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SPECIAL TOPIC TWO

Asymmetric information
and
Regulation of Financial Markets

Compiled By Alem H(PhD)


ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION

Compiled By Alem H(PhD)


An Overview of the Financial System
➢ Provides for efficient flow of funds from saving to
investment by bringing savers and borrowers
together via financial markets and financial institutions.

➢A financial system consists of institutional units and


markets that interact, typically in a complex
manner, for the purpose of
➢mobilizing funds for investment and
➢providing facilities, including payment systems,
for the financing of commercial activity.
Compiled By Alem H(PhD) 3
Components of Financial System
• Financial institutions within the system is
primarily to intermediate between those that
provide funds and those that need funds, and
typically involves transforming and managing risk.

• Financial markets provide a forum or system


within which financial claims can be traded under
established rules of conduct and can facilitate the
management and transformation of risk.
Compiled By Alem H(PhD) 4
Components of Financial System
• Financial System:
– Savers
– Users
– Financial Institutions
– Financial Markets
• Funds can be transferred between users and savers
directly or indirectly.

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Flows of Funds Through the Financial System

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Methods of funds transfer
1.Direct financing
2. Indirect financing

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Direct Financing
• The simplest way for funds to flow.
• Borrowers borrow directly from lenders in
financial markets by selling financial instruments
which are claims on the borrower’s future income
or assets.
• Securities are assets for the person who buys them
and they are liabilities for the individual or firm
that issues them

Compiled By Alem H(PhD)


Direct Financing
• Deficit Spending Unit(DSU) and Surplus Spending
Unit (SSU) find each other and bargain
• SSU transfers funds directly to DSU
• DSU issues claim directly to SSU
• Preferences of both must match as to-
-Amount
-Maturity
-Risk
-Liquidity
Compiled By Alem H(PhD)
Direct Financing
• Efficient for large transactions if preferences
match.

• DSUs and SSUs “seize the day”—


✓ DSUs fund desired projects immediately.
✓ SSUs earn timely returns on savings.
• Direct markets are “wholesale” markets.
✓ Institutional arrangements common.
Compiled By Alem H(PhD)
Institutional arrangements common in direct finance.

• Private placements.

• Investment bankers

• Brokers and dealers bring buyers and sellers of direct


claims together.

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Brokers and dealers
❑Brokers bring buyers and sellers of direct claims
together.
❑Brokers buy or sell at best possible price for their
clients. They are an agent or an intermediary
❑A dealer is an individual who is willing to buy and
sell securities on his own behalf with his money.
✓They are independent and take their own decisions.
❑Dealers “make markets” by carrying inventories
of securities.
– buy at “bid price;” sell at “ask price”
– “Bid-ask spread” is dealer’s gross profit
Compiled By Alem H(PhD)
Direct Financing
Advantages Disadvantages
➢ Avoids costs of ➢ Assessment of risk,
intermediation especially default risk
➢ Matching of preferences
➢ Increases range of ➢ Liquidity and marketability of a
securities and markets security
➢ Search and transaction
costs

Compiled By Alem H(PhD)


Indirect Finance

Compiled By Alem H(PhD)


Indirect Finance
Instead of savers lending/investing directly with
borrowers, a financial intermediary (such as a bank)
plays as the middleman:
▪ the intermediary obtains funds from savers

▪ the intermediary then makes loans/investments


with borrowers

Compiled By Alem H(PhD)


Indirect Financing
(“Financial Intermediation”):
• Financial intermediaries “transform” claims:
– raise funds by issuing claims to SSUs;
– use funds to buy claims issued by DSUs.

• Claims can have unmatched characteristics:


–SSU has claim against intermediary;
–Intermediary has claim against DSU.

Compiled By Alem H(PhD)


Indirect Finance
▪ Needed because of

▪ transactions costs,

▪ risk sharing, and

▪ asymmetric information

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1. Transaction costs and Liquidity
i. Financial intermediaries make profits by
reducing transactions costs
ii. Reduce transactions costs by developing
expertise and taking advantage of economies
of scale
iii. Provide liquidity services

Compiled By Alem H(PhD)


2. Risk sharing:
• Risk sharing : Asset Transformation& Diversification
• FI’s low transaction costs allow them to reduce the
exposure of investors to risk, through a process known
as risk sharing
– FIs create and sell assets with lesser risk to one
party in order to buy assets with greater risk from
another party

Compiled By Alem H(PhD)


Risk sharing:
– Asset transformation is, for example, when a
bank takes your savings deposits and uses the
funds to make, say, a mortgage loan. Banks tend
to “borrow short and lend long” (in terms of
maturity).
✓ This process is referred to as asset
transformation, because in a sense risky assets are
turned into safer assets for investors

Compiled By Alem H(PhD)


Risk sharing: Diversification
▪ Financial intermediaries also help by providing
the means for individuals and businesses to
diversify their asset holdings.

▪ Low transaction costs allow them to buy a range of


assets, pool them, and then sell rights to the
diversified pool to individuals.

Compiled By Alem H(PhD)


3.Asymmetric Information
✓Asymmetric information is, just as the term
suggests, unequal, disproportionate, or lopsided
information.
✓It is typically used in reference to some type of
business deal or financial arrangement where one
party possesses more, or more detailed,
information than the other.

Copyright © 2011 Pearson


2 - 22
Canada Inc.
3.Asymmetric Information
Two types of asymmetric information
a. Adverse Selection
• Asymmetric Information before transaction occurs
✓ Potential borrowers most likely to produce adverse outcomes are
ones most likely to seek loans and be selected.
b. Moral Hazard
• Asymmetric information after transaction occurs
• Hazard that borrower has incentives to engage in
undesirable activities making it more likely that loan won’t
be paid back
• E.g. Borrowed funds are used for another purpose.
Copyright © 2011 Pearson
2 - 23
Canada Inc.
Asymmetric Information
Asymmetric Information in
Financial Markets

Introduction and Applications


Ricardo N. Bebczuk(2003)
Asymmetric information problems in financial
markets
❑A debt contract establishes the legal rights and
obligations for those who receive financing
(borrowers) and those who provide it (lenders).

❑In the first place, the intrinsic uncertainty


surrounding any investment project puts the
borrower’s ability to repay in question.
Asymmetric information problems in financial
markets
❑As significant as it may seem, this obstacle can be
reasonably overcome by estimating the probability of
full reimbursement and consequently adjusting the
interest rate.

❑The second hindrance, the borrower’s fragile promise


loyally to obey the contract, can be more difficult to
surmount.

❑An experienced observer will note that a borrower can


attempt to disguise the true nature of a project or, once
in possession of borrowed funds, divert them to other
uses or conceal the true outcome of his investment.
Asymmetric information problems in financial
markets
❑These issues are known as asymmetric
information problems. Conflicts of interests
will arise if these factors hamper the lender’s
profitability.

❑The origin of these obstacles and their effects on


financial markets are the issues that we will study in
this chapter.
Economic characteristics of financial contracts

• In order to understand the implications of asymmetric


information on financial markets we first need to explore
the fundamental relationship between borrower and lender.

• A financial contract will be written only if the expected


profit of the lender and the borrower is equal to or higher
than the next best alternative project.
Economic characteristics of financial contracts

• This is the so called participation constraint or


individual rationality constraint: no rational individual
will take part in an investment either with negative
expected return, or with a profit that does not reach a
minimum required level of expected return, determined by
the investment opportunity that is forgone for this
particular business.

• This minimum floor is known as the opportunity cost or


required return.
Economic characteristics of financial contracts
• Let us look at an example using the notation we will
employ throughout our discussion. We will suppose there
is only one productive project, with initial investment I =
$100.
• One year later it offers two possible cash flows: if successful,
CFs , = $300; if it fails, CF f = $0. The probability of success
αs, is 0.7 and the probability of failure
α f = (1 − αs) is 0.3. The expected value EV of the
project is:
EV = αs CFs + α f CF f
= 0.7 × $300 + 0.3 × $0
= $210
Economic characteristics of financial contracts
• Does this project satisfy the conditions for the writing
of a financial contract?
• To answer this question, we need more information.

• First, let us assume that the initial investment is $100 and


the required return r is 10 per cent.
• This indicates that a lender who finances the project through a
$100 loan, L, could obtain a 10 per cent return by
investing his money in, for example, government bonds
or simply making a bank deposit.
• He will not lend money at less than 10 per cent; nor will the lender be
able to charge a higher interest rate, since borrowers will arrange
loans with other banks charging 10 per cent.
Economic characteristics of financial contracts
• The project involves a risk for the bank because, if it fails,
the entrepreneur cannot repay the debt and goes
bankrupt, transferring CF f to the bank.

• However, the borrower is not forced to use personal assets to


pay for the capital and interest owed. This feature of the
contract is known as limited liability.

• Under the simple case in which CF f = 0, the loan’s interest rate


allows the bank to achieve its opportunity cost (1 + r)L

(1 + r ) L =  s (1 + rL ) L +  f CF f
Economic characteristics of financial contracts

(1 + r ) L =  s (1 + rL ) L
(1 + r )
= (1 + rL )
s

• In the previous example, the resulting rate is:


• rL = (1 + 0.1) -1=1.1
0.7 0.7
• rL = 0.57 = 57 per cent
Economic characteristics of financial contracts
• Whenever CF f < (1 + r)L, the loan’s interest rate will be
greater than the bank’s required rate of return, rL > r.
Given that the bank will participate in the project, let us see if the
borrower is satisfied with the contract.
• Assuming the borrower does not use personal resources
for funding, the project will be attractive as far as it
yields any positive return.
• The borrower’s expected profit Eπ is:
• Eπ = αs [CFs − (1 + rL )L]
=0.7*[$300-(1+0.57)*$100]
=$100
Economic characteristics of financial contracts
• As the project satisfies the economic demands of both
parties, we can then conclude that the project will go
forward.

• It is evident that both the borrower and the lender expect


(as opposed to obtain with certainty) a profit, because financial
contracts are claims on uncertain future revenues.

• The project’s actual value will be either $300 or $0, and not the
expected value of $210.
Economic characteristics of financial contracts
• Uncertainty, however, means that probabilities
need to be assigned a priori to every possible
result, and both lender and borrower rely on such
probabilities at the time of deciding to enter the
contract.
• Accordingly, even though it may look
counterintuitive, they do not care about the
effective outcome but only the expected one.
Asymmetric information
• Here we examine a case where borrowers and
lenders do not have access to the same
information.

• There is asymmetric information in a financial


contract when the borrower has information that
the lender ignores or does not have access to.

• Although we will be more detailed later on, for the moment


we want to identify the crucial factors surrounding the
problem of asymmetric information.
Asymmetric information
• This asymmetry concerns the lender whenever the
borrower can use this information profitably at the
lender’s expense, and is connected with the following
circumstances:
(i) The borrower violates the contract by hiding
information about the characteristics and the revenues of
the project
(ii) The lender does not have sufficient information or
control over the borrower to avoid cheating
(iii) There is debt repayment risk and the borrower has
limited liability.
Asymmetric information
• We can illustrate the problem with the prior example,
presuming that
(i) the borrower knows the true probability of success to
be 70 per cent, but reports 90 per cent to the lender;
(ii) the lender has no way to verify what the borrower
maintains;
(iii) as before, if the project fails, the loan is not paid.
Based on this information, the lender charges an interest
rate
• rL = 22.2 per cent (1.1/0.9 = 1.222), so that the borrower’s
expected benefit rises:
Eπ = 0.7 × [$300 − 1.222 × $100] = $124.5 > $100.0
Asymmetric information
• Eπ = 0.7 × [$300 − 1.222 × $100] = $124.5 > $100.0

• and the lender’s expected income falls:


• E ILender = 0.7 × (1.222 × $100) = $85.5 < $110
Asymmetric information
• It follows that if the borrower had not misrepresented the
information, none of the above would have happened.

• The importance of repayment risk becomes clearer with a


counterexample.
• We will suppose that the announced probability of success
is again lower than the real one, but in the worst scenario
the cash flow is CF f = $110.

• In that case, the lender can recover principal and interest in


any event, regardless of whether the borrower states the
probability of success as 70 per cent or 90 per cent.
Asymmetric information
• In other words, if the debt is safe, asymmetric information is
irrelevant, since the borrower is unable to rely on her limited
liability.
• Important lessons can be learned by looking at the problem more
formally.
• Let us rewrite the borrower’s expected profit and the
expected income of the lender:
Eπ = αs [CFs − (1 + rL )L]
= αs CFs − αs (1 + rL )L
=EV − αs (1 + rL )L
▪ The bank’s expected income E ILender is given by:
E ILender = αs (1 + rL )L
Asymmetric information
• The formulas reveal the potential conflict of interests that
lie between borrower and lender.

• First note that Eπ + E ILender = EV: The contract establishes


how the cash flows of the project are distributed between the
two parties.

• If the borrower can conceal the true risk of the project


and deliberately overestimate the probability of success,
then α's > αs(in our example, 0.9 > 0.7), the borrower will
retain a larger part of the expected value.
Asymmetric information
• The expected value is:

E =  s [CFS − (1 + rL ) L ]
1 + rL
=  s [CFS − ( ) L]
 'S
S
=  s CFS − (1 + r ) L
 'S
S
= EV − (1 + r ) L
 'S
Asymmetric information
• where we use the lender’s income statement introduced
earlier to define rL (note that the bank determines the
interest rate based on the declared probability of success,
α‘s. ).
• The ratio αs/ α's is a good measure of the level of asymmetric
information.
• The lower this ratio, the larger the benefit of the borrower at
the expense of the lender.
• It can be easily seen that, under symmetric information,
the announced probability of success coincides with the
real one and the expected profit becomes:
Eπ =EV − (1 + r )L
Asymmetric information
• The borrower appropriates the expected value of the
project, net of the lender’s required return. Because this profit
is smaller than under cheating, there is a clear incentive to
exploit the information advantage.

• Table 1.1 Project properties


Before disbursement After disbursement

Pre-determined project Adverse selection Monitoring costs

Choosing between Moral hazard


projects
REGULATION OF FINANCIAL MARKETS

Compiled By Alem H(PhD)


Regulation of Financial Markets
▪ Main Reasons for Regulation
1. Increase Information to Investors
• Decreases adverse selection and moral hazard
problems
2.Ensuring the Soundness of Financial
Intermediaries
• Prevents financial panics
• Chartering, reporting requirements, restrictions on
assets and activities, deposit insurance, and anti-
competitive measures
3.Improving Monetary Control
• Reserve requirements
• Deposit insurance to prevent bank panics
Compiled By Alem H(PhD)
Regulation Reason: Increase Investor
Information

• Asymmetric information in financial markets


means that investors may be subject to adverse
selection and moral hazard problems that may
hinder the efficient operation of financial
markets and may also keep investors away from
financial markets
• Regulation takes care of this aspect

Compiled By Alem H(PhD)


Regulation Reason:
Increase Investor Information
• Such government regulation can reduce
– adverse selection and

– moral hazard problems in financial markets and


increase their efficiency by increasing the amount of
information available to investors.

Compiled By Alem H(PhD)


Regulation Reason: Ensure Soundness
of Financial Intermediaries (cont.)
▪ To protect the public and the economy from financial
panics, the government has implemented six types of
regulations:
─Restrictions on Entry
─Disclosure
─Restrictions on Assets and Activities
─Deposit Insurance
─Limits on Competition
─Restrictions on Interest Rates

Compiled By Alem H(PhD)


Regulation: Restriction on Entry
▪ Restrictions on Entry
─ Regulators have created very tight regulations as to who is
allowed to set up a financial intermediary

─ Individuals or groups that want to establish a


financial intermediary, such as a bank or an insurance
company, must obtain a charter from the state or the federal
government

─ Only if they are upstanding citizens with impeccable


credentials and a large amount of initial funds will they be
given a charter.

Compiled By Alem H(PhD)


Regulation: Disclosure
▪ Disclosure Requirements

▪ There are stringent reporting requirements for


financial intermediaries
─Their bookkeeping must follow certain strict
principles,
─Their books are subject to periodic
inspection,
─They must make certain information available
to the public.
Compiled By Alem H(PhD)
Regulation: Restriction on Assets and
Activities
▪ Restrictions on the activities and assets of intermediaries
helps to ensure depositors that their funds are safe
and that the bank or other financial intermediary
will be able to meet its obligations.
– Intermediary are restricted from certain risky
activities
– And from holding certain risky assets, or at least
from holding a greater quantity of these risky
assets than is prudent
Compiled By Alem H(PhD)
Regulation: Restrictions on Interest Rates
▪ Competition has also been inhibited by regulations
that impose restrictions on interest rates that can be
paid on deposits
▪ These regulations were instituted because of the
widespread belief that unrestricted interest-rate
competition helped encourage bank failures during
the Great Depression
▪ Later evidence does not seem to support this view,
and restrictions on interest rates have
been abolished

Compiled By Alem H(PhD)


Regulation Reason:
Improve Monetary Control
▪ Because banks play a very important role in determining the supply of
money (which in turn affects many aspects of the economy), much
regulation of these financial intermediaries is intended to improve
control over the money supply
▪ One such regulation is reserve requirements, which make it
obligatory for all depository institutions to keep a certain fraction of
their deposits in accounts with the Federal Reserve System (the Fed),
the central bank in the United States
▪ Reserve requirements help the Fed exercise more precise control over
the money supply

Compiled By Alem H(PhD)

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