DCF On Jubilant Foodworks
DCF On Jubilant Foodworks
DCF On Jubilant Foodworks
INCOME
Revenue From Operations [Gross] 2,582.85 3,017.74 3,557.08 3,912.12
Revenue From Operations [Net] 2,582.85 3,017.74 3,557.08 3,912.12
Other Operating Revenues 0.54 0.66 6.06 15.15
Total Operating Revenues 2,583.39 3,018.40 3,563.14 3,927.27
Other Income 14.74 23.08 47.36 69.62
Total Revenue 2,598.13 3,041.48 3,610.51 3,996.89
EXPENSES
Cost Of Materials Consumed 549.71 673.61 794.38 914.08
Purchase Of Stock-In Trade 81.58 93.82 90.93 70.42
Changes In Inventories Of FG,WIP And Stock-In Trade -0.53 -1.47 0.8 -1.03
Employee Benefit Expenses 594.75 613.97 681.82 796.44
Finance Costs 0 0 0 165.24
Depreciation And Amortisation Expenses 155.43 160.11 157.45 352.28
Other Expenses 1,116.74 1,198.37 1,395.46 1,271.77
Total Expenses 2,497.69 2,738.42 3,120.83 3,569.19
Profit/Loss Before Exceptional, ExtraOrdinary Items And Tax 100.44 303.06 489.67 427.7
Exceptional Items -12.17 0 0 -24.91
12 mths
3,295.89
3,295.89
15.98
3,311.87
73.08
3,384.95
680.72
46.86
-1.34
746.88
162.7
375.4
1,067.56
3,078.77
306.17
0
306.17
93.13
-17.48
75.65
230.52
230.52
230.52
1.14
231.67
18
18
0
0
Jubilant Foodworks
Consolidated Balance Sheet ------------------- in Rs. Cr. -------------------
Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar 21
SHAREHOLDER'S FUNDS
NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES
NON-CURRENT ASSETS
NON-CURRENT INVESTMENTS
CURRENT INVESTMENTS
0 0 0 0
Current Liabilities
Creditors 389.0 425.0 451.7 537.8 488.3
Accured income tax payable 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Other accruals 68.1 93.6 232.3 281.2 93.4
Total current liabilities 457.1 518.6 684.0 819.0 581.7
Debtor days 2 3 2 2 2
Inventory days 31 32 35 67 67
Other current assets as % of revenue 1% 1% 1% 2% 1%
Creditor days 185 175 168 270 250
Accured income tax payable (as % of Income tax) 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Other accruals (% of operating expenses) 4% 5% 14% 20% 8%
Projected
2023 2024 2025 2026
2 2 2 2
67 67 67 67
1% 1% 1% 1%
230 215 200 190
0% 0% 0% 0%
8% 8% 8% 8%
Figures in cr. Historical Projected
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Debt Schedule
Opening balance 0.37 0.5 0.5 1525.22 1469.3 1469.3 1469.3
Add/Less: Debt taken (Repaid) 0.13 0 1524.72 -55.92 0 0 0
Closing balance 0.37 0.5 0.5 1525.22 1469.3 1469.3 1469.3 1469.3
1469.3 1469.3
0
1469.3 1469.3
157 157
10.7% 10.7%
Figures in cr. Historical Projected
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Fixed asset turnover ratio 2.41 2.59 2.49 1.85 1.85 1.85
Cost of debt
Risk free rate 15-Sep-21
Add: Company risk premium Ashwath Damodran dataset
Add: Country risk premium Ashwath Damodran dataset
Cost of debt
Tax rates Marginal rate
Post tax cost of debt
Cost of equity
Risk free rate 15-Sep-21
Beta
Return of markets
Risk free rate 15-Sep-21
Cost of equity
Value of debt
Calculation of beta
Last 3 years weekly data
Date Adj Close Return of market Adj Close Return of jubilant foodworks
9/17/2018 11143.10 1289.41
9/24/2018 10930.45 -1.9% 1218.51 -5.5%
10/1/2018 10316.45 -5.6% 1141.52 -6.3%
10/8/2018 10472.50 1.5% 1176.45 3.1%
10/15/2018 10303.55 -1.6% 1256.71 6.8%
10/22/2018 10030.00 -2.7% 1045.90 -16.8%
10/29/2018 10553.00 5.2% 1070.23 2.3%
11/5/2018 10585.20 0.3% 1079.39 0.9%
11/12/2018 10682.20 0.9% 1180.21 9.3%
11/19/2018 10526.75 -1.5% 1200.33 1.7%
11/26/2018 10876.75 3.3% 1246.55 3.9%
12/3/2018 10693.70 -1.7% 1232.03 -1.2%
12/10/2018 10805.45 1.0% 1235.16 0.3%
12/17/2018 10754.00 -0.5% 1301.49 5.4%
12/24/2018 10859.90 1.0% 1237.24 -4.9%
12/31/2018 10727.35 -1.2% 1201.02 -2.9%
1/7/2019 10794.95 0.6% 1226.29 2.1%
1/14/2019 10906.95 1.0% 1206.82 -1.6%
1/21/2019 10780.55 -1.2% 1186.90 -1.7%
1/28/2019 10893.65 1.0% 1345.54 13.4%
2/4/2019 10943.60 0.5% 1334.69 -0.8%
2/11/2019 10724.40 -2.0% 1288.96 -3.4%
2/18/2019 10791.65 0.6% 1283.36 -0.4%
2/25/2019 10863.50 0.7% 1265.08 -1.4%
3/4/2019 11035.40 1.6% 1327.35 4.9%
3/11/2019 11426.85 3.5% 1330.92 0.3%
3/18/2019 11456.90 0.3% 1417.32 6.5%
3/25/2019 11623.90 1.5% 1430.80 1.0%
4/1/2019 11665.95 0.4% 1404.64 -1.8%
4/8/2019 11643.45 -0.2% 1349.05 -4.0%
4/15/2019 11752.80 0.9% 1332.85 -1.2%
4/22/2019 11754.65 0.0% 1330.53 -0.2%
4/29/2019 11712.25 -0.4% 1314.23 -1.2%
5/6/2019 11278.90 -3.7% 1252.94 -4.7%
5/13/2019 11407.15 1.1% 1261.91 0.7%
5/20/2019 11844.10 3.8% 1304.91 3.4%
5/27/2019 11922.80 0.7% 1295.60 -0.7%
6/3/2019 11870.65 -0.4% 1302.39 0.5%
6/10/2019 11823.30 -0.4% 1293.57 -0.7%
6/17/2019 11724.10 -0.8% 1243.43 -3.9%
6/24/2019 11788.85 0.6% 1221.68 -1.7%
7/1/2019 11811.15 0.2% 1223.46 0.1%
7/8/2019 11552.50 -2.2% 1196.81 -2.2%
7/15/2019 11419.25 -1.2% 1204.79 0.7%
7/22/2019 11284.30 -1.2% 1203.05 -0.1%
7/29/2019 10997.35 -2.5% 1177.54 -2.1%
8/5/2019 11109.65 1.0% 1172.29 -0.4%
8/12/2019 11047.80 -0.6% 1102.88 -5.9%
8/19/2019 10829.35 -2.0% 1143.95 3.7%
8/26/2019 11023.25 1.8% 1178.33 3.0%
9/2/2019 10946.20 -0.7% 1193.99 1.3%
9/9/2019 11075.90 1.2% 1239.66 3.8%
9/16/2019 11274.20 1.8% 1367.78 10.3%
9/23/2019 11512.40 2.1% 1362.43 -0.4%
9/30/2019 11174.75 -2.9% 1281.75 -5.9%
10/7/2019 11305.05 1.2% 1317.01 2.8%
10/14/2019 11661.85 3.2% 1352.58 2.7%
10/21/2019 11583.90 -0.7% 1527.32 12.9%
10/28/2019 11890.60 2.6% 1567.36 2.6%
11/4/2019 11908.15 0.1% 1605.86 2.5%
11/11/2019 11895.45 -0.1% 1614.37 0.5%
11/18/2019 11914.40 0.2% 1554.63 -3.7%
11/25/2019 12056.05 1.2% 1609.84 3.6%
12/2/2019 11921.50 -1.1% 1561.09 -3.0%
12/9/2019 12086.70 1.4% 1611.58 3.2%
12/16/2019 12271.80 1.5% 1569.55 -2.6%
12/23/2019 12245.80 -0.2% 1618.60 3.1%
12/30/2019 12226.65 -0.2% 1674.06 3.4%
1/6/2020 12256.80 0.2% 1718.88 2.7%
1/13/2020 12352.35 0.8% 1740.26 1.2%
1/20/2020 12248.25 -0.8% 1800.75 3.5%
1/27/2020 11962.10 -2.3% 1867.75 3.7%
2/3/2020 12098.35 1.1% 1892.33 1.3%
2/10/2020 12113.45 0.1% 1803.24 -4.7%
2/17/2020 12080.85 -0.3% 1873.42 3.9%
2/24/2020 11201.75 -7.3% 1747.78 -6.7%
3/2/2020 10989.45 -1.9% 1683.41 -3.7%
3/9/2020 9955.20 -9.4% 1514.14 -10.1%
3/16/2020 8745.45 -12.2% 1468.76 -3.0%
3/23/2020 8660.25 -1.0% 1411.85 -3.9%
3/30/2020 8083.80 -6.7% 1295.69 -8.2%
4/6/2020 9111.90 12.7% 1420.29 9.6%
4/13/2020 9266.75 1.7% 1545.43 8.8%
4/20/2020 9154.40 -1.2% 1476.30 -4.5%
4/27/2020 9859.90 7.7% 1605.89 8.8%
5/4/2020 9251.50 -6.2% 1564.20 -2.6%
5/11/2020 9136.85 -1.2% 1663.59 6.4%
5/18/2020 9039.25 -1.1% 1617.67 -2.8%
5/25/2020 9580.30 6.0% 1653.91 2.2%
6/1/2020 10142.15 5.9% 1682.86 1.8%
6/8/2020 9972.90 -1.7% 1734.48 3.1%
6/15/2020 10244.40 2.7% 1686.35 -2.8%
6/22/2020 10383.00 1.4% 1766.97 4.8%
6/29/2020 10607.35 2.2% 1734.23 -1.9%
7/6/2020 10768.05 1.5% 1617.97 -6.7%
7/13/2020 10901.70 1.2% 1752.50 8.3%
7/20/2020 11194.15 2.7% 1723.05 -1.7%
7/27/2020 11073.45 -1.1% 1717.65 -0.3%
8/3/2020 11214.05 1.3% 1869.31 8.8%
8/10/2020 11178.40 -0.3% 1866.61 -0.1%
8/17/2020 11371.60 1.7% 1974.84 5.8%
8/24/2020 11647.60 2.4% 2164.58 9.6%
8/31/2020 11333.85 -2.7% 2242.75 3.6%
9/7/2020 11464.45 1.2% 2323.52 3.6%
9/14/2020 11504.95 0.4% 2356.96 1.4%
9/21/2020 11050.25 -4.0% 2310.44 -2.0%
9/28/2020 11416.95 3.3% 2362.35 2.2%
10/5/2020 11914.20 4.4% 2298.16 -2.7%
10/12/2020 11762.45 -1.3% 2314.98 0.7%
10/19/2020 11930.35 1.4% 2216.49 -4.3%
10/26/2020 11642.40 -2.4% 2171.22 -2.0%
11/2/2020 12263.55 5.3% 2259.47 4.1%
11/9/2020 12719.95 3.7% 2471.68 9.4%
11/16/2020 12859.05 1.1% 2613.95 5.8%
11/23/2020 12968.95 0.9% 2496.74 -4.5%
11/30/2020 13258.55 2.2% 2557.94 2.5%
12/7/2020 13513.85 1.9% 2643.85 3.4%
12/14/2020 13760.55 1.8% 2753.77 4.2%
12/21/2020 13749.25 -0.1% 2703.10 -1.8%
12/28/2020 13981.75 1.7% 2788.26 3.2%
1/4/2021 14347.25 2.6% 2907.87 4.3%
1/11/2021 14433.70 0.6% 2728.61 -6.2%
1/18/2021 14371.90 -0.4% 2741.74 0.5%
1/25/2021 13634.60 -5.1% 2585.94 -5.7%
2/1/2021 14924.25 9.5% 2745.78 6.2%
2/8/2021 15163.30 1.6% 2784.77 1.4%
2/15/2021 14981.75 -1.2% 2946.45 5.8%
2/22/2021 14529.15 -3.0% 2990.03 1.5%
3/1/2021 14938.10 2.8% 3068.06 2.6%
3/8/2021 15030.95 0.6% 2967.02 -3.3%
3/15/2021 14744.00 -1.9% 2863.39 -3.5%
3/22/2021 14507.30 -1.6% 2876.12 0.4%
3/29/2021 14867.35 2.5% 2945.95 2.4%
4/5/2021 14834.85 -0.2% 2876.67 -2.4%
4/12/2021 14617.85 -1.5% 2816.07 -2.1%
4/19/2021 14341.35 -1.9% 2840.03 0.9%
4/26/2021 14631.10 2.0% 2887.00 1.7%
5/3/2021 14823.15 1.3% 2736.10 -5.2%
5/10/2021 14677.80 -1.0% 2800.69 2.4%
5/17/2021 15175.30 3.4% 3015.24 7.7%
5/24/2021 15435.65 1.7% 3115.53 3.3%
5/31/2021 15670.25 1.5% 3169.34 1.7%
6/7/2021 15799.35 0.8% 3212.77 1.4%
6/14/2021 15683.35 -0.7% 3286.85 2.3%
6/21/2021 15860.35 1.1% 3112.78 -5.3%
6/28/2021 15722.20 -0.9% 3140.64 0.9%
7/5/2021 15689.80 -0.2% 3103.70 -1.2%
7/12/2021 15923.40 1.5% 3140.09 1.2%
7/19/2021 15856.05 -0.4% 3563.55 13.5%
7/26/2021 15763.05 -0.6% 3769.01 5.8%
8/2/2021 16238.20 3.0% 3709.81 -1.6%
8/9/2021 16529.10 1.8% 3781.50 1.9%
8/16/2021 16450.50 -0.5% 3968.20 4.9%
8/23/2021 16705.20 1.5% 3812.35 -3.9%
8/30/2021 17323.60 3.7% 4113.10 7.9%
9/6/2021 17369.25 0.3% 4097.70 -0.4%
9/13/2021 17380.00 0.1% 4116.00 0.4%
6.198%
WACC Calculation
6.198%
0.69%
2.13% Kd 6.3% Wd 4%
9.02% Ke 7.6% We 96%
30.00%
6.31% WACC 7.55%
6.198%
0.73
8.11%
6.20%
7.6%
5900.65
17519.45
8.11%
13
2,646.19
34,921.54
1469.3
foodworks
beta = cov(return of market & stock)/variance of market
cov(m&s) 0.000597
variance 0.000814
beta 0.733062
Figures in Cr. 0 1 2
2022 2023
EBIT 565 524
Less: taxes -171 -158
NOPAT (net operating profit after tax) 393 365
Add: Depreciation and amortization 412 354
Add/Less: Working capital changes -165 -66
Less: Investment in fixed assets 25 -53
FCFF 665 601
Discount factor 0.96 0.90
Exit multiple
EV/EBITDA 59.47
EBITDA 811
Enterprise value (Terminal value) 48,216.67
Present value of terminal value 33,512.23