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Indian Growth Story Is Only Urbanised

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Indian growth story is only

Urbanised
Indian growth story is NOT only
Urbanised
Agriculture Sector
• Agriculture process is normally regarded as a prerequisite of
economic development.
• Economic development in the modern times has come to be
associated with industrialisation.
• Industrialisation can follow only on the sound heels of
agriculture.
• It is the foundation.
• Weak foundation would not allow a solid structure to be
raised on it.
Contribution from Agriculture
• There are four types by which agriculture is contributing to
overall economic development.
i. Product contribution
(Making available food and raw materials)
ii. Market contribution
(Providing the market for producer goods and consumer goods
produced in non-agricultural sector)
iii. Factor contribution
(Making available labour and capital to the non-agricultural sector)
iv. Foreign exchange contribution.
Product contribution
• Agriculture is the source of supply of basic wage-goods such
as food items.
• A scarcity of food creates imbalance in the economy.
• Checks on economic development.
• There are two types of such imbalance are:
– Aggregate demand for food products in the developing country
– Supplement domestic supply of food grains by import
Imbalance
– Aggregate demand for food products in the developing
country
• Happen because of population growth and rising per capita
income.
• Relatively high income elasticity of demand for food.
• Cause cycle.
– Supplement domestic supply of food grains by import
• Maintain internal demand supply equilibrium.
• It will lead to adverse effect on domestic sector.
Market and Factor contribution
• Two essential inputs required for industries may be procured
only from the agricultural sector.
– Raw Material
– Labour
Foreign Exchange contribution
• Initial stage, industry earns little foreign exchange but create a
strong demand for it.
• Industry needs exchange for machinery, technology and other
inputs that are not produced locally.
Link between Agriculture and Industry
• Production Linkages,
• Demand Linkages,
• Saving and Investment Linkages.
MAJOR PROBLEMS OF URBANIZATION
Overcrowding in cities becomes a great problem

• Great numbers of immigrants and people coming


from the farms

• There was an increase in the birth rate and a drop in


the mortality rate.

• Street cars and elevators made it possible to have


more people in the cities.
Inadequate, inferior, dangerous, and crowded housing.
• Under the conservative assumption
• Urbanization level 40% in 2030
• India 1.5 billion ,largest in the world
• Urban population 600million
• Where will the additional 300 million people live
• Where will the urban growth take place
• North or south , Inland or coast
• Which states ????????????
There were poor public services in areas such as:

• corrupt police departments.


• water.
• garbage disposal.
• health
• sanitation.
Inadequate transportation system existed.
Political corruption, particularly in the city governments, was
rampant.
GDP From Agrarian Economy
• India ranks second worldwide in farm output.
• Agriculture allied sectors like forestry and logging accounted
for 4.84% of the GDP in 2007, employed 60% of the total
workforce.
• Despite a steady decline of its share in the GDP, is still the
largest economic sector and plays a significant role in the
overall socio-economic development of India.

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Present context
• India is the largest producer in the world of Milk, Cashew
nuts, Coconuts, Tea, Ginger, Turmeric and Black pepper.
• World's largest Cattle population (281 million).
• India is the second largest producer of Wheat, Rice, Sugar,
Groundnut and inland Fish.
• India is the third largest producer of Tobacco.
• India accounts for 10% of the world fruit production with first
rank in the production of Banana and Sapota.
RAPID POVERTY REDUCTION
MEASURING AND PROFILING THE POOR
IN INDIA
THE HEADCOUNT RATIO (HCR)
GUARANTEED WAGE EMPLOYMENT—NATIONAL RURAL EMPLOYMENT GUARANTEE
ACT (NREGA)

• Guaranteeing 100 days of wage employment in a financial year to a rural


household

NATIONAL RURAL HOUSING CONSORTIUM


• National Housing Bank (NHB)
• NABARD, nationalized and premier commercial banks and apex microfinance.

INCENTIVIZING LENDING INSTITUTIONS


• At present, the rural housing loan portfolios of banks and HFCs, comprise only 10–
12% of their total housing loans.
• Increased from the present level of 40% to 60% for HFCs, banks, and NHB.
• SHG’s and (MFIs)could also be encouraged to be actively involved in extending
housing loans.
Ensuring Rural Livelihoods

• In developing countries across Asia, small and medium enterprises (SMEs)


(i) make up 80%–90% of all enterprises
(ii) provide over 60% of the private sector jobs
(iii) generate over 30%–40% of total employment
(iv) contribute about 50% of sales or value added.

• In India, they constitute 95% of all enterprises.

• Labour productivity of small-scale industries (SSIs) in India during 1990–98


at the compound growth rate was 8.5% whereas labour productivity of
large-scale industries (LSIs) was 7.54%.
HANDLOOMS

• Provides livelihood to 65 lakh people.


• Cotton, silk, tasar, jute, wool, and synthetic blends.
• India produces approximately 6541 million sq m of handloom cloth annually.
• The average annual growth rate of handloom production has been 6.99%.
• West Bengal, Tamil Nadu,Uttar Pradesh, Andhra Pradesh, Assam, and Manipur are
the major handloom States accounting for 75% of handloom weaving in the
country.
• Europe is the largest destination
HANDICRAFTS

• It produces a range of items from utility goods to clothing and variety of


lifestyle items.
• The current market is valued at more than US$ 400 billion.
• Average annual rate of growth has been 15%. (10 yrs)
• It is projected to increase by 42% and generate an impressive US$ 9100
million.
• Double the production of handicrafts (from Rs 43600 crore in 2007–08 to
Rs 90412 crore in 2011–12), double the exports (from Rs 23400 crore in
2007–08 to Rs 48522 crore in 2011–12), and create almost 11 lakh
additional jobs.
SILK AND SERICULTURE
• Produces mulberry, tasar, eri and muga.
• Second largest producer of raw silk in the world.
• 47 lakh are agriculturists.
• Annual requirement of about 25000 metric tonnes of silk
• Indian silk exports are primarily in the form of finished goods and not silk
yarn.
• Dependent on the import of quality silk from China. US, United Kingdom
(UK), Italy, Germany, and Hong Kong.(55%)
• India requires 120000 metric tonnes of silk.
• Improve its productivity to 15% as against the current 9%.
WOOL SECTOR

• India is the seventh largest producer of raw wool accounting for 1.8% of
the world production.
• In 2003, it had 615 lakh sheep, that is about 4.2% of the world’s total
sheep population.
• Employs 27.2 lakh people—12 lakh in the organized sector, 12 lakh in
sheep rearing and farming, and 3.2 lakh weavers in the carpet sector.
• It is basically carpet grade wool and has an important role in the national
economy: it is rural-based (sheep breeding),and contributes significantly
to exports (carpets).
KHADI AND VILLAGE INDUSTRIES (KVI)

• The KVI sector comprises khadi manufacturing and production from


village/rural industries spread all over the country.
• The KVI programmes have now reached over 2.61 lakh villages providing
employment opportunities to the rural poor.
• SCs/STs artisans account for 32% and women for 46% of the total artisans.
FOOD PROCESSING INDUSTRIES

• Important part of the rural and semi-urban economy, with pickles, jams,
chutneys, and papads.
• 50 million tonnes of fruits - 9% of the world’s fruit production.
• 90 million tonnes of vegetables, accounting for 11% of the world’s
vegetable production.
• 35% waste in the annual production, the value being approximately Rs
54000 crore
INDIAN AGRI-INPUT COMPANIES THRIVE

• Focus on rural needs has helped agri


companies weather the economic slowdown,
setting the stage for the future growth

• Thanks to sustained rural development


Rank Company Turnover Net profit M-cap

1 MAHINDRA&MAHINDRA 13371.5 867.5 22780.9

2 COROMANDEL FERTILIZER 10089.6 559.5 2405.1

3 ZUARI INDUSTRIES 9412.0 302.4 814.1

4 TATA CHEMICALS 8645.7 452.1 5942.8

5 RASHTRIYA CHEMICALS 8125.2 210.6 3565.1


&FERTILIZER

6 GUJARAT STATE FERTILIZER 5996.1 499.4 1120.1


& CHEMICAL

7 CHAMBAL FERTILIZER & 5765.4 225.6 2146.1


CHEMICAL

8 NATIONAL FERTILIZER 5237.2 97.5 2427.9

9 UNITED PHOSPHOURS 4973.5 455.9 7179.4

10 JAIN IRRIGATION SYSTEM 3131.0 129.4 5274.3


INDIA’S INCREASING THRUST ON RURAL
MARKET

• FMCG, telecom, automobiles, banking and


financial services have explored the rural
market and want to increase their exposure to
this sector
8000

7000

6000

5000

4000
Column2
3000

2000

1000

0
1993-94 1995-96
1996-97 1999-00
2001-02 2003-04
2005-06 2007-08
NERGA- National Rural Employee Guarantee
Act

• Which guarantee 150 days of employment to


every adult in rural area every year

• Government plans to increase its outlay for


NERGA program by 50% this year to nearly
Rs 42000 crore

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