV YDULDWLRQ PD\ EH LQFOXGHG LQ WKH DQDO\VLV DW D YHU\ EDVLF
OHYHO
(;$03/(
$Q HQJLQHHU LV SHUIRUPLQJ DQ DQDO\VLV RI ZDUUDQW\ FRVWV IRU GULYH WUDLQ
UHSDLUVZLWKLQWKHILUVW\HDURIRZQHUVKLSRIOX[XU\FDUVSXUFKDVHGLQWKH
8QLWHG6WDWHV+HIRXQGWKHDYHUDJHFRVW WRWKHQHDUHVWGROODU WREH
SHUUHSDLUIURPGDWDWDNHQRYHUD\HDUSHULRG
<HDU     
$YHUDJH&RVWUHSDLU     
:KDWUDQJHRIUHSDLUFRVWVVKRXOGWKHHQJLQHHUXVHWRHQVXUHWKDWWKH
DQDO\VLVLVVHQVLWLYHWRFKDQJLQJZDUUDQW\FRVWV"
6ROXWLRQ
$WILUVWJODQFHWKHUDQJHVKRXOGEHDSSUR[LPDWHO\±WRRIWKH
DYHUDJHFRVWWRLQFOXGHWKHORZRIDQGKLJKRI+RZHYHU
WKHODVW\HDUVRIFRVWVDUHKLJKHUDQGPRUHFRQVLVWHQWZLWKDQDYHUDJHRI
 7KH REVHUYHG YDOXHV DUH DSSUR[LPDWHO\ “ RI WKLV PRUH UHFHQW
DYHUDJH
,IWKHDQDO\VLVLVWRXVHWKHPRVWUHFHQWGDWDDQGWUHQGVDUDQJHRIVD\
“ RI  LV UHFRPPHQGHG ,I KRZHYHU WKH DQDO\VLV LV WR EH PRUH
LQFOXVLYHRIKLVWRULFDOGDWDDQGWUHQGVDUDQJHRIVD\“RU“RI
LVUHFRPPHQGHG


(QJLQHHULQJ(FRQRP\6WXG\DQG$QDO\VLV
$Q HQJLQHHULQJ HFRQRP\ VWXG\ LQYROYHV PDQ\ HOHPHQWV SUREOHP
LGHQWLILFDWLRQGHILQLWLRQRIWKHREMHFWLYHFDVKIORZHVWLPDWLRQILQDQFLDO
DQDO\VLV DQG GHFLVLRQ PDNLQJ ,PSOHPHQWLQJ D VWUXFWXUHG SURFHGXUH LV
WKHEHVWDSSURDFKWRVHOHFWWKHEHVWVROXWLRQWRWKHSUREOHP

7KHVWHSVLQDQHQJLQHHULQJHFRQRP\VWXG\DUHDVIROORZV
 ,GHQWLI\DQGXQGHUVWDQGWKHSUREOHPLGHQWLI\WKHREMHFWLYHRIWKH
SURMHFW
 &ROOHFWUHOHYDQWDYDLODEOHGDWDDQGGHILQHYLDEOHVROXWLRQ
DOWHUQDWLYHV
 0DNHUHDOLVWLFFDVKIORZHVWLPDWHV
ϰ͘ ,GHQWLI\DQHFRQRPLFPHDVXUHRIZRUWKFULWHULRQIRUGHFLVLRQ
PDNLQJ
 (YDOXDWHHDFKDOWHUQDWLYHFRQVLGHUQRQHFRQRPLFIDFWRUVXVH
VHQVLWLYLW\DQDO\VLVDVQHHGHG
 6HOHFWWKHEHVWDOWHUQDWLYH
 ,PSOHPHQWWKHVROXWLRQDQGPRQLWRUWKHUHVXOWV
7HFKQLFDOO\ WKH ODVW VWHS LV QRW SDUW RI WKH HFRQRP\ VWXG\ EXW LW LV RI
FRXUVH D VWHS QHHGHG WR PHHW WKH SURMHFW REMHFWLYH 7KHUH PD\ EH
RFFDVLRQVZKHQWKHEHVWHFRQRPLFDOWHUQDWLYHUHTXLUHVPRUHFDSLWDOIXQGV
WKDQDUHDYDLODEOHRUVLJQLILFDQWQRQHFRQRPLFIDFWRUVSUHFOXGHWKHPRVW
HFRQRPLFDO DOWHUQDWLYH IURP EHLQJ FKRVHQ $FFRUGLQJO\ VWHSV  DQG 
PD\UHVXOWLQVHOHFWLRQRIDQDOWHUQDWLYHGLIIHUHQWIURPWKHHFRQRPLFDOO\
EHVW RQH $OVR VRPHWLPHV PRUH WKDQ RQH SURMHFW PD\ EH VHOHFWHG DQG
LPSOHPHQWHG7KLVRFFXUVZKHQSURMHFWVDUHLQGHSHQGHQWRIRQHDQRWKHU
,Q WKLV FDVH VWHSV  WKURXJK  YDU\ IURP WKRVH DERYH )LJXUH ±
LOOXVWUDWHVWKH VWHSV DERYH IRU RQH DOWHUQDWLYH 'HVFULSWLRQVRIVHYHUDO RI
WKHHOHPHQWVLQWKHVWHSVDUHLPSRUWDQWWRXQGHUVWDQG

3UREOHP 'HVFULSWLRQ DQG 2EMHFWLYH 6WDWHPHQW $ VXFFLQFW VWDWHPHQW RI
WKHSUREOHP DQGSULPDU\ REMHFWLYH V  LVYHU\ LPSRUWDQWWR WKH IRUPDWLRQ
RIDQDOWHUQDWLYHVROXWLRQ$VDQLOOXVWUDWLRQDVVXPHWKHSUREOHPLVWKDWD
FRDOIXHOHGSRZHUSODQWPXVWEHVKXWGRZQE\GXHWRWKHSURGXFWLRQ
RI H[FHVVLYH VXOIXU GLR[LGH 7KH REMHFWLYHV PD\ EH WR JHQHUDWH WKH
IRUHFDVWHGHOHFWULFLW\QHHGHGIRUDQGEH\RQGSOXVWRQRWH[FHHGDOO
WKHSURMHFWHGHPLVVLRQDOORZDQFHVLQWKHVHIXWXUH\HDUV


Step in
study
Problem Objective
1
description statement

Available data
One or more approaches
2 Alternatives for to meet objective
solution

Expected life
Revenues
Cash flows and
3 Costs
other estimates
Taxes
Project financing

Measure of worth
4 PW, ROR, B/C, etc.
criterion

Engineering
5
economic analysis Consider:
• Noneconomic factors
• Sensitivity analysis
Best alternative • Risk analysis
6
selection

Implementation
7
and monitoring

Time
passes

New problem New engineering


1 economy study
description
begins

Figure 1–1
Steps in an engineering economy study.
(QJLQHHULQJ (FRQRP\ $QDO\VLV 7KH WHFKQLTXHV DQG FRPSXWDWLRQV WKDW
\RXZLOOOHDUQDQGXVHWKURXJKRXWWKLVWH[WXWLOL]HWKHFDVKIORZHVWLPDWHV
WLPHYDOXHRIPRQH\DQGDVHOHFWHGPHDVXUHRIZRUWK7KHUHVXOWRIWKH
DQDO\VLV ZLOO EH RQH RU PRUH QXPHULFDO YDOXHV WKLV FDQ EH LQ RQH RI
VHYHUDO WHUPV VXFK DV PRQH\ DQ LQWHUHVW UDWH QXPEHU RI \HDUV RU D
SUREDELOLW\ ,Q WKH HQG D VHOHFWHG PHDVXUH RI ZRUWK PHQWLRQHG LQ WKH
SUHYLRXV VHFWLRQ ZLOO EH XVHG WR VHOHFW WKH EHVW DOWHUQDWLYH %HIRUH DQ
HFRQRPLFDQDO\VLVWHFKQLTXHLVDSSOLHGWRWKHFDVKIORZVVRPHGHFLVLRQV
DERXW ZKDW WR LQFOXGH LQ WKH DQDO\VLV PXVW EH PDGH 7ZR LPSRUWDQW
SRVVLELOLWLHV DUH WD[HV DQG LQIODWLRQ $Q DIWHUWD[ DQDO\VLV LQFOXGHV VRPH
DGGLWLRQDO HVWLPDWHV DQG PHWKRGV FRPSDUHG WR D EHIRUHWD[ DQDO\VLV ,I
WD[HV DQG LQIODWLRQ DUH H[SHFWHG WR LPSDFW DOO DOWHUQDWLYHV HTXDOO\ WKH\
PD\ EH GLVUHJDUGHG LQ WKH DQDO\VLV +RZHYHU LI WKH VL]H RI WKHVH
SURMHFWHG FRVWV LV LPSRUWDQW WD[HV DQG LQIODWLRQ VKRXOG EH FRQVLGHUHG
$OVRLIWKHLPSDFWRILQIODWLRQRYHUWLPHLVLPSRUWDQWWRWKHGHFLVLRQDQ
DGGLWLRQDOVHWRIFRPSXWDWLRQVPXVWEHDGGHGWRWKHDQDO\VLV

6HOHFWLRQRIWKH%HVW$OWHUQDWLYH7KHPHDVXUHRIZRUWKLVDSULPDU\EDVLV
IRUVHOHFWLQJWKHEHVWHFRQRPLFDOWHUQDWLYH)RUH[DPSOHLIDOWHUQDWLYH$
KDVDUDWHRIUHWXUQ 525 RISHU\HDUDQGDOWHUQDWLYH%ZLOOUHVXOW
LQDQ525RISHU\HDU%LVEHWWHUHFRQRPLFDOO\+RZHYHUWKHUH
FDQ DOZD\V EH QRQHFRQRPLF RU LQWDQJLEOH IDFWRUV WKDW PXVW EH
FRQVLGHUHG DQG WKDW PD\ DOWHU WKH GHFLVLRQ 7KHUH DUH PDQ\ SRVVLEOH
QRQHFRQRPLFIDFWRUVVRPHW\SLFDORQHVDUH
x 0DUNHW SUHVVXUHV VXFK DV QHHG IRU DQ LQFUHDVHG LQWHUQDWLRQDO
SUHVHQFH
x $YDLODELOLW\ RI FHUWDLQ UHVRXUFHV HJ VNLOOHG ODERU IRUFH ZDWHU
SRZHUWD[LQFHQWLYHV
x *RYHUQPHQWODZVWKDWGLFWDWHVDIHW\HQYLURQPHQWDOOHJDORURWKHU
DVSHFWV
x &RUSRUDWH PDQDJHPHQW¶V RU WKH ERDUG RI GLUHFWRU¶V LQWHUHVW LQ D
SDUWLFXODUDOWHUQDWLYH
x *RRGZLOO RIIHUHG E\ DQ DOWHUQDWLYH WRZDUG D JURXS HPSOR\HHV
XQLRQHWF
$VLQGLFDWHGLQ)LJXUH±RQFHDOOWKHHFRQRPLFQRQHFRQRPLFDQGULVN
IDFWRUVKDYHEHHQHYDOXDWHGDILQDOGHFLVLRQRIWKH³EHVW´DOWHUQDWLYHLV
PDGH
$WWLPHVRQO\RQHYLDEOHDOWHUQDWLYHLVLGHQWLILHG,QWKLVFDVHWKHGR
QRWKLQJ '1 DOWHUQDWLYHPD\EHFKRVHQSURYLGHGWKHPHDVXUHRIZRUWK
DQGRWKHUIDFWRUVUHVXOWLQWKHDOWHUQDWLYHEHLQJDSRRUFKRLFH7KHGR
QRWKLQJDOWHUQDWLYHPDLQWDLQVWKHVWDWXVTXR
:KHWKHU ZH DUH DZDUH RI LW RU QRW ZH XVH FULWHULD HYHU\ GD\ WR FKRRVH
EHWZHHQDOWHUQDWLYHV)RUH[DPSOHZKHQ\RXGULYHWRFDPSXV\RXGHFLGH
WRWDNHWKH³EHVW´URXWH%XWKRZGLG\RXGHILQHEHVW":DVWKHEHVWURXWH
WKH VDIHVW VKRUWHVW IDVWHVW FKHDSHVW PRVW VFHQLF RU ZKDW" 2EYLRXVO\
GHSHQGLQJ XSRQ ZKLFK FULWHULRQ RU FRPELQDWLRQ RI FULWHULD LV XVHG WR
LGHQWLI\ WKH EHVW D GLIIHUHQW URXWH PLJKW EH VHOHFWHG HDFK WLPH ,Q
HFRQRPLF DQDO\VLV ILQDQFLDO XQLWV GROODUV RU RWKHU FXUUHQF\  DUH
JHQHUDOO\XVHGDVWKHWDQJLEOHEDVLVIRUHYDOXDWLRQ7KXVZKHQWKHUHDUH
VHYHUDOZD\VRIDFFRPSOLVKLQJDVWDWHGREMHFWLYHWKHDOWHUQDWLYHZLWKWKH
ORZHVWRYHUDOOFRVWRUKLJKHVWRYHUDOOQHWLQFRPHLVVHOHFWHG

([DPSOHVRI(QJLQHHULQJ(FRQRPLF$QDO\VLV
(QJLQHHULQJ HFRQRPLF DQDO\VLV IRFXVHV RQ FRVWV UHYHQXHV DQG EHQHILWV
WKDWRFFXUDWGLIIHUHQWWLPHV)RUH[DPSOHZKHQDFLYLOHQJLQHHUGHVLJQVD
URDGDGDPRUDEXLOGLQJWKHFRQVWUXFWLRQFRVWVRFFXULQWKHQHDUIXWXUH
WKH EHQHILWV WR XVHUV EHJLQ RQO\ ZKHQ FRQVWUXFWLRQ LV ILQLVKHG EXW WKHQ
WKH EHQHILWV FRQWLQXH IRU D ORQJ WLPH ,Q IDFW QHDUO\ HYHU\WKLQJ WKDW
HQJLQHHUV GHVLJQ FDOOV IRU VSHQGLQJ PRQH\ LQ WKH GHVLJQ DQG EXLOGLQJ
VWDJHVDQGDIWHUFRPSOHWLRQUHYHQXHVRUEHQHILWVRFFXUXVXDOO\IRU\HDUV
7KXV WKH HFRQRPLF DQDO\VLV RI FRVWV EHQHILWV DQG UHYHQXHV RFFXUULQJ
RYHUWLPHLVFDOOHGHQJLQHHULQJHFRQRPLFDQDO\VLV
(QJLQHHULQJ HFRQRPLF DQDO\VLV LV XVHG WR DQVZHU PDQ\ GLIIHUHQW
TXHVWLRQV
x :KLFK HQJLQHHULQJ SURMHFWV DUH ZRUWKZKLOH" +DV WKH PLQLQJ RU
SHWUROHXPHQJLQHHUVKRZQWKDWWKHPLQHUDORURLOGHSRVLWLVZRUWK
GHYHORSLQJ"
x :KLFKHQJLQHHULQJSURMHFWVVKRXOGKDYHDKLJKHUSULRULW\"+DVWKH
LQGXVWULDO HQJLQHHU VKRZQ ZKLFK IDFWRU\ LPSURYHPHQW SURMHFWV
VKRXOGEHIXQGHGZLWKWKHDYDLODEOHGROODUV"
x +RZ VKRXOG WKH HQJLQHHULQJ SURMHFW EH GHVLJQHG" +DV WKH
PHFKDQLFDO RU HOHFWULFDO HQJLQHHU FKRVHQ WKH PRVW HFRQRPLFDO
PRWRU VL]H" +DV WKH FLYLO RU PHFKDQLFDO HQJLQHHU FKRVHQ WKH EHVW
WKLFNQHVV IRU LQVXODWLRQ" +DV WKH DHURQDXWLFDO HQJLQHHU PDGH WKH
EHVW WUDGHRIIV EHWZHHQ   OLJKWHU PDWHULDOV WKDW DUH H[SHQVLYH WR
EX\ EXW FKHDSHU WR IO\ DQG   KHDYLHU PDWHULDOV WKDW DUH FKHDS WR
EX\DQGPRUHH[SHQVLYHWRIO\"
(QJLQHHULQJHFRQRPLFDQDO\VLVFDQDOVREHXVHGWRDQVZHUTXHVWLRQV
WKDWDUHSHUVRQDOO\LPSRUWDQW
x +RZ WR DFKLHYH ORQJWHUP ILQDQFLDO JRDOV +RZ PXFK VKRXOG
\RXVDYHHDFKPRQWKWREX\DKRXVHUHWLUHRUIXQGDWULSDURXQG
WKHZRUOG",VJRLQJWRJUDGXDWHVFKRRODJRRGLQYHVWPHQW:LOO
\RXUDGGLWLRQDOHDUQLQJVLQODWHU\HDUVEDODQFH\RXUORVWLQFRPH
ZKLOHLQJUDGXDWHVFKRRO"
x +RZWRFRPSDUHGLIIHUHQWZD\VWRILQDQFHSXUFKDVHV,VLWEHWWHU
WR ILQDQFH \RXU FDU SXUFKDVH E\ XVLQJ WKH GHDOHU V ORZ LQWHUHVW
UDWH ORDQ RU E\ WDNLQJ WKH UHEDWH DQG ERUURZLQJ PRQH\ IURP
\RXUEDQNRUFUHGLWXQLRQ"
x +RZ WR PDNH VKRUW DQG ORQJWHUP LQYHVWPHQW GHFLVLRQV ,V D
KLJKHUVDODU\EHWWHUWKDQVWRFNRSWLRQV"6KRXOG\RXEX\DRU
VHPHVWHUSDUNLQJSDVV"








3UREOHPV
  6RPHRIWKHIROORZLQJSUREOHPVZRXOGEHVXLWDEOHIRUVROXWLRQE\
HQJLQHHULQJHFRQRPLFDQDO\VLV:KLFKRQHVDUHWKH\"
D :RXOGLWEHEHWWHUWREX\DQDXWRPRELOHZLWKDGLHVHOHQJLQH
RUDJDVROLQHHQJLQH"
E 6KRXOGDQDXWRPDWLFPDFKLQHEHSXUFKDVHGWRUHSODFHWKUHH
ZRUNHUVQRZGRLQJDWDVNE\KDQG"
F :RXOGLWEHZLVHWRHQUROOIRUDQHDUO\PRUQLQJFODVVVR\RX
FRXOGDYRLGWUDYHOLQJGXULQJWKHPRUQLQJWUDIILFUXVKKRXUV"
G :RXOG\RXEHEHWWHURIILI\RXFKDQJHG\RXUPDMRU"
H 2QHRIWKHSHRSOH\RXPLJKWPDUU\KDVDMREWKDWSD\VYHU\
OLWWOH PRQH\ ZKLOH DQRWKHU RQH KDV DSURIHVVLRQDO MRE ZLWK
DQH[FHOOHQWVDODU\:KLFKRQHVKRXOG\RXPDUU\"
I 6RPH  FHQWV FDQG\ EDUV DUH RQ VDOH IRU  EDUV IRU 
6DQG\ZKRHDWVDFRXSOHRIFDQG\EDUVDZHHNPXVWGHFLGH
ZKHWKHUWREX\DGR]HQDWWKHORZHUSULFH
J $ZRPDQKDVLQDEDQNFKHFNLQJDFFRXQWWKDWSD\V
QR LQWHUHVW 6KH FDQ HLWKHU LQYHVW LW LPPHGLDWHO\ DW D
GHVLUDEOHLQWHUHVWUDWHRUZDLWDZHHNDQGNQRZWKDWVKHZLOO
EHDEOHWRREWDLQDQLQWHUHVWUDWHWKDWLVKLJKHU
K -RHEDFNHGKLVFDULQWRDWUHHGDPDJLQJWKHIHQGHU+HKDV
DXWRPRELOHLQVXUDQFHWKDWZLOOSD\IRUWKHIHQGHUUHSDLU%XW
LIKHILOHVDFODLPIRUSD\PHQWWKH\ PD\FKDQJHKLVJRRG
GULYHU UDWLQJ GRZQZDUG DQG FKDUJH KLP PRUH IRU FDU
LQVXUDQFHLQWKHIXWXUH

  7KHRZQHURIDVPDOOPDFKLQHVKRSKDVMXVWORVWRQHRIKLVODUJHU
FXVWRPHUV 7KH VROXWLRQ WR KLV SUREOHP KH VD\V LV WR ILUH WKUHH
PDFKLQLVWV WR EDODQFH KLV ZRUNIRUFH ZLWK KLV FXUUHQW OHYHO RI
EXVLQHVV 7KH RZQHU VD\V LW LV D VLPSOH SUREOHP ZLWK D VLPSOH
VROXWLRQ7KHWKUHHPDFKLQLVWVGLVDJUHH:K\"
  $QDXWRPRELOHPDQXIDFWXUHULVFRQVLGHULQJORFDWLQJDQDXWRPRELOH
DVVHPEO\ SODQW LQ \RXU UHJLRQ /LVW WZR VLPSOH WZR LQWHUPHGLDWH
DQGWZRFRPSOH[SUREOHPVDVVRFLDWHGZLWKWKLVSURSRVDO

  7KH WKUHH HFRQRPLF FULWHULD IRU FKRRVLQJ WKH EHVW DOWHUQDWLYH DUH
PLQLPL]H LQSXW PD[LPL]H RXWSXW DQG PD[LPL]H WKH GLIIHUHQFH
EHWZHHQ RXWSXW DQG LQSXW )RU HDFK RI WKH IROORZLQJ VLWXDWLRQV
ZKDWLVWKHDSSURSULDWHHFRQRPLFFULWHULRQ"
D $ PDQXIDFWXUHU RI SODVWLF GUDIWLQJ WULDQJOHV FDQ VHOO DOO WKH
WULDQJOHV KH FDQ SURGXFH DW D IL[HG SULFH $V KH LQFUHDVHV
SURGXFWLRQKLVXQLWFRVWVLQFUHDVHDVDUHVXOWRIRYHUWLPHSD\
DQGVRIRUWK
E $QDUFKLWHFWXUDODQGHQJLQHHULQJILUPKDVEHHQDZDUGHGWKH
FRQWUDFW WR GHVLJQ D ZKDUI IRU D SHWUROHXP FRPSDQ\ IRU D
IL[HGVXPRIPRQH\
F $ERRNSXEOLVKHULVDERXWWRVHWWKHOLVWSULFH UHWDLOSULFH RQ
D WH[WERRN 7KH FKRLFH RI D ORZ OLVW SULFH ZRXOG PHDQ OHVV
DGYHUWLVLQJ WKDQ ZRXOG EH XVHG IRU D KLJKHU OLVW SULFH 7KH
DPRXQWRIDGYHUWLVLQJZLOODIIHFWWKHQXPEHURIFRSLHVVROG
G ,QPDQ\FLWLHVJURFHU\VWRUHVILQGWKDWWKHLUVDOHVDUHPXFK
JUHDWHU RQ GD\V ZKHQ WKH\ KDYH DGYHUWLVHG WKHLU VSHFLDO
EDUJDLQV +RZHYHU WKH DGYHUWLVHG VSHFLDO SULFHV GR QRW
DSSHDUWRLQFUHDVHWKHWRWDOSK\VLFDOYROXPHRIJURFHULHVVROG
E\DVWRUH
H $ UHFHQWO\ JUDGXDWHG HQJLQHHU KDV GHFLGHG WR UHWXUQ WR
VFKRROLQWKHHYHQLQJVWRREWDLQDPDVWHU VGHJUHH+HIHHOVLW
VKRXOGEHDFFRPSOLVKHGLQDPDQQHUWKDWZLOODOORZKLPWKH
PD[LPXP DPRXQW RI WLPH IRU KLV UHJXODUGD\MRESOXV WLPH
IRUUHFUHDWLRQ
  $QHOHFWULFPRWRURQDFRQYH\RUEXUQHGRXW7KHIRUHPDQWROGWKH
SODQW PDQDJHU WKDW WKH PRWRU KDG WR EH UHSODFHG 7KH IRUHPDQ
LQGLFDWHG WKDW WKHUH ZHUH QR DOWHUQDWLYHV DQG DVNHG IRU
DXWKRUL]DWLRQ WR RUGHU WKH UHSODFHPHQW ,Q WKLV VLWXDWLRQ LV DQ\
GHFLVLRQ PDNLQJ WDNLQJ SODFH" ,I VR ZKR LV PDNLQJ WKH
GHFLVLRQ V "

You might also like