FIN650 FuturesContracts Week 1 Part 1
FIN650 FuturesContracts Week 1 Part 1
FIN650 FuturesContracts Week 1 Part 1
Continued
4.For
hedged
assetofcarried
atIAS
SevenaKey
Provisions
FAS 133 &
cost:
39, cont.
with value of the derivative
hedge =>
carrying amount of the hedged
item
5.If the derivative does not fully
hedge the
asset in a designated hedge,
then:
Continued
portion not hedged must
be
4
Continued
23-9
VaR: estimating
The Delta-Normal method is popular
but assumes normal returns:
VaR = |( Z*)*(Value of Portfolio)|
If the expected return is = 10%
And the standard deviation is = 20%
For a $100,000,000 portfolio, the 95%
VaR is
VaR = |(0.1
1.645*0.2)*($100,000,000)|
VaR = $22,900,000
Futures Contracts:
issues and properties
Types
Exchanges
Terms
Margin
Forwards vs Futures
Valuation
Arbitrage
Backwardation and Contango
Adjusting Beta and Duration
Contract Terms:
1. Size
2. Grade, Quotation Unit
3. Delivery Terms: Delivery date(s),
Delivery Procedure, Expiration
Months, Final Trading Day, First
Delivery day
4. Minimum Price Change (e.g., 1/32
of 1 %,
0.0003125x$100,000 = $31.25 for TBond Futures)
5. Daily Price Limits & Trading Halts
EXAMPLE OF DETAILS
T-Bond Futures: Based on 8% Coupon & 15 Yrs' Maturity
T-Bond (Face Value $100,000)
Margin:
A: Initial Margin = m + 3d (m = the average of
the daily absolute changes in the dollar value
of a futures contract, d = the standard
deviation, measured over some time period in
the recent past).
Initial margin is used to cover all likely
changes in the value of a futures contract.
B: Maintenance Margin:
Equity position must be > Maintenance
margin or get a margin call must deposit
new $ (i.e., variation margin) up to Initial
Margin before the market opens on the next
Margin:
A:Initial Margin = m + 3d
Six days of value: 100, 104, 102, 96, 100, 104
Absolute value of changes: 4, 2, 6, 4, 4 (approx. %)
Average = 4%
Standard deviation = 1.414%
Margin = 4% + 4.243% = 8.243% of face value
If the contract is for 1000 units
If F = $100, the contract price is $100,000
=> $8,243 Margin
If, the price falls to approximately F = $95.88, this
would lead to a margin call for the long position.
Marking to Market
f0 =100, f1 = 102, f2= 101, f4= 98
In Long
Margin
Account
f0 =100
+2
f1 = 102
-1
-3
f4= 98
f2 = 101
At t=4,
Short Futures Position can close and make
2 (x$1000)
Margin Long
Margin Short
100
$8000
$8000
102
$10000
$6000
101
$9000
$7000
98
$6000
$10000
95.5*
$3500
$12500
Margin Call
If the price were to fall to 95.5, then
the long margin would only be $8000
- $4500 = $3500
If 8% is still the margin requirement,
then at that point, the required
margin is
$95.5*1000*0.08 = $7640
The maintenance margin is $3820 >
$3500
Forward Contracts
Futures Contracts
Delivery likely
Product may or may
not be standardized
Bilateral transaction
Generally over the
phone
Self-regulated
Margin and mark-tomarket optional (the
counterparties agree)
Offset likely
Standardized
product
Intermediary
involved
Auction setting
Regulated by
agencies
Mandatory margin
and mark-to-
Pros
Cons
Difficulty in finding a counterparty to make the
contract with.
Lack of market liquidity ease of carrying out
financial transactions
Subject to default risk