POSCO.Q1 2012 IR - Eng
POSCO.Q1 2012 IR - Eng
POSCO.Q1 2012 IR - Eng
1Q Operating Performance
Consolidated Performance
- POSCO Operating Performance 1Q Key Business Activities Business Environment 2012 Business Plan
Figures provided in this presentation are based on unaudited financial statements of the Company. Certain contents in this presentaiton are subject to change during the course of auditing process.
Income
Consolidated Performance
Operating Income
(in billion KRW)
Net Income
(in billion KRW)
18,688 16,251
1,356 1,018
1,093
1,020 643
16,309
Operating Margin 8.3%
801
Profit Margin
5.4%
4.9%
6.7%
2011.1Q
2011.1Q
(in billion KRW)
2011.1Q
12.1Q
11.1Q
11.4Q
12.1Q
11.1Q
11.4Q
12.1Q
13,449
6,904 1,721 219 342
14,820
7,708 2,862 336 598
14,025
6,695 1,461 209 722
1,102
89 96 4 32
911
88 149 10 20
481
67 17
1,070
27 62 3 24
999
91 98 7 19
538
6
37
2
93
4
77
294
617
604
23
27
18
16
16
10
3/23
Financial Structure
Liabilities and equity slightly increased
Assets
(in billion KRW)
Consolidated Performance
Liabilities
(in billion KRW) (in billion KRW)
Equity
38,100 38,946
11.3% 92.0%
Return on Equity
78,409 71,150
79,501
40,730
41,401
37,679
32,204
Liability to Equity
92.5%
10.1% 6.3%
82.7%
2011.1Q
2011.4Q 2012.1Q Assets 11.1Q 62,859 10,431 6,927 683 2,792 766 11.4Q 69,321 12,121 8,765 743 3,080 1,511
2011.1Q
2011.1Q
2011.4Q 2012.1Q
Equity
4/23
Consolidated Performance
2011.4Q 18,688
2012.1Q 16,309
QoQ(%)
16,251
12.7
2,172
(13.4%) 869 53 1,356 (8.3%) 21 101 210
1,993
(10.7%) 1,025 50 1,018 (5.4%) 22 226 239
1,678
(10.3%) 934 57 801 (4.9%) 11 70 250
15.8
Net Income
1,093
(6.7%)
1,020
(5.5%)
643
(3.9%)
37.0
1,091
1,008
637
36.8
5/23
Consolidated Performance
QoQ (%)
6,266
25,694 71,150 32,204 18,261 13,943 (21,960) 38,946 37,034
5,126
28,453 78,409 37,679 19,605 18,074 (26,812) 40,730 38,356
5,504
28,967 79,501 38,100 19,786 18,314 (26,560) 41,401 38,908
7.4
1.8 1.4 1.1 0.9 1.3 0.9 1.6 1.4 1.4
6/23
Equity
Controlling Interests
71,150
78,409
79,501
Cash equivalents: cash & cash equivalents, other short-term financial assets
1Q Operating Performance
- Consolidated Performance
9,633
9,426 8,956
8,195
43.2%
Export Ratio
8,940
8,776
35.7%
40.0%
2011.1Q
2011.4Q
2012.1Q
2011.1Q
2011.4Q
2012.1Q
2011.4Q
9,112 521
2012.1Q
Domestic 8,895 531 Export Inventory
Facility rationalization and shutdown - Rationalization: (P) #1Wire Rod(Jan.10~17), (G) #2HR(Feb.15~21), #2PCM(Feb.22~29), #2CAL(Feb.22~Mar.22) - Shutdown: (P) Foundry blast furnace (Feb.1 ~, 650Kt/yr) 8/23
Sales by Product
Sales to auto and home appliances remain stable while shipbuilding decreased
Sales by Demand Industry
(in thousand tons)
1,765
<Auto> 1,866
1,895
<Shipbuilding>
1,049 545
1,016
881
2011.1Q
(in thousand tons)
2011.4Q
2012.1Q
2011.1Q
2011.4Q
2012.1Q
2011.1Q
2011.4Q
2012.1Q
2011.1Q
Hot-Rolled Plate* Wire Rod 1,919 1,544 515
2011.4Q
2,307 1,619 530
2012.1Q
2,052 1,644 511
YoY
QoQ
Cold-Rolled
Electrical Steel
3,164
243
3,166
233
3,352
231
+5.9%
4.9%
+5.9%
0.9%
S T S
Others
433
377
479
622
485
501
+12.0%
+32.9%
+1.3%
19.5%
Total
* Includes HR Plate
8,195
8,956
8,776
+7.1%
2.0%
9/23
Income
Operating Income
(in billion KRW)
10,066
9,460
9,112
921
Operating 10.1% Margin
692
6.9%
422
4.5%
2011.1Q
2011.4Q
2012.1Q
2011.1Q
2011.4Q
2012.1Q
2011.1Q 942
2011.4Q 982
2012.1Q 929
QoQ
5.4%
10/23
1Q Operating Performance
- Consolidated Performance - POSCO Operating Performance
41
44 39
43 37
38
40 %
406 kt
Total Product
HR
Plate
Export Ratio
CAPEX 9.5
8.9
Capex Reduction
While maintaining investment in core areas of overseas up/downstream and raw materials, adjusted schedule for non-urgent and less important investment : Maintenance 0.1 tr/ Raw materials 0.3 tr/ New growth & others 0.2 tr(KRW)
Previous plan Modified
13/23
Progress Land prep. 88% Civil works 15% Civil works 12% Pilot operation Elec. works 39% Civil works 42% Civil works 57% Civil works 26%
Completion Aug '15 Dec '13 Jun '14 May '12 Dec '12 Jun '13 Oct '13 Apr '13
Auto Steel
Elec. Steel STS
Brazil CSP Indonesia PT. KRAKATAU POSCO India POSCO-Maharastra India POSCO-Maharastra China Shunde POSCO Coated Steel Mexico POSCO-Mexico India POSCO-ESI Turkey POSCO-ASSAN TST
* Construction Process: Land prepartion Civil works Electrical works Pilot operation Completion
[Guangdong CGL]
14/23
COMIBOL
Kor-Bol JV
RIST
POSTECH Non-evaporating method to directly extract lithium from brine
Developed technology to extract lithium from brine with non-evaporating method(Feb12, RIST)
[Bolivian JV Structure]
- Extraction time shortened compared to evaporating method (12months 1month), improved recovery rate (50 80%) - Applied 30 overseas and Korean patents of major technology and secured IPR - Separately extract Mg K simultaneously Ca B
15/23
Steel
- Completion of #3 Steelmaking Plant (+240Kt/yr) and rationalization of rolling mill - IPO: to be listed within the year after selecting lead managers in April
Daewoo Intl: Increase of POSCO product sales and gas field project on track
Trading
- Overseas sales of POSCO steel products: 12.1Q 940K tons (+37% YoY) - Myanmar gas field project: Progress 71% in Mar12, commercial production scheduled in May13
POSCO E&C: Strong order-taking despite slow construction market (2.5 tr KRW)
E&C
ICT
- Orders outside POSCO Group expanded inc. Ansan Combined Cycle Power Plant (700 bn KRW), Chile Coal-fired Power Plant (400 bn KRW)
POSCO ICT: Continuous order-taking led by domestic and overseas steel sector
- 1Q orders of 365 bn KRW inc. Brazil integrated mill(63.8 bn KRW), Pohang STS continous caster
POSCO Energy: Facility expansion and renewable energy biz. into high gear
Energy
- Started construction of Pohang residual gas power plant(300MW) in Feb. using byproduct gas from #3 Finex (progress rate 11.2%) - Secure RPS* quota by completing construction of solar power plant in Shinan(2MW) in Jan.
16/23
1Q Operating Performance
- Consolidated Performance - POSCO Operating Performance 1Q Key Business Activities
Business Environment
2012 Business Plan
. .
Business Environment
3% annual demand growth expected thanks to sound demand in emerging markets and U.S. economic recovery
Chinas demand recovery forcasted(2H) due to investment boost caused by govnt change U.S. recovery to be noticeable(2H) backed by job market and consumption improvement
42.8
YoY 5% 1% 4% 6% 4% 3%
Feb
Mar
2011. 1Q
2011. 2Q
2011. 3Q
2011. 4Q
World
* Chinese steel PMI: China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing(CFLP) Chinese domestic HR price(excl. VAT): Mysteel
18/23
Business Environment
Construction investment likely to boost supported by private construction market Construction despite slump in civil engineering sector
Construction investment (tr KRW): 153 (10) 146 (11) 147 (12) (12. 1Q: 28 / 2Q: 40)
Shipbuilding
Building(mil GT): 32.4 (10) 35.5 (11) 32.5 (12) (12. 1Q : 7.9 / 2Q : 8.4) Orders(mil GT): 29.0 (10) 25.4 (11) 22.6 (12) (12. 1Q : 4.8 / 2Q : 5.9)
* POSRI(Apr 12)
(thousand tons)
Nominal Consumption
52,390
Export
Production Import
24,881
65,942 11,329
29,091
72,283 13,199
30,980
74,900 13,030
7,580
18,200 3,330
7,300
19,100 3,650
3.7%
+4.9% +9.6%
Inc. Semi-Product
25,090
23,121
21,580
5,430
6,250
+15.1%
* POSRI(Apr 12)
19/23
Raw Materials
Iron Ore 1 Q
With steel market hitting the bottom and seasonal inventory increase, limited rise in spot price within the range U$140-150/ton
2Q Price: Fine ore FOB U$130/ton Probability of price hike exists due to Chinese seasonal construction demand increase, but limited due to macroeconomic uncertainties With decrease in export from India, tight supply forecast to continue
2 Q
2 Q
BMAs strike lingered and Force Majeure declared due to Australian flood end March Spot trade climbed due to expectation for Chinese demand recovery After bouncing off the bottom end of March, gradual price rise expected Coal Spot PriceTrend
($/ton)
179
175 142 142 151 137 138 178 150 147
313
330 307
214
Apr 2011
Jul 2011
Oct 2011
Jan 2012
Apr 2012
Apr 2011
Jul 2011
Oct 2011
Jan 2012
Apr 2012
20/23
Stainless Steel
Sales 1 Q
Higher sales price early year due to strong Ni price, but decreased after Feb. w/ Ni price falling - Recognized as the lowest level due to larger decrease compared to Ni
Business Environment
Raw Materials
Ni: Price increased due to prospect for Chinas relaxation policy early year, but fell again after Feb. with rising concern over European crisis
1 Q
Cr: 1Q benchmark price fell due to EU mills production decrease affected by Eurozone recession
2 Q
Supply demand balance expected as production is adjusted to improve profitability and demand recovers during peak season - Chinese mills plan to cut April production by 20~40K tons STS CR Price Trend
2 Q
Ni: Steady trend under peak season in STS market in spite of supply increase forecast Cr: Price hike expected as South African suppliers cut production due to rising cost including power price Nickel Chrome Price Trend
Europe Korea
($/ton) 3,680 3,430 3,020 3,240 3,010 2,720 3,190 2,970 2,680 3,240 3,020 2,730
4,160 3,600
Nickel
(thousand $/ton)
26.9
18.7
China 3,110
Chrome
2.9
3.2
2.8
3.2
2.8
2.7
2011. 2Q
2011. 3Q
2011. 4Q
2012. 1Q
2012. 2Q
2011. 1Q
2011. 2Q
2011. 3Q
2011. 4Q
2012. 1Q
2012. 2Q
21/23
. .
2012 70.6
37.7
68.9
39.2
37.3 34.5
38.4
35.4
Investment
- POSCO Investment
8.1
5.7
8.9
4.2
These data represent the companys internal targets and cannot be utilized as ground for investment decision.
23/23
24