SPC Train
SPC Train
Purpose
Introduce the concepts of Statistical Process Control
Objectives
1. Be able to use “Xbar and S Charts” for analysis of
continuous data.
2. Be able to use “p” Control Chart for analysis of
discrete data.
3. Be able to determine control limits for each type of
chart.
4. Be able to interpret charts and determine when a
process is “Out of Control”.
5. Be able to explain the importance of taking action
based on the chart information.
06A.1
Statistical Process Control
SPC
SPCsignals
signalswhen
whenthe
thesteady-
steady-
state
stateprocess
processvariation
variationhas
has
been
beeninfluenced
influencedby
byoutside
outside
assignable
assignablecauses.
causes.
06A.2
Statistical Process Control
Y
Y
X3
X2
X1 Provide increased
X
X stability to
Dependent variables;
Responses Y1,Y2,..., Ym
Control Charts applied to
Process variables;
Independent variables;
Design variables X1, X2,..., Xk
06A.3
Statistical Process Control
SPC
SPCisisaarigorous
rigorousprocess
processwhich
whichrequires
requires
active
activeengagement
engagement ofof the
theoperational
operational
team
teamtotocollect
collectand
andanalyze
analyzethe
thedata.
data.
06A.4
Statistical Process Control
102.00
UCL Upper
UpperControl
ControlLimit
Limit
101.00
Avg
100.00
X LCL-A
99.00 Grand
GrandAverage
Average
Avg-Gd
Central
CentralLine
Line
98.00 LCL UCL-A
97.00
Out
OutofofControl
ControlCondition,
Condition,
96.00 Record
Recordaction
actiontaken
takentotofix
fix. . Lower
LowerControl
ControlLimit
Limit
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25
Sample
Sample/ /Subgroup
Subgroup(time
(timeordered)
ordered)
Sigma
SigmaChart
Chart
7.00
6.00 UCLs
5.00 Range
4.00 LCL-R
Average
AverageSigma
3.00
s AVG-R
Central
Sigma
Line
2.00 UCL-R Central Line
1.00
0.00
LCLs
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25
06A.5
Statistical Process Control
Control Charts
Developed in the 1920s by Dr. Walter Shewhart of
the Bell Laboratories, Statistical Process Control
charts provide a graphical comparison of a measured
process observation against statistically computed
“control limits”(expectation).
06A.6
Statistical Process Control
Hypothesis test?
A Control Chart is a graphic display of a continuing two
tailed test with HO and HA defined as:
Ho: i
Ha: i
/2
/2 For
For3 limits,
3limits, ==0.00135
0.00135
UCLx
LCLx
/2
/2
06A.7
Statistical Process Control
Process Stability
The graphic below shows a variety of unstable
process examples. Control chart interpretation
can assist in identifying when these are
occurring as well as what condition exists.
t1:
Time
t2:
t3:
t4:
t5:
t6:
t7:
An
An unstable
unstable process
process has
has no
no
predictable
predictable behavior
behavior and
and good
good
performance
performance may
may not
not be
be
sustainable.
sustainable.
06A.8
Statistical Process Control
Process Stability
• A process output is considered stable when it
consists of only common-cause variation.
• Subgroup averages and variation measures
are between their control limits and display
no evidence of assignable-source (special-
cause) variation.
• If non-random patterns of data appear on the
control chart, or when a point is beyond the
control limits, then this is a strong signal that
assignable-source (special-cause) variation
is present in your process.
region of assignable-source variation
UCL
LCL
region of assignable-source variation
AAstable
stableprocess
processwill
willrarely
rarelyproduce
producean anoutput
output
outside
outsideofofthe
theplus
plusand
andminus
minusthree
threesigma
sigmaregion.
region.
06A.9
Statistical Process Control
In
Inorder
ordertotoselect
selectthe
theappropriate
appropriatecontrol
control
chart
chartto
tomonitor
monitoryour
yourprocess,
process,first
first
determine
determineififthe
thekey
keyprocess
processvariables
variables(X’s)
(X’s)
are
arecontinuous
continuousor ordiscrete.
discrete.
06A.10
Statistical Process Control
4.3
Used to analyze and
3.0SL=4.232
4.2
control continuous process
Sample Mean
4.1 X=4.096
variables.
4.0
-3.0SL=3.959
3.9
3.8
0.6
1
– In Measure, to
0.5
graphically separate
Sample StDev
0.4
0.3
common causes of
3.0SL=0.2409
0.2
S=0.1403
0.1
causes
The
The Xbar-S
Xbar-S chart
chart is
is best
best – In Analyze and Improve
generated
generated using
using Minitab
Minitab oror to check for process
other
other statistical
statistical software
software stability before
package.
package. IfIf software
software isis not
not completing a hypothesis
available,
available, use
use Xbar-R
Xbar-R or or test.
other
other manual
manual control
control – In Control to verify
charts.
charts. process control following
improvement work.
06A.11
Statistical Process Control
Constructing Xbar-S
using Minitab
File: GEAPPS>6Sigma>Minitab>Training>Minitab>
Session 4> control chart.mtw
Select Stat > Control Charts > Xbar-S
06A.12
Statistical Process Control
Constructing Xbar-S
using Minitab
Select the column with the response data and either
enter a value for the subgroup size or identify the
subgroup subscript column(in this case, “Week”)
Select “Tests”.
automatically
3.0SL=4.232
4.2
Sample Mean
4.1 X=4.096
4.0
and summarized in
0.1
-3.0SL=0.03982
0.0
06A.14
Statistical Process Control
4.3
3.0SL=4.232
4.2
Sample Mean
4.1 X=4.096
4.0
-3.0SL=3.959
3.9
3.8
1 1
3.7
Subgroup 0 5 10 15 20 25
0.6
1
0.5
Sample StDev
0.4
0.3
3.0SL=0.2409
0.2
S=0.1403
0.1
-3.0SL=0.03982
0.0
An
An“out-of-control”
“out-of-control”indication
indicationcancancome
come
from
fromeither
eitherchart
chart. .
06A.15
Statistical Process Control
X
X 1 X 2 ... X k Overall
OverallProcess
ProcessAverage
Average
k
where k = the # of subgroup averages
UCL X X 3 / n
The formula for the Lower Control Limit:
LCL X X 3 / n
For
Forlarger
largersample
samplesizes,
sizes,the
thelimits
limitsfor
foraagiven
givenprocess
process
will
willbe
benarrower,
narrower,and
andthe
thechart
chartsensitivity greater..
sensitivitygreater
06A.16
Statistical Process Control
(x
Where ni=number
si ij xi ) 2
(ni 1) of observations in
j
the ith subgroup.
s si k
Where k= the number of subgroups
06A.17
Statistical Process Control
nn==33 nn==10
10 nn==25
25
UCL
UCL
UCL
UCL
UCL
UCL
LCL
LCL
LCL
LCL
Copyright 1995 Six Sigma Academy, Inc.
LCL
LCL
06A.18
B22.14
Statistical Process Control
22 -- 95%
95% Confidence
Confidence Interval
Interval for
for an
an average
average
33 --
=.003
=.003 (Reason:
(Reason: Many
Many sequential
sequential tests;
tests;
reduces
reduces potential
potential for
for error.)
error.)
4.5 -- Long
4.5 Long term
term process
process performance
performance goal
goal for
for
individual
individual measurement
measurement compared
compared toto
customer
customer requirement.
requirement.
6.0 -- Short
6.0 Short Term
Term process
process variation
variation goal
goal for
for
individual
individual measurement
measurement compared
compared toto
customer
customer requirement.
requirement.
06A.19
Statistical Process Control
LCL X X A3 s
UCL B4 s
LCL B3 s
Actual Control Limit Calculations for the Data
See
UCL = 4.096 + (.975 x 0. 1403) = 4.232 Seethe
theSPC
SPC
table of
table of
constants
constants
LCL = 4.096 - (0.975 x 0.1403) = 3.959 on
onthe
thenext
next
page
page
UCLR = 1.716 x 0.1403 = 0.2408
LCLR = 0.284 x 0.1403 = 0.0398
06A.20
Statistical Process Control
06A.21
Statistical Process Control
52 5
2
51 22 2
50 X=50.00
49
48
-3.0SL=47.37
47
Subgroup 0 50 100
4 3.0SL=3.849
Sample StDev
2 S=1.842
2
1
0 -3.0SL=0.00E+00
06A.22
Statistical Process Control
Changing Control
Chart Limits
• It is best to use historical stable process limits for
control charts, versus limits which change with each
observation. Historical limits define the “expected”
range of data, or the “null hypothesis (Ho)”. (Use
Historical settings in Minitab)
• Change limits when:
– A process change is made and is determined to be statistically
significant(I.e. Ha.).
– A definable practical process change is completed.
06A.23
Statistical Process Control
Chart Interpretation
06A.24
Statistical Process Control
Normal Process
Variation
“Boring…”
This pattern is the target for any control chart. It does not
necessarily indicate the best capability of the process nor
that the process can meet the specification, but it indicates
that the process is stable.
06A.25
Statistical Process Control
06A.26
Statistical Process Control
Process Outliers
“Ah Ha! Now here’s something
interesting.”
Hiccup
Hiccup
Sometimes a process will
get the hiccups and as a
result these “mavericks”
or “fliers” will occur as
Hiccup occasional values that are
clearly not a part of the
basic process distribution.
After one occurs, the
process behaves in its
normal manner until the
Some typical Causes:
• Mistake in measuring next hiccup.
• Bottom piece (or top piece
in stack)
• End of bar, coil, etc.
• Dirt or foreign material
06A.27
Statistical Process Control
Symptom:
Nine points in a row one
side of center After a change, the
process makes the
parts larger on the
average or the yield
greater or the
hardness higher and
so on.
The basic variability of
the process has not
changed, and the
range chart does not
show a change.
Some typical Causes:
• Mis-adjustment or
improper setting
• Change of material or
lubricant,
• Shift change
06A.28
Statistical Process Control
Process Trend
“Where’s it going?”
Symptom:
A trend is a gradual •7 points in a row trending up.
shift of the process •7 points in a row trending down
level, reflected on the
xBar chart alone.
Sometimes raw
material,
measurement or
human factors can
cause a trend but this
is unlikely. The trouble
is usually in the Some typical Causes: :
equipment itself, in the
power supply or prior • Often associated with “tool wear”
process environment. since it often shows tool wear
(usually of an aging or wear out
nature)
• Example:
• bath depletion in a plating
operation or various chemical
operations
• tube wearout in an electronic
circuit
06A.29
Statistical Process Control
Zone Testing
Process is “Out of Control” if
Test
Test Zone
Zone Test
TestCriteria
Criteria
1 • 1 point above +3 sigma
2 A+ 2 out of 3 in A+ or above
3 B+ 4 out of 5 in B+ or above
4 C+ 7 out of 8 in C+ or above
5 C- 7 out of 8 in C- or below
6 B- 4 out of 5 in B- or below
7 A- 2 out of 3 in A- or below
8 • 1 point below -3 sigma
Copyright 1995 Six Sigma Academy, Inc..
A+
B+
C+
C-
B-
A-
06A.30
Statistical Process Control
cumbersome when
-3.0SL=3.963
3.9
3.8
20 25
1.0
R=0.4318
-3.0SL=0.09634
0.0
06A.31
Statistical Process Control
Caution
• When used inappropriately with a process having “within
subgroup” variation, (example control chart data shown above)
the resulting chart sometimes is difficult to read and use.
• When tracking individual measurements, there is no information
about short term and long term variation differences.
06A.32
Statistical Process Control
Exponentially Weighted
Moving Range (EWMA)
Charts
The EWMA Chart is much 4.15
EWMA Chart for Evaluati
0 5 10 15 20 25
06A.33
Statistical Process Control
06A.34
Statistical Process Control
p Chart Formulas:
number of nonconforming units in sample(d )
p
sample size (n )
total number of defective units in all samples (d 1 d 2 ... d n )
p
n1 n2 ... nk
p 1 p p 1 p
UCL = p 3 and LCL p 3
n n
06A.35
Statistical Process Control
Measurement Performance
Over Time
• Control limits were established from the 1996 “no show” data.
• The advocacy team examined and prioritized the various
reasons why patients were missing their appointments.
• The team determined that providing flex-time for patients
resulted in fewer missed appointments.
• A new flexible appointment policy was adopted in January 1997.
• The control chart shows a dramatic reduction in the number of
missed appointments after the implementation of the flex-time
policy.
• By adopting the new appointment policy, the team was able to
reduce the average percentage of “no shows” from 40% to
20% (20% is the new average for 1997 data only).
06A.36
Statistical Process Control
06A.37
Statistical Process Control
06A.38
Statistical Process Control
Fine Tuning
If there is important
information you want
footnoted, use the
Annotate>Footnote
button. In this case,
the historical P value
reference.
If a reference line is
desired, use the
Frame>Reference button.
In this case, the line at
December 1996 to show
end of year.
06A.39
Statistical Process Control
06A.40
Statistical Process Control
Continuous
ContinuousData
Data Discrete Data
Target
Target
0%
0%Rejected
Rejected
SPC
SPCfor
forcontinuous
continuousvariables
variablesis
isused
usedto
tosteer
steeraa
process
processtowards
towardsaatarget.
target. Attribute
Attribute(Discrete)
(Discrete)
SPC
SPCcharts
chartsare
areused
usedto tominimize
minimizedefects.
defects.
06A.41
Statistical Process Control