Seat No.: ________ Enrolment No.

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GUJARAT TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY

BE - SEMESTER–III (NEW) EXAMINATION – SUMMER 2021
Subject Code:3130006 Date:06/09/2021
Subject Name:Probability and Statistics
Time:10:30 AM TO 01:00 PM Total Marks:70
Instructions:
1. Attempt all questions.
2. Make suitable assumptions wherever necessary.
3. Figures to the right indicate full marks.
4. Simple and non-programmable scientific calculators are allowed.
Marks
Q.1 (a) An MBA applies for a job in two firms X and Y. The probability of 03
his being selected in firm X is 0.7 and being rejected in Y is 0.5. The
probability of at least one of his applications being rejected is 0.6.
What is the probability that he will selected in one the firms?
(b) A study showed that 65% of managers had some business education 04
and 50% had some engineering education. Furthermore 20% the
managers had some business education but no engineering education.
What is the probability that a manager had some business education,
given that he has some engineering education?
(c) A manufacturing firm produces steel pipes in three plants with daily 07
production volume of 500, 1000, 2000 units respectively. According
to past experience it is know that the fractions of defective output
produced the three plants are respectively 0.05, 0.08, and 0.10. If a
pipe is selected from a day’s total production and found to be
defective. What is the probability that it came from the first plant?
Also find out from which plant the defective pipe comes.

Q.2 (a) The probability that an item produced by a machine will be defective 03
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is 10. If 12 such items are produced, find the probability that (i) Exactly
one will be defective, (ii) at least two will be defective (iii) None of
the item is defective.
(b) A car hire firm has two cars, which it hires out day by day. The number 04
of demands for a car on each day is distributed as a Poisson
distribution with mean 𝜇 = 1.5. Calculate the proportion of days on
which neither car is used and proportion of days on which some
demand is refused. (𝑒 −1.5 = 0.2231)
(c) The average daily sales of 500 branch offices was Rs. 150 thousand
and the standard deviation Rs. 15 thousand. Assuming the distribution
to be normal indicate how many branches have sales between
a) Rs. 120 thousand and Rs. 145 thousand
b) Rs. 140 thousand and Rs. 165 thousand.
P(0<z<2)=0.4772, P(0<z<0.33)=0.1293, P(0<z<1)=0.2486
OR
(c) Accidents occur with a Poisson distribution at an average 2 per week. 07
Then
a) Obtain the probability of more than 3 accidents during a week.
b) What is the probability that at least two weeks will elapse
between accidents.
Q.3 (a) A fair die is thrown 300 times. Find the lower bound for the probability 03
of getting 30 to 60 sixes.

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 (b) Find the quartile deviation and its coefficients. Also find inter quartile 04
range and coefficient of variations.
Marks < 35 35-37 38-40 41-43 > 43
Students 8 16 13 8 5
(c) The following data relate to the profits of 1,000 companies: 07
Profits Rs. 100- 120- 140- 160- 180- 200- 220-
in 120 140 160 180 200 220 240
thousands
No. of 17 53 199 194 327 208 02
companies
Calculate the coefficient of skewness.
OR
Q.3 (a) Following is the table showing number of visitors in 180 days to a zoo. 03
Obtain average number of visitors per day.
Marks 1-10 11-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60
Students 22 28 35 45 30 20
(b) Define moments about the assumed mean A. Obtain fist four moments 04
about arbitrary origin from the following table,
Scorers 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 90-100
Players 8 11 18 09 04
(c) Find the mean, median and mode from the following table. 07
class 50- 53- 56- 59- 62- 65- 68- 71- 74-
53 56 59 62 65 68 71 74 77
frequency 3 8 14 30 36 28 16 10 3
Q.4 (a) Airscrew escape systems powered by a solid propellant. The burning 03
rate of this propellant is an important product characteristics.
Specifications require that the mean burning rate must be   50
centimeters per second and standard deviation of burning rate   2
centimeters per second. The experimenter choose   0.05 level of
significance and selects random sample of n  25 and obtain a sample
average of x  51.3 centimeters per second. What conclusions should
be drawn? ( z 0.025  1.96 )
(b) Psychological tests of intelligence and of engineering ability were 04
applied to 10 students as per the following data. Find the coefficient
of correlation.
Intelligence 105 104 102 101 100 99 98 96 93 92
ration
Engineering 101 103 100 98 95 96 104 92 97 94
ability
(c) The following table gives the aptitude test scores and productivity 07
indices of 10 workers selected at random
Aptitude 60 62 65 70 72 48 53 73 65 82
scores
Productivity 68 60 62 80 85 40 52 62 60 81
index
Estimate (i) the productivity index of a worker whose test score is 0.92
(ii) the test score of a worker whose productivity index is 0.75.
OR
Q.4 (a) You are working as a purchase manager for a company. The following 03
information has been supplied to you by two manufactures of electric
bulbs.
Company A Company B
Mean life in hours 1300 1248
Standard deviation 82 93
2
 Sample size 100 100
Which brand of bulbs are you going to purchase if you desire to take
a risk at 5%? ( 𝑍0.05 = ±1.96)
(b) An examination of eight applicants for a critical post was given by a 04
firm. From the marks obtained by the applicants in the Accountancy
and Statistics papers, compute rank coefficient correlations.
Marks in 15 20 28 12 40 60 20 80
accountancy
Marks in 40 30 50 30 20 10 30 60
statistics
(c) In partially destroyed laboratory record of an analysis of correlation 07
data, the following results are eligible.
 Variance of x,  x2  9
 Two line of regressions: 8x-10y+66=0, 40x-18y=214.
From the above obtain mean values of x and y, the standard deviation
of y and correlation coefficient.
Q.5 (a) 500 units from a factory are inspected and 12 are found to be defective, 03
800 units from another factory are inspected and 12 are found to be
defective. Can it be concluded at 5% level of significance that
production at second factory is better that in first factory. ( 𝑍0.05 =
±1.96)
(b) Two salesmen A and B are working in a certain district. From a sample 04
survey conducted by the head office, the following results were
obtained. Whether is there any significant difference in the average
sales between two salesmen’s?
A B
Number of sales 20 18
Average sales in Rs. 170 205
Standard deviation in Rs. 20 25
The critical value of t at 5% level of significance and 36 degree of
freedom is more than 36.
(c) A simply supported beam carries a concentrated load P(lb) at its mid- 07
point. Corresponding to various values of P the maximum deflection
y (in) is measured. The corresponding table is given below. Find the
low of the 𝑦 = 𝑎 + 𝑏𝑃.
P 100 120 140 160 180 200
y 0.45 0.55 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.85
OR
Q.5 (a) A random sample of size 15 from a bivariate normal population gave 03
correlation coefficient r=0.5. Is this indicate the correlation in the
population? Choose   0.05 as level of significance,
 
t  2,13   2.160
(b) By the method of least square fit a curve of the form 𝑦 = 𝑎𝑥 𝑏 to the 04
following data.
x 2 3 4 5
y 27.8 62.1 110 161
(c) The number of defects in printed circuit board is hypothesized to 07
follow Poisson distribution. A random sample of n=60 printed board
has been collected and the following number of defects observed.
Number of defects 0 1 2 3
Observed frequency 32 15 09 04
Use chi-square distribution to test the claim that the number defects
follows the Poisson distribution.  20.05 ,1  3.84
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