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Introduction To Statistics

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I‭nferential statistics‬‭is a branch of statistics that‬‭pertains to the process of drawing and making decisions‬

‭concerning a given population based on the data obtained from a sample. It focuses on estimation and‬
‭hypothesis testing.‬

‭ stimation‬‭is the process used to calculate the proposed‬‭values for parameters by only using a random‬
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‭sample from the population.‬

‭The value or range used to approximate a parameter is called an‬‭estimate‬‭.‬

‭Point estimate‬‭refers to a single value that best‬‭determines the proposed parameter value of the population.‬

‭Interval estimate‬‭gives a range of values within which‬‭the parameter value possibly falls.‬

‭ ample measures, such as sample mean, can be used to estimate population parameters, such as population‬
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‭mean. These sample measures are called‬‭estimators‬‭.‬‭The following are the properties of a good estimator:‬

‭1.‬ U
‭ nbiasedness‬‭- any parameter can be considered a random‬‭variable since its value may change‬
‭depending on the selection of the members of the sample.‬

‭2.‬ C
‭ onsistency‬‭- the standard deviation of the sample‬‭statistics taken from the population is also called‬
‭the‬‭standard error‬‭. Thus, the standard deviation of‬‭an estimate is the standard error of that estimate, it‬
‭then gives the possible amount of error of estimating a population parameter.‬‭Consistency‬‭of an‬
‭estimator is achieved when the estimate produced a relatively smaller standard error.‬

‭3.‬ E
‭ fficiency‬‭- from all the unbiased estimators of the‬‭population parameter, the efficient estimator is the‬
‭one that gives the smallest variance.‬

‭ ormally speaking, if X‬‭1‭,‬ X‬‭2‭,‬ X‬‭3‬‭… X‬‭n‬‭denotes the random‬‭variables from a random sample, then the function‬
F
‭U‭(‬ X‬‭1‬‭, X‬‭2‭,‬ X‬‭3‬‭… X‬‭n‬‭) used to estimate the population‬‭parameter θ is called‬‭point estimator‬‭.‬

‭ sample statistic contains all the information the sample provides. However, it is sometimes insufficient to‬
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‭estimate the value of the population parameter using only a single point estimator. Thus,‬‭a‬‭< μ <‬‭b‬‭, where‬‭a‬‭and‬
‭b‬‭are the endpoints of the interval between which‬‭the population mean lies. This is the process of‬‭interval‬
‭estimation‬‭.‬

‭ he interval of values that predicts where the true population parameter belongs is called‬‭interval estimate‬‭,‬‭or‬
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‭most commonly known as the‬‭confidence interval‬‭.‬

‭ he degree of certainty that the true population parameter falls within the constructed confidence interval is‬
T
‭referred to as the‬‭confidence level‬‭. Which correspond‬‭to the probabilities (or percentages of area) associated‬
‭with the normal curve.‬
‭ ore often, it is the sample standard deviation that is known since it can easily be computed using the‬
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‭observation from the selected sample. It is in these cases that another test statistic must be used. This is called‬
‭the‬‭t‭-‬ random variable test statistic‬‭.‬

I‭n the case of limited samples or a number of samples less than 30 taken from a randomly distributed‬
‭population, it is wise to use the‬‭t‭-‬ distribution‬‭.‬

‭ illiam S. Gosset‬‭was an English statistician who‬‭developed the‬‭t‬‭-distribution, which is used instead‬‭of the‬
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‭z‬‭-distribution for doing inferential statistics on‬‭the population mean when the population standard deviation is‬
‭unknown and the population is normally distributed.‬

‭ ifferent sample sizes have different distributions, thereby creating many‬‭t‭-‬ tables and making‬‭t‭-‬ distribution‬‭a‬
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‭series of different distributions determined by its degree of freedom.‬

‭ he‬‭degree of freedom‬‭(‭d
T ‬ f‬‭) is simply a measure of‬‭how many values can vary in a sample statistic. Wherein‬‭df‬
‭= n - 1‬‭.‬

‭The following are other characteristics of the‬‭t‭-‬ distribution:‬

‭ .‬ I‭t is a bell-shaped curve symmetrical about the mean‬


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‭2.‬ ‭The mean of the distribution is equal to 0 and is located at the center of distribution.‬
‭3.‬ ‭The curve is asymptotic to the x axis‬
‭𝑑𝑓‬
‭4.‬ ‭The variance of the distribution is equal to‬
‭𝑑𝑓‬−‭2‬
‭5.‬ ‭The variance of the distribution is always greater than 1.‬

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