TN Lecture 2 PDF
TN Lecture 2 PDF
TN Lecture 2 PDF
Knowledge Structure
1. Basic cost concepts
See teaching notes Lecture 2 (1) for details.
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324223: IMA (2018 -2019) Lecture 2: RegionFly (2)
When saving costs, managers need to reduce both resource spending and resource consumption to
make the saving work. Managers need to think the following question carefully:
To answer this questions, managers need to be familiar with the cost behaviors, as fixed and variable
costs as approximation of what costs are unavoidable or avoidable:
Variable costs change proportionally with volume;
Fixed costs remain fixed throughout.
− This may not always be the case. If a firm increases/decreases its capacity (e.g.,
purchased a new machine or sold a warehouse), its fixed costs will change. But even
when fixed costs change, it does not change proportionally with volume of product.
4. Death spiral
The death spiral can be summarized as follows:
A product is dropped from the lineup;
Production and sales volumes decrease;
Some of the overhead/indirect costs are fixed and do not decrease with the production and sales
volumes;
Overhead cost allocation rate (=overhead costs/allocation base) increases if the allocation base
(usually volumes or variable costs) decreases significantly more than overhead costs;
Reported costs of remaining products increase. In some cases, more products will fall under
the minimum profitability criterion;
More products are dropped from the lineup as their costs are “too high”.
The iterative cycle described above might eventually lead to the elimination of all products from the
lineup, resulting in the death of the firm. More remarks about death spiral:
There are fixed components to overhead costs. Those fixed components will not go away as a
result of a product drop, which causes the vicious cycle in death spiral;
In practices, classifying costs as fixed or variable is not always easy;
In this particular case the death spiral was relatively easy to identify. However, in companies
that produce hundreds of products, such effect might not be as easy to isolate;
Reducing resource consumption is the only effective way to implement successful cost
reduction initiatives.
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324223: IMA (2018 -2019) Lecture 2: RegionFly (2)
Case synopsis
1. Situation in the competitive market
RegionFly’s business model:
Focus on a specific niche of the airline industry, i.e., the premium services (high price +
high quality service).
The quality of the service has been recognized by their customers.
The firm's culture focused on maintaining the corporate image and identity, even at the
expense of growth and expansion opportunities.
Although this business model helped RegionFly achieved high performance in the previous three
decades. The economic environment and customers’ preference have changed:
As a result of the Great Recession, travelers have become sensitive to prices. The demand
shifts from ultra-premium first class services to business class or economy class, thus
reducing RegionFly’s revenues and profitability;
Airlines are merging. The economies of scale reduce costs and increase price competition.
RegionFly used to decline the opportunities to expand. So now it does not have the size to
exploit similar economies of scale, and costs can be reduced only at the expense of quality
of service.
As a result, RegionFly’s financial performance keeps declining, and researched the lowest level in
2012.
The management team of RegionFly decides to drop routes based on their profitability. If any route
were to contribute less than 25% of its revenue toward the overall firm profit, this route’s costs are
considered as “too high” and this route will be dropped. To calculate the profitability of each route,
the management team needs to allocate the overhead costs to each route. The current cost system
allocate overhead costs to each route based on variable costs.
Variable direct costs (VDC) are used as cost allocation base. The management team:
1) Divides total overhead (i.e., indirect cost pool) by total VDC to calculate a cost allocation
rate;
2) Use the cost allocation rate to allocate overhead costs to each route;
3) Calculate the contribution of each route based on its revenue, direct costs incurred, and
allocated overhead costs.
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324223: IMA (2018 -2019) Lecture 2: RegionFly (2)
3. Cost behaviors
In 2013, Route 2 and 4 were dropped as they failed the “contribution test”. However, the situation
of RegionFly has not been improved, but become even worse. After the two routes were dropped,
revenue and direct variable costs dropped proportionally with the volume. But overhead costs
dropped less, as some of the overhead costs are fixed or partially fixed. A lot of the overhead costs
are still incurred, even in the situation of declining volumes. Due to a reduction in volumes, the
overhead allocation rate increases from 267% to 302%. Each route is allocated with more overhead
costs, especially the routes that can generate higher revenue, because routes that can generate higher
revenue also tend to incur higher variable direct costs.
The management team is deciding whether they should drop Route 7, as its profitability does not
pass the “contribution test”. To make this decision, it is important to recognize that by dropping a
route, which costs can be reduced and which cannot:
Variable costs remain constant in proportion to the chosen allocation base.
Fixed costs incurred are not impacted by the volume of production. However, the amount
of the expense might not be exactly the same over time.
Fixed and variable costs are an approximation of what costs are avoidable or unavoidable.
For example, the costs that will still be incurred by the firm after a change in service mix
(i.e. dropping Route 7) are unavoidable with respect to that particular decision, whereas
the costs that might disappear due to the change are, instead, avoidable.
In order to obtain results from a cost cutting initiative, it is imperative that both
consumption of and spending on resources is reduced.
Classifying costs as fixed or variable may not always be an easy task. Many costs in real life are
not clearly fixed or clearly variable. Some grey areas exist for costs that are “mostly fixed” or
“mostly variable”. Classifying these costs might require some degree of subjective judgment. The
description of costs reported in Exhibit 2 might aid in the interpretation of the cost categories and
in their subsequent classification as fixed or variable. Additionally, the behavior of the overhead
costs reported in Exhibit 1 can be analyzed numerically.
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324223: IMA (2018 -2019) Lecture 2: RegionFly (2)
Exhibit 1
Based on these analyses, costs reported in accounts 1000, 3000, and 7000 are completely variable
with respect to direct variable costs, as the rates are constant despite changes in volumes. The other
overheads accounts appear to include costs that are, at least, semi-fixed.
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324223: IMA (2018 -2019) Lecture 2: RegionFly (2)
This case shows that rationalizing the product portfolio can be done successfully only if there is
careful consideration of the effects on fixed and variable costs and, consequently, on the overall
profitability of the firm.
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324223: IMA (2018 -2019) Lecture 2: RegionFly (2)
Q2: Are the route costs reported by the cost system appropriate for use in the current strategic analysis?
Your judgment should be informed by a classification of the costs listed in Exhibit 2 as variable or
fixed.
A: No. The purpose of the current strategic analysis is to cut costs and increase profitability. The costs
reported were not appropriate, as the current cost system ignores that even drop a route, the fixed costs
will not decrease proportionally with the revenue and variable costs. Dropping a route based on the
current cost system will not lead to high profitability as expected by the management team.
Q3: What happened to the costs when Route 2 and Route 4 were dropped? What is likely to happen if Route
7 is dropped as well?
A: After Route 2 and Route 4 were dropped, both revenue and direct costs decreased. Some of the overhead
costs also decreased (i.e., 1000, 3000, 7000). However, the other overhead costs did not decreased
significantly (i.e., 2000, 4000, 5000, 6000). From 2012 to 2013:
Overhead costs didn’t decrease as much as the revenue or the direct variable costs. Dropping route 7
may have similar effect, as some of the overhead costs are fixed or partially fixed and thus will not
decrease significantly if route 7 were dropped.
Q4: Assume that revenues and variable direct costs for each route in 2015 will be the same as they were
in 2014. Also assume that if Route 7 is kept, revenues and variable direct costs will not change either.
With this information:
a) Prepare an estimate of the budget for 2015, with respect to the following scenarios:
i) No additional routes are dropped;
ii) Route 7 is dropped in 2015;
b) What assumptions did you make to prepare this estimation?
c) What will be the overhead rate in each of the above scenarios?
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324223: IMA (2018 -2019) Lecture 2: RegionFly (2)
A: Budget for Revenue and VDC are easy to prepare, as they are assumed to be the same as in 2014:
2015 not drop Route 7 drop Route 7
Revenue
Route 1 $1,273,941 $1,273,941
Route 2 $0 $0
Route 3 $901,845 $901,845
Route 4 $0 $0
Route 5 $608,818 $608,818
Route 6 $539,726 $539,726
Route 7 $840,010 $0
Total $4,164,339 $3,324,329
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324223: IMA (2018 -2019) Lecture 2: RegionFly (2)
Based these rates, we can estimate the overhead costs if dropping Route 7:
Be aware that the budget and allocation rate presented above are just our estimations, which would
be different with the actual costs. But it can inform the management team that the overhead costs
does not decrease proportionally with the volume if Route 7 were dropped.
Q5: Would you drop Route 7 in 2015? Why or why not? What additional information would you require
before making a final decision?
A: Dropping route 7 may not be a good decision for RegionFly, as it is likely to cause death spiral. If Route
7 were drooped:
Products were dropped. Production volume would decrease.
Allocation base would decrease disproportionately more than overhead costs decrease.
Burden rate for the remaining routes would increase.
Reported costs of remaining routes increase.
More routes would be dropped, until no routes were left.
Death of the firm.
To make decision about whether to drop Route 7 and what the company should do in the next step,
additional information shall be collected, for example:
Trend in the airline market: Price? Customer preference? Competitors?
Trend in raw material and personnel market: Price of crude oil? Employee salary?
Any change in cost behaviors?
Change in technology? Conditions of current equipment?
Other changes that may happen in the firm?
Students are encouraged to think of other information that would be relevant.
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