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Est Bloque II

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Tema 3

Kolmogórov

P ( A ) ≥0 , p ( Ω )=1

Sí P( A ∩ B)= ∅ → P ( A ∪ B )=P ( A ) + P(B)

A ∈ B → P (A )≤ P(B)
P ( A ∩B )=P ( A )−P ( A ∩ B )=P( A−B)

P ( A ∪ B )=P ( A ) + P ( B ) −P( A ∩ B) .
Laplace

Casos favorables A P( A ∩ B)
P ( A )= P ( A / B )=
nº de casos Ω P(B)
Morgan

A ∪ B= A ∩ B A ∩ B= A ∪ B
Tema 4

F ( x )=P [x ≤ X ] lim F(x )=1 lim F (x)=0


x→+∞ x→−∞

Función de distribución

P ( x ≤ a ) =F(a) P ( x> a )=1−F(a)


P ( a< x ≤ b )=F (b)−F (a)
VA. discreta

µ=∑ XiPi 2 2
σ =X i Pi−µ
2

VA. Continua
x
f ( x )=F ( x ) ↔ F ( x ) =∫ f ( t ) dt
'
fdens=f ( x )
−∞

x +∞
F ( x )=P [ X ≤ x ]= ∫ f ( x ) dx E ( x )= ∫ xf ( x ) dx=µ
−∞ −∞

+∞
σ =∫ x f ( x ) dx−µ
2 2 2

−∞

Distribuciones

Binomial

x → B(n , p) p ( x=k ) = ( nk) p (1−p)


k n −k

E ( x )=np 2
σ =np(1− p)
Geométrica

p [ x =k ] =(1− p) p
k
x →≥( p)

1− p 2 n− p
E ( x )= σ = 2
p p

Binomial negativa

x → BN ( r , p ) p [ x =k ] = (k +r−1
r−1
)( 1−p ) p
k r

Hipergeométrica

M N− M
(
)( )
k n−k
x → H (N , M ,n) p [ x =k ] =
N
( )
n
2 N −n
E ( x )=np σ = np(1− p)
N −1
Poisson
−λ k
e −λ
x → p ( λ) p [ x =k ] =
k!
E ( x )=λ 2
σ =λ
Exponencial

F ( x )=1−e− λx
− λx
x → exp ( λ ) f ( x)=λ e
1 2 1
E ( x )= σ = 2
λ λ
Normal

x−µ
x → N (µ , σ ) z=
σ
Aproximaciones

BN ( r , p ) → N ¿
P ( λ ) → N ¿)

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