Dallas County Promise Talent Report - Final
Dallas County Promise Talent Report - Final
Dallas County Promise Talent Report - Final
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Thank you to the Promise Coalition Partners
The Challenge is Too Big to Solve Alone
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The supply of Dallas County postsecondary credentialed
talent does not match the demand of the workforce
Sources: NSC, THECB, McKinsey & Company Workforce Supply and Demand Analysis 4
Increasing postsecondary completion is a proven strategy
to reduce the inequity and poverty facing Dallas
Dallas ranks third in childhood poverty
15%
Dallas medium household income has
decreased 15% since 2000
less than half
the rate of white students
Sources: Dallas Mayor’s Poverty Task Force, Dallas Morning News, TEA, THECB, Texas Workforce Commission
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Fulfilling the Promise of Talent
Jose Alvarez,
Future Business Leader
Graduate of Grand
Prairie High School
Promise Scholar at El
Centro College
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There will be an American Metro that
solves the talent gap by producing
equity in college completion first...
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Texas Has Set a Goal of 60x30TX
to Guide the Development of Talent
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If Promise HS’s add an additional 1,300 PS graduates each
year, we would be on track to achieve 60x30
Students from
Promise high ON TRACK
schools 13.2 12.1 11.1 60% post
16.5 15.4 14.3 secondary
completing a PS
degree (in attainment
thousands) 12.1 for 25- to
8.2 9.5 10.8
5.5 6.8 34-year-
Completing olds by
Not Completing 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2030
+1.3K +1.3K +1.3K +1.3K +1.3K
Cohort completion
rate for Promise 25% 31% 36% 42% 47% 52%
students
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About the Dallas County
Promise
The Dallas County Promise includes a last dollar scholarship covering
the cost of tuition with success coaching and career mentoring
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Dallas County Promise is built on 3 key strategies to drive
60x30TX with equity and workforce alignment
Career
Tuition Free Success Coaching
Pathways
College & Career Mentoring
& IT System
Removes financial barrier Provides critical supports Tracks student progress
to college and transforms to area students who are across education and
local student perspective primarily low income and workforce pathways and
on college access thanks to first generation college drives continuous
the vision of the Dallas scholars starting in H.S. improvement through
County Community College through college completion real time reporting
District Foundation and into the workforce
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Dallas County Promise Coalition Strategic Framework
Pro Bono Support from McKinsey & Company and Boston Consulting
REMOVING BARRIERS, SUPPORTING STUDENTS AND FAMILIES, STRENGTHENING AND ALIGNING SYSTEMS
LEADERSHIP: Mutual Accountability, Community Champions, Community Coalition, Culture, Values, Trust, Strategy
FUNDING: Last Dollar Scholarship, Promise Backbone Organization, Enhanced Student Services and Supports
INFRASTRUCTURE: IT and data architecture supporting the personalized student journey while enabling mutual community accountability
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Cohort 1 produced a 6% increase in college enrollment and all
demographic groups are outperforming the county average
Fall 2018 Promise Cohort 1 Certificate and Associates in HS and Postsecondary Enrollment Summary
100%
80%
69%
60% 63%
60%
57% 55% 52%
40%
20%
0%
All Hispanic Black White Asian Other
Source: National Student Clearinghouse Fall 2018 enrollment data, College graduates enrolled in a postsecondary institution in the fall immediately following HS
graduation. Fall 2018 data does not include students who did not sign promise pledge. 17
Note: PS enrollment totals may not add up due to rounding
Cohort 2 Ranked #2 in the US for Financial Aid Completion
Adding $4.5M NEW PELL Dollars for Dallas County Students
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Talent Call to Action
JPMorgan Chase: New Skills at Work
The 2015 Call to Action for Talent
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2015 New Skills at Work Recommendations
1. Increase public awareness of middle skill job opportunities
2. Invest in comprehensive student supports that help more low-income
students persist in and complete middle skill training
3. Strengthen the “first rung” of career pathway programming so that more
low-income, low-skilled adults can effectively prepare for and earn middle
skill credentials
4. Develop stronger connections between workforce development resources
and the region’s high-need communities and populations
5. Promote employer leadership in developing career pathways and expanding
sector-based strategies.
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Step 1 Analyze
Current Dallas County Promise
Middle Skill Talent Pipeline
The 20 Most Recruited DFW Middle Skill Occupations
Fall Within Six Technical Categories
Job Postings 2017 Occupation Median Wage 2016 Category Description
36,321 Registered Nurses $71,800 Health Professions
5,878 Computer Systems Analysts $89,200 Computer Sciences
5,624 Computer User Support Specialists $51,600 Computer Sciences
2,870 Licensed Practical Vocational Nurses $46,500 Health Professions
1,057 Surgical Technologists $46,800 Health Professions
1,007 Automotive Service Technicians & Mechanics $38,200 Mechanic & Repair
977 Radiologic Technologists $59,100 Health Professions
909 Heating, Air Conditioning, & Refrigeration Mechanics & Installers $43,600 Mechanic & Repair
838 Electricians $41,900 Construction
750 Drafters, Engineering Technicians, & Mapping Technicians $55,700 Engineering
616 Diagnostic Medical Sonographers $71,200 Health Professions
565 Respiratory Therapists $59,700 Health Professions
530 Welders, Cutters, Solders, & Brazers $37,300 Precision Production
515 Electrical & Electronics Engineering Technicians $60,700 Engineering
445 First-Line Supervisors of Construction & Extraction Workers $61,800 Construction
393 Automotive Body & Related Repairers $40,600 Mechanic & Repair
358 Machinists $37,800 Precision Production
Source: Entry & Median Wage: JobsEQ; Job postings: Burning Glass. Category is the CIP description.
Notes: All job/occupation data gathered for DFW; The typical education required is an Associates degree or less. 23
Median Wages for Top DFW Middle Skill Jobs
Far Exceed Household Incomes Across Most Dallas ISD Feeder Patterns
Median Household Income
Occupations Median Wage 2016
More than $86,200
$64,500 to $86,200
$50,300 to $64,500 Computer Systems Analysts $89,200
$39,000 to $50,300
Less than $39,000
Registered Nurses $71,800
Source: Tableau analysis of U.S. Census; Entry & Median Wage: JobsEQ; Job postings: Burning Glass.
Notes: All job/occupation data gathered for DFW; The typical education required is an Associates degree or less. 24
An analysis of those top 20 middle skill jobs illustrate a
mismatch of demand vs credentials produced
52,406 2,219 DCCCD
Job postings completers
100% 2%
2%
2% Precision Production
11% 2%
35%
80%
Mechanic and Repair
60% 4% Construction
7%
Engineering
40% 80% 33% Computer Sciences
20% Health Professions
20%
0%
Job postings DCCCD completers
(Oct '16 - Oct '17) (Fall '17 & Spring '18)
Source: DCCCD data (Fall 2017 & Spring 2018 completers grouped by CIP description) 25
HEALTHCARE:
48 ADN Nursing Program Completers vs 36,000 jobs
From Cohort 1
High Schools
(Highest
Poverty HS)
Fall 16/
Spring 17
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IT: 32 Computer Systems Analyst Program Completers
vs 5,900 job postings
From Cohort 1
High Schools
(Highest
Poverty HS)
Fall 16/
Spring 17
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TRADES:
6 Welding Program Completers against 530 Job Postings
From Cohort 1
High Schools
(Highest
Poverty HS)
Fall 16/
Spring 17
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Step 2 Activate
Data for Promise High Schools
and Colleges
High School Leadership teams are being trained on middle skill workforce
data and opportunities (Promise = free tuition paths to jobs)
Source: All industries based on Top 20 middle-skill jobs data in DFW collected by Workforce Group
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All 43 Cohort 2 high schools know exactly how many middle skill
credentials are completed against the top middle skill jobs in DFW
Computer and Information Sciences and Engineering Technologies and Engineering Mechanic and Repair
Campus Construction Trades(46) Precision Production (48) Health Professions and Related Programs (51)
Support Services Related Fields (15) Technologies/Technicians (47)
L. Berkner (Richardson) 2 1 1 7
B. Adams (Dallas) 2 1 3 1 1
Cedar Hill (Cedar Hill) 1 1 5 2 9
D. Carter (Dallas) 2 1 4 4
DeSoto (DeSoto) 16 32
J. Dubiski (Dallas) 2 1
Duncanville (Duncanville) 5 33 7 2 34
T. Garza EC (Dallas) 1 3
E. Conrad (Dallas) 1
Grand Prairie (Grand Prairie) 1 5 2 1 4
H. Spruce (Dallas) 5 3
Hillcrest (Dallas) 1 1
J. Singley (Irving) 5 1 2 1 3
J. Madison (Dallas) 1
J. Kimball (Dallas) 1 4 4 6
Gilliam Collegiate (Dallas) 1
L. Pinkston (Dallas) 2 3
Lakeview (Garland) 2 1 2 1 7
Lancaster (Lancaster) 1 1 5 7
Lassiter EC (Dallas) 5
MacArthur (Irving) 4 3 8
M. Molina (Dallas) 1 1 1 5 4
N. Smith (CFB) 1 3 10
N. Dallas (Dallas) 1 2 2 4 4
N. Garland (Garland)
R.L. Turner (CFB)
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1 Example: Lakeview Centennial High School Produced 13 High Demand Middle
3 2
7
1 10
5
Richardson (Richardson) 3 2 8
F. Roosevelt (Dallas)
Seagoville (Dallas) 1
Skill Credentials at DCCCD in 2016/17. This data is being used in faculty and
1 2 1
2
1
Skyline (Dallas) 9 3 1 14 1 14
S. Garland (Garland)
S. Grand Prairie (GP)
4
8
community meetings to develop plans for programming and guidance to better 8 4
1
10
7
S. Oak Cliff (Dallas) 1 2
guide students toward high-demand jobs.
1 2
Sunset (Dallas) 6 2 1 5 2 7
T. Jefferson (Dallas) 1 1 1 9
W. Adamson (Dallas) 3 9 7
W. Samuell (Dallas) 1 2
W.T. White (Dallas) 1 1 4 6
W. Hutchins (Dallas) 4
W. Wilson (Dallas) 2 1 1 1 1 4
Total Completers 77 64 11 134 18 253
% of Completers by Industry 14% 12% 2% 24% 3% 45%
# of Job Postings in North Texas in 2016-171 11,502 1,265 1,283 2,309 888 42,406
% of Job Postings by Industry 19% 2% 2% 4% 2% 71%
Source: All industries based on Top 20 middle-skill jobs data in DFW collected by Workforce Group
Note: Workforce data was not available for Cedar Collegiate HS, Brookhaven ECHS, and Lincoln HS 31
1. Number of jobs posted based on postings from Q3 2016 to Q3 2017
Colleges are working to analyze, align, and develop programs and
pathways to meet the demands of a dynamic middle skill job market
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How do we translate industry sectors, career pathways, and training for
our families and community beginning in the 8th grade?
Simplify Vocabulary
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Now using the CollegeWorks framework, how do we look
at our current job market for DFW for 1.9 M Jobs?
40%
36%
35% 33%
30%
25%
21%
20%
15%
10%
5%
5% 3% 2% 0%
0%
Health IT STEM Trades Business Education Law Art
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Comparing the total job market % to the high demand
middle skill jobs
40%
36% 36%
35% Middle 33% 33%
Skill
30% Jobs
25% All
21% Jobs
20%
15% 12%
9%
10% 8%
5%
5% 3% 2% 2% 0% 0%
0%
Health IT STEM Trades Business Education Law Art
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Year 1 | Cohort 1
2018 HS Graduates
Looking at the current middle skill jobs, against cohort 1 enrollments
at DCCCD
40%
36% 35%
35% Enrollments 33%
30%
25% Jobs
20%
16%
14% 14%
15%
12%
10% 9% 9% 9%
8%
5% 2% 2%
0%
0%
Health IT STEM Trades Business Education Law Art
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Student Talent Pathway Examples
Cohort 1 Enrollments in Healthcare and IT
Lizbeth Ortiz Jonathan Herrera
El Centro College Mountain View College
Pre-Nursing Software Engineering
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Shaniqua Lane & Mya Jamerson are one of 63 student-parent pairs
attending DCCCD with the Parent Promise in Cohort 1
“I wanted
• Students “gift” Promise to Parents to show
• Grow South Strategy 7 Promise HS Mya that I
can do it.”
• Programs lead to $24/hr jobs
• 25 Associate Degree Programs
• 25 Certificate Programs
20%
16%
15% 12% 13%
10% 11%
10% 8% 9% 8%
8%
5% 2%
0%
0%
Health IT STEM Trades Business Education Law Art
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Cohort 2 HS seniors are completing surveys on pathways and receiving
career advising from colleges within their pathway
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Year 3 | Cohort 3
2020 HS Graduates
Dallas County Promise Cohort 3 will be larger than 17 U.S. States and
represents the largest PTECH/ECHS implementation in the country
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Over 40% of The Graduates of the following Dallas ISD High Schools will
graduate with a high-demand middle skill associate degree
350
Non PTECH 926
High School Senior Class of 2020
300 Arts 35
Law 38
250
Business 226
200 213 238
Trades 21
125
150 100 114 IT STEM 350
80
Health 27
100 50
38
72 6 57 35 PTECH Grads 697
50 34 68
36 31
63 66
27 29 35 37 25 23
0
Carter Conrad Madison Pinkston Roosevelt Seagoville South Oak Thomas
Cliff Jefferson
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Thomas Jefferson HS increased college enrollment 11% with Promise & will
graduate 89 seniors next year with an associate degree through PTECH
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2015 Recommendations
2019 Actions
2015 New Skills at Work Recommendations & Actions
High Need PTECH and Promise all in HS with over 50% Eco Dis
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Next steps - empowering students with their info, transforming the
college enrollment process and connecting employers directly to talent
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Reinventing the
Student Record
- Building Student Agency
- Adding Workforce Value
powered by
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Developing the strongest regional school to work technology
infrastructure in the US!
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Once you defined the data and built the grid, you have unlimited use
cases to empower the user (student) on their school to work journey.
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The Dallas County Promise is providing technical support
for Promise efforts emerging across the state
Dallas
San Antonio
Houston
Fort Worth
Austin
= 5% of
American HS
Seniors
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Panel Discussion
Todd Williams Anne Motsenbocker Dr. Michael Hinojosa Dr. Joe May Bob Mong
Chairman & CEO Managing Director Superintendent Chancellor President
Commit Partnership JPMorgan Chase Dallas ISD DCCCD UNT Dallas
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Closing Remarks
Alfreda Norman
Senior Vice President
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
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