Abera BP
Abera BP
Abera BP
July 8, 2024
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Table of Contents
A .EXCUTIVESUMMARY.............................................................................................................................3
1. INTRODUCTION.......................................................................................................................................4
1.1INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES............................................................................................................6
1.2.CHALLENGES/CONSTRAINTS..............................................................................................................7
4.2. HUMANRESOURCEANDTRAININGREQUIREMENTS.............................................................21
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General Information
Project name Animal feed production and processing plant
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2 Project owner Almaz Gizachew and their friends Partnership (NAFIRA FARM)
3 Nationality Ethiopian
4 Project location Nifas silk Lafto woreda 11
6 Premises 500m2
required
area
7 Initial investment A total investment of the project is estimated to be birr
cost
9,138,342 From this 10 %( 913,834) will be covered by their own
and 90 % 8,224,508) will be covered by financial institutions
(loan).
8 Employment At full capacity the farm will hire a total of Workers 15 labor
opportunity force. From the total employee 10 are permanent and 4
temporary or seasonal
9 Technology Molasses processing
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A .EXCUTIVESUMMARY
According to CSA 2011/12 the animals feed requirement per annum is 95.83 million tons dry
matter but the available feed is 65.64 million tones dry matter per annum. The difference
between the supply and demand shows 30.2million tones dry matter shortage per annum.
This feasibility study investigates the establishment of a plant for the production of animal feed
with a capacity of 15,000 tons per annum. The plant can produce by 85% capacity in early years.
Animal feed is prepared for consumption by livestock. It contains protein, minerals and other
nutrients which are useful for beef, egg and milk production as well as survival and growth of the
animals.
The principal raw materials required are oil cake, molasses, bone meal, bran of cereals, maize,
salt and limestone which are all available locally and premixes imported from abroad. The total
investment cost of the project is estimated at Birr 9,138,342. From this 8,224,508 birr (90%)
banks loan and 913,834 birr (10%) own equity of the investor. The investor can get lease
financing for machineries and equipment from bank.
The project can create employment for 10 permanents persons. The project will create back ward
linkage with the agriculture and agro processing sectors and forward linkage with the live stock
sector and also generates income for the Government in terms of tax revenue and payroll tax.
Based on the projected profit and loss statement, the project will generate a profit throughout its
operation life continually with promising demand for product. The project financial measurement
(NPV & BCR) shows as the project is accepted & has good return for the investors.
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1. INTRODUCTION
Ethiopia has a large livestock population and diverse genetic resources, diverse agro-ecologies
suitable for different kinds of Livestock production. However, the productivity and economic
contribution of Livestock sector much below the potential due to shortage of feed supply in terms
of both quantity and quality. According to CSA 2011/12 the animals feed requirement per annum
is 95.83 million tons dry matter but the available feed is 65.64 million tones dry matter per
annum. The difference between the supply and demand shows 30.2 million tones dry matter
shortage per annum. The main sources of animal feeds are Natural pastures Crop residues
, Conserved forages, Agro industrial by products /wheat bran, Wheat midillings.oil cakes etc/
and Processed compound feeds.
Feed cost accounts for 60 to 70% of the total cost of Livestock production shortage of feed and
escalating price of Livestock feed is adversely affecting the productivity and profitability of
Commercial livestock operations. The feed milling industry and modern live stock production
both are interdependent. The feed milling industry depends on the growth or success of
commercial live stock production. The market for different compound feeds are concentrated
along the Addis Ababa-Adama corridor, where the feed processing industries and modern
Livestock farms (Poultry, dairy, pig, cattle fattening) are concentrated.
The existing feed industries capacity of the feed mills range widely from 20 quintals to 125
quintals per hour. The standard for feed mills is 2000 hours of operation annually but, feed mills
in Ethiopia generally operating much lower than this standard i.e. below 30 % of their designing
capacity. The sources of compound feed production are purchased grains, agro-industrial-by
products and imported vitamins and Minerals. Hence it is feasible for local and foreign investors
to be engaged in field of animal feed industries in order to enhance feed development and full fill
the shortage of animal feed supply both in quantity and quality in Ethiopia.
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Project Goal and Purpose
The overall goal of the project is to contribute towards the economic development of
Ethiopia through using the existing investment opportunities in the Country and taking
advantage of the expressed policy incentives that emphasize on greater commercialization of
agriculture and enhancing private sector development.
The main objective of the said project is to producing and processing forage products for
local markets and to maximize profit so as to sustain the project.
In line with this the following are specific objects of the project.
To introduce modern Cattle feed production and processing technologies to the
surrounding locality.
To create job opportunity for skilled and unskilled local citizens.
To create market linkages with small holder farmers in the town and its surroundings etc
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1.1 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES
The improved breeds are dependent on commercial mixed feeds. This is expected
to continue at a faster rate in the future;
Rapid expansion of
Feedlotoperationsmorethan120withaholdingcapacityof70-
2000/operations
Dairy, poultry and pig farms
Presence of agro industrial by products(flour mills, oil, sugar factories)
5 years GTPII plan of the country (2025/26-2029/30) aimed at filling the
identified feed deficient gap
Price increment of feed from time to time
Prospects of marked Increased consumer demands for Livestock products
Prospects for increase in availability of raw materials &equipment i.e. Increase in
the production of especially maize, Soybeans &oilseeds in terms of yield per unit
area and encouraging development in manufacture of small capacity feed milling
and mixing equipment locally
The industries are importing premixes from abroad revealing existence of
investment opportunities
Fostering development of agro-industries(Increased availability of ingredients
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Potentially high demand in neighboring countries for compound feeds and
livestock products and the comparative advantage of Ethiopia in supplying this
demand.
Incentives
Duty free feed machineries and necessary equipments
Land
Free consultancy training ,investment facilitation and market
promotion service (EMDIDI)
1.2.CHALLENGES/CONSTRAINTS
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The Government needs to ensure that seasonal fluctuations in ingredients and compound
feed prices are minimized and ensure sustainable feed production by advising feed
processors to develop storage capacity for processed feeds and the ingredients required to
produce these feeds.
Animal feed is a kind of feed prepared for oxen, cows, sheep, goat, poultry etc. reared for their
milk, meat and egg. It contains protein, minerals and other nutrients which are useful for milk
egg and beef production as well as survival and growth of the animals. Animal feed can be
prepared from oil cakes, agro - residues, flour mill by- products, cereals, molasses, minerals and
vitamins etc. The major animal feed consumers are large and small scale cattle rising and
fattening farms.
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To estimate the present demand for cattle feed the cattle population, the recommended average
feed consumption and constraints such as awareness and income of potential users as well as
products adaptability are considered. Accordingly, the total cattle population for the country is
estimated to be about 53.6 million (LSA report, 2014) and the recommended rate is 2 kg/head a
day. If the total population was to be feed with improved feed, 37.5million tons would be
needed. However, considering the constraints mentioned earlier, conservatively only 10% of the
population are assumed to be relevant. Hence, the national present effective demand is estimated
at 3.7 million tons which show that there is large scope to increase production of industrially
processed feed. Furthermore, the enterprises in Addis Ababa are assumed to capture 10% of the
market (considering Addis Ababa’s advantage; central location, availability of better
infrastructure and other facilities). Accordingly, the present effective demand is 370,000 tons.
2.2 .Demand Projection
The demand for industrially processed animal feed will ultimately depend on the awareness of
farmers on the importance of the product, size of animal population and development of modern
animal farms. The government’s livestock policy objectives in the GTP are to increase livestock
productivity through increases in improved breed’s provision, animal health and increase forage
production. Naturally, there are things that can be done to improve natural feed sources.
However, there will be limitations due to factors enumerated above. Moreover, for age
production alone is unlikely to satisfy the existing demand. One of the possible ways of
overcoming these limitations is through increased production and supply of industrially
processed feed. By considering the extension program being implemented by the Ministry of
Livestock resource Development and Fish as well as other NGOs which is likely to impact
demand for manufactured feeds positively (through awareness creation) and declining
importance of natural pasture and the competing demands, as well as development of market
oriented livestock production, an annual growth rate of 5% is applied in projecting the demand
for the product.
Moreover, during the projection period the enterprise to be established in Addis Ababa is
assumed to capture 10% of the market (considering Addis Ababa’s advantage i.e. central
location, availability of better infrastructure and other facilities).
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Table1: Projected Demand for Manufacture Animal Feed (Tons)
Prices of animal feed depend upon the composition of the mix and the nutrients. The Current
average price is Birr 660/quintal. This has been taken as ex-factory price for the envisaged
project.
Current practice of feed product distribution involves sales at factory gate and to supply to major
towns by opening sales store. The project can use both distribution mechanisms to expand its
market outlets.
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Table2: Annual Production Program at Full Capacity Operation
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The only auxiliary materials required for the operation of the envisaged plant are 50 kg plastic
sacks and twine rope that are also available locally. The annual requirement for auxiliary
materials at full capacity production of the plant and the estimated costs are given in Table 4.
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Table4: Annual Auxiliary Materials Requirement at Full Capacity and Costs
3.2 .Utilities
The utilities required for the envisaged plant comprise electric power, water and fuel oil. Electric
power is required to run the production machinery and to provide lighting for the plant. Water is
required for general purpose and for the boiler which generates hot water to be supplied to the
molasses tank. Fuel oil is required for the boiler. The annual requirement for utilities at full
capacity production and the estimated costs are shown in Table 5.
The major operations involved in the production of animal feed are: raw materials preparation,
primary crushing, assorting and measuring, molasses mixing, and fine crushing and packing.
Raw and auxiliary materials are first charged into silos and tanks where they are made ready for
further processing. They are then processed by primary crusher. Crushed materials are further
separated by means of a lifter, and then stored in the assorting tanks according to the kind of raw
materials.
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In assorting and measuring operations, small amounts of additives are charged into the bins
containing different assortments of raw materials. The raw materials stored in the assorting tanks
are measured in accordance with the desired proportion.
The raw materials are then mixed by means of a mixer. In this process, fatty ingredients are
added to the materials in order to raise the nutritional value of the feed. The feed obtained from
the mixer is blended with molasses. Finally, the product is weighed and packed in plastic or jute
bag.
B. Process Flow Diagram
Feed Feed Analysis in Acceptance of Separators and Crushing by
ingredients laboratory feed ingredients conveyors hammer mill
(Trucks)
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Cattle feed processing Machine
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Poultry food processing machine
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Material mix machine
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Table6: Machinery and Equipment Requirement and Estimated Costs
Item Cost,(Birr)
Description Unit of Required
No. Measure Qty
F.C. L.C. Total
Tank and silo for raw 300000
1 and auxiliary materials Set 2 200,000100,000
According to the Federal Legislation on the Lease Holding of Urban Land (Proclamation No
721/2004) in principle, urban land permit by lease is on auction or negotiation basis, however,
the time and condition of applying the proclamation shall be determined by the concerned
regional or city government depending on the level of development.
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The legislation has also set the maximum on lease period and the payment of lease prices. The
lease period ranges from 99 years for education, cultural research health, sport, NGO , religious
and residential area to 80 years for industry and 70 years for trade while the lease payment period
ranges from 10 years to 60 years based on the towns grade and type of investment.
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Moreover, advance payment of lease based on the type of investment ranges from 5% to 10%.The lease
price is payable after the grace period annually. For those that pay the entire amount of the lease will
receive 0.5% discount from the total lease value and those that pay in installments will be charged interest
based on the prevailing interest rate of banks. Moreover, based on the type of investment, two to seven
years grace period shall also be provided.
However, the Federal Legislation on the Lease Holding of Urban Land apart from setting the
maximum has conferred on regional and city governments the power to issue regulations on the
exact terms based on the development level of each region.
On the other hand, some of the investment incentives arranged by the Addis Ababa City
Administration on lease payment for industrial projects are granting longer grace period and
extending the lease payment period. The criterions are creation of job opportunity, foreign
exchange saving, investment capital and land utilization tendency etc. Accordingly, Table 7
shows incentives for lease payment.
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4 Economic and Social Benefits
The project will create backward linkage with the agriculture and agro processing sectors and
forward linkage with the livestock sector and also generates income for the government in terms
of payroll tax. The project can create employment for 32 persons
4.2. HUMANRESOURCEANDTRAININGREQUIREMENTS
A. Human Resource Requirement
The total human resource required for the envisaged plant 32 persons. The human resource
required and the estimated annual labor cost including the fringe benefits is shown inTable8.
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Table8: Human Resource Requirement and Estimated Cost
B. Training Requirement
Two weeks on the job training should be given for production supervisor, 6 operators, quality
controller, a mechanic and an electrician by the advanced technician of the machinery supplier
on operation, quality control and maintenance of machinery and equipment. The cost of training
is estimated at Birr 50,000.
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Accounts receivable 30 days
Raw material local 30 days
Work in progress 1 day
Finished products 30 days
Cash in hand 5 days
Accounts payable 30 days
Repair and maintenance 5%ofmachinerycost
Total processed feed production 127,500qt
Current average selling price of animal feeds 690birr/qt
The total investment cost of the project including working capital is estimated as indicated
bellow (See Table 9).
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*The above table shows that the total needed initial cost the animal feed processing plant. Hence
6,000,000 birr is required to start and implement the project. The source finance is from banks
5,400,000Birr (90%) and Own equity 600,000 birr (10%).
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4.5 .Total Revenue
Based on the projected profit and loss statement, the project will generate a profit throughout its
operation life. Annual net profit after tax increases from Birr 4,200,000 at the beginning of the project
to Birr 9,000,000 during the fifth year of operation year. The detail is
Presented in the table15below
Table1 5 Purchase and Sales Estimation Feed Purchase and Sales
Purchase of feeding Processed feed sales
year Purchase of feedinqt unit coast Total coast Processed feed sales unit sell Total sell
1 5,000.00 300 1,500,000.00 5,000.00 690 3450000
2 7,000.00 320 2,240,000.00 7,000.00 700 4900000
3 8,000.00 350 2,800,000.00 8,000.00 700 5600000
4 10,000.00 350 3,500,000.00 10,000.00 720 7200000
5 12,000.00 350 4,200,000.00 12,000.00 750 9000000
Expenses
Salary Expense 452,390.40 452,390.40 452,390.40 452,390.40 452,390.4
Operating Expenses 161,009.00 161,009.00 161,009.00 161,009.00 161,009.0
Deprecation Bld. 0.00 0.00 492,700.00 492,700.00 492,700.0
Machineries ,&vehicle
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4.7. Cash Inflow
The projected cash flow of the envisaged project shows that the project would generate positive
net cash flows throughout the operation years. Cumulative cash flow generated by the project
towards the end of the first operation year will amount to Birr 2,805,202.50Attheend of the
project life, this amount will rise to Birr 18,939,006.65 in the fifth year. The detail is presented in
table 17 below.
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Beginning 1,219,439 2,805,202 5,437,697 8,739,735 13,193,505
cash balance
Ending
Cash 13,193,505 18,939,006
Balance 2,805,202.50 5,437,697.91 8,739,735.57
The internal rate of return (IRR) is an indicator of the efficiency or quality of an investment. A
project is a good investment proposition if its IRR is greater than the rate of return that could be
earned by alternate investments or putting the money in a bank account. Accordingly, the IRR of
the project after tax is computed to be 161 % indicating the viability of the project.
present value of the project at 10% discount rate is found to be Birr 11,598,347.75 which is acceptable.
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4.9. CONCLUSIONS
As it is known Ethiopia has huge investment potentials for feed processing industry
subsector, and the climatic condition is favorable for growing different vegetation and crops
which are an excellent source of processed fodder preparation.
The financial analysis of this feed processing investment pre-feasibility study shows that the
project is worth profitable and acceptable as the discounted measures of the project worth
shows positive trend if investors are engaged in the area.
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