Ispolec Notes
Ispolec Notes
Ispolec Notes
OATLEY Chapter 1:
The winners seek deeper links with the global economy in order
to extend and consolidate their gains, whereas the losers try to
erect barriers between the global and national economies in
order to minimize or even reverse their losses.
IPE studies the political battle between the winners and losers of
global economic exchange.
Types of Interests:
First, people have material interests that arise from their position
in the global economy. The essence of this approach can be
summarized in a simple statement: tell me what you do for work,
and I’ll tell you what your foreign economic policy preferences
are
Political institutions also provide the rules that these groups use
to make decisions. In democratic systems, the usual choice rule
is majority rule, and policies are supposed to reflect the
preferences of a majority of voters or legislators.
OATLEY Chapter 2:
World trade has grown so rapidly over the last 70 years because
an international political structure, the World Trade Organization
(WTO), and its predecessor, the General Agreement on Tariffs
and Trade (GATT), has supported and encouraged such growth.
Forms:
Example:
Doha Round:
Governments agreed to
Negotiation Problems:
First, developing countries were demanding deeper liberalization
of agriculture than the United States and the European Union
(EU) were willing to accept.
Minor Conclusion:
Summary: The negotiation for the Doha Trade Deal began with
goals that focused on tariff reduction, especially countries that
were developing nations. And another goal was to liberalize trade
with agriculture goods. However, there were problems, some
countries wanted more liberalization than what the US and EU
had initially set. And second, some countries wanted to start
talks on a new concerns but the developing nations did not want
that until the agriculture liberalization was complete. In the end,
nations agreed to do some of the deals albeit small changes.
The benefits that the hegemon gains from trade are so large that
it is willing to bear the full cost of creating international trade
rules.
Different Forms:
Waves:
The first wave began early in the 1950s and extended to the mid-
1970s. This wave began with the construction of the original
European Economic Community in 1958 and the Latin American
Free Trade Area in 1960, and concluded with the formation of the
Economic Community of West African States in 1975.
Consequences of RTA’s:
Conclusion:
OATLEY Chapter 3:
Summary:
--
If we connect A and B with a line, we have defined a production
possibility frontier for the United States.
Summary:
• The production possibility frontier (PPF) is a graph that
shows all the possible combinations of output that can be
produced by an economy, given the resources available and the
state of technology.
--
If we assume the United States faces increasing opportunity
costs, we are also implicitly assuming that factors yield
diminishing marginal returns.
Summary:
--
That is, production and consumption will occur where the PPF
and the indifference curve are tangent.
Summary:
--
Trade between the United States and China is beneficial for both
countries because it allows each country to specialize in the
production of goods that it is relatively good at producing. This
leads to increased efficiency and lower costs, which allows both
countries to produce more goods and services.
When the United States and China trade, each country can focus
on producing the goods that it is relatively good at producing.
This leads to increased efficiency and lower costs, which allows
both countries to produce more goods and services. In the
example you gave, trade between the United States and China
allows each country to produce 75 million computers and 150
million shirts (the United States) and 25 million computers and
250 million shirts (China). This is more than each country could
produce under autarky, which means that both countries are
better off with trade.
--
--
In the Doha Round, the two main issues were the reduction of
barriers to trade in agriculture products and the reduction of
barriers to trade in manufactured goods.
The United States and the European Union (EU) are relatively
poorly endowed with land and relatively abundantly endowed
with capital. This means that they have a comparative advantage
in manufactured goods and a comparative disadvantage in
agriculture.
Their ideal outcome would be to reduce barriers to trade in
manufactured goods, while maintaining or even increasing
barriers to trade in agriculture.
---
Summary: The United States/EU and the G-20 each have an ideal
point. The closer the outcome is to an actor's ideal point, the
more utility they will receive. A unilateral reduction of barriers
will shift the outcome closer to one actor's ideal point, but
further away from the other actor's ideal point. Therefore, neither
actor can realize higher utility by engaging in unilateral
liberalization.
--
The figure you provided shows the contract curve for the United
States/EU and the G-20. The point (m) represents an agreement
that divides the gains evenly. Any point between m and e
benefits the United States/EU more than the G-20. Any point
between m and g benefits the G-20 more than the United
States/EU.
--
--
The Group of 20 and the EU are both poorer than they would be if
they liberalized trade. This is because protectionist policies lead
to higher prices for consumers and less economic growth. By
liberalizing trade, these countries could make their citizens
better off without making anyone else worse off.
--
Solving the Problem to the Prisoners Dilemma:
The game must be iterated. This means that the game is played
repeatedly over time, with the same players. In a one-shot game,
each player has only one chance to cooperate or defect. In an
iterated game, each player has multiple chances to cooperate or
defect, and their choices in the future will be affected by their
choices in the past.
SOLUTION 2: Reciprocity
OATLEY Chapter 4:
--
The factor model is a theory of trade politics that argues that the
interests of different factors of production (such as labor and
capital) are often in conflict with each other, and that this
conflict can lead to different trade policy preferences.
If the United States and China open up trade with each other,
then the United States will export computers to China and import
shirts from China. This will lead to a decline in the price of
computers in the United States and an increase in the price of
shirts in the United States.
--
United States
China
--
In the case of trade between the United States and China, the
United States has an abundance of capital and China has an
abundance of labor. This means that free trade between the two
countries will tend to raise the price of capital in the United
States and lower it in China. It will also tend to raise the price of
labor in China and lower it in the United States.
This can have a number of implications for the distribution of
income within each country. In the United States, for example,
the increased price of capital will benefit capital owners, such as
wealthy individuals and large corporations. The decreased price
of labor will hurt workers, who will see their wages fall. In China,
the increased price of labor will benefit workers, who will see
their wages rise. The decreased price of capital will hurt capital
owners, who will see their profits fall.
--
--
Free trade will lead to increased imports of textiles into the U.S.
This will hurt the U.S. textile industry, as it will lead to a
decrease in demand for U.S.-produced textiles. As a result,
workers and capitalists in the U.S. textile industry will lose their
jobs, and their wages will fall.
--
Factor Mobility:
--
--
The sector model is a trade theory that argues that trade politics
is driven by competition between the import-competing and
export-oriented sectors. The model assumes that factors of
production are not easily moved from one industry to another,
and that labor and capital employed in industries that rely
intensively on society’s abundant factor gain from trade, while
labor and capital employed in industries that rely intensively on
society’s scarce factor lose from trade.
The incentive to free ride is not the only factor that prevents
collective action. Other factors, such as differences in
preferences and information, can also make it difficult for
groups to organize.
--
--
--
OATLEY Chapter 5:
--
--
Infant Industry:
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
Oligopoly:
Excess returns are profits that are greater than could be earned
in equally risky investments in other sectors of the economy.
Oligopolists often earn excess returns because they have market
power, which allows them to charge higher prices than they
would be able to charge in a competitive market.
--
Quick Examples:
--
OATLEY Chapter 6:
During the colonial period, Japan, Korea, India, and Africa were
all forced to produce cash crops and raw materials for export to
the colonial powers. This led to the development of enclave
agriculture, in which agricultural producers bought little from
local suppliers and exported most of their production. This had a
number of negative consequences, including:
--
This new political logic was evident in the rise of Juan Perón in
Argentina and Getúlio Vargas in Brazil. Both Perón and Vargas
were able to build political coalitions that included labor,
industrialists, and the military. These coalitions were based on
the support of the urban sectors, which were the beneficiaries of
protectionist policies.
--
--
--
--
The passage discusses the structuralist critique of the market
and its solution to the problem of coordination problems.
Structuralists argued that the market could not be relied on to
bring about industrialization, because of the coordination
problems that arise when firms are interdependent, but not in
competition with each other. The solution, they argued, was for
the state to intervene in the economy and coordinate the
investments of private economic actors. This would allow for a
"big push" towards industrialization, which would overcome the
coordination problems and lead to rapid economic growth.
--
--
--
Summary: Easy ISI was the first stage of the ISI strategy. It
focused on developing domestic manufacturing of relatively
simple consumer goods. The rationale behind the focus on simple
consumer goods was threefold. Easy ISI had some drawbacks,
but it was overall a successful strategy for many developing
countries.
--
The benefits of easy ISI are twofold:
--
--
--
OATLEY Chapter 7:
- Economic Imbalances
- A small group of East Asian Economies were outperforming
all other developing countries based what
- Severe economic crisis in the 1980’s for ced governments to
embark on reform.
Increased inequality
Reduced efficiency
Slow economic growth
--
One of the most common forms of rent seeking under ISI was the
use of import licenses. Governments would restrict the import of
certain goods, which would drive up the price of those goods in
the domestic market. This created an opportunity for businesses
to make a profit by importing goods and selling them at a higher
price. However, in order to import goods, businesses needed to
obtain a license from the government. These licenses were often
given out to businesses that had close ties to the government, or
that were willing to pay bribes.
Rent seeking had a number of negative consequences for the
economy. It led to higher prices for consumers, lower quality
goods, and less innovation. It also created a system of crony
capitalism, where businesses that were close to the government
were able to prosper at the expense of their competitors.
Summary:
East Asian countries outperformed other developing
countries by focusing on export-oriented development, state
intervention, high savings rates, and a strong work ethic.
There is a debate about the relative importance of the
market and the state in East Asia's economic success. The
neoliberal interpretation argues that market-friendly policies
were the key, while the state-oriented interpretation argues
that state intervention was more important.
--
--
The specific content of the reforms that the IMF and the World
Bank advocated varied from country to country, but they typically
included:
Summary:
--
Summary:
--
--
OATLEY Chapter 8:
There are many reasons why companies might make FDIs. One
reason is to access new markets. By investing in a business in
another country, a company can gain access to new customers
and sell its products or services in a new market. Another reason
for FDI is to lower costs. By investing in a business in a country
with lower wages or production costs, a company can reduce its
overall costs. FDI can also be used to gain access to new
technology or expertise. By investing in a business in another
country, a company can gain access to new technologies or
expertise that it would not be able to develop on its own.
--
--
--
For example, consider the case of a firm that produces and sells
cars. This firm might be interested in investing in a country with
a large and growing population, such as China. China has a
population of over 1.4 billion people, and its economy is growing
rapidly. This means that there is a large potential market for cars
in China. In addition, the Chinese government has imposed tariffs
on imported cars, which makes it more expensive for foreign car
companies to sell their products in China. This gives the
domestic car companies, such as Geely and BYD, a competitive
advantage.
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
OATLEY Chapter 9:
--
Taiwan was the first country in East Asia to establish an EPZ, in 1965.
South Korea followed suit in 1970. These EPZs attracted a lot of
investment from American, European, and Japanese multinational
corporations (MNCs). The MNCs set up assembly plants in the EPZs to
produce goods for export. This helped to boost the economies of
Taiwan and South Korea, and it also helped to create jobs.
--
The theory also argues that the host government's bargaining power
increases as the uncertainty about the return on the investment
diminishes. This is because the host government knows more about
the investment and its potential profitability over time. This gives the
host government more leverage in negotiations with the MNC.
--
The passage discusses the growing competition between host
countries to attract manufacturing investment from multinational
corporations (MNCs). This competition has led to the increasing use of
locational incentives, which are packages of benefits that host
countries offer to MNCs in order to attract their investment.
The passage also discusses the growing size of the typical locational
incentive package. In 1989, the total value of locational incentives
offered by OECD countries was $11 billion. By 1993, this figure had
increased to $18 billion. In the United States, the typical locational
incentive package averaged between $50 million and $70 million in the
1990s, but the value of these packages has been increasing. For
example, Alabama provided Honda with more than $158 million in
incentives to attract a new plant, and North Carolina provided Dell
with $242 million in incentives to build a facility in the state.
The passage discusses the four legal principles that have historically
governed foreign direct investment (FDI). These principles are:
The passage also notes that these principles were designed to protect
the property of foreign investors and therefore clearly reflect the
interests of the capital-exporting countries. However, capital-
exporting and capital-importing countries alike accepted these
principles throughout the nineteenth century.
Summary: The passage discusses the four legal principles that have
historically governed FDI and the challenges to these principles from
Latin American governments.
Here are some additional points that you may want to consider:
The four principles discussed in the passage are still relevant today,
and they continue to be debated by governments and investors. The
Calvo doctrine is still invoked by some Latin American governments,
and it has been used to challenge the actions of foreign governments
in support of their firms.The debate over the four principles and the
Calvo doctrine is likely to continue as FDI continues to grow in
importance.
--
--
Here are some additional points that you may want to consider:
The debate over TRIMs continues today. Some countries believe that
TRIMs are necessary to protect their domestic industries, while others
believe that they distort trade and should be prohibited. The GATT
agreement on TRIMs is not perfect, but it is a step in the right
direction. It provides some protection against the use of TRIMs, and it
encourages countries to negotiate further agreements on this issue.
--
The passage begins by discussing the three advantages that the OECD
offered for negotiating the MAI. First, the OECD was composed of
advanced industrialized countries, all of which shared a commitment
to liberal investment rules. Second, most FDI takes place between
advanced industrialized countries, so an agreement among OECD
members would regulate the majority of international investment.
Third, an OECD-based agreement would not preclude participation by
developing countries.
The passage then discusses the two main objectives of the MAI. First,
the MAI was intended to liberalize FDI by requiring states to treat
foreign-owned firms operating in their economy no differently than
domestic firms. Second, the MAI was intended to provide greater
security to foreign investors by incorporating the historical standard of
prompt, effective, and adequate compensation in cases of
expropriation.
--
--
Sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) are government-owned funds that purchase private assets in
foreign markets. They have been around for 50 years, but the recent sharp rise in oil and natural
gas prices has stimulated their rapid growth.
There are more than 20 governments that currently have SWFs, and perhaps six others may be
about to create them. The single largest fund, Norway's Government Pension Fund, controls
approximately $1 trillion as of September 2017. The second largest, United Arab Emirate's Abu
Dhabi Investment Authority, controls approximately $830 billion. As a group, the 20 active
SWFs control approximately $6.3 trillion.
The recent growth of SWF activity has worried some American and European policymakers.
Some fear that governments intend to use their SWFs to achieve political rather than economic
objectives. Others are concerned about the lack of transparency in SWF operations and the
absence of a common regulatory framework.
American and European policymakers have responded to SWF activity in three ways. One strong
impulse has been to welcome SWF investment in the midst of the extended difficulties in the
American financial system. Simultaneously, however, policymakers have become a bit more
protectionist regarding foreign investment. Finally, American and European policymakers have
sought to reconcile these two conflicting tendencies by trying to develop international rules, or
codes of best practices, to govern SWF activities.
Summary: The passage discusses the rise of sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) and the concerns
that they have raised in the United States and the EU. SWFs are government-owned funds that
purchase private assets in foreign markets. They have grown rapidly in recent years, and some
policymakers are concerned that they could be used for political purposes or that they could
destabilize financial markets. American and European policymakers have responded to SWF
activity in three ways: welcoming SWF investment, becoming more protectionist, and trying to
develop international rules to govern SWF activities.