Bopp - A Wonderful Company Hiding in Plain Sight
Bopp - A Wonderful Company Hiding in Plain Sight
Bopp - A Wonderful Company Hiding in Plain Sight
I am a strict adherer to the philosophy of value investing. However, I think the term “value
investing” is a bit of a misnomer. All investing is value investing. Investing at its core is trying
to figure out the value of what something is worth (it can be anything; real estate, a stock or
even a Birkin bag), buying it for less than what it is inherently worth and hopefully if all goes
well realising a satisfactory return on the capital invested. Thus, investing was defined in 600
B.C. by Aesop (a saying that has been used several times by Warren Buffett); “a bird in hand is
worth two in the bush”. What we are trying to figure out as allocators of capital is how to get
the two birds out of the bush using the one in hand.
I would admit, Ghana has had its fair share of macro-economic concerns over the past few
years. Ghana’s economy entered a full-blown macroeconomic crisis in 2022 on the back of
pre-existing imbalances and external shocks. Large financing needs and tightening financing
international market. Large capital outflows combined with monetary policy tightening in
advanced economies put significant pressure on the exchange rate, together with monetary
financing of the budget deficit, resulting in high inflation. These developments interrupted the
post COVID-19 recovery of the economy as GDP growth declined from 5.1% in 2021 to 3.1%
in 2022. The 2022 fiscal deficit was well above target at 11.8%. Public debt rose from 79.6% in
2021 to over 90% of GDP in 2022, as debt service-to-revenue reached 117.6%. This would
scare the average investor, but investors are not economists, our mandate is to look for, buy
and hold easily understandable great businesses at fair prices over the very long term. Great
businesses create enormous wealth over long holding periods across market cycles, even
during negative macro headlines about high inflation, rising interest rates, geopolitical
I believe Benso Oil Palm Plantation Plc (BOPP) is one of these great businesses. BOPP is
engaged in the cultivation of oil palm plantation and the production of Crude Palm Oil (CPO)
and Crude Palm kernel oil (CPKO), which is supplied to consumer goods manufacturing
companies such as Unilever Ghana and Wilmar Africa. A handful of corporate groups
dominate the processing and trade of palm oil due to the high capital investments required to
set up processing and transport facilities of which Wilmar International is one of them. They
also capture the largest portion of value generated. BOPP commenced in 1976 as Joint
Venture between United Africa Corporation International (U.A.C.I) and the Ghana
Government. The Ghana Government Shares were divested to the public in 2004 and the
company got listed on the Ghana Stock Exchange with Unilever Ghana being the majority
shareholder and having management control. In March 2011, Wilmar International, the
largest agribusiness company on the Singapore Stock Exchange, through its Wilmar Africa
Subsidiary acquired the shares of Unilever Ghana and the shares of other shareholders to
become the largest shareholder (they currently own 76.6% of the company) with
management control of BOPP. The Plantation is situated at Adum Banso 42 km (26 miles) north
BOPP is a company that deals in the export of commodities, that is they produce the raw
materials used to create the products consumers buy. Apart from processing of palm oil to
CPO and CPKO, the value added is quite minimal. As an investor, this is not what you want.
You want a company that makes a product for a pesewa and sells it for a cedi. That added
value can be realised through a strong brand, high quality of product or significant pricing
power. However, as investors we also must look at the quality of business that we are buying
BENSO OIL PALM PLANTATION: A WONDERFUL COMPANY HIDING IN PLAIN SIGHT.
into and sometimes have a contrarian view as to what would create long-term value. BOPP
operates in a unique environment. It is a company that mainly exports most of its products.
This means it operates in the local currency (the GHC) and exports in US dollars (the worlds
reserve currency). Global palm oil production is dominated by both Indonesia and Malaysia
whose combined output represents 85%-90% of the total number. Ghana is not a significant
player in the global production of palm oil products. However, The Ghanaian cedi has
depreciated sharply against many currencies, particularly the U.S. dollar since the start of
2022. When a currency falls in value, imports become more expensive, but the country’s
export become more competitive on the global market. This is very advantageous for a
company that operates in the local currency and exports in the stronger foreign currency in
terms of profitability.
In the fiscal year 2022, BOPP recorded revenue growth of 59% and managed its costs
prudently, which resulted in a growth in profit after tax of 73.6% (GH¢160.354 million
compared with GH¢92.423 million the previous year). Total Palm Fruits processed during the
year under review was 124,769 metric tons, which was 15% below its 2021 production.
Despite the 15 percent decline in crop production, the main driver of its profitability was the
increase in palm oil prices and the depreciation of the cedi. The world market price of Crude
Palm Oil (CPO) increased from an average of US$1,108 in 2021 to US$1,332 in 2022,
representing a 20 percent increase in dollar terms. The price at which Palm Kernel Oil (PKO)
was traded however, declined from an average of US$1,393 in 2021 to US$1,108 in 2022,
representing 20% drop in dollar term. Thus, the combined effect of the CPO trading prices,
and the cedi depreciation accounted largely for the growth in turnover of 59% for the 2022
BENSO OIL PALM PLANTATION: A WONDERFUL COMPANY HIDING IN PLAIN SIGHT.
financial year as against the prior year. The company has no significant debt on its balance
sheet as of the fiscal year 2022 and has been cash flow positive over the last five years.
This unique situation BOPP finds itself has rewarded investors quite satisfactorily. The
company’s stock price rose from GHC 2.00 per share in 2021 and is currently trading at GHC
19.93 per share. Thus, if you had invested GHC 100 two year ago, your holding would now be
worth about GHC 996.5. That was almost ten times your money. However, we are not
gamblers we do not give much credence to changes in the stock price. As I have already stated
in this article, we as investors are only interested in owning a wonderful business at a fair price
by trying to figure out the intrinsic value of the business and letting the company do the heavy
lifting for us with regards to capital appreciation. I believe, BOPP is still significantly
undervalued, by some 75% from its current trading price. I do not see management taking on
any debt to fund any significant operation, so I expect a healthy balance sheet moving forward.
Commodity prices would fluctuate as they tend to do but this should not be our concern,
whether prices remain at elevated levels in 2023, the attractive fundamentals of an export-
driven business in Ghana would be in BOPP’s favour. Management has proved adept at
managing costs which is crucial for a commodity-based business. For example, in 2022, the
company reviewed its stock cover policies for major materials such as fertilizer to mitigate the
impact of the Cedi depreciation and global supply shortages on prices of the materials. This
makes me have some faith in the ability and quality of management to be rational in the
operation of the business. The company is also in a very capital-intensive industry that
operates as barrier to entry, thus high level of domestic competition is not a concern in this
regard. I expect profitability levels to increase somewhat significantly by year end of 2023.
BENSO OIL PALM PLANTATION: A WONDERFUL COMPANY HIDING IN PLAIN SIGHT.
There are risks as with every investment and as fellow investors I must make you aware of
some of them. BOPP is exposed to shocks in the global commodity market and the
performance of the local currency as products are sold to consumers at prevailing global prices
in USD. The company is also exposed to changes in weather conditions, which can influence
the yield derived from the company’s oil palm plantation located at Adum-Banso. So, I urge
you, the earnest investor to take these into consideration as well as your own discernment