Prognosis
Prognosis
Prognosis
The Oxford classification has been validated in a European cohort [59], a North
American cohort [60], and a Chinese cohort [61]. The predictive value of each of
the histologic variables appears to be similar in adults and children [62,63]. A
potential weakness of this classification system is that it does not include
crescents or necrotizing lesions, as too few of these lesions were found in the
data set due to inclusion and exclusion criteria. In addition, the prognostic value
of the Oxford classification is diminished in treated patients.
Based upon these observations, the consensus recommendation is that every
biopsy report of IgA nephropathy should include numerical scores based upon
the presence or absence of these variables. A suggested scoring system and the
definitions of the above histologic variables are presented elsewhere.
(See "Clinical presentation and diagnosis of IgA nephropathy", section on 'Oxford
classification of IgA nephropathy'.)
There are no data on the utility of the Oxford classification, independent of
clinical parameters (eg, reduced glomerular filtration and proteinuria above
1 g/day) for determining appropriate therapy. (See 'Patient selection' below.) It
appears that the addition of a classification of glomerular pathology adds
accuracy to prognostication, over and above clinical assessment.
Absolute renal risk score — A prediction score that estimates the five-year risk
of developing end-stage renal disease was developed in a Japanese cohort of
698 untreated patients and then validated in a separate cohort of 702 patients
[64]. Patients were assigned points according to two clinical risk factors and three
of the four Oxford classification criteria:
●24-hour urine protein excretion (0 for <0.5, 4 for 0.5 to 0.99, 6 for 1 to 3.5, or
9 points for 3.5 grams or more)
●eGFR (0 for ≥60, 1 for 30 to 59, 4 for 15 to 29, or 9 points for
<15 mL/min/1.73 m2)
●Mesangial hypercellularity (0 if M0 or 2 points if M1)
●Segmental glomerulosclerosis (0 if S0 or 4 points if S1)
●Tubular atrophy/interstitial fibrosis (0 if T0, 6 if T1, or 10 points if T2)
The five-year incidence of end-stage renal disease varied widely according to the
prediction score; as examples, the incidence was less than 1 percent for patients
whose score was 8 points or less and greater than 50 percent for patients whose
score was 23 points or more.
Another scoring system that estimates the risk of end-stage renal disease or
death at 10 and 20 years was developed in a smaller European study of 332
patients with IgA nephropathy followed for a mean of 12 years [10]. At the time of
diagnosis, patients were assigned an absolute renal risk (ARR) score of 0 to 3
depending upon the presence of hypertension (1 point), protein excretion
≥1 g/day (1 point), and a global optical score (GOS) on renal biopsy ≥8 (1 point).
The GOS is a measure of the severity of glomerular, vascular, tubular and
interstitial lesions observed on the initial biopsy; a value ≥8 represents severe
pathological lesions [10,15].
The incidence of death or dialysis at 10 and 20 years for specific ARR scores
was [10]:
●ARR score of 0 – 2 and 4 percent
●ARR score of 1 – 2 and 9 percent
●ARR score of 2 – 7 and 18 percent
●ARR score of 3 – 29 and 64 percent
However, as noted by the authors and described in earlier papers [24], reducing
protein excretion and treating hypertension significantly improves outcomes.
Thus, it appears that persistence of these risk factors is the most relevant issue
for patient prognosis. (See 'Protein excretion above 1 g/day' above
and 'Proteinuria and blood pressure goals' below.)
Serologic predictors of progression — Compared with healthy subjects
without IgA nephropathy, patients with IgA nephropathy have an increase in the
proportion of aberrantly galactosylated IgA1 (also called galactose-deficient IgA1
[Gd-IgA1]) O-glycoforms in the serum. These aberrantly galactosylated IgA1
molecules are thought to be involved in the pathogenesis of IgA nephropathy.
(See "Pathogenesis of IgA nephropathy", section on 'Poor O-galactosylation of
IgA1'.)
Higher serum levels of aberrantly galactosylated IgA1 may correlate with a higher
likelihood of developing progressive renal failure [65]. In addition, a study of 97
patients with IgA nephropathy of varying severity found that higher titers of
autoantibodies specific for aberrantly galactosylated IgA1 corresponded to both
the absolute renal risk score (mentioned above) and the risk of end-stage renal
disease or death [66]. Thus, testing for either galactose-deficient IgA in the
serum or autoantibodies against abnormal IgA1 molecules may prove to be a
useful prognostic tool in patients with IgA nephropathy.
After the six-month course, there were significant reductions in the serum
creatinine concentration (2.7 to 1.5 mg/dL [240 to 133 micromol/L]) and in protein
excretion (4 to 1.4 g/day). Repeat renal biopsy revealed the absence of cellular
crescents and endocapillary proliferation in all patients.
Throughout the three-year follow-up, all patients
continued prednisone (0.15 mg/kg per day), and the blood pressure was
controlled to a goal of less than 130/70 mmHg with ACE inhibitors and other
agents as needed. Compared with 12 untreated historic controls (matched for
age, gender, baseline serum creatinine concentration and histologic severity), the
incidence of end-stage renal disease at three years was significantly lower in the
treated group (1 of 12 [8 percent] versus 5 of 12 [42 percent]).
These limited data suggest that patients with crescentic glomerulonephritis who
do not have significant chronic damage on kidney biopsy may benefit from
therapy that initially includes intravenous cyclophosphamide. This is consistent
with the benefit noted with a similar regimen in other forms of crescentic
glomerulonephritis. (See "Overview of the classification and treatment of rapidly
progressive (crescentic) glomerulonephritis".)
The role of combined immunosuppressive therapy in the treatment of crescentic
IgA nephropathy is summarized below. (See 'Summary and
recommendations' below.)
Unclear role for other immunosuppressive agents — In addition to the above
regimens, mycophenolate mofetil and cyclosporine have been evaluated for the
treatment of IgA nephropathy.
Mycophenolate mofetil — There are limited data concerning the efficacy
of mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) in the primary treatment of progressive IgA
nephropathy. Three small, prospective placebo-controlled randomized trials
evaluated the efficacy of MMF therapy; the patients were also treated with ACE
inhibitors. The trials had conflicting results, ranging from no benefit [26,127],
particularly in patients with advanced fibrotic disease [26], to a reduction in
proteinuria and a decrease in rate of decline in GFR [128,129]. Another trial that
compared the combination of MMF and lower-dose prednisone (0.4 to
0.6 mg/kg/day) with full-dose prednisone (0.8 to 1 mg/kg/day) found no difference
in complete remission rates at 6 and 12 months [130]. Some of the authors and
reviewers of this topic would consider the use of MMF in selected patients and
some would not use it in any patients. In addition, the KDIGO clinical practice
guidelines do not recommend the use of MMF as first-line therapy [2].
MMF is associated with increased fetal risk and should not be used in women
who are or might become pregnant. (See "Mycophenolate: Overview of use and
adverse effects in the treatment of rheumatic diseases", section on 'Pregnancy'.)
Calcineurin inhibitors — Cyclosporine and tacrolimus have been investigated
in small series of patients with IgA nephropathy [131-134]. Although proteinuria
may be reduced, the use of these agents has been limited by the associated
nephrotoxicity, leading to a rise in the serum creatinine concentration that is
greater than that seen in untreated patients [131,132,134]. In addition, relapse
may occur soon after the drug is discontinued.
Based upon the available data, we do not use these drugs for the treatment of
IgA nephropathy pending further studies showing benefit. The observation
that cyclosporine appears to be effective treatment of nephrotic-range proteinuria
in IgA vasculitis (Henoch-Schönlein purpura), where the renal biopsy findings are
those of IgA nephropathy, provides indirect evidence of possible benefit
[135,136]. (See "IgA vasculitis (Henoch-Schönlein purpura): Renal
manifestations", section on 'Approach in children'.)
Rituximab — We do not routinely use rituximab in the treatment of patients with
IgA nephropathy. As mentioned above, increased circulating levels of aberrantly
galactosylated IgA1 (also called galactose-deficient IgA1 [Gd-IgA1]) and
autoantibodies against Gd-IgA1 are associated with an increased risk of disease
progression. B cell-depleting therapies such as rituximab have been used in the
treatment of other renal diseases mediated by autoantibodies and could
theoretically remove the autoantibodies that drive the progression of IgA
nephropathy. (See 'Serologic predictors of progression' above.)
The efficacy of rituximab was evaluated in a small open-label randomized trial of
34 patients with biopsy-proven IgA nephropathy (with <50 percent
glomerulosclerosis or interstitial fibrosis), proteinuria of >1 g/day, and estimated
GFR (eGFR) or measured creatinine clearance of <90 and >30 mL/min per 1.73
m2 [137]. Patients were randomly assigned to rituximab (two infusions of 1 g
administered two weeks apart, followed by an identical course six months later;
17 patients) or no rituximab (17 patients); all patients were maintained on ACE
inhibitor and/or ARB therapy. At baseline, median proteinuria (2.1 g/day) and
serum creatinine (1.4 mg/dL) were similar between treatment groups; however,
median eGFR was lower in patients assigned to rituximab (40 versus
61 mL/min per 1.73 m2). At 12 months, there was no difference in the change in
proteinuria or change in renal function from baseline between the two groups.
Although treatment with rituximab resulted in the successful depletion of CD19+
B cells at both 6 and 12 months, there were no differences in serum levels of Gd-
IgA1 or IgG autoantibodies against Gd-IgA1 between the groups at baseline and
at 12 months. No patients experienced serious adverse events, but mild adverse
effects occurred more frequently among rituximab-treated patients.