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Microeconomics

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UNIVERSITY EXAMINATIONS: 2021/2022

SCHOOL OF BUSINESS

EXAMINATION FOR THE DEGREE OF BACHELOR OF COMMERCE

FIN 3103: PORTFOLIO & INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

WEEKEND & DISTANCE LEARNING

DATE: APRIL, 2022 TIME: 2 HOURS

INSTRUCTIONS: Answer Question ONE and any other TWO


QUESTION ONE (20 MARKS)

(a) The following statement contains several errors with reference to the three levels
of market efficiency:
“According to the efficient market hypothesis all share prices are correct at all times. This is
achieved by prices moving randomly when new information is publicly announced. New
information from published accounts is the only determinant of the random movements in share
price. Fundamental and technical analysis of the stock market serves no function in making the
market efficient and cannot predict share prices. Corporate financial managers are also unable to
predict future share prices” Explain the errors in the above statement. (10 Marks)

b) Mr. Otieno is currently holding a portfolio consisting of shares of four companies


quoted on the Bahati stock exchange as follows:

1
Company Number of Beta equity Market price per Expected return
shares held factor share on equity in the
next year
A 20,000 1.12 65 18%
B 30,000 0.89 50 23%
C 30,000 0.70 45 11%
D 20,000 1.60 80 17%
The current market return is 14% per annum and the treasury bills yield is 9% per
annum.
Required:
(i) Calculate the risk of Otieno’s portfolio relative to that of the market. (4 Marks)
(ii) Explain whether or not Otieno should change the composition of his portfolio. (6 Marks)

QUESTION TWO (15 Marks)

(a) Using a numeric example, illustrate and explain the pay-offs of a futures’ option
and a futures contract. (2 Marks)
(b) Explain and illustrate graphically the options concept of being:
(i) “at the money” (2 Marks)
(ii) “in the money” (2 Marks)
(iii) “out of the money” (2 Marks)
For both a call and put option.
(c) Explain with the aide of a diagram a protective put buying strategy. (2 Marks)

2
QUESTION THREE (15 Marks)
a) The rates of return of stock A and the market portfolio for the 12 months are given below:
Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Stock A 10 15 18 14 16 16 18 4 4 14 15 14
(%)
Market 12 14 13 10 9 13 14 7 1 12 4 16
Portfolio
(%)

i) Compute the average return of stock A and the market. (4Marks)


ii) Determine the variance of the return of stock A and the market. (4Marks)
iii) Find the covariance between the return of stock A and the market portfolio. (2Marks)
iv) Estimate the beta factor for stock A. (3Marks)
b. Explain TWO investment vehicles that an investor may opt to use. (2 Marks)

QUESTION FOUR (15 MARKS)


a) The risk free rate of return is 10% and the expected return of the market portfolio is 15%. The
expected returns of four securities are listed below together with their expected betas.
Security Expected return % Expected BetaW
W 17 1.3
X 14.5 0.8
Y 15.5 1.1
Z 18 1.7

On the basis of these expectations, which securities are expected to be overvalued, undervalued or
correctly priced. (10Marks)
B. If the risk-free rate were to rise to 12% and the expected return on the market portfolio rose to
16%, which securities would be overvalued? which would be under-valued? (Assume the expected
returns and the betas remain the same). (5 Marks).

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