A Business Guide To Modern Predictive Analytics
A Business Guide To Modern Predictive Analytics
A Business Guide To Modern Predictive Analytics
to modern predictive
analytics
What’s inside
Why this guide? 03
The big picture 04
Why predictive analytics and AI matter 05
The tipping point for AI adoption 06
How can AI augment your business? 08
Climbing the AI ladder 13
What are your solution options? 14
Taking the next step 16
Key takeaways 17
Why combine decision optimization? 18
Glossary 19
2
Why this guide? Modern predictive analytics is about using
In business, foresight is everything. If you can predict what will
machine-generated predictions with
happen next, you can do the following tasks: human insight to drive business forward.
–– Make smarter decisions
–– Get to market faster
–– Disrupt your competitors
This guide will help your business perform the following actions:
This situation has created a tipping point. For the first time,
organizations of all sizes can do the following activities:
Before: Before:
Primarily relational data at scale; other types of data Disparate, incompatible tools that require multiple handovers
require ad hoc research projects. between teams with different expertise.
Now: Now:
Relational data, semi-structured documents, text, sensor data A blend of drag-and-drop interfaces and open source notebooks
and more; both historical and real-time analytics are possible that make collaboration between teams more convenient.
at scale.
What analytical techniques can be used? How do enterprises deploy analytics applications?
Before: Before:
Basic statistical techniques such as logistic and linear regression. Applications and analytics are tied to data on-premises
servers and data warehouse appliances, reducing opportunities
Now: for anytime, anywhere analytics.
Statistical techniques augmented with state-of-the-art machine
learning and deep learning algorithms. Now:
Hybrid, multi-cloud deployments help push analytics to wherever
data resides, while combining on-premises security with flexibility
and scalability.
How do enterprises inject artificial intelligence How can enterprises progress on their
into modern applications? analytics journey?
Before: Before:
A total disconnect between application development and data Each step from descriptive to predictive and prescriptive
science teams means each deployment is a custom process. analytics requires separate tools, skills and investment.
Now: Now:
The data science lifecycle is designed to create An integrated platform supports analytic progression,
a standardized, repeatable process for AI integration. simplifies onboarding and grows with you as your needs
change and skills develop.
46%
and better tooling is lowering the barriers to entry significantly.
40%
science can achieve.
These services can be an excellent starting point for businesses –– Optimizing offerings by listening to voices of customers
that want to transform data science from a research function and anticipating future needs
into an embedded part of day-to-day operations. They are easy
to deploy, require minimal custom development and deliver –– Enhancing marketing with targeted, personalized campaigns
value quickly.
–– Minimizing inventory costs and improving resource
management with accurate forecasting
Innovative organizations across many industries are already Commercial banks use predictive analytics for the following tasks:
investing in building their own predictive models to solve specific
business problems. The next two pages highlight just a few of the –– Assess market and counterparty risk on trades
potential applications for AI and predictive analytics across several –– Assess credit risk for loan applications
major industries. –– Detect fraudulent transactions in real time
–– Harness predictive modeling to accelerate
loan approval processes
Insurers use predictive analytics for the following tasks: Utilities use predictive analytics for the following tasks:
Governments rely on accurate statistics to inform policy-making Manufacturers use predictive analytics for the following tasks:
across many areas, including the following use cases for predictive
analytics: –– Keep production lines running smoothly by modeling
product quality and detecting defects
–– Detect benefit fraud –– Optimize warehouse management and logistics
–– Predict usage patterns for public services –– Develop sensors for autonomous vehicles by using
–– Optimize waste management and traffic flows machine learning models
Retail Food
Retailers use predictive analytics for the following tasks: The food industry uses predictive analytics for the following tasks:
–– Manage customer loyalty programs –– Automate data collection and analysis on food health
–– Boost cross- and up-selling by making targeted –– Predict and warn of potential health outbreaks to enable
rapid intervention
recommendations based on customer profiles
–– Protect companies’ sensitive data, making it safe
and sophisticated propensity models for competitors to collaborate
–– Enable accurate demand forecasting
Healthcare organizations can use statistical modeling techniques Retail banks use predictive analytics for the following tasks:
for the following tasks:
–– Enhance customer satisfaction through faster credit scoring
–– Monitor streams of data from ECGs and other medical devices –– Combine flexibility with robustness and security through
–– Predict when a patient’s condition may change hybrid cloud infrastructure
–– Perform medical research –– Cut costs and accelerate development due
–– Analyze streams of patient data in real time
to innovative architecture
Transportation Education
Transportation and logistics companies use predictive analytics Education institutions use predictive analytics for the
for the following tasks: following tasks:
Data of every type, no matter where it lives –– Analyzing data by building, training and testing
predictive models
–– Infusing AI into operations by deploying those
models into production as part of your applications
The AI portfolio from IBM offers everything you need to reach Watson Knowledge Catalog provides robust data governance and
the top rungs of the AI ladder. discoverability for models and data, while Watson OpenScale helps
you monitor and manage models in real time—boosting accuracy,
Pre-built AI services such as Watson Assistant and Watson increasing explainability and mitigating bias.
Visual Recognition help you address common use cases quickly
and efficiently, delivering value fast. IBM Cloud™ Private for Data unifies access to all these capabilities
and provides a powerful multicloud data platform.
When you’re ready to start developing your own AI solutions,
Watson Studio and Watson Machine Learning provide seamless IBM Data Science Premium add-on for IBM Cloud Private for Data
workflows for building, training and deploying predictive models. provides the additional data science productivity capabilities such
These solutions empower you by harnessing both state-of-the-art as SPSS Modeler and Decision Optimization to accelerate the time
IBM tools and the best open source AI frameworks. to value and increase the chance of your AI/ML project success.
Easily deploy models for online, Model Retraining Monitor and orchestrate
batch or streaming deployments management models served with Watson
Machine Learning
The top two steps of the AI ladder are Analyze and Infuse. To reach these
steps, organizations must help data scientists and business stakeholders
work together effectively at every stage of the data science lifecycle.
Data scientists explore Operations teams train, Business experts monitor the
business data to identify test, deploy and manage models’ runtime performance,
interesting features, then the models, and retrain look for any signs of bias or
prepare well-structured data them when necessary. need of explanation provide
sets that are used to design feedback and notify the data
predictive models. science team when they need
retraining.
When data science is adopted widely, different departments need Predict equipment failure using IoT sensor data
to deploy their models, connect them to data sources and infuse
them into production applications. Watson Studio and Watson See how IBM Watson Studio can analyze multivariate Internet
Machine Learning make it easier for departmental data science of Things (IoT) sensor data and predict equipment failure.
and IT teams to collaborate across this lifecycle. Learn more
Once AI is embedded into business-critical processes, building Use IBM Watson Studio to run machine learning classifiers and
a central platform is vital in order to manage and govern models compare the outputs with evaluating measures. Learn more
and data. IBM Cloud Private for Data can provide the infrastructure
and tools required for a comprehensive, multicloud platform that Shape and refine raw data
acts as a single point of control.
Work with IBM Data Refinery to prepare large data sets for
predictive analysis. Learn more
Speed
This solution works well with predictive analytics by using the Learn more
predictive outcomes of machine learning applications to provide
optimized outcomes. Machine learning provides insights on
the future based on observations given by users. With machine
learning, you know the answer, and you train the machine
how to find that answer.
Decision optimization lets you take the next step and act on
that information. With decision optimization, while you don’t
know the answer, you do know a lot about what is a good and
bad answer. You take the output from your machine learning
and specify an action for decision optimization to make, which
can include optimization rules and constraints to achieve
business goals.
The main approaches to machine learning can be divided into Open source frameworks often focus on developing high-quality
two categories: supervised and unsupervised learning. tools that target specific parts of the data science process, such
as model development or training. As a result, they often leave the
Management of models is vital to ensure that they remain end user responsible for integrating all the tools together into a
accurate over time. Retraining models regularly to take new data coherent workflow. This task can be a problem when you are trying
into account is critical, so model development, implementation, to scale predictive analytics across the enterprise and embed AI
deployment and management should form a continuous cycle. into business processes.
This management can be difficult to achieve with disparate open Predictive analytics uses historical data to model a specific
source tools. Using an end-to-end data science platform can avoid domain or problem and isolate the key factors that have driven
gaps in the process. The platform also can ensure that appropriate specific outcomes in the past. Models built using this process
teams will be notified immediately and can take rapid action predict likely future outcomes from new data.
whenever a model’s performance begins to degrade.
Predictive analytics can encompass a wide range of techniques,
Natural language processing (NLP) is a field of AI that focuses from classical statistical modeling to machine learning algorithms.
primarily on enabling computers to analyze unstructured textual
data. Common use cases include speech recognition, natural Predictive models are algorithms that map an input, meaning a
language understanding and sentiment analysis. piece of data, such as a database record, text sample or image,
to an output or prediction. Outputs are typically either continuous
Neural networks provide a framework for training models that variables, such as a number or percentage, or discrete categories,
enables complex interaction between many machine learning such as “yes” or “no.” There are two major types of predictive
algorithms to help identify optimal models. models: regression models and classification models.
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