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NCDOT US70/I-95 INFRA 2017 Total Project

20 Year Analysis Period (2028-2047)


Values stated in 2017 $M
Discounted at 7% Discounted at 3%
Costs
Capital Costs $543.8 $708.9
Total Costs $543.8 $708.9

Benefits
Safety
Reduced Highway Fatalities and Crashes $6.6 $13.6
Detour Safety Savings $1.6 $3.3
Sub-Total Safety Benefits $8.2 $16.9
Economic Vitality
Residual Value $247.8 $342.0
Travel Time Savings (US 70 Report) $213.3 $443.9
Truck Vehicle Operating Savings $47.2 $98.2
Fiber Benefits $61.2 $128.5
Autonomous Vehicles Benefit $43.6 $316.1
Reliability Savings from ICM $231.8 $495.8
Detour Travel Time Savings $2.3 $4.8
Detour Truck Operating Savings $0.5 $1.1
Sub-Total Economic Vitality $847.6 $1,830.5
Environmental
Emissions Savings (auto) $0.4 $0.9
Emissions Savings (truck) $2.3 $4.9
Sub-Total Environmental $2.8 $5.8
O&M Costs -$84.9 -$174.5
Net O&M -$84.9 -$174.5
Total Benefits $773.7 $1,678.7

BC Ratio 1.42 2.37


Net Present value $229.9 $969.9
US 70 Upgrade to Freeway I-95 Widen to 8 Lanes, Interchanges
20 Year Analysis Period (2028-2047) 20 Year Analysis Period (2028-2047)
Values stated in 2017 $M Values stated in 2017 $M
Discounted at 7% Discounted at 3% Discounted at 7% Discounted at 3%

$300.8 $377.3 $243.0 $331.6


$300.8 $377.3 $243.0 $331.6

$0.01 $0.02 $6.6 $13.6


$1.6 $3.3
$1.6 $3.3 $6.6 $13.6

$168.1 $211.1 $79.7 $130.8


$213.3 $443.9
$47.2 $98.2
$16.7 $35.2 $44.4 $93.3
$24.0 $106.1 $19.5 $210.1
$36.7 $76.9 $195.1 $418.9
$2.3 $4.8
$0.5 $1.1
$508.9 $977.4 $338.7 $853.1

$0.3 $0.6 $0.1 $0.3


$1.1 $2.3 $1.2 $2.6
$1.4 $2.9 $1.4 $2.9
-$39.3 -$80.9 -$45.5 -$93.6
-$39.3 -$80.9 -$45.5 -$93.6
$472.5 $902.8 $301.2 $776.0

1.57 2.39 1.24 2.34


$171.7 $525.5 $58.2 $444.4
Input Value
General
Discount Rate 7%
Discount Rate 3%
Deflator See "Deflator" Sheet
Auto Occupancy 1.39
Annualization Factor 280
Speed Limit on I-95 70
Speed Limit on US70 55
Annual O&M Fiber $50,000
Annual O&M ITS $100,000
2016 AADT Harnett County 57000
2040 AADT US70 30000
2016 AADT US70 20400
AADT Growth US70 1.6%
Average Trip Length US70 27.3
I-95 average traffic growth (2011-2020) 13%
I-95 average traffic growth (2011-2040) 41%
Truck share I-95 25%
Truck share US 70 10%
I-95 annual AADT growth 3.7%

Economic Vitality
Value of Personal Time, 2016$ $13.60
Value of Business Time, 2016$ $25.40
Value of Time All Purposes, 2016$ $14.10
Value of Time Truck, 2016$ $27.20
Value of Personal Time, 2017$ $13.85
Value of Business Time, 2017$ $25.87
Value of Time All Purposes, 2017$ $14.36
Value of Time Truck, 2017$ $27.70
Truck operating savings per hour (2014$) $46.23
Truck operating savings per hour (2017$) $48.20
Average Trip Length on I-95, 2009 45.10
Average Trip Length on I-95, 2040 No Build 44.06
Reliability savings 4%

Environmental
VOC Value of Emissions (2016$) per metric ton $1,872
NOx Value of Emissions (2016$) per metric ton $7,377
PM Value of Emissions (2016$) per metric ton $337,459
SOx Value of Emissions (2016$) per metric ton $43,600
VOC Value of Emissions (2017$) per metric ton $1,906
NOx Value of Emissions (2017$) per metric ton $7,512
PM Value of Emissions (2017$) per metric ton $343,654
SOx Value of Emissions (2017$) per metric ton $44,400
Passenger Car Emission Rates per Mile, VOC, 2013-2024 0.6
Passenger Car Emission Rates per Mile, Nox, 2013-2024 0.91
Passenger Car Emission Rates per Mile, PM25, 2013-2024 0.01
Passenger Car Emission Rates per Mile, CO2, 2013-2024 532
Passenger Car Emission Rates per Mile, VOC, 2025-2034 0.27
Passenger Car Emission Rates per Mile, Nox, 2025-2034 0.28
Passenger Car Emission Rates per Mile, PM25, 2025-2034 0.01
Passenger Car Emission Rates per Mile, CO2, 2025-2034 434
Passenger Car Emission Rates per Mile, VOC, 2035- 0.21
Passenger Car Emission Rates per Mile, Nox, 2035- 0.2
Passenger Car Emission Rates per Mile, PM25, 2035- 0.01
Passenger Car Emission Rates per Mile, CO2, 2035- 397
Passenger Car Gasoline Consumption Per mile 0.04149
LDGV Emissions Rates g/hr VOC 2.683
LDGV Emissions Rates g/hr NOX 3.515
Truck Emissions Rate g per hour VOC (average of 8a and 8b trucks) 3.868
Truck Emissions Rate g per hour Nox (average of 8a and 8b trucks) 39.0515
Truck Emissions Rate g per hour PM2.5 (average of 8a and 8b trucks) 1.092
Truck Emissions Rate g per hour PM10 (average of 8a and 8b trucks) 1.187

Safety
AIS 0 (2016$) per vehicle $4,252
AIS 1 (2016$) $28,800
AIS 2(2016$) $451,200
AIS 3(2016$) $1,008,000
AIS 4(2016$) $2,553,600
AIS 5(2016$) $5,692,800
AIS 6(2016$) $9,600,000
AIS 0 (2017$) per vehicle $4,330
AIS 1 (2017$) $29,329
AIS 2 (2017$) $459,483
AIS 3 (2017$) $1,026,505
AIS 4 (2017$) $2,600,480
AIS 5 (2017$) $5,797,311
AIS 6 (2017$) $9,776,242
C - possible injury (2016$) $63,900
B - non-incapacitating injury (2016$) $125,000
A - incapacitating (2016$) $459,100
K - killed (2016$) $9,600,000
C - possible injury (2017$) $65,073
B - non-incapacitating injury (2017$) $127,295
A - incapacitating (2017$) $467,528
K - killed (2017$) $9,776,242
Source

2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide


2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide
https://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/whitehouse.gov/files/omb/budget/fy2018/hist10z1.xls
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide, FHWA Statistics 2015, Table VM1
Assumption

https://connect.ncdot.gov/resources/State-Mapping/Documents/NCDOT2016InterstateFreewayReport.pdf
US 70 Corridor Economic Assessment
NCDOT https://nc01920485.schoolwires.net/cms/lib/NC01920485/Centricity/Domain/16/US 70 Corridor 2014-2016 Crash Dat
based on 2016 and 2040 AADT as shown above
Assumption
North Carolina I-95 Economic Assessment Study, Task 4 Travel Demand Modeling, 2013
North Carolina I-95 Economic Assessment Study, Task 4 Travel Demand Modeling, 2013
Statewide Travel Demand Model
Statewide Travel Demand Model
NCDOT

2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide


2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide, Adjusted by GDP Deflator
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide, Adjusted by GDP Deflator
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide, Adjusted by GDP Deflator
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide, Adjusted by GDP Deflator
Table 9 ATRI Operational Cost of Trucking 2015. Includes fuel, oil, truck/trailer lease, repair, maintenance, driver benefits, and
Table 9 ATRI Operational Cost of Trucking 2015, Adjusted by GDP Deflator
Table 2.10 North Carolina I-95 Economic Assessment Study, Task 4 Travel Demand Modeling, 2013
Table 2.10 North Carolina I-95 Economic Assessment Study, Task 4 Travel Demand Modeling, 2013
Assumption based on range of results found https://ntl.bts.gov/lib/54000/54300/54346/ICM_Modeling_Results_Report__FHW

2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide


2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide, Adjusted by GDP Deflator
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide, Adjusted by GDP Deflator
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide, Adjusted by GDP Deflator
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide, Adjusted by GDP Deflator
http://www.apta.com/gap/fedreg/Documents/NS-SS_Final_PolicyGuidance_August_2013.pdf
http://www.apta.com/gap/fedreg/Documents/NS-SS_Final_PolicyGuidance_August_2013.pdf
http://www.apta.com/gap/fedreg/Documents/NS-SS_Final_PolicyGuidance_August_2013.pdf
http://www.apta.com/gap/fedreg/Documents/NS-SS_Final_PolicyGuidance_August_2013.pdf
http://www.apta.com/gap/fedreg/Documents/NS-SS_Final_PolicyGuidance_August_2013.pdf
http://www.apta.com/gap/fedreg/Documents/NS-SS_Final_PolicyGuidance_August_2013.pdf
http://www.apta.com/gap/fedreg/Documents/NS-SS_Final_PolicyGuidance_August_2013.pdf
http://www.apta.com/gap/fedreg/Documents/NS-SS_Final_PolicyGuidance_August_2013.pdf
http://www.apta.com/gap/fedreg/Documents/NS-SS_Final_PolicyGuidance_August_2013.pdf
http://www.apta.com/gap/fedreg/Documents/NS-SS_Final_PolicyGuidance_August_2013.pdf
http://www.apta.com/gap/fedreg/Documents/NS-SS_Final_PolicyGuidance_August_2013.pdf
http://www.apta.com/gap/fedreg/Documents/NS-SS_Final_PolicyGuidance_August_2013.pdf
http://www.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/420f08024.pdf
nepis.epa.gov/Exe/ZyPURL.cgi?Dockey=P100EVXV.TXT
nepis.epa.gov/Exe/ZyPURL.cgi?Dockey=P100EVXV.TXT
Source: https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/420f08025.pdf, Class 8 trucks include long-haul semi-tractor trailer rigs rangin
Source: https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/420f08025.pdf, Class 8 trucks include long-haul semi-tractor trailer rigs rangin
Source: https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/420f08025.pdf, Class 8 trucks include long-haul semi-tractor trailer rigs rangin
Source: https://www3.epa.gov/otaq/consumer/420f08025.pdf, Class 8 trucks include long-haul semi-tractor trailer rigs rangin

2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide


2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide, Adjusted by GDP Deflator
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide, Adjusted by GDP Deflator
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide, Adjusted by GDP Deflator
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide, Adjusted by GDP Deflator
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide, Adjusted by GDP Deflator
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide, Adjusted by GDP Deflator
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide, Adjusted by GDP Deflator
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide, Adjusted by GDP Deflator
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide, Adjusted by GDP Deflator
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide, Adjusted by GDP Deflator
2017 TIGER BCA Resource Guide, Adjusted by GDP Deflator
idor 2014-2016 Crash Data.pdf

ance, driver benefits, and insurance. Excludes driver time (valued in travel time savings)

ing_Results_Report__FHWA-JPO-12-037_.pdf
-tractor trailer rigs ranging from 33,001 lbs to >60,000 lbs
-tractor trailer rigs ranging from 33,001 lbs to >60,000 lbs
-tractor trailer rigs ranging from 33,001 lbs to >60,000 lbs
-tractor trailer rigs ranging from 33,001 lbs to >60,000 lbs
US 70 based on CS 70 Economic Assessment Study

Truck
Auto Annual
Vehicles AADT Annual VHT Annual
Hours Saved
Hours Saved

2015 1555441 155544 1399897


2016 20,400 1571152 157115 1414037
2017 20,730 1587023 158702 1428320
2018 21,066 1603053 160305 1442748
2019 21,408 1619245 161925 1457321
2020 21,754 1635602 163560 1472041
2021 22,107 1652123 165212 1486910
2022 22,465 1668811 166881 1501930
2023 22,829 1,685,668 168567 1517101
2024 23,199 1,702,694 170269 1532425
2025 23,574 1,719,893 171989 1547904
2026 23,956 1,737,266 173727 1563539
2027 24,344 1,754,814 175481 1579333
2028 24,739 1,772,540 177254 1595286
2029 25,139 1,790,444 179044 1611400
2030 25,547 1,808,529 180853 1627676
2031 25,960 1,826,797 182680 1644118
2032 26,381 1,845,250 184525 1660725
2033 26,808 1,863,889 186389 1677500
2034 27,243 1,882,716 188272 1694444
2035 27,684 1,901,733 190173 1711560
2036 28,132 1,920,943 192094 1728848
2037 28,588 1,940,346 194035 1746311
2038 29,051 1,959,946 195995 1763951
2039 29,522 1,979,743 197974 1781769
2040 30,000 1,999,740 199974 1799766
2041 30,486 2,019,738 201974 1817764
2042 30,980 2,039,935 203994 1835942
2043 31,482 2,060,334 206033 1854301
2044 31,992 2,080,938 208094 1872844
2045 32,510 2,101,747 210175 1891572
2046 33,036 2,122,765 212276 1910488
2047 33,572 2,143,992 214399 1929593
2048 34,115 2,165,432 216543 1948889
Total 612,967 41,227,497 4,122,750 37,104,747
US 70

Construction
Year Fiber ICM Detour Routing DSRC
Costs

2015
2016
2017
2018
2019 $76,396,363
2020 $74,531,091
2021 $27,091,182
2022 $27,091,182
2023 $27,090,182
2024 $0
2025 $27,500,000
2026 $0
2027 $176,100,000 $10,000,000 $6,710,000 $250,000 $2,080,000
1 2028
2 2029
3 2030
4 2031
5 2032
6 2033
7 2034
8 2035
9 2036
10 2037
11 2038
12 2039
13 2040
14 2041
15 2042
16 2043
17 2044
18 2045
19 2046
20 2047
Total $435,800,000 $10,000,000 $6,710,000 $250,000 $2,080,000

I-95
Construction
Year Fiber ICM Detour Routing DSRC
Costs

2015
2016
2017
2018 $6,480,000
2019 $9,000,000
2020 $22,500,000
2021 $22,500,000
2022 $0
2023 $0
2024 $42,800,000
2025 $0
2026 $94,896,948
2027 $199,103,052 $14,000,000 $9,625,000 $750,000 $3,260,000
1 2028
2 2029
3 2030
4 2031
5 2032
6 2033
7 2034
8 2035
9 2036
10 2037
11 2038
12 2039
13 2040
14 2041
15 2042
16 2043
17 2044
18 2045
19 2046
20 2047
Total $397,280,000 $14,000,000 $9,625,000 $750,000 $3,260,000
O&M Costs

Total Capital Discounted Discounted Capital Highway O&M


Fiber ITS
Costs Capital Total (7%) Total (3%) and R&R

$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$76,396,363 $66,727,542 $72,010,900
$74,531,091 $60,839,572 $68,206,507
$27,091,182 $20,667,733 $24,070,164
$27,091,182 $19,315,638 $23,369,091
$27,090,182 $18,051,332 $22,687,601
$0 $0 $0
$27,500,000 $16,005,250 $21,708,754
$0 $0 $0
$195,140,000 $99,199,281 $145,202,487
$0 $0 $0 $7,156,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $7,156,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $7,156,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $7,156,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $7,156,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $7,156,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $7,156,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $7,156,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $7,156,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $7,156,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $7,156,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $7,156,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $7,156,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $7,156,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $7,156,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $7,156,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $7,156,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $7,156,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $7,156,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $7,156,000 $50,000 $100,000
$454,840,000 $300,806,348 $377,255,503 $143,120,000 $1,000,000 $2,000,000

O&M Costs
Total Capital Discounted Discounted Capital Highway O&M
Fiber ITS
Costs Capital Total (7%) Total (3%) and R&R

$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$6,480,000 $6,056,075 $6,291,262
$9,000,000 $7,860,949 $8,483,363
$22,500,000 $18,366,702 $20,590,687
$22,500,000 $17,165,142 $19,990,959
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$42,800,000 $26,653,689 $34,800,317
$0 $0 $0
$94,896,948 $51,617,652 $72,730,609
$226,738,052 $115,262,128 $168,714,405
$0 $0 $0 $8,303,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $8,303,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $8,303,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $8,303,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $8,303,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $8,303,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $8,303,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $8,303,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $8,303,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $8,303,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $8,303,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $8,303,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $8,303,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $8,303,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $8,303,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $8,303,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $8,303,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $8,303,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $8,303,000 $50,000 $100,000
$0 $0 $0 $8,303,000 $50,000 $100,000
$424,915,000 $242,982,337 $331,601,601 $166,060,000 $1,000,000 $2,000,000
Discounted O&M Discounted O&M
O&M Total
Total (7%) Total (3%)

$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$7,306,000 $3,471,028 $5,278,010
$7,306,000 $3,243,951 $5,124,281
$7,306,000 $3,031,730 $4,975,030
$7,306,000 $2,833,393 $4,830,127
$7,306,000 $2,648,031 $4,689,443
$7,306,000 $2,474,795 $4,552,858
$7,306,000 $2,312,892 $4,420,250
$7,306,000 $2,161,582 $4,291,505
$7,306,000 $2,020,170 $4,166,510
$7,306,000 $1,888,009 $4,045,155
$7,306,000 $1,764,495 $3,927,335
$7,306,000 $1,649,060 $3,812,947
$7,306,000 $1,541,178 $3,701,890
$7,306,000 $1,440,353 $3,594,068
$7,306,000 $1,346,124 $3,489,386
$7,306,000 $1,258,060 $3,387,754
$7,306,000 $1,175,757 $3,289,081
$7,306,000 $1,098,839 $3,193,283
$7,306,000 $1,026,952 $3,100,275
$7,306,000 $959,768 $3,009,975
$146,120,000 $39,346,168 $80,879,163
Discounted O&M Discounted O&M
O&M Total
Total (7%) Total (3%)

$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0
$8,453,000 $4,015,959 $6,106,627
$8,453,000 $3,753,233 $5,928,764
$8,453,000 $3,507,694 $5,756,082
$8,453,000 $3,278,219 $5,588,429
$8,453,000 $3,063,756 $5,425,659
$8,453,000 $2,863,324 $5,267,630
$8,453,000 $2,676,003 $5,114,204
$8,453,000 $2,500,938 $4,965,247
$8,453,000 $2,337,325 $4,820,628
$8,453,000 $2,184,416 $4,680,221
$8,453,000 $2,041,510 $4,543,904
$8,453,000 $1,907,953 $4,411,557
$8,453,000 $1,783,134 $4,283,065
$8,453,000 $1,666,480 $4,158,316
$8,453,000 $1,557,458 $4,037,200
$8,453,000 $1,455,569 $3,919,612
$8,453,000 $1,360,344 $3,805,448
$8,453,000 $1,271,350 $3,694,610
$8,453,000 $1,188,177 $3,587,000
$8,453,000 $1,110,446 $3,482,524
$169,060,000 $45,523,290 $93,576,726
STIP # STIP Page "Ask" Cost Estimate "Match" Cost Estimate

I-5986A (portion) 6-9 $120,000,000

I-5986B 4-12 $216,800,000

I-5883 6-18 $14,580,000

I-5878 6-18 $31,320,000

I-5877 6-18 $14,580,000

Totals: $120,000,000 $277,280,000


Percent Totals 30% 70%
Description Project Build Cost (U,R,C) Utilities Cost Right-of-Way Cost

Widen I-95 to eight lanes


from Exit 65 to SR 1002
120,000,000 672,080 7,224,868
(Long Branch Road – Exit
71)

216,800,000
B SR 1002 (LONG BRANCH R 700,000 42,100,000
Improve interchanges at
SR 1808 (Jonesboro
Road – Exit 75)
AND 14,580,000 1,080,000
SR 1709 (Hodges Chapel
Road – Exit 77)

Improve interchanges at
SR 1793 (Pope Road –
Exit 72)
31,320,000 4,320,000
AND
US 421 (Exit 73)

Improve interchanges at
SR 1811 (Bud Hawkins
Road – Exit 70)

14,580,000 1,080,000
AND
SR 1001 (Long Branch
Road – Exit 71)
Schedule
Construction Cost Utilities Right-of-Way Construction

112,103,052

Unfunded Unfunded Unfunded


2026 (43500)
174,000,000 2024 (700) 2024 (42100) 2027 (43500)

13,500,000

2019 (4500)
2020 (4500)
2018 (1080) 2021 (4500)

27,000,000

2020 (13500)
2018 (4320) 2021 (13500)

13,500,000

2019 (4500)
2020 (4500)
2018 (1080) 2021 (4500)

Utilities ROW Construction


2018 6480000
2019 9,000,000
2020 22,500,000
2021 22,500,000
2022
2023
2024 700,000 42,100,000
2025
2026 672,080 7,224,868 87,000,000
2027 199,103,052
Environmental
Document Status

None $18.2M additional (other loops)

Federal CE

Federal CE

Federal CE

Total
6,480,000
9,000,000
22,500,000
22,500,000
0
0
42,800,000
0
94,896,948
199,103,052
STIP # STIP Page "Ask" Cost Estimate "Match" Cost Estimate

R-5777 C 2-11 $131,900,000 $0

R-5777A 2-11 52,200,000

R-5777B 2-11 51,700,000

U-5713 2-12 180,000,000

Project 10 N/A 20,000,000

Totals: $131,900,000 $303,900,000


Percent Totals 30% 70%
Description Project Build Cost (U,R,C) Utilities Cost Right-of-Way Cost

Upgrade US 70 to
freeway standard from
the proposed West
Thurman Road/East
Thurman Road 131,900,000 1,100,000 28,500,000
Interchange (STIP
Project R-5777B) to the
Havelock Bypass (STIP
Project R-1015)

TABERNA WAY.
CONVERT AT-GRADE
52,200,000 3,300,000 26,700,000
INTERSECTION TO
INTERCHANGE.

WEST THURMAN
ROAD/EAST THURMAN
ROAD. CONVERT AT- 51,700,000 3,000,000 24,500,000
GRADE INTERSECTION
TO INTERCHANGE

SR 1124 (GRANTHAM
ROAD) TO NEUSE RIVER
180,000,000 2,727,272 68,181,819
BRIDGE. UPGRADE
ROADWAY TO FREEWAY.

UPGRADE TO
INTERSTATE STANDARDS 20,000,000
FROM EASTERN END OF
US 70 KINSTON BYPASS
TO US 17 EAST OF NEW
BERN.
Schedule
Construction Cost Utilities Right-of-Way Construction

102,300,000

Unfunded (1100) Unfunded (28500) Unfunded (102300)

2019 (1110)
2019 (13350) 2020 (5272)
22,200,000 2019 (3300)
2020 (13350) 2021 (5273)
2022 (5273)
2023 (5272)

24,200,000 2025 (3000) 2025 (24500)

2027 (24200)

2019
2019 2020
109,090,909 2019
2020 2021
2022
2023

20,000,000

2027

Utilities ROW Construction


2019 6,027,272 47,440,910 22,928,182
2020 47,440,910 27,090,182
2021 27,091,182
2022 27,091,182
2023 27,090,182
2024
2025 3,000,000 24,500,000
2026
2027 1,100,000 28,500,000 146,500,000
Environmental
Document Status

N/A

CE III (2018)

CE III (2018)

CE III (2018)

Total
76,396,363
74,531,091
27,091,182
27,091,182
27,090,182
0
27,500,000
0
176,100,000
R&R with
Current O&M Current R&R for O&M with Upgrade
Current Total Upgrade for
for Segment Segment for Segment
Segment
US 70 $ 73,472,000 $ 32,989,000 $ 106,461,000 $ 74,176,000 $ 39,441,000

Excel Sources:
I-42 Maintenance Cost Model V3 - End of R-5777B to Havelock Bypass upgraded
I-42 Maintenance Cost Model V3 - End of R-5777B to Havelock Bypass Existing
Incremental
Upgrade Total
Change

$ 113,617,000 $ 7,156,000
O&M with R&R with
Current O&M Current R&R
STIP # Current Total Upgrade for Upgrade for Upgrade Total
for Segment for Segment
Segment Segment
I-95 $ 21,294,000 $ 9,472,000 $ 30,766,000 $ 22,617,000 $ 16,452,000 $ 39,069,000

Excel Sources:
I-95 Maintenance Cost I-95 Exit 65 to Exit 81 improved
I-95 Maintenance Cost I-95 Exit 65 to Exit 81 existing
Incremental
Change

$ 8,303,000
Autonomous Vehicles Benefit
"Autonomous Cars Self-Driving the New Auto Industry Paradigm", Morgan Stanley, November 6, 2013, pp48-52
http://orfe.princeton.edu/~alaink/SmartDrivingCars/PDFs/Nov2013MORGAN-STANLEY-BLUE-PAPER-AUTONOMOUS-CARS%EF

Paper Assumptions
V2V Costs 2013$
Per car for ~half of the cars (near-term) (2013$) $ 10,000
Per car for ~half of the cars (long-term) (2013$) $ 2,000
Cars on the road 250,000,000

Cost of turnover (net of new car cost)* $ 1,350,000,000,000


Total undiscounted ($ million) $ 1,350,000
*Assumes 90% of the cars are equipped

Benefits
I-95 Economy/US Economy 0.04%
US70 Economy/US Economy 0.01%
2013$M
Annual Benefits to the US Economy: Base Case $ 1,300,000
Annual Benefits to the I-95 Economy: Base Case $ 457
Annual Benefits to the US70 Economy: Base Case $ 129

I-95 Costs
Vehicles Vehicles

2028 87,833
2029 91,055
2030 94,396
2031 97,859
2032 101,450
2033 105,172
2034 109,030
2035 113,030
2036 117,177
2037 121,476
2038 125,933
2039 130,554
2040 135,344
2041 140,309
2042 145,457
2043 150,794
2044 156,326
2045 162,061
2046 168,007
2047 174,171
Total

US70 Costs
Vehicles Vehicles

2028 24,739
2029 25,139
2030 25,547
2031 25,960
2032 26,381
2033 26,808
2034 27,243
2035 27,684
2036 28,132
2037 28,588
2038 29,051
2039 29,522
2040 30,000
2041 30,486
2042 30,980
2043 31,482
2044 31,992
2045 32,510
2046 33,036
2047 33,572
2048 34,115
Total 612,967
ey, November 6, 2013, pp48-52
TANLEY-BLUE-PAPER-AUTONOMOUS-CARS%EF%BC%9A-SELF-DRIVING-THE-NEW-AUTO-INDUSTRY-PARADIGM.pdf

2017$ Costs:
$ 10,617 · Assumed $10k per car for half of the cars in the near term
$ 2,123 · Assumed $2k per car for half of the cars long-term
· 250M cars on the road
· No costs were assumed for infrastructure (V2I) or maintenance

$ 1,433,345,843,498 · $1.35T for cost of turnover (net of new car cost), $2013 undiscounted = (45%*250M*$10
$ 1,433,346

Benefits:
· Benefits include fuel savings, accident savings, productivity gain, and fuel and productivity
· Based on the source above which cites annual benefits of $1.3T in 2013$ (see pg 48/109)
2017$M · High starts at 1% of the annual benefits in 2028, reaching 90% by 2048. Total $12.9T undi
$ 1,380,259 · Low starts at 0% of the annual benefits in 2028 reaching 40% by 2048. Total $4.2T undisco
$ 485 · Assumes the nation can get 100% of the benefits without 100% of the vehicles.
$ 137

Costs
Baseline
Adoption Curve Cost Discounted 7% Discounted 3%
Ramp-up
14% $135,220,145 $64,242,117 $97,685,910 1%
18% $34,447,472 $15,295,089 $24,160,763 2%
21% $36,793,134 $15,267,843 $25,054,334 4%
24% $39,264,547 $15,227,468 $25,958,491 6%
27% $41,867,780 $15,174,810 $26,873,335 8%
30% $44,609,180 $15,110,673 $27,798,966 10%
33% $47,495,381 $15,035,821 $28,735,487 13%
36% $50,533,318 $14,950,985 $29,682,998 16%
39% $53,730,239 $14,856,859 $30,641,604 20%
45% $96,431,444 $24,919,718 $53,391,753 23%
49% $15,198,548 $3,670,648 $8,169,969 25%
53% $16,157,534 $3,646,968 $8,432,496 30%
57% $17,166,429 $3,621,205 $8,698,088 35%
61% $18,227,605 $3,593,511 $8,966,774 40%
65% $19,343,541 $3,564,032 $9,238,583 46%
70% $20,516,826 $3,532,905 $9,513,544 49%
74% $21,750,166 $3,500,262 $9,791,687 53%
78% $23,046,389 $3,466,228 $10,073,041 57%
82% $24,408,448 $3,430,920 $10,357,636 62%
86% $25,839,431 $3,394,452 $10,645,503 66%
10 782,047,558 245,502,514 463,870,962 6
Assumes nation can get to 100%
Costs
Baseline
Adoption Curve Cost Discounted 7% Discounted 3%
Ramp-up
14% $38,085,612 $18,094,200 $27,513,856 1%
18% $8,757,836 $3,888,584 $6,142,570 2%
21% $9,031,579 $3,747,784 $6,150,066 4%
24% $9,311,894 $3,611,313 $6,156,259 6%
27% $9,598,920 $3,479,090 $6,161,181 8%
30% $9,892,801 $3,351,034 $6,164,867 10%
33% $10,193,685 $3,227,060 $6,167,347 13%
36% $10,501,721 $3,107,080 $6,168,654 16%
39% $10,817,062 $2,991,008 $6,168,819 20%
45% $20,397,539 $5,271,112 $11,293,623 23%
49% $2,966,181 $716,372 $1,594,469 25%
53% $3,055,112 $689,579 $1,594,440 30%
57% $3,146,145 $663,669 $1,594,126 35%
61% $3,239,325 $638,622 $1,593,533 40%
65% $3,334,700 $614,416 $1,592,671 46%
70% $3,432,314 $591,029 $1,591,546 49%
74% $3,532,215 $568,441 $1,590,165 53%
78% $3,634,452 $546,630 $1,588,535 57%
82% $3,739,075 $525,575 $1,586,663 62%
86% $3,846,134 $505,256 $1,584,556 66%
90% $3,955,680 $485,651 $1,582,221 70%
11 $174,469,980 $57,313,505 $105,580,167 6
discounted = (45%*250M*$10K)+(45%*250M*$2k)

gain, and fuel and productivity savings from congestion.


1.3T in 2013$ (see pg 48/109). The analysis includes a high and a low scenario.
0% by 2048. Total $12.9T undiscounted.
% by 2048. Total $4.2T undiscounted.
00% of the vehicles.

Benefits
Low Ramp- High Ramp- Discounted Discounted
Low Benefits Average Benefits
up up 7% 3%
0% 1% $0 $0 $0 $2,424,637
1% 2% $2,424,637 $1,076,568 $1,700,592 $6,061,593
1% 3% $4,849,274 $2,012,276 $3,302,120 $9,698,548
2% 5% $7,273,911 $2,820,948 $4,808,912 $15,760,141
3% 8% $13,335,504 $4,833,400 $8,559,553 $26,064,849
4% 15% $19,397,097 $6,570,468 $12,087,629 $46,068,105
6% 21% $29,095,645 $9,210,936 $17,603,344 $65,465,201
7% 29% $33,944,919 $10,043,077 $19,939,062 $87,286,935
8% 36% $38,794,193 $10,726,918 $22,123,786 $106,684,032
10% 45% $48,492,742 $12,531,446 $26,849,255 $133,355,040
11% 50% $53,342,016 $12,882,795 $28,673,962 $147,902,862
13% 52% $63,040,564 $14,229,085 $32,900,398 $157,601,410
16% 55% $77,588,387 $16,367,028 $39,313,395 $172,149,233
20% 60% $96,985,483 $19,120,360 $47,710,431 $193,970,967
25% 65% $121,231,854 $22,336,869 $57,901,009 $218,217,338
27% 70% $130,930,403 $22,545,625 $60,711,737 $235,189,797
31% 75% $150,327,499 $24,192,260 $67,675,795 $257,011,531
34% 80% $164,875,322 $24,797,613 $72,063,170 $276,408,628
36% 85% $174,573,870 $24,538,595 $74,079,787 $293,381,087
38% 87% $184,272,418 $24,207,336 $75,917,797 $303,079,636
3 8 1,414,775,739 265,043,603 673,921,734 $2,753,781,568
sumes nation can get to 100% of benefits without 100% of the vehicles
Benefits
Low Ramp- High Ramp- Discounted Discounted
Low Benefits Average Benefits
up up 7% 3%
0% 1% $0 $0 $0 $2,424,637
1% 2% $682,914 $303,222 $478,982 $5,190,731
1% 3% $1,365,829 $566,770 $930,063 $7,956,826
2% 5% $2,048,743 $794,538 $1,354,461 $13,147,557
3% 8% $3,756,029 $1,361,358 $2,410,852 $21,275,111
4% 15% $5,463,315 $1,850,614 $3,404,558 $39,101,214
6% 21% $8,194,973 $2,594,319 $4,958,093 $55,014,865
7% 29% $9,560,802 $2,828,696 $5,615,963 $75,094,876
8% 36% $10,926,631 $3,021,304 $6,231,305 $92,750,250
10% 45% $13,658,288 $3,529,561 $7,562,263 $115,937,813
11% 50% $15,024,117 $3,628,521 $8,076,203 $128,743,913
13% 52% $17,755,775 $4,007,712 $9,266,606 $134,959,016
16% 55% $21,853,261 $4,609,877 $11,072,867 $144,281,670
20% 60% $27,316,577 $5,385,371 $13,437,946 $159,136,513
25% 65% $34,145,721 $6,291,321 $16,308,186 $174,674,271
27% 70% $36,877,379 $6,350,118 $17,099,846 $188,163,285
31% 75% $42,340,694 $6,813,903 $19,061,317 $203,018,128
34% 80% $46,438,180 $6,984,405 $20,297,049 $217,190,057
36% 85% $49,169,838 $6,911,451 $20,865,042 $230,679,071
38% 87% $51,901,496 $6,818,150 $21,382,729 $236,894,174
40% 90% $54,633,153 $6,707,477 $21,852,559 $245,533,914
3 9 $1,608,746,705 $81,358,688 $211,666,890 $2,491,167,895
Discounted
Discounted 3% High Benefits Discounted 7% Discounted 3%
7%
$1,151,928 $1,751,609 $4,849,274 $2,303,855 $3,503,219
$2,691,420 $4,251,479 $9,698,548 $4,306,271 $6,802,367
$4,024,553 $6,604,239 $14,547,823 $6,036,829 $9,906,359
$6,112,054 $10,419,310 $24,246,371 $9,403,161 $16,029,707
$9,447,101 $16,730,035 $38,794,193 $14,060,801 $24,900,516
$15,604,861 $28,708,120 $72,739,113 $24,639,254 $45,328,610
$20,724,606 $39,607,523 $101,834,758 $32,238,276 $61,611,703
$25,825,054 $51,271,875 $140,628,951 $41,607,032 $82,604,687
$29,499,024 $60,840,413 $174,573,870 $48,271,130 $99,557,039
$34,461,476 $73,835,452 $218,217,338 $56,391,507 $120,821,649
$35,720,477 $79,505,076 $242,463,708 $58,558,159 $130,336,191
$35,572,713 $82,250,994 $252,162,257 $56,916,341 $131,601,591
$36,314,344 $87,226,596 $266,710,079 $56,261,660 $135,139,796
$38,240,720 $95,420,862 $290,956,450 $57,361,081 $143,131,294
$40,206,365 $104,221,816 $315,202,821 $58,075,861 $150,542,623
$40,498,623 $109,056,269 $339,449,192 $58,451,621 $157,400,800
$41,360,960 $115,703,778 $363,695,563 $58,529,660 $163,731,762
$41,572,469 $120,811,786 $387,941,933 $58,347,325 $169,560,401
$41,238,472 $124,495,197 $412,188,304 $57,938,349 $174,910,608
$39,814,698 $124,864,797 $421,886,853 $55,422,060 $173,811,797
$540,081,918 $1,337,577,226 $4,092,787,398 $815,120,233 $2,001,232,719

Discounted
Discounted 3% High Benefits Discounted 7% Discounted 3%
7%
$1,151,928 $1,751,609 $4,849,274 $2,303,855 $3,503,219
$2,304,747 $3,640,675 $9,698,548 $4,306,271 $6,802,367
$3,301,800 $5,418,211 $14,547,823 $6,036,829 $9,906,359
$5,098,849 $8,692,084 $24,246,371 $9,403,161 $16,029,707
$7,711,079 $13,655,684 $38,794,193 $14,060,801 $24,900,516
$13,244,934 $24,366,584 $72,739,113 $24,639,254 $45,328,610
$17,416,297 $33,284,898 $101,834,758 $32,238,276 $61,611,703
$22,217,864 $44,110,325 $140,628,951 $41,607,032 $82,604,687
$25,646,217 $52,894,172 $174,573,870 $48,271,130 $99,557,039
$29,960,534 $64,191,956 $218,217,338 $56,391,507 $120,821,649
$31,093,340 $69,206,197 $242,463,708 $58,558,159 $130,336,191
$30,462,027 $70,434,098 $252,162,257 $56,916,341 $131,601,591
$30,435,769 $73,106,332 $266,710,079 $56,261,660 $135,139,796
$31,373,226 $78,284,620 $290,956,450 $57,361,081 $143,131,294
$32,183,591 $83,425,405 $315,202,821 $58,075,861 $150,542,623
$32,400,870 $87,250,323 $339,449,192 $58,451,621 $157,400,800
$32,671,782 $91,396,539 $363,695,563 $58,529,660 $163,731,762
$32,665,865 $94,928,725 $387,941,933 $58,347,325 $169,560,401
$32,424,900 $97,887,825 $412,188,304 $57,938,349 $174,910,608
$31,120,105 $97,597,263 $421,886,853 $55,422,060 $173,811,797
$30,144,937 $98,210,409 $436,434,675 $53,582,397 $174,568,260
$475,030,661 $1,193,733,934 $4,529,222,073 $868,702,630 $2,175,800,979
Residual Value

Type of asset Service life (years)

Industrial buildings 31
Mobile offices/17/ 16
Office buildings/17/ 36
Commercial warehouses/17/ 40
Other commercial buildings/17/ 34
Religious buildings 48
Educational buildings 48
Hospital and institutional buildings 48
Hotels and motels/18/ 32
Amusement and recreational buildings/18/ 30
All other nonfarm buildings/18/,/19/ 38
Railroad replacement track/19//20/ 38
Other railroad structures/19//20/ 54
Telecommunications/20/ 40
Railroad equipment* 50
Highways and streets 60
Conservation and development 60
Sewer systems 60
Water systems 60
Military facilities 50
Other 60
Source: BEA Rate of Depreciation, Service Lives, Declining-Balance Rates, and Hulten-Wykoff Categories
http://www.bea.gov/scb/account_articles/national/wlth2594/tableC.htm

Bridge structures 75
Source: USDOT Bridge Preservation guide, Maintaining a State of Good Repair Using Cost Effective Investment Stra
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=1&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwiv-8XR8

Beginning POA 2028


Ending POA 2047

Total
2017 $
ROW does not depreciate $203,686,687

Total
Remaining Value
Highway $ 329,543,446
Utilities $ 6,132,988
Subtotal $ 335,676,434
Total Value Remaining after 2042 $ 539,363,121
Discounted at 3% $ 341,980,933
Discounted at 7% $ 247,783,532

Residual Summary Total ($M)


Total $ 539.36
Discounted at 3% $ 341.98
Discounted at 7% $ 247.78
Hulten-Wykoff Categories

r Using Cost Effective Investment Strategies, August 2011, page 2


d=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwiv-8XR8cLLAhVV5WMKHYZ6Ap8QFggcMAA&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.fhwa.dot.gov%2Fbridge%2Fpreserva

0.8 assumed share of costs for highway infrastructure of construction costs


0.8 assumed share of costs for utilities infrastructure of construction costs
2017 $
ROW does not depreciate $147,881,819

US70
Remaining Value
Highway $ 148,155,151
Utilities $ 5,401,212
Subtotal $ 153,556,363
+ Right of Way undiscounted Total Value Remaining after 2047 $ 301,438,182
+ Right of Way undiscounted Discounted at 3% $ 211,145,007
+ Right of Way undiscounted Discounted at 7% $ 168,054,076

Residual Summary Total ($M)


Total $ 301.44
Discounted at 3% $ 211.15
Discounted at 7% $ 168.05
w.fhwa.dot.gov%2Fbridge%2Fpreservation%2Fguide%2Fguide.pdf&usg=AFQjCNEf26d_7T9a9n7jxVGGtwyGvq2zQg&sig2=Z8jY2-M9fT0zre
2017 $
ROW does n $55,804,868

I-95
Remaining Value
Highway $ 181,388,294
Utilities $ 731,776
Subtotal $ 182,120,070
+ Right of Way undiscounted Total Value Remaining after $ 237,924,938 + Right of Way undiscounted
+ Right of Way undiscounted Discounted at 3% $ 130,835,926 + Right of Way undiscounted
+ Right of Way undiscounted Discounted at 7% $ 79,729,457 + Right of Way undiscounted

Residual S Total ($M)


Total $ 237.92
Discounted $ 130.84
Discounted $ 79.73
Gvq2zQg&sig2=Z8jY2-M9fT0zre_vXvSplg&bvm=bv.116954456,d.cGc
+ Right of Way undiscounted
+ Right of Way undiscounted
+ Right of Way undiscounted
Reduced Auto Emissions

US 70
Pollutant Emissions Rates per VMT (grams/hr) Reduced Pollutants per Year (tons)
Reduced Auto
Year
Hours VOC NOx VOC NOx

2028 1,595,286 2.683 3.515 4.3 5.6


2029 1,611,400 2.683 3.515 4.3 5.7
2030 1,627,676 2.683 3.515 4.4 5.7
2031 1,644,118 2.683 3.515 4.4 5.8
2032 1,660,725 2.683 3.515 4.5 5.8
2033 1,677,500 2.683 3.515 4.5 5.9
2034 1,694,444 2.683 3.515 4.5 6.0
2035 1,711,560 2.683 3.515 4.6 6.0
2036 1,728,848 2.683 3.515 4.6 6.1
2037 1,746,311 2.683 3.515 4.7 6.1
2038 1,763,951 2.683 3.515 4.7 6.2
2039 1,781,769 2.683 3.515 4.8 6.3
2040 1,799,766 2.683 3.515 4.8 6.3
2041 1,817,764 2.683 3.515 4.9 6.4
2042 1,835,942 2.683 3.515 4.9 6.5
2043 1,854,301 2.683 3.515 5.0 6.5
2044 1,872,844 2.683 3.515 5.0 6.6
2045 1,891,572 2.683 3.515 5.1 6.6
2046 1,910,488 2.683 3.515 5.1 6.7
2047 1,929,593 2.683 3.515 5.2 6.8
Total 35155858 94.32 123.57

I-95
Pollutant Emissions Rates per VMT (grams/hr) Reduced Pollutants per Year (tons)
Reduced Auto
Year
Hours VOC NOx VOC NOx

2028 652,814 2.683 3.515 1.8 2.3


2029 676,133 2.683 3.515 1.8 2.4
2030 700,285 2.683 3.515 1.9 2.5
2031 725,299 2.683 3.515 1.9 2.5
2032 751,205 2.683 3.515 2.0 2.6
2033 778,036 2.683 3.515 2.1 2.7
2034 805,825 2.683 3.515 2.2 2.8
2035 834,605 2.683 3.515 2.2 2.9
2036 864,413 2.683 3.515 2.3 3.0
2037 895,285 2.683 3.515 2.4 3.1
2038 927,258 2.683 3.515 2.5 3.3
2039 960,372 2.683 3.515 2.6 3.4
2040 994,668 2.683 3.515 2.7 3.5
2041 1,031,161 2.683 3.515 2.8 3.6
2042 1,068,993 2.683 3.515 2.9 3.8
2043 1,108,213 2.683 3.515 3.0 3.9
2044 1,148,872 2.683 3.515 3.1 4.0
2045 1,191,023 2.683 3.515 3.2 4.2
2046 1,234,721 2.683 3.515 3.3 4.3
2047 1,280,021 2.683 3.515 3.4 4.5
Total 18629203 49.98 65.48
utants per Year (tons) Emission Costs Saved
Sub-Total Discounted
VOC NOx PM25
Emissions Emissions 7%
$8,160 $42,125 $0 $50,285 $23,890
$8,242 $42,551 $0 $50,793 $22,553
$8,325 $42,981 $0 $51,306 $21,290
$8,409 $43,415 $0 $51,824 $20,098
$8,494 $43,853 $0 $52,348 $18,973
$8,580 $44,296 $0 $52,876 $17,911
$8,667 $44,744 $0 $53,411 $16,908
$8,754 $45,196 $0 $53,950 $15,962
$8,843 $45,652 $0 $54,495 $15,068
$8,932 $46,113 $0 $55,045 $14,225
$9,022 $46,579 $0 $55,601 $13,428
$9,113 $47,050 $0 $56,163 $12,677
$9,205 $47,525 $0 $56,730 $11,967
$9,297 $48,000 $0 $57,298 $11,296
$9,390 $48,480 $0 $57,871 $10,663
$9,484 $48,965 $0 $58,449 $10,065
$9,579 $49,455 $0 $59,034 $9,500
$9,675 $49,949 $0 $59,624 $8,968
$9,772 $50,449 $0 $60,220 $8,465
$9,869 $50,953 $0 $60,823 $7,990
$179,815 $928,332 $0 $1,108,147 $291,897

utants per Year (tons) Emission Costs Saved


Sub-Total Discounted
VOC NOx PM25
Emissions Emissions 7%
$3,339 $17,238 $0 $20,577 $9,776
$3,458 $17,854 $0 $21,312 $9,463
$3,582 $18,492 $0 $22,074 $9,160
$3,710 $19,152 $0 $22,862 $8,866
$3,842 $19,836 $0 $23,679 $8,582
$3,979 $20,545 $0 $24,524 $8,307
$4,122 $21,279 $0 $25,400 $8,041
$4,269 $22,039 $0 $26,308 $7,783
$4,421 $22,826 $0 $27,247 $7,534
$4,579 $23,641 $0 $28,220 $7,293
$4,743 $24,485 $0 $29,228 $7,059
$4,912 $25,360 $0 $30,272 $6,833
$5,088 $26,265 $0 $31,353 $6,614
$5,274 $27,229 $0 $32,503 $6,408
$5,468 $28,228 $0 $33,696 $6,208
$5,668 $29,264 $0 $34,932 $6,015
$5,876 $30,337 $0 $36,214 $5,828
$6,092 $31,450 $0 $37,542 $5,646
$6,315 $32,604 $0 $38,920 $5,471
$6,547 $33,800 $0 $40,348 $5,300
$95,284 $491,926 $0 $587,211 $146,187
Discounted
Emissions 3%
$36,327
$35,625
$34,937
$34,262
$33,600
$32,951
$32,314
$31,690
$31,078
$30,477
$29,889
$29,311
$28,745
$28,187
$27,639
$27,103
$26,576
$26,060
$25,554
$25,058
$607,383

Discounted
Emissions 3%
$14,866
$14,948
$15,031
$15,115
$15,198
$15,283
$15,368
$15,453
$15,539
$15,625
$15,712
$15,799
$15,886
$15,989
$16,093
$16,198
$16,303
$16,409
$16,515
$16,623
$313,953
Reduced Truck Emissions

US 70
Pollutant Emissions Rates per VMT (grams/hr) Reduced Pollutant
Reduced Truck
Year
Hours VOC NOx PM25 PM10 VOC

2028 177,254 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.7


2029 179,044 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.7
2030 180,853 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.7
2031 182,680 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.7
2032 184,525 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.7
2033 186,389 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.7
2034 188,272 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.7
2035 190,173 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.7
2036 192,094 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.7
2037 194,035 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.8
2038 195,995 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.8
2039 197,974 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.8
2040 199,974 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.8
2041 201,974 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.8
2042 203,994 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.8
2043 206,033 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.8
2044 208,094 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.8
2045 210,175 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.8
2046 212,276 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.8
2047 214,399 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.8
Total 3906206 15.11

I-95
Pollutant Emissions Rates per VMT (grams/hr) Reduced Pollutant
Reduced Truck
Year
Hours VOC NOx PM25 PM10 VOC

2028 156,550 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.6


2029 162,142 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.6
2030 167,934 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.6
2031 173,933 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.7
2032 180,145 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.7
2033 186,579 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.7
2034 193,243 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.7
2035 200,145 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.8
2036 207,293 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.8
2037 214,697 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.8
2038 222,364 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.9
2039 230,305 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.9
2040 238,529 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 0.9
2041 247,281 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 1.0
2042 256,353 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 1.0
2043 265,759 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 1.0
2044 275,509 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 1.1
2045 285,617 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 1.1
2046 296,096 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 1.1
2047 306,959 3.868 39.052 1.092 1.187 1.2
Total 4467435 17.28
Reduced Pollutants per Year (tons) Emission Costs Saved
NOx PM25 PM10 VOC NOx PM25 PM10

6.9 0.2 0.2 $1,307 $52,001 $66,518 $72,305


7.0 0.2 0.2 $1,320 $52,527 $67,190 $73,035
7.1 0.2 0.2 $1,334 $53,057 $67,869 $73,773
7.1 0.2 0.2 $1,347 $53,593 $68,554 $74,518
7.2 0.2 0.2 $1,361 $54,134 $69,247 $75,271
7.3 0.2 0.2 $1,374 $54,681 $69,946 $76,031
7.4 0.2 0.2 $1,388 $55,234 $70,653 $76,799
7.4 0.2 0.2 $1,402 $55,791 $71,366 $77,575
7.5 0.2 0.2 $1,416 $56,355 $72,087 $78,359
7.6 0.2 0.2 $1,431 $56,924 $72,815 $79,150
7.7 0.2 0.2 $1,445 $57,499 $73,551 $79,950
7.7 0.2 0.2 $1,460 $58,080 $74,294 $80,757
7.8 0.2 0.2 $1,475 $58,667 $75,044 $81,573
7.9 0.2 0.2 $1,489 $59,253 $75,795 $82,389
8.0 0.2 0.2 $1,504 $59,846 $76,553 $83,213
8.0 0.2 0.2 $1,519 $60,444 $77,318 $84,045
8.1 0.2 0.2 $1,534 $61,049 $78,091 $84,885
8.2 0.2 0.2 $1,550 $61,659 $78,872 $85,734
8.3 0.2 0.3 $1,565 $62,276 $79,661 $86,591
8.4 0.2 0.3 $1,581 $62,899 $80,458 $87,457
152.54 $28,804 $1,145,970 $1,593,410

Reduced Pollutants per Year (tons) Emission Costs Saved


NOx PM25 PM10 VOC NOx PM25 PM10

6.1 0.2 0.2 $1,154 $45,927 $58,749 $63,860


6.3 0.2 0.2 $1,196 $47,568 $60,847 $66,141
6.6 0.2 0.2 $1,238 $49,267 $63,021 $68,503
6.8 0.2 0.2 $1,283 $51,027 $65,272 $70,950
7.0 0.2 0.2 $1,328 $52,849 $67,603 $73,484
7.3 0.2 0.2 $1,376 $54,737 $70,018 $76,109
7.5 0.2 0.2 $1,425 $56,692 $72,519 $78,827
7.8 0.2 0.2 $1,476 $58,717 $75,109 $81,643
8.1 0.2 0.2 $1,529 $60,814 $77,791 $84,559
8.4 0.2 0.3 $1,583 $62,986 $80,569 $87,578
8.7 0.2 0.3 $1,640 $65,235 $83,447 $90,706
9.0 0.3 0.3 $1,698 $67,565 $86,427 $93,945
9.3 0.3 0.3 $1,759 $69,978 $89,513 $97,300
9.7 0.3 0.3 $1,823 $72,545 $92,797 $100,870
10.0 0.3 0.3 $1,890 $75,207 $96,202 $104,571
10.4 0.3 0.3 $1,960 $77,966 $99,731 $108,408
10.8 0.3 0.3 $2,032 $80,827 $103,390 $112,385
11.2 0.3 0.3 $2,106 $83,792 $107,184 $116,508
11.6 0.3 0.4 $2,183 $86,866 $111,116 $120,783
12.0 0.3 0.4 $2,263 $90,053 $115,193 $125,214
174.46 $32,942 $1,310,619 $1,822,345
Sub-Total Discounted Discounted
Emissions Emissions 7% Emissions 3%
$192,132 $91,280 $138,800
$194,072 $86,170 $136,118
$196,033 $81,347 $133,489
$198,013 $76,793 $130,910
$200,013 $72,494 $128,381
$202,033 $68,436 $125,900
$204,074 $64,605 $123,468
$206,135 $60,988 $121,083
$208,217 $57,574 $118,743
$210,321 $54,351 $116,449
$212,445 $51,308 $114,200
$214,591 $48,436 $111,993
$216,759 $45,725 $109,830
$218,926 $43,161 $107,697
$221,115 $40,740 $105,606
$223,327 $38,456 $103,555
$225,560 $36,299 $101,545
$227,815 $34,264 $99,573
$230,094 $32,343 $97,639
$232,395 $30,529 $95,743
$4,234,068 $1,115,299 $2,320,722

Sub-Total Discounted Discounted


Emissions Emissions 7% Emissions 3%
$169,690 $80,618 $122,588
$175,751 $78,036 $123,269
$182,029 $75,536 $123,953
$188,531 $73,116 $124,641
$195,265 $70,773 $125,333
$202,240 $68,506 $126,029
$209,463 $66,311 $126,729
$216,944 $64,186 $127,432
$224,692 $62,129 $128,139
$232,717 $60,138 $128,850
$241,028 $58,211 $129,564
$249,635 $56,346 $130,283
$258,550 $54,540 $131,005
$268,036 $52,842 $131,856
$277,870 $51,197 $132,712
$288,065 $49,603 $133,574
$298,633 $48,059 $134,441
$309,590 $46,563 $135,315
$320,948 $45,113 $136,193
$332,724 $43,709 $137,078
$4,842,402 $1,205,532 $2,588,984
Travel Time Savings
Using US 70 Report
US 70 travel time savings
Discounted Discounted
Total Travel
Year TTS Truck Time Auto Time Travel Time Travel Time
Time Savings
Savings Savings
2023 1,685,668 $4,669,190 $30,279,524 $34,948,714 $23,287,804 $29,268,998
2024 1,702,694 $4,716,353 $30,585,378 $35,301,731 $21,984,144 $28,703,538
2025 1,719,893 $4,763,993 $30,894,321 $35,658,314 $20,753,464 $28,149,003
2026 1,737,266 $4,812,114 $31,206,385 $36,018,499 $19,591,677 $27,605,181
2027 1,754,814 $4,860,722 $31,521,601 $36,382,323 $18,494,928 $27,071,865
2028 1,772,540 $4,909,820 $31,840,001 $36,749,821 $17,459,575 $26,548,852
2029 1,790,444 $4,959,414 $32,161,617 $37,121,031 $16,482,182 $26,035,944
2030 1,808,529 $5,009,509 $32,486,482 $37,495,991 $15,559,503 $25,532,945
2031 1,826,797 $5,060,110 $32,814,628 $37,874,738 $14,688,477 $25,039,664
2032 1,845,250 $5,111,222 $33,146,089 $38,257,312 $13,866,210 $24,555,912
2033 1,863,889 $5,162,851 $33,480,898 $38,643,749 $13,089,975 $24,081,507
2034 1,882,716 $5,215,001 $33,819,089 $39,034,090 $12,357,193 $23,616,266
2035 1,901,733 $5,267,678 $34,160,696 $39,428,374 $11,665,433 $23,160,014
2036 1,920,943 $5,320,887 $34,505,754 $39,826,640 $11,012,398 $22,712,576
2037 1,940,346 $5,374,633 $34,854,296 $40,228,929 $10,395,920 $22,273,783
2038 1,959,946 $5,428,922 $35,206,360 $40,635,282 $9,813,952 $21,843,467
2039 1,979,743 $5,483,760 $35,561,980 $41,045,740 $9,264,564 $21,421,464
2040 1,999,740 $5,539,151 $35,921,192 $41,460,343 $8,745,930 $21,007,614
2041 2,019,738 $5,594,543 $36,280,404 $41,874,946 $8,255,504 $20,599,699
2042 2,039,935 $5,650,488 $36,643,208 $42,293,696 $7,792,579 $20,199,705
2043 2,060,334 $5,706,993 $37,009,640 $42,716,633 $7,355,612 $19,807,477
2044 2,080,938 $5,764,063 $37,379,736 $43,143,799 $6,943,147 $19,422,866
2045 2,101,747 $5,821,704 $37,753,534 $43,575,237 $6,553,812 $19,045,723
2046 2,122,765 $5,879,921 $38,131,069 $44,010,990 $6,186,309 $18,675,903
2047 2,143,992 $5,938,720 $38,512,380 $44,451,099 $5,839,413 $18,313,264
Total $108,199,388 $701,669,052 $809,868,440 $213,327,688 $443,894,645
New Project

Source: US 70 Corridor Economic Assessment, 2014


NB B TTS Min Saved/Mile
GTP to I-95 65 50 15 0.277778
GTP to MHC 86 65 21 0.275229
MHC to I-95 155 110 45 0.387931
0.313646 Average
Miles Build Volume Hours

R-5777C 6.32 65800 608681


R-5777A 0.92 34300 46188
R-5777B 1.22 34300 61249
U-5713 1.79 65800 172395
New Project 26 29200 1111227
Truck Operating Savings

US 70 7%
Discounted
Total Truck
Annual Truck Freight
Year Operating Costs
Hours Saved Operating
Saved
Savings
2028 168,567 $8,125,291 $3,860,267
2029 170,269 $8,207,365 $3,644,168
2030 171,989 $8,290,268 $3,440,166
2031 173,727 $8,374,008 $3,247,585
2032 175,481 $8,458,594 $3,065,784
2033 177,254 $8,544,034 $2,894,160
2034 179,044 $8,630,337 $2,732,144
2035 180,853 $8,717,513 $2,579,197
2036 182,680 $8,805,568 $2,434,813
2037 184,525 $8,894,513 $2,298,511
2038 186,389 $8,984,357 $2,169,840
2039 188,272 $9,075,108 $2,048,371
2040 190,173 $9,166,776 $1,933,703
2041 192,094 $9,259,370 $1,825,453
2042 194,035 $9,352,899 $1,723,264
2043 195,995 $9,447,372 $1,626,795
2044 197,974 $9,542,800 $1,535,726
2045 199,974 $9,639,192 $1,449,756
2046 201,974 $9,735,584 $1,368,461
2047 203,994 $9,832,940 $1,291,725
Total 3,715,262 $179,083,889 $47,169,889
3%

Discounted Freight
Operating Savings

$5,869,883
$5,756,481
$5,645,269
$5,536,206
$5,429,249
$5,324,360
$5,221,496
$5,120,620
$5,021,693
$4,924,676
$4,829,535
$4,736,231
$4,644,730
$4,554,996
$4,466,996
$4,380,697
$4,296,064
$4,213,067
$4,131,260
$4,051,041
$98,154,550
Detour Savings

Frequency of flooding eve 0.20 annual


Duration of flooding 3 days
Distance of detour 66 miles
Detour time 1.23 hours

US70 Travel Time Savings


Value of
VMT for Time for Passenger Truck Value of
Year Passenger
Detour Detour Hours Hours Truck Hours
Hours
2028 979,650 18,307 22,902 1,831 $328,840 $50,708
2029 995,519 18,603 23,273 1,860 $334,167 $51,529
2030 1,011,646 18,904 23,650 1,890 $339,580 $52,364
2031 1,028,034 19,211 24,033 1,921 $345,081 $53,212
2032 1,044,687 19,522 24,422 1,952 $350,671 $54,074
2033 1,061,610 19,838 24,818 1,984 $356,351 $54,950
2034 1,078,807 20,160 25,220 2,016 $362,124 $55,841
2035 1,096,282 20,486 25,628 2,049 $367,990 $56,745
2036 1,114,041 20,818 26,043 2,082 $373,951 $57,664
2037 1,132,088 21,155 26,465 2,116 $380,009 $58,598
2038 1,150,426 21,498 26,894 2,150 $386,165 $59,548
2039 1,169,062 21,846 27,329 2,185 $392,420 $60,512
2040 1,188,000 22,200 27,772 2,220 $398,777 $61,493
2041 1,207,245 22,560 28,222 2,256 $405,237 $62,489
2042 1,226,801 22,925 28,679 2,293 $411,801 $63,501
2043 1,246,674 23,296 29,144 2,330 $418,472 $64,530
2044 1,266,869 23,674 29,616 2,367 $425,251 $65,575
2045 1,287,391 24,057 30,096 2,406 $432,140 $66,637
2046 1,308,245 24,447 30,583 2,445 $439,140 $67,717
2047 1,329,438 24,843 31,079 2,484 $446,254 $68,814
Total 22,922,514 428,350 535,866 42,835 $7,694,420 $1,186,502

KABCO-AIS Conversion Table, NHTSA July 2011

Injured -
Severity O - No
Unknown injury
Accidents by Type Per 100,000,000 VM AIS 0 0.21538 0.92534
AIS 1 0.62728 0.07257
Fatalities AIS 2 0.104 0.00198
Injured pe AIS 3 0.03858 0.00008
Crashes AIS 4 0.00442 0
Source: 2015 BTS Motor Vehicle Safety AIS 5 0.01034 0.00003
http://www.rita.dot.gov/bts/sites/rita.dot.gov.bts/files/publications/national_transportation_statistics/html/table_02_17.htm
TIGER 2016 BCA Resource Guide:
https://www.transportation.gov/sites/dot.gov/files/docs/BCA%20Resource%20Guide%

Safety Annual Accidents Avoided by MAIS

Reduced Reduced
Year Fatalities MAIS 5 MAIS 4 MAIS 3 MAIS 2
Injuries Crashes

2028 0.8 2.0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0


2029 0.8 2.0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
2030 0.8 2.1 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
2031 0.8 2.1 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
2032 0.8 2.1 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
2033 0.8 2.2 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
2034 0.9 2.2 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
2035 0.9 2.2 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
2036 0.9 2.3 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
2037 0.9 2.3 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
2038 0.9 2.3 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
2039 0.9 2.4 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
2040 0.9 2.4 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
2041 1.0 2.5 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
2042 1.0 2.5 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
2043 1.0 2.5 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
2044 1.0 2.6 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
2045 1.0 2.6 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
2046 1.0 2.7 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
2047 1.0 2.7 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0
Total 18 47 0 0 0 1 2
Travel Time Savings Truck Operating Savings
Truck
Discounted Discounted at Discounted at
Total Operating Total
at 7% 3% 7%
Savings
$379,548 $180,321 $274,194 $88,242 $88,242 $41,923
$385,696 $171,254 $270,520 $89,671 $89,671 $39,815
$391,944 $162,643 $266,895 $91,124 $91,124 $37,813
$398,293 $154,465 $263,319 $92,600 $92,600 $35,912
$404,745 $146,698 $259,791 $94,100 $94,100 $34,106
$411,302 $139,322 $256,310 $95,624 $95,624 $32,391
$417,965 $132,317 $252,875 $97,173 $97,173 $30,763
$424,735 $125,664 $249,487 $98,747 $98,747 $29,216
$431,616 $119,345 $246,144 $100,347 $100,347 $27,747
$438,607 $113,344 $242,846 $101,973 $101,973 $26,352
$445,712 $107,645 $239,592 $103,624 $103,624 $25,027
$452,932 $102,233 $236,382 $105,303 $105,303 $23,768
$460,270 $97,092 $233,215 $107,009 $107,009 $22,573
$467,726 $92,211 $230,090 $108,742 $108,742 $21,438
$475,302 $87,574 $227,007 $110,504 $110,504 $20,360
$483,002 $83,171 $223,965 $112,294 $112,294 $19,337
$490,826 $78,989 $220,964 $114,113 $114,113 $18,364
$498,777 $75,017 $218,004 $115,962 $115,962 $17,441
$506,857 $71,245 $215,083 $117,840 $117,840 $16,564
$515,067 $67,663 $212,201 $119,749 $119,749 $15,731
$8,880,922 $2,308,213 $4,838,884 $2,064,742 $2,064,742 $536,641
ocs/BCA%20Resource%20Guide%202016.pdf

d by MAIS Cost Savings from Accidents Avoided by MAIS

MAIS 1 PDO Fatalities MAIS 5 MAIS 4 MAIS 3 MAIS 2

0.6 2.0 $108,577 $46,694 $8,887 $30,784 $38,760


0.6 2.0 $110,336 $47,451 $9,031 $31,282 $39,388
0.7 2.1 $112,123 $48,219 $9,177 $31,789 $40,026
0.7 2.1 $113,940 $49,000 $9,326 $32,304 $40,675
0.7 2.1 $115,785 $49,794 $9,477 $32,827 $41,334
0.7 2.2 $117,661 $50,601 $9,631 $33,359 $42,003
0.7 2.2 $119,567 $51,421 $9,787 $33,899 $42,683
0.7 2.2 $121,504 $52,254 $9,945 $34,449 $43,375
0.7 2.3 $123,472 $53,100 $10,106 $35,007 $44,078
0.7 2.3 $125,472 $53,960 $10,270 $35,574 $44,792
0.7 2.4 $127,505 $54,834 $10,436 $36,150 $45,517
0.8 2.4 $129,570 $55,722 $10,605 $36,736 $46,254
0.8 2.4 $131,669 $56,625 $10,777 $37,331 $47,004
0.8 2.5 $133,802 $57,542 $10,952 $37,935 $47,765
0.8 2.5 $135,969 $58,475 $11,129 $38,550 $48,539
0.8 2.6 $138,172 $59,422 $11,309 $39,174 $49,325
0.8 2.6 $140,410 $60,384 $11,493 $39,809 $50,124
0.8 2.6 $142,685 $61,363 $11,679 $40,454 $50,936
0.8 2.7 $144,996 $62,357 $11,868 $41,109 $51,761
0.9 2.7 $147,345 $63,367 $12,060 $41,775 $52,600
15 47 2,540,559 1,092,585 207,945 720,296 906,940
Savings

Discounted at
3%

$63,748
$62,894
$62,051
$61,219
$60,399
$59,590
$58,791
$58,004
$57,227
$56,460
$55,703
$54,957
$54,221
$53,494
$52,777
$52,070
$51,372
$50,684
$50,005
$49,335
$1,125,001
d by MAIS
Discounted Discounted
MAIS 1 PDO Total Crash Costs at Crash Costs at
7% 3%
$18,466 $8,705 $260,873 $123,939 $188,460
$18,765 $8,846 $265,099 $117,707 $185,935
$19,069 $8,989 $269,393 $111,789 $183,444
$19,378 $9,135 $273,757 $106,168 $180,986
$19,691 $9,283 $278,192 $100,829 $178,561
$20,010 $9,433 $282,698 $95,760 $176,168
$20,335 $9,586 $287,278 $90,945 $173,808
$20,664 $9,741 $291,931 $86,372 $171,479
$20,999 $9,899 $296,660 $82,029 $169,181
$21,339 $10,060 $301,466 $77,904 $166,914
$21,684 $10,223 $306,349 $73,987 $164,678
$22,036 $10,388 $311,312 $70,267 $162,471
$22,393 $10,556 $316,355 $66,734 $160,294
$22,755 $10,727 $321,479 $63,379 $158,147
$23,124 $10,901 $326,687 $60,192 $156,028
$23,499 $11,078 $331,979 $57,165 $153,937
$23,879 $11,257 $337,357 $54,291 $151,874
$24,266 $11,440 $342,822 $51,561 $149,839
$24,659 $11,625 $348,375 $48,969 $147,832
$25,059 $11,813 $354,018 $46,506 $145,851
432,069 203,686 6,104,080 1,586,493 3,325,887
Willingness to Pay for Fiber
WTP $10.37 assumed per household to increase up to at least 4Mbps
Assumed willing to pay once per year
Includes only counties directly along I-95 or US 70
https://www.colorado.edu/economics/gradplacement/PetersonJMP.pdf

County Households 2010 Pop Growth 202Pop Growth 2030-2037


Carteret 28870 8 5.2
Craven 40299 0.2 0
Cumberland 122431 0 0
Halifax 21970 -6.8 -5.1
Harnett 41594 16.1 9.7
Johnston 61909 25.7 14.3 **included in I-95 and not US 70
Lenoir 24327 -1.9 -1.4
Nash 37782 0 0
Northampton 9193 -8.2 -6.3
Robeson 47997 -4.9 -3.6
Wayne 47831 6 4
Wilson 31962 6.7 4.6
3.41% 1.78%
Source: Source:
QT-P11 NC Management and Budget
Households and Famhttps://files.nc.gov/ncosbm/demog/countygrowth_cert_2016.html
2010 Census Summary File 1

I-95 7% 3%
Discounted Fiber Discounted
Year Households WTP
Savings Fiber Savings
2010 374,838 $3,887,070 $6,241,785 $4,780,606
2011 387,614 $4,019,554 $6,032,267 $4,799,558
2012 400,825 $4,156,554 $5,829,782 $4,818,585
2013 414,486 $4,298,223 $5,634,094 $4,837,688
2014 428,613 $4,444,721 $5,444,975 $4,856,867
2015 443,222 $4,596,212 $5,262,203 $4,876,121
2016 458,328 $4,752,866 $5,085,567 $4,895,452
2017 473,950 $4,914,860 $4,914,860 $4,914,860
2018 490,104 $5,082,375 $4,749,883 $4,934,344
2019 506,808 $5,255,599 $4,590,444 $4,953,906
2020 524,082 $5,434,727 $4,436,356 $4,973,545
2021 541,944 $5,619,961 $4,287,441 $4,993,262
2022 560,415 $5,811,508 $4,143,525 $5,013,058
2023 579,516 $6,009,583 $4,004,439 $5,032,932
2024 599,268 $6,214,410 $3,870,022 $5,052,884
2025 619,693 $6,426,218 $3,740,117 $5,072,916
2026 640,814 $6,645,245 $3,614,573 $5,093,027
2027 662,655 $6,871,737 $3,493,243 $5,113,218
2028 685,241 $7,105,949 $3,375,985 $5,133,488
2029 708,596 $7,348,143 $3,262,663 $5,153,840
2030 721,233 $7,479,185 $3,103,596 $5,092,961
2031 734,095 $7,612,564 $2,952,283 $5,032,801
2032 747,186 $7,748,321 $2,808,348 $4,973,352
2033 760,511 $7,886,499 $2,671,430 $4,914,606
2034 774,073 $8,027,142 $2,541,188 $4,856,553
2035 787,878 $8,170,293 $2,417,295 $4,799,186
2036 801,928 $8,315,996 $2,299,442 $4,742,496
2037 816,229 $8,464,298 $2,187,336 $4,686,477
2038 830,785 $8,615,245 $2,080,694 $4,631,119
2039 845,601 $8,768,883 $1,979,252 $4,576,414
2040 860,681 $8,925,262 $1,882,756 $4,522,357
2041 876,030 $9,084,429 $1,790,964 $4,468,937
2042 891,652 $9,246,435 $1,703,648 $4,416,149
2043 907,553 $9,411,329 $1,620,589 $4,363,984
2044 923,738 $9,579,165 $1,541,579 $4,312,435
2045 940,211 $9,749,993 $1,466,421 $4,261,495
2046 956,979 $9,923,868 $1,394,927 $4,211,157
2047 974,045 $10,100,844 $1,326,919 $4,161,414
Total 16,544,247 $171,563,843 $44,407,315 $93,311,221

US 70 7% 3%
Discounted Fiber Discounted
Year Households WTP
Savings Fiber Savings
2010 141,327 $1,465,561 $2,353,371 $1,802,455
2011 146,144 $1,515,512 $2,274,375 $1,809,601
2012 151,125 $1,567,166 $2,198,031 $1,816,775
2013 156,276 $1,620,580 $2,124,250 $1,823,977
2014 161,602 $1,675,815 $2,052,945 $1,831,208
2015 167,110 $1,732,932 $1,984,034 $1,838,468
2016 172,806 $1,791,996 $1,917,436 $1,845,756
2017 178,696 $1,853,074 $1,853,074 $1,853,074
2018 184,786 $1,916,233 $1,790,872 $1,860,420
2019 191,084 $1,981,544 $1,730,757 $1,867,795
2020 197,597 $2,049,082 $1,672,661 $1,875,200
2021 204,332 $2,118,921 $1,616,515 $1,882,634
2022 211,296 $2,191,141 $1,562,253 $1,890,098
2023 218,498 $2,265,823 $1,509,813 $1,897,591
2024 225,945 $2,343,049 $1,459,133 $1,905,114
2025 233,646 $2,422,908 $1,410,155 $1,912,666
2026 241,609 $2,505,489 $1,362,820 $1,920,249
2027 249,844 $2,590,884 $1,317,074 $1,927,861
2028 258,360 $2,679,190 $1,272,864 $1,935,504
2029 267,165 $2,770,506 $1,230,138 $1,943,177
2030 271,930 $2,819,914 $1,170,164 $1,920,224
2031 276,779 $2,870,202 $1,113,114 $1,897,542
2032 281,715 $2,921,387 $1,058,845 $1,875,127
2033 286,739 $2,973,485 $1,007,222 $1,852,978
2034 291,853 $3,026,513 $958,116 $1,831,090
2035 297,057 $3,080,485 $911,404 $1,809,460
2036 302,355 $3,135,421 $866,970 $1,788,087
2037 307,747 $3,191,336 $824,702 $1,766,965
2038 313,235 $3,248,248 $784,494 $1,746,093
2039 318,821 $3,306,175 $746,247 $1,725,468
2040 324,507 $3,365,135 $709,865 $1,705,086
2041 330,294 $3,425,147 $675,256 $1,684,945
2042 336,184 $3,486,228 $642,335 $1,665,042
2043 342,179 $3,548,399 $611,018 $1,645,374
2044 348,282 $3,611,679 $581,229 $1,625,938
2045 354,493 $3,676,088 $552,892 $1,606,732
2046 360,814 $3,741,644 $525,936 $1,587,753
2047 367,249 $3,808,370 $500,295 $1,568,998
Total 6,237,758 $64,685,553 $16,743,106 $35,181,583
5 and not US 70

cert_2016.html
Reduced Crashes

Crash Reduction (Crashes/Year)

Location Non-
Incapacitating
Fatal incapacitating Possible Injury (C)
Injury (A)
Injury (B)
I-5986A 0.1 0 0.2 0.3
I-5986B 0 0.1 0.5 0.7
I-5877 0 0 0 0
I-5878 0 0 0 0
I-5883 0 0 0 0
Total 0.1 0.1 0.7 1
Source: AECOM Safety Analysis

I-95 Build

Year F A B C

2028 0.100 0.100 0.700 1.000


2029 0.100 0.100 0.700 1.000
2030 0.100 0.100 0.700 1.000
2031 0.100 0.100 0.700 1.000
2032 0.100 0.100 0.700 1.000
2033 0.100 0.100 0.700 1.000
2034 0.100 0.100 0.700 1.000
2035 0.100 0.100 0.700 1.000
2036 0.100 0.100 0.700 1.000
2037 0.100 0.100 0.700 1.000
2038 0.100 0.100 0.700 1.000
2039 0.100 0.100 0.700 1.000
2040 0.100 0.100 0.700 1.000
2041 0.100 0.100 0.700 1.000
2042 0.100 0.100 0.700 1.000
2043 0.100 0.100 0.700 1.000
2044 0.100 0.100 0.700 1.000
2045 0.100 0.100 0.700 1.000
2046 0.100 0.100 0.700 1.000
2047 0.100 0.100 0.700 1.000
Total 2 2 14 20
US 70 Corridor
Fatality rate 0.7 per 100M VMT

Crash rates Craven County Johnston


Rural Partial Access Control 127.18 101.95 114.565
Rural Full Access Control 86.75 61.76 74.255

Source: US70 Corridor Commission Crash Summary for 2014-2016

US70

Annual VMT Reduced Reduced


Year Reduced Crashes
Reduced Fatalities Injuries

2028 675,859 0.3


2029 686,808 0.3
2030 697,933 0.3
2031 709,239 0.3
2032 720,728 0.3
2033 732,403 0.3
2034 744,268 0.3
2035 756,324 0.3
2036 768,576 0.3
2037 781,026 0.3
2038 793,678 0.3
2039 806,535 0.3
2040 819,600 0.3
2041 832,877 0.3
2042 846,369 0.3
2043 860,079 0.3
2044 874,011 0.4
2045 888,170 0.4
2046 902,557 0.4
2047 917,178 0.4
Total 10,525,855 - - 4.2
)

PDO

3.2
7.3
0
0
0
10.5

Value Saved

PDO F A B C PDO Total

10.500 $977,624 $46,753 $89,106 $65,073 $45,466 $1,224,022


10.500 $977,624 $46,753 $89,106 $65,073 $45,466 $1,224,022
10.500 $977,624 $46,753 $89,106 $65,073 $45,466 $1,224,022
10.500 $977,624 $46,753 $89,106 $65,073 $45,466 $1,224,022
10.500 $977,624 $46,753 $89,106 $65,073 $45,466 $1,224,022
10.500 $977,624 $46,753 $89,106 $65,073 $45,466 $1,224,022
10.500 $977,624 $46,753 $89,106 $65,073 $45,466 $1,224,022
10.500 $977,624 $46,753 $89,106 $65,073 $45,466 $1,224,022
10.500 $977,624 $46,753 $89,106 $65,073 $45,466 $1,224,022
10.500 $977,624 $46,753 $89,106 $65,073 $45,466 $1,224,022
10.500 $977,624 $46,753 $89,106 $65,073 $45,466 $1,224,022
10.500 $977,624 $46,753 $89,106 $65,073 $45,466 $1,224,022
10.500 $977,624 $46,753 $89,106 $65,073 $45,466 $1,224,022
10.500 $977,624 $46,753 $89,106 $65,073 $45,466 $1,224,022
10.500 $977,624 $46,753 $89,106 $65,073 $45,466 $1,224,022
10.500 $977,624 $46,753 $89,106 $65,073 $45,466 $1,224,022
10.500 $977,624 $46,753 $89,106 $65,073 $45,466 $1,224,022
10.500 $977,624 $46,753 $89,106 $65,073 $45,466 $1,224,022
10.500 $977,624 $46,753 $89,106 $65,073 $45,466 $1,224,022
10.500 $977,624 $46,753 $89,106 $65,073 $45,466 $1,224,022
210 $19,552,484 $935,057 $1,782,127 $1,301,462 $909,313 $24,480,443

KABCO-AIS Conversion Table, NHTSA July 2011


Injured -
Severity
Unknown O - No injury
AIS 0 0.21538 0.92534
AIS 1 0.62728 0.07257
AIS 2 0.104 0.00198
AIS 3 0.03858 0.00008
AIS 4 0.00442 0
AIS 5 0.01034 0.00003
TIGER 2016 BCA Resource Guide:
https://www.transportation.gov/sites/dot.gov/files/docs/BCA%20Resource%20Guide%202016.pdf

Annual Accidents Avoided by MAIS

Fatalities MAIS 5 MAIS 4 MAIS 3 MAIS 2 MAIS 1 PDO

- 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3


- 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
- 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
- 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
- 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
- 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
- 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
- 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
- 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
- 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
- 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
- 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
- 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
- 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
- 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
- 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
- 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
- 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
- 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
- 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
- 0.0 - 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.9
Discounted Discounted
Crash Costs Crash Costs at
at 7% 3%
$581,524 $884,260
$543,480 $858,505
$507,926 $833,500
$474,697 $809,223
$443,642 $785,653
$414,619 $762,770
$387,494 $740,554
$362,144 $718,984
$338,452 $698,043
$316,311 $677,711
$295,617 $657,972
$276,278 $638,808
$258,204 $620,202
$241,312 $602,138
$225,525 $584,600
$210,771 $567,573
$196,982 $551,041
$184,096 $534,992
$172,052 $519,409
$160,796 $504,281
$6,591,922 $13,550,219
Cost Savings from Accidents Avoided by MAIS

Fatalities MAIS 5 MAIS 4 MAIS 3 MAIS 2 MAIS 1

$0 $47 $0 $22 $248 $580


$0 $48 $0 $23 $252 $589
$0 $49 $0 $23 $256 $599
$0 $50 $0 $23 $260 $608
$0 $51 $0 $24 $264 $618
$0 $51 $0 $24 $269 $628
$0 $52 $0 $25 $273 $639
$0 $53 $0 $25 $277 $649
$0 $54 $0 $25 $282 $659
$0 $55 $0 $26 $286 $670
$0 $56 $0 $26 $291 $681
$0 $57 $0 $27 $296 $692
$0 $57 $0 $27 $301 $703
$0 $58 $0 $28 $305 $715
$0 $59 $0 $28 $310 $726
$0 $60 $0 $28 $315 $738
$0 $61 $0 $29 $321 $750
$0 $62 $0 $29 $326 $762
$0 $63 $0 $30 $331 $774
$0 $64 $0 $30 $336 $787
$0 $738 $0 $348 $3,860 $9,031
Discounted
Discounted Crash
PDO Total Crash Costs at
Costs at 7%
3%
$1,092 $1,989 $945 $1,437
$1,109 $2,021 $897 $1,418
$1,127 $2,054 $852 $1,399
$1,146 $2,087 $809 $1,380
$1,164 $2,121 $769 $1,361
$1,183 $2,155 $730 $1,343
$1,202 $2,190 $693 $1,325
$1,222 $2,226 $659 $1,307
$1,241 $2,262 $625 $1,290
$1,261 $2,299 $594 $1,273
$1,282 $2,336 $564 $1,256
$1,303 $2,374 $536 $1,239
$1,324 $2,412 $509 $1,222
$1,345 $2,451 $483 $1,206
$1,367 $2,491 $429 $1,155
$1,389 $2,531 $407 $1,140
$1,412 $2,572 $387 $1,124
$1,435 $2,614 $367 $1,109
$1,458 $2,656 $349 $1,094
$1,481 $2,699 $331 $1,080
$17,001 $30,978 $9,665 $18,456
Reliability Benefit

I-95 Reliability 4%
NB Average Trip
NB Average Trip Reliability Time Segment
Year Time (hours per
Length 2040 Saved AADT
trip)
2028 45 0.6 0 87,833
2029 45 0.6 0 91,055
2030 44 0.6 0 94,396
2031 44 0.6 0 97,859
2032 44 0.6 0 101,450
2033 44 0.6 0 105,172
2034 44 0.6 0 109,030
2035 44 0.6 0 113,030
2036 44 0.6 0 117,177
2037 44 0.6 0 121,476
2038 44 0.6 0 125,933
2039 44 0.6 0 130,554
2040 44 0.6 0 135,344
2041 44 0.6 0 140,309
2042 44 0.6 0 145,457
2043 44 0.6 0 150,794
2044 44 0.6 0 156,326
2045 44 0.6 0 162,061
2046 44 0.6 0 168,007
2047 44 0.6 0 174,171
Total
*note 2009 average trip length held constant to 2015

US70 Reliability 4%
NB Average Trip
NB Average Trip Reliability Time Segment
Year Time (hours per
Length 2040 Saved AADT
trip)
2028 27 0.5 0 24,739
2029 27 0.5 0 25,139
2030 27 0.5 0 25,547
2031 27 0.5 0 25,960
2032 27 0.5 0 26,381
2033 27 0.5 0 26,808
2034 27 0.5 0 27,243
2035 27 0.5 0 27,684
2036 27 0.5 0 28,132
2037 27 0.5 0 28,588
2038 27 0.5 0 29,051
2039 27 0.5 0 29,522
2040 27 0.5 0 30,000
2041 27 0.5 0 30,486
2042 27 0.5 0 30,980
2043 27 0.5 0 31,482
2044 27 0.5 0 31,992
2045 27 0.5 0 32,510
2046 27 0.5 0 33,036
2047 27 0.5 0 33,572
Total
Annual Time Truck Time Auto Time
VOT Truck VOT Auto Value of Time
Saved Saved Saved

626,201 156,550 652,814 $18,082,531 $9,373,665 $27,456,196


648,569 162,142 676,133 $18,728,458 $9,708,502 $28,436,960
671,736 167,934 700,285 $19,397,441 $10,055,291 $29,452,732
695,730 173,933 725,299 $20,090,303 $10,414,458 $30,504,761
720,580 180,145 751,205 $20,807,895 $10,786,445 $31,594,340
746,318 186,579 778,036 $21,551,099 $11,171,709 $32,722,808
772,974 193,243 805,825 $22,320,829 $11,570,724 $33,891,553
800,581 200,145 834,605 $23,118,030 $11,983,979 $35,102,009
829,173 207,293 864,413 $23,943,683 $12,411,983 $36,355,666
858,786 214,697 895,285 $24,798,803 $12,855,262 $37,654,064
889,456 222,364 927,258 $25,684,438 $13,314,360 $38,998,798
921,220 230,305 960,372 $26,601,679 $13,789,841 $40,391,520
954,118 238,529 994,668 $27,551,652 $14,282,290 $41,833,942
989,123 247,281 1,031,161 $28,562,491 $14,806,291 $43,368,782
1,025,413 256,353 1,068,993 $29,610,417 $15,349,518 $44,959,935
1,063,034 265,759 1,108,213 $30,696,790 $15,912,674 $46,609,465
1,102,036 275,509 1,148,872 $31,823,021 $16,496,493 $48,319,514
1,142,468 285,617 1,191,023 $32,990,573 $17,101,731 $50,092,303
1,184,384 296,096 1,234,721 $34,200,960 $17,729,174 $51,930,134
1,227,838 306,959 1,280,021 $35,455,755 $18,379,638 $53,835,393
17869739 4467435 18629203 $516,016,847 $267,494,027 $783,510,875

Annual Time Truck Time Auto Time


VOT Truck VOT Auto Value of Time
Saved Saved Saved

137,630 34,407 143,479 $3,974,270 $2,060,192 $6,034,462


139,859 34,965 145,803 $4,038,650 $2,093,565 $6,132,215
142,125 35,531 148,165 $4,104,072 $2,127,479 $6,231,551
144,427 36,107 150,565 $4,170,554 $2,161,942 $6,332,496
146,766 36,692 153,004 $4,238,114 $2,196,963 $6,435,077
149,144 37,286 155,483 $4,306,767 $2,232,552 $6,539,319
151,560 37,890 158,001 $4,376,533 $2,268,717 $6,645,250
154,015 38,504 160,561 $4,447,429 $2,305,468 $6,752,897
156,510 39,128 163,162 $4,519,473 $2,342,815 $6,862,288
159,045 39,761 165,805 $4,592,684 $2,380,766 $6,973,450
161,622 40,405 168,491 $4,667,081 $2,419,333 $7,086,414
164,240 41,060 171,220 $4,742,684 $2,458,524 $7,201,207
166,900 41,725 173,994 $4,819,511 $2,498,349 $7,317,860
169,604 42,401 176,812 $4,897,582 $2,538,820 $7,436,403
172,351 43,088 179,676 $4,976,919 $2,579,947 $7,556,866
175,143 43,786 182,587 $5,057,540 $2,621,740 $7,679,280
177,981 44,495 185,545 $5,139,468 $2,664,209 $7,803,677
180,864 45,216 188,550 $5,222,722 $2,707,367 $7,930,089
183,793 45,948 191,605 $5,307,326 $2,751,224 $8,058,549
186,771 46,693 194,709 $5,393,299 $2,795,791 $8,189,091
3220350 805088 3357215 $92,992,678 $48,205,763 $141,198,441
7% 3%

Discounted Travel Discounted Travel


Time Savings Time Savings

$13,044,241 $19,834,940
$12,626,350 $19,945,111
$12,221,837 $20,055,877
$11,830,272 $20,167,241
$11,451,243 $20,279,205
$11,084,347 $20,391,772
$10,729,198 $20,504,947
$10,385,418 $20,618,731
$10,052,645 $20,733,129
$9,730,526 $20,848,142
$9,418,720 $20,963,776
$9,116,898 $21,080,031
$8,824,740 $21,196,913
$8,550,009 $21,334,567
$8,283,831 $21,473,115
$8,025,940 $21,612,563
$7,776,077 $21,752,916
$7,533,993 $21,894,181
$7,299,446 $22,036,364
$7,072,200 $22,179,469
$195,057,931 $418,902,990

7% 3%

Discounted Travel Discounted Travel


Time Savings Time Savings

$2,866,929 $4,359,424
$2,722,777 $4,301,012
$2,585,872 $4,243,383
$2,455,851 $4,186,526
$2,332,368 $4,130,431
$2,215,094 $4,075,088
$2,103,716 $4,020,486
$1,997,939 $3,966,615
$1,897,480 $3,913,467
$1,802,072 $3,861,030
$1,711,462 $3,809,297
$1,625,407 $3,758,256
$1,543,680 $3,707,899
$1,466,062 $3,658,217
$1,392,346 $3,609,201
$1,322,337 $3,560,842
$1,255,849 $3,513,130
$1,192,703 $3,466,058
$1,132,732 $3,419,616
$1,075,777 $3,373,797
$36,698,453 $76,933,775
Table 10.1—GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT AND DEFLATORS USED IN THE HISTORICAL TA
(Fiscal Year 2009 = 1.000)

GDP (in GDP Payment for Individua


Fiscal Year billions of (Chained) Total Total Non-
dollars) Price Index Total
Defense defense
Total

1940 98.2 0.0809 0.0697 0.0651 0.0707 0.0788


1941 116.2 0.0840 0.0769 0.0801 0.0743 0.0815
1942 147.7 0.0902 0.0872 0.0976 0.0678 0.0892
1943 184.6 0.0961 0.0964 0.1045 0.0671 0.0988
1944 213.8 0.0995 0.0887 0.0918 0.0726 0.1061
1945 226.4 0.1019 0.0834 0.0835 0.0831 0.1115
1946 228.0 0.1097 0.0842 0.0801 0.1019 0.1176
1947 238.9 0.1216 0.0956 0.0866 0.1019 0.1264
1948 262.4 0.1331 0.0994 0.0812 0.1103 0.1380
1949 276.8 0.1375 0.0958 0.0810 0.1056 0.1417
1950 279.0 0.1355 0.1005 0.0818 0.1127 0.1399
1951 327.4 0.1428 0.1009 0.0866 0.1226 0.1478
1952 357.5 0.1485 0.1006 0.0901 0.1339 0.1537
1953 382.5 0.1512 0.1080 0.0993 0.1349 0.1559
1954 387.7 0.1530 0.1112 0.1009 0.1450 0.1580
1955 407.0 0.1542 0.1151 0.1043 0.1390 0.1579
1956 439.0 0.1582 0.1202 0.1105 0.1386 0.1598
1957 464.2 0.1641 0.1261 0.1161 0.1441 0.1644
1958 474.3 0.1691 0.1335 0.1216 0.1533 0.1692
1959 505.6 0.1717 0.1391 0.1298 0.1513 0.1716
1960 535.1 0.1741 0.1411 0.1286 0.1579 0.1747
1961 547.6 0.1765 0.1443 0.1309 0.1612 0.1772
1962 586.9 0.1783 0.1445 0.1312 0.1603 0.1789
1963 619.3 0.1805 0.1507 0.1369 0.1661 0.1810
1964 662.9 0.1827 0.1531 0.1388 0.1679 0.1835
1965 710.7 0.1859 0.1553 0.1386 0.1707 0.1861
1966 781.9 0.1899 0.1596 0.1451 0.1727 0.1895
1967 838.2 0.1957 0.1632 0.1498 0.1763 0.1946
1968 899.3 0.2024 0.1691 0.1568 0.1813 0.2006
1969 982.3 0.2117 0.1798 0.1657 0.1932 0.2091
1970 1,049.1 0.2231 0.1899 0.1742 0.2030 0.2191
1971 1,119.3 0.2344 0.2030 0.1853 0.2155 0.2289
1972 1,219.5 0.2455 0.2165 0.2031 0.2242 0.2377
1973 1,356.0 0.2562 0.2266 0.2176 0.2309 0.2466
1974 1,486.2 0.2743 0.2454 0.2325 0.2512 0.2664
1975 1,610.6 0.3027 0.2695 0.2533 0.2758 0.2940
1976 1,790.3 0.3237 0.2888 0.2696 0.2955 0.3132
TQ 472.6 0.3334 0.2961 0.2749 0.3032 0.3230
1977 2,028.4 0.3470 0.3098 0.2906 0.3163 0.3366
1978 2,278.2 0.3703 0.3292 0.3102 0.3353 0.3594
1979 2,570.0 0.4001 0.3576 0.3355 0.3649 0.3892
1980 2,796.8 0.4349 0.3951 0.3709 0.4028 0.4302
1981 3,138.4 0.4775 0.4391 0.4133 0.4476 0.4720
1982 3,313.9 0.5103 0.4721 0.4491 0.4803 0.5011
1983 3,541.1 0.5327 0.4957 0.4720 0.5045 0.5241
1984 3,952.8 0.5515 0.5184 0.4944 0.5278 0.5444
1985 4,270.4 0.5698 0.5372 0.5128 0.5467 0.5637
1986 4,536.1 0.5828 0.5486 0.5242 0.5585 0.5783
1987 4,781.9 0.5958 0.5643 0.5325 0.5777 0.5930
1988 5,155.1 0.6151 0.5835 0.5455 0.5991 0.6155
1989 5,570.0 0.6396 0.6058 0.5647 0.6222 0.6425
1990 5,914.6 0.6627 0.6237 0.5844 0.6371 0.6682
1991 6,110.1 0.6862 0.6526 0.6159 0.6629 0.6943
1992 6,434.7 0.7030 0.6771 0.6231 0.6936 0.7122
1993 6,794.9 0.7197 0.6972 0.6302 0.7171 0.7306
1994 7,197.8 0.7354 0.7100 0.6366 0.7301 0.7459
1995 7,583.4 0.7510 0.7306 0.6498 0.7511 0.7618
1996 7,978.3 0.7650 0.7459 0.6641 0.7652 0.7771
1997 8,483.2 0.7785 0.7612 0.6740 0.7817 0.7927
1998 8,954.8 0.7881 0.7679 0.6866 0.7860 0.7999
1999 9,510.5 0.7981 0.7777 0.7015 0.7943 0.8092
2000 10,148.2 0.8147 0.7970 0.7235 0.8133 0.8283
2001 10,564.6 0.8342 0.8183 0.7494 0.8333 0.8468
2002 10,876.9 0.8477 0.8319 0.7761 0.8446 0.8568
2003 11,332.4 0.8639 0.8554 0.8239 0.8630 0.8740
2004 12,088.6 0.8853 0.8778 0.8552 0.8836 0.8930
2005 12,888.9 0.9131 0.9081 0.8963 0.9111 0.9180
2006 13,684.7 0.9428 0.9395 0.9350 0.9406 0.9457
2007 14,322.9 0.9684 0.9643 0.9648 0.9642 0.9659
2008 14,752.4 0.9885 0.9980 1.0019 0.9970 0.9999
2009 14,414.6 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000
2010 14,798.5 1.0088 1.0157 1.0183 1.0151 1.0162
2011 15,379.2 1.0293 1.0395 1.0496 1.0371 1.0377
2012 16,027.2 1.0481 1.0603 1.0647 1.0592 1.0597
2013 16,515.9 1.0658 1.0740 1.0716 1.0745 1.0753
2014 17,220.0 1.0853 1.0906 1.0898 1.0907 1.0914
2015 17,904.0 1.0981 1.0976 1.0938 1.0983 1.0974
2016 18,407.4 1.1112 1.1066 1.0989 1.1080 1.1066
2017 estimate 19,161.9 1.1316 1.1321 1.1191 1.1344 1.1331
2018 estimate 20,013.7 1.1545 1.1567 1.1394 1.1601 1.1592
2019 estimate 20,947.3 1.1775 1.1828 1.1622 1.1867 1.1858
2020 estimate 21,980.6 1.2011 1.2095 1.1854 1.2140 1.2131
2021 estimate 23,092.7 1.2251 1.2369 1.2091 1.2418 1.2409
2022 estimate 24,261.3 1.2496 1.2647 1.2333 1.2699 1.2694
Note: Constant dollar research and development outlays are based on the GDP (chained) price index.

Downloaded 9/7/17
ED IN THE HISTORICAL TABLES: 1940–2022

Composite Outlay Deflators

Payment for Individuals Undis- Addendum: Direct Capital


Other tributed
Net Interest All Other
Grants Offsetting
Direct Grants Receipts Total

0.0788 0.0788 0.0493 0.0809 0.0477 0.0674 0.1448


0.0815 0.0815 0.0446 0.0840 0.0474 0.0688 0.1548
0.0892 0.0892 0.0437 0.0902 0.0509 0.0595 0.1614
0.0988 0.0988 0.0469 0.0961 0.0557 0.0584 0.1582
0.1061 0.1061 0.0498 0.0995 0.0614 0.0624 0.1536
0.1116 0.1113 0.0503 0.1019 0.0647 0.0663 0.1433
0.1176 0.1174 0.0555 0.1097 0.0673 0.0719 0.1455
0.1264 0.1263 0.1309 0.1216 0.0713 0.0741 0.1624
0.1380 0.1379 0.0751 0.1331 0.0771 0.0816 0.1800
0.1418 0.1416 0.0791 0.1375 0.0749 0.0795 0.1902
0.1400 0.1395 0.0750 0.1355 0.0789 0.0848 0.1867
0.1479 0.1473 0.0894 0.1428 0.0778 0.0866 0.1998
0.1537 0.1532 0.0899 0.1485 0.0838 0.0944 0.2094
0.1560 0.1555 0.0941 0.1512 0.0887 0.0993 0.2122
0.1580 0.1578 0.0904 0.1530 0.0918 0.1061 0.2103
0.1579 0.1578 0.0921 0.1542 0.0943 0.1028 0.2162
0.1598 0.1597 0.0936 0.1582 0.0954 0.1024 0.2275
0.1644 0.1643 0.1019 0.1641 0.0976 0.1060 0.2401
0.1692 0.1691 0.1128 0.1691 0.1044 0.1150 0.2478
0.1716 0.1715 0.1199 0.1717 0.1097 0.1191 0.2521
0.1748 0.1746 0.1204 0.1741 0.1088 0.1229 0.2540
0.1772 0.1771 0.1184 0.1765 0.1142 0.1295 0.2554
0.1789 0.1788 0.1190 0.1783 0.1164 0.1315 0.2576
0.1810 0.1809 0.1231 0.1805 0.1202 0.1396 0.2617
0.1835 0.1834 0.1251 0.1827 0.1241 0.1462 0.2621
0.1862 0.1860 0.1286 0.1859 0.1311 0.1523 0.2627
0.1895 0.1894 0.1255 0.1899 0.1356 0.1566 0.2648
0.1946 0.1945 0.1274 0.1957 0.1390 0.1589 0.2687
0.2006 0.2005 0.1319 0.2024 0.1441 0.1625 0.2746
0.2091 0.2090 0.1400 0.2117 0.1541 0.1747 0.2850
0.2191 0.2190 0.1494 0.2231 0.1668 0.1855 0.2998
0.2289 0.2288 0.1601 0.2344 0.1837 0.2031 0.3185
0.2377 0.2376 0.1679 0.2455 0.1979 0.2164 0.3417
0.2466 0.2465 0.1719 0.2562 0.2094 0.2289 0.3637
0.2664 0.2663 0.1878 0.2743 0.2222 0.2422 0.3863
0.2940 0.2939 0.2084 0.3027 0.2389 0.2586 0.4197
0.3132 0.3131 0.2246 0.3237 0.2588 0.2814 0.4485
0.3230 0.3229 0.2327 0.3334 0.2666 0.2877 0.4651
0.3367 0.3365 0.2408 0.3470 0.2791 0.3023 0.4838
0.3595 0.3593 0.2562 0.3703 0.2966 0.3192 0.5134
0.3893 0.3891 0.2795 0.4001 0.3153 0.3436 0.5474
0.4303 0.4301 0.3107 0.4349 0.3414 0.3683 0.5909
0.4720 0.4718 0.3462 0.4775 0.3751 0.4038 0.6426
0.5011 0.5009 0.3759 0.5103 0.3930 0.4233 0.6966
0.5241 0.5239 0.3950 0.5327 0.4077 0.4371 0.7325
0.5444 0.5442 0.4155 0.5515 0.4173 0.4593 0.7594
0.5637 0.5634 0.4331 0.5698 0.4345 0.4782 0.7674
0.5784 0.5781 0.4486 0.5828 0.4407 0.4796 0.7621
0.5931 0.5928 0.4712 0.5958 0.4425 0.4894 0.7549
0.6156 0.6150 0.4890 0.6151 0.4566 0.5082 0.7560
0.6426 0.6415 0.5098 0.6396 0.4670 0.5163 0.7701
0.6684 0.6667 0.5341 0.6627 0.4797 0.5189 0.7851
0.6946 0.6926 0.5557 0.6862 0.5124 0.5493 0.8067
0.7126 0.7102 0.5725 0.7030 0.5257 0.5906 0.8185
0.7310 0.7280 0.5909 0.7197 0.5560 0.6362 0.8359
0.7466 0.7425 0.6066 0.7354 0.5815 0.6449 0.8549
0.7626 0.7584 0.6271 0.7510 0.6001 0.6851 0.8766
0.7778 0.7735 0.6442 0.7650 0.6282 0.7057 0.8885
0.7934 0.7890 0.6559 0.7785 0.6431 0.7203 0.8858
0.8005 0.7973 0.6650 0.7881 0.6583 0.7101 0.8865
0.8097 0.8069 0.6816 0.7981 0.6774 0.7292 0.8951
0.8289 0.8256 0.7074 0.8147 0.7093 0.7551 0.9079
0.8473 0.8444 0.7301 0.8342 0.7310 0.7816 0.9114
0.8573 0.8547 0.7444 0.8477 0.7702 0.8084 0.9061
0.8745 0.8719 0.7672 0.8639 0.8057 0.8380 0.9130
0.8934 0.8912 0.7979 0.8853 0.8468 0.8680 0.9260
0.9183 0.9167 0.8458 0.9131 0.8867 0.9006 0.9437
0.9459 0.9446 0.8892 0.9428 0.9229 0.9326 0.9601
0.9660 0.9655 0.9354 0.9684 0.9562 0.9633 0.9749
1.0000 0.9996 0.9811 0.9885 0.9879 0.9893 0.9929
1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000
1.0163 1.0159 1.0150 1.0088 1.0320 1.0152 1.0070
1.0378 1.0374 1.0432 1.0293 1.0686 1.0466 1.0278
1.0597 1.0596 1.0693 1.0481 1.0839 1.0683 1.0394
1.0753 1.0753 1.0914 1.0658 1.0921 1.0665 1.0451
1.0914 1.0914 1.1154 1.0853 1.1310 1.0825 1.0595
1.0974 1.0975 1.1266 1.0981 1.1433 1.1161 1.0656
1.1066 1.1067 1.1345 1.1112 1.1578 1.1281 1.0669
1.1331 1.1332 1.1634 1.1316 1.1790 1.1515 1.0873
1.1591 1.1593 1.1986 1.1545 1.2028 1.1739 1.1065
1.1857 1.1859 1.2336 1.1775 1.2269 1.1973 1.1270
1.2130 1.2132 1.2716 1.2011 1.2514 1.2213 1.1482
1.2409 1.2411 1.3098 1.2251 1.2764 1.2457 1.1699
1.2694 1.2696 1.3519 1.2496 1.3020 1.2706 1.1925
ed) price index.
Addendum: Direct Capital

Non-
Defense
defense
0.1484 0.1433
0.1573 0.1490
0.1616 0.1581
0.1582 0.1585
0.1536 0.1625
0.1432 0.1668
0.1451 0.1643
0.1616 0.1670
0.1773 0.1903
0.1868 0.1985
0.1860 0.1879
0.2003 0.1978
0.2094 0.2098
0.2118 0.2177
0.2099 0.2163
0.2165 0.2126
0.2280 0.2186
0.2409 0.2291
0.2487 0.2367
0.2532 0.2402
0.2552 0.2439
0.2566 0.2462
0.2588 0.2484
0.2632 0.2508
0.2634 0.2542
0.2641 0.2564
0.2662 0.2576
0.2698 0.2615
0.2755 0.2673
0.2858 0.2775
0.3005 0.2930
0.3196 0.3113
0.3448 0.3259
0.3692 0.3396
0.3912 0.3661
0.4234 0.4061
0.4528 0.4331
0.4722 0.4435
0.4913 0.4578
0.5238 0.4806
0.5581 0.5120
0.5996 0.5584
0.6507 0.6090
0.7045 0.6554
0.7410 0.6765
0.7700 0.6939
0.7773 0.7087
0.7686 0.7174
0.7592 0.7263
0.7575 0.7473
0.7698 0.7722
0.7839 0.7921
0.8054 0.8135
0.8179 0.8208
0.8366 0.8332
0.8570 0.8469
0.8788 0.8701
0.8925 0.8779
0.8888 0.8778
0.8887 0.8786
0.8992 0.8846
0.9108 0.9017
0.9115 0.9113
0.9041 0.9107
0.9118 0.9160
0.9250 0.9292
0.9423 0.9484
0.9593 0.9626
0.9744 0.9766
0.9921 0.9956
1.0000 1.0000
1.0052 1.0127
1.0249 1.0361
1.0373 1.0459
1.0413 1.0558
1.0543 1.0762
1.0588 1.0846
1.0596 1.0885
1.0791 1.1085
1.1008 1.1309
1.1229 1.1535
1.1453 1.1765
1.1682 1.2001
1.1916 1.2241
Projected Population Change in North Carolina Counties: 2
Total Population Population Change
County July 2020 Projection July 2030 Projection Numeric Percent
Alamance 167588 190524 22936 13.7
Alexander 38891 39822 931 2.4
Alleghany 11326 11634 308 2.7
Anson 25628 25627 -1 0
Ashe 27186 26853 -333 -1.2
Avery 18083 18083 0 0
Beaufort 47270 46380 -890 -1.9
Bertie 19831 19832 1 0
Bladen 33574 30842 -2732 -8.1
Brunswick 141520 171805 30285 21.4
Buncombe 270935 302284 31349 11.6
Burke 91767 96288 4521 4.9
Cabarrus 217409 258327 40918 18.8
Caldwell 85264 89689 4425 5.2
Camden 10505 10672 167 1.6
Carteret 71652 77380 5728 8
Caswell 23694 23695 1 0
Catawba 158374 163123 4749 3
Chatham 79480 94966 15486 19.5
Cherokee 30967 34330 3363 10.9
Chowan 13944 12778 -1166 -8.4
Clay 11987 13650 1663 13.9
Cleveland 99285 100067 782 0.8
Columbus 56903 56904 1 0
Craven 103899 104085 186 0.2
Cumberland 329709 329760 51 0
Currituck 28118 33158 5040 17.9
Dare 37851 40069 2218 5.9
Davidson 170091 180032 9941 5.8
Davie 44281 49459 5178 11.7
Duplin 59323 58865 -458 -0.8
Durham 320173 366803 46630 14.6
Edgecombe 50730 43645 -7085 -14
Forsyth 383913 423244 39331 10.2
Franklin 69729 80427 10698 15.3
Gaston 224197 240357 16160 7.2
Gates 12057 12096 39 0.3

Return to Top_x000D_Last updated October 5, 2017


Graham 8896 8948 52 0.6
Granville 61739 67621 5882 9.5
Greene 21519 21521 2 0
Guilford 535159 572478 37319 7
Halifax 50779 47333 -3446 -6.8
Harnett 137501 159684 22183 16.1
Haywood 63791 68835 5044 7.9
Henderson 121192 134696 13504 11.1
Hertford 23671 22759 -912 -3.9
Hoke 57978 70179 12201 21
Hyde 5601 5457 -144 -2.6
Iredell 186093 217854 31761 17.1
Jackson 44750 50191 5441 12.2
Johnston 210948 265216 54268 25.7
Jones 10355 10356 1 0
Lee 59761 60726 965 1.6
Lenoir 57146 56044 -1102 -1.9
Lincoln 87248 99374 12126 13.9
Macon 36515 40193 3678 10.1
Madison 23034 25679 2645 11.5
Martin 23215 22238 -977 -4.2
McDowell 46221 46791 570 1.2
Mecklenburg 1143547 1364367 220820 19.3
Mitchell 15191 15163 -28 -0.2
Montgomery 28144 29079 935 3.3
Moore 102051 115154 13103 12.8
Nash 94419 94417 -2 0
New Hanover 238232 274796 36564 15.3
Northampton 20149 18499 -1650 -8.2
Onslow 201816 223623 21807 10.8
Orange 146889 161858 14969 10.2
Pamlico 13330 13535 205 1.5
Pasquotank 41034 41209 175 0.4
Pender 64933 76840 11907 18.3
Perquimans 13677 14764 1087 7.9
Person 40248 41223 975 2.4
Pitt 177909 182854 4945 2.8
Polk 21504 22452 948 4.4
Randolph 147555 157165 9610 6.5
Richmond 44651 43839 -812 -1.8
Robeson 130109 123740 -6369 -4.9

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Rockingham 91668 91631 -37 0
Rowan 144755 154215 9460 6.5
Rutherford 68016 68312 296 0.4
Sampson 62269 60713 -1556 -2.5
Scotland 35412 34493 -919 -2.6
Stanly 64259 70196 5937 9.2
Stokes 46674 46579 -95 -0.2
Surry 72845 72842 -3 0
Swain 15435 16892 1457 9.4
Transylvania 35434 38534 3100 8.7
Tyrrell 4137 4137 0 0
Union 240933 283481 42548 17.7
Vance 44654 44293 -361 -0.8
Wake 1116912 1348745 231833 20.8
Warren 19952 19605 -347 -1.7
Washington 12121 11361 -760 -6.3
Watauga 59703 71475 11772 19.7
Wayne 127633 135269 7636 6
Wilkes 71574 75042 3468 4.8
Wilson 83327 88930 5603 6.7
Yadkin 37719 37766 47 0.1
Yancey 18366 18928 562 3.1
State 10619432 11759744 1140312 10.7
Source: North Carolina OSBM, Standard Population Estimates, Vintage 2016 and Population Projections, Vintage 2017.

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a Counties: 2020-2030
Components of Change
Births Deaths Natural Increase Net Migration
21170 19875 1295 21641
4109 5064 -955 1886
1237 1630 -393 701
2461 3333 -872 871
2473 4060 -1587 1254
1527 2383 -856 856
4801 7019 -2218 1328
1993 2677 -684 685
3722 4367 -645 -2087
12370 22505 -10135 40420
27660 31863 -4203 35552
9912 12278 -2366 6887
31504 21044 10460 30458
9399 11378 -1979 6404
1149 1105 44 123
6535 10160 -3625 9353
2287 3315 -1028 1029
19079 19429 -350 5099
7905 10777 -2872 18358
2800 5072 -2272 5635
1451 1982 -531 -635
1092 1904 -812 2475
11599 13581 -1982 2764
6559 7784 -1225 1226
14150 11147 3003 -2817
46830 29607 17223 -17172
3253 3231 22 5018
3890 4475 -585 2803
20277 21344 -1067 11008
4964 5812 -848 6026
7884 6216 1668 -2126
46810 25687 21123 25507
4680 6809 -2129 -4956
50808 39849 10959 28372
8408 8092 316 10382
27476 26746 730 15430
1196 1408 -212 251

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968 1257 -289 341
6441 7022 -581 6463
2328 2398 -70 72
65328 51975 13353 23966
5601 7040 -1439 -2007
20332 12724 7608 14575
6580 9415 -2835 7879
12867 18187 -5320 18824
2278 3231 -953 41
10129 4517 5612 6589
502 704 -202 58
23493 21120 2373 29388
4444 4946 -502 5943
32307 20698 11609 42659
1027 1434 -407 408
8244 6332 1912 -947
6993 7700 -707 -395
9560 10801 -1241 13367
4211 5692 -1481 5159
2306 3085 -779 3424
2797 3558 -761 -216
5003 6162 -1159 1729
160709 85568 75141 145679
1564 2294 -730 702
3569 3436 133 802
12605 14083 -1478 14581
11260 11928 -668 666
26310 24761 1549 35015
2045 2848 -803 -847
33159 12969 20190 1617
13401 11045 2356 12613
1097 2077 -980 1185
4980 4458 522 -347
7721 7420 301 11606
1418 2144 -726 1813
4693 5100 -407 1382
20086 15141 4945 0
1845 3255 -1410 2358
18546 17540 1006 8604
5361 5715 -354 -458
16914 14658 2256 -8625

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10219 12451 -2232 2195
16948 18293 -1345 10805
7624 9486 -1862 2158
8454 7310 1144 -2700
4527 4355 172 -1091
7201 8499 -1298 7235
4721 6151 -1430 1335
8661 9446 -785 782
2192 2106 86 1371
3254 5567 -2313 5413
477 510 -33 33
35686 20658 15028 27520
5942 5488 454 -815
148202 80101 68101 163732
1941 2773 -832 485
1394 1733 -339 -421
5707 4723 984 10788
17165 13842 3323 4313
7890 9845 -1955 5423
10253 10063 190 5413
4400 4863 -463 510
2066 2685 -619 1181
1331369 1112396 218973 921339
7.

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Projected Population Change in North Carolina Counties: 2
Open as Excel File
Total Population Population Change
County July 2030 Projection July 2037 Projection Numeric Percent
Alamance 190524 206579 16055 8.4
Alexander 39822 40169 347 0.9
Alleghany 11634 11854 220 1.9
Anson 25627 25627 0 0
Ashe 26853 26633 -220 -0.8
Avery 18083 18083 0 0
Beaufort 46380 45755 -625 -1.3
Bertie 19832 19833 1 0
Bladen 30842 28927 -1915 -6.2
Brunswick 171805 193003 21198 12.3
Buncombe 302284 324227 21943 7.3
Burke 96288 99452 3164 3.3
Cabarrus 258327 287040 28713 11.1
Caldwell 89689 92870 3181 3.5
Camden 10672 10695 23 0.2
Carteret 77380 81423 4043 5.2
Caswell 23695 23695 0 0
Catawba 163123 166447 3324 2
Chatham 94966 105805 10839 11.4
Cherokee 34330 35411 1081 3.1
Chowan 12778 11962 -816 -6.4
Clay 13650 14812 1162 8.5
Cleveland 100067 100170 103 0.1
Columbus 56904 56904 0 0
Craven 104085 104109 24 0
Cumberland 329760 329764 4 0
Currituck 33158 36687 3529 10.6
Dare 40069 40885 816 2
Davidson 180032 186986 6954 3.9
Davie 49459 53084 3625 7.3
Duplin 58865 58661 -204 -0.3
Durham 366803 399445 32642 8.9
Edgecombe 43645 38681 -4964 -11.4
Forsyth 423244 450938 27694 6.5
Franklin 80427 87917 7490 9.3
Gaston 240357 252388 12031 5

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Gates 12096 12097 1 0
Graham 8948 8952 4 0
Granville 67621 71739 4118 6.1
Greene 21521 21519 -2 0
Guilford 572478 598603 26125 4.6
Halifax 47333 44918 -2415 -5.1
Harnett 159684 175210 15526 9.7
Haywood 68835 72368 3533 5.1
Henderson 134696 141785 7089 5.3
Hertford 22759 22116 -643 -2.8
Hoke 70179 79291 9112 13
Hyde 5457 5359 -98 -1.8
Iredell 217854 240088 22234 10.2
Jackson 50191 54005 3814 7.6
Johnston 265216 303201 37985 14.3
Jones 10356 10355 -1 0
Lee 60726 61124 398 0.7
Lenoir 56044 55275 -769 -1.4
Lincoln 99374 107858 8484 8.5
Macon 40193 42766 2573 6.4
Madison 25679 27529 1850 7.2
Martin 22238 21554 -684 -3.1
McDowell 46791 46867 76 0.2
Mecklenburg 1364367 1518941 154574 11.3
Mitchell 15163 15164 1 0
Montgomery 29079 29735 656 2.3
Moore 115154 122925 7771 6.7
Nash 94417 94418 1 0
New Hanover 274796 300393 25597 9.3
Northampton 18499 17335 -1164 -6.3
Onslow 223623 238888 15265 6.8
Orange 161858 172237 10379 6.4
Pamlico 13535 13680 145 1.1
Pasquotank 41209 41211 2 0
Pender 76840 85176 8336 10.8
Perquimans 14764 15630 866 5.9
Person 41223 41697 474 1.1
Pitt 182854 186316 3462 1.9
Polk 22452 22955 503 2.2
Randolph 157165 163893 6728 4.3
Richmond 43839 43271 -568 -1.3

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Robeson 123740 119283 -4457 -3.6
Rockingham 91631 91630 -1 0
Rowan 154215 160836 6621 4.3
Rutherford 68312 68368 56 0.1
Sampson 60713 60269 -444 -0.7
Scotland 34493 33849 -644 -1.9
Stanly 70196 74352 4156 5.9
Stokes 46579 46550 -29 -0.1
Surry 72842 72845 3 0
Swain 16892 17909 1017 6
Transylvania 38534 40703 2169 5.6
Tyrrell 4137 4134 -3 -0.1
Union 283481 313261 29780 10.5
Vance 44293 44193 -100 -0.2
Wake 1348745 1511392 162647 12.1
Warren 19605 19494 -111 -0.6
Washington 11361 10831 -530 -4.7
Watauga 71475 79717 8242 11.5
Wayne 135269 140731 5462 4
Wilkes 75042 77466 2424 3.2
Wilson 88930 92994 4064 4.6
Yadkin 37766 37776 10 0
Yancey 18928 19323 395 2.1
State 11759744 12553271 793527 6.7
Source: North Carolina OSBM, Standard Population Estimates, Vintage 2016 and Population Projections, Vintage 2017.

Return to Top_x000D_Last updated October 5, 2017


a Counties: 2030-2037

Natural Increase
Births Deaths Natural Increase Net Migration
16155 16734 -579 16634
2937 4105 -1168 1515
885 1252 -367 587
1594 2593 -999 999
1765 3111 -1346 1126
977 1890 -913 913
3269 5421 -2152 1527
1232 2046 -814 815
2407 3031 -624 -1291
9801 21333 -11532 32730
20298 27110 -6812 28755
6972 9746 -2774 5938
24924 18788 6136 22577
6630 9143 -2513 5694
749 921 -172 195
4741 8425 -3684 7727
1520 2610 -1090 1090
13756 15513 -1757 5081
6342 10109 -3767 14606
2067 4280 -2213 3294
943 1386 -443 -373
825 1624 -799 1961
7931 10357 -2426 2529
4500 5880 -1380 1380
10782 8012 2770 -2746
29131 23693 5438 -5434
2479 2931 -452 3981
2775 3842 -1067 1883
14329 17150 -2821 9775
3622 4967 -1345 4970
5702 4629 1073 -1277
38119 22721 15398 17244
2768 5051 -2283 -2681
38648 32927 5721 21973
6423 7224 -801 8291
20005 21706 -1701 13732

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693 1130 -437 438
653 944 -291 295
4636 6126 -1490 5608
1640 1913 -273 271
47012 43338 3674 22451
3537 5130 -1593 -822
15984 10986 4998 10528
4733 7559 -2826 6359
9850 15038 -5188 12277
1517 2354 -837 194
8161 4139 4022 5090
352 566 -214 116
18101 18564 -463 22697
3460 4152 -692 4506
26852 19403 7449 30536
655 1092 -437 436
6028 4865 1163 -765
4810 5684 -874 105
7107 9601 -2494 10978
3138 4541 -1403 3976
1694 2647 -953 2803
1793 2574 -781 97
3503 4823 -1320 1396
123483 79927 43556 111018
1061 1671 -610 611
2626 2719 -93 749
9685 11519 -1834 9605
7578 9478 -1900 1901
20371 21444 -1073 26670
1219 1962 -743 -421
30960 10863 20097 -4832
9918 10090 -172 10551
726 1654 -928 1073
3504 3436 68 -66
6258 6543 -285 8621
1015 1743 -728 1594
3158 4076 -918 1392
14555 12440 2115 1347
1209 2623 -1414 1917
13782 14242 -460 7188
3639 4291 -652 84

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11041 11130 -89 -4368
6785 9478 -2693 2692
12583 14854 -2271 8892
4976 7222 -2246 2302
6302 5508 794 -1238
3012 3317 -305 -339
5129 7133 -2004 6160
2927 4973 -2046 2017
6117 7128 -1011 1014
1542 1648 -106 1123
2266 4566 -2300 4469
362 383 -21 18
26882 19254 7628 22152
4060 4112 -52 -48
118477 77479 40998 121649
1217 2102 -885 774
888 1266 -378 -152
4838 4168 670 7572
12501 10963 1538 3924
5597 7937 -2340 4764
7266 8279 -1013 5077
2981 3729 -748 758
1388 2046 -658 1053
997791 938831 58960 734567
7.

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