Statistical Process Control: Purpose
Statistical Process Control: Purpose
Statistical Process Control: Purpose
Purpose
Introduce the concepts of Statistical Process Control
Objectives
1. Be able to use “Xbar and S Charts” for analysis of
continuous data.
2. Be able to use “p” Control Chart for analysis of
discrete data.
3. Be able to determine control limits for each type of
chart.
4. Be able to interpret charts and determine when a
process is “Out of Control”.
5. Be able to explain the importance of taking action
based on the chart information.
06A.1
Statistical Process Control
06A.2
Statistical Process Control
Provide increased
X stability to
Dependent variables;
Responses Y1,Y2,..., Ym
Control Charts applied to
Process variables;
Independent variables;
Design variables X1, X2,..., Xk
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Statistical Process Control
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Statistical Process Control
102.00
UCL Upper Control Limit
101.00
100.00 Avg
X LCL-A
99.00 Grand Average
Avg-Gd
Central Line
98.00 LCL UCL-A
97.00
Out of Control Condition,
96.00 Record action taken to fix. Lower Control Limit
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25
Sigma Chart
7.00
6.00 UCLs
5.00 Range
4.00 LCL-R
Average Sigma
3.00
s AVG-R
Central Line
2.00 UCL-R
1.00
0.00 LCLs
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25
06A.5
Statistical Process Control
Control Charts
Developed in the 1920s by Dr. Walter Shewhart of
the Bell Laboratories, Statistical Process Control
charts provide a graphical comparison of a measured
process observation against statistically computed
“control limits”(expectation).
06A.6
Statistical Process Control
Hypothesis test?
A Control Chart is a graphic display of a continuing two
tailed test with HO and HA defined as:
Ho: i
Ha: i
UCLx
LCLx
/2
06A.7
Statistical Process Control
Process Stability
The graphic below shows a variety of unstable
process examples. Control chart interpretation
can assist in identifying when these are
occurring as well as what condition exists.
Time t1:
t2:
t3:
t4:
t5:
t6:
t7:
Process Stability
• A process output is considered stable when it
consists of only common-cause variation.
• Subgroup averages and variation measures
are between their control limits and display
no evidence of assignable-source (special-
cause) variation.
• If non-random patterns of data appear on the
control chart, or when a point is beyond the
control limits, then this is a strong signal that
assignable-source (special-cause) variation
is present in your process.
region of assignable-source variation
UCL
LCL
region of assignable-source variation
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Statistical Process Control
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Statistical Process Control
4.3
Used to analyze and
3.0SL=4.232
4.2
4.1 X=4.096
control continuous process
4.0
3.9
-3.0SL=3.959
variables.
3.8
1
3.7
Subgroup 0 5
1
10 15 20 25
You can use Xbar-S charts
0.6
1
– In Measure, to
0.5
0.4
0.3
graphically separate
0.2
0.1
3.0SL=0.2409
S=0.1403
common causes of
0.0
-3.0SL=0.03982
variation from special
causes
The Xbar-S chart is best – In Analyze and Improve
generated using Minitab or to check for process
other statistical software stability before
package. If software is not completing a hypothesis
available, use Xbar-R or test.
other manual control – In Control to verify
charts. process control following
improvement work.
06A.11
Statistical Process Control
Constructing Xbar-S
using Minitab
File: GEAPPS>6Sigma>Minitab>Training>Minitab>
Session 4> control chart.mtw
Select Stat > Control Charts > Xbar-S
06A.12
Statistical Process Control
Constructing Xbar-S
using Minitab
Select the column with the response data and either
enter a value for the subgroup size or identify the
subgroup subscript column(in this case, “Week”)
Select “Tests”.
automatically 4.2
Sample Mean
4.1 X=4.096
4.0
1 1
0.4
06A.14
Statistical Process Control
4.3
3.0SL=4.232
4.2
Sample Mean
4.1 X=4.096
4.0
-3.0SL=3.959
3.9
3.8
1 1
3.7
Subgroup 0 5 10 15 20 25
0.6
1
0.5
Sample StDev
0.4
0.3
3.0SL=0.2409
0.2
S=0.1403
0.1
-3.0SL=0.03982
0.0
06A.15
Statistical Process Control
X
X 1 X 2 ... X k Overall Process Average
k
where k = the # of subgroup averages
UCL X X 3s / n
The formula for the Lower Control Limit:
LCL X X 3s / n
06A.16
Statistical Process Control
(x
Where ni=number
si ij xi ) 2
(ni 1) of observations in
j the ith subgroup.
s si k
Where k= the number of subgroups
06A.17
Statistical Process Control
n=3 n = 10 n = 25
UCL
UCL
UCL
LCL
LCL
Copyright 1995 Six Sigma Academy, Inc.
LCL
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B22.14
Statistical Process Control
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Statistical Process Control
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Statistical Process Control
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Statistical Process Control
5 5 2 2 3.0SL=52.63
52 5
2
51 22 2
50 X=50.00
49
48
-3.0SL=47.37
47
Subgroup 0 50 100
4 3.0SL=3.849
Sample StDev
2 S=1.842
2
1
0 -3.0SL=0.00E+00
06A.22
Statistical Process Control
Changing Control
Chart Limits
• It is best to use historical stable process
limits for control charts, versus limits
which change with each observation.
Historical limits define the “expected”
range of data, or the “null hypothesis
(Ho)”. (Use Historical settings in Minitab)
• Change limits when:
– A process change is made and is determined to be
statistically significant(I.e. Ha.).
– A definable practical process change is completed.
06A.23
Statistical Process Control
Chart Interpretation
06A.24
Statistical Process Control
Normal Process
Variation
“Boring…”
Xbar/S Chart for sd5
53
3.0SL=52.45
52
Sample Mean
51
50 X=50.00
49
48
-3.0SL=47.55
47
Subgroup 0 5 10 15 20 25
4
3.0SL=3.414
Sample StDev
2
S=1.507
1
0 -3.0SL=0.00E+00
This pattern is the target for any control chart. It does not
necessarily indicate the best capability of the process nor
that the process can meet the specification, but it
indicates that the process is stable.
06A.25
Statistical Process Control
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Statistical Process Control
Process Outliers
“Ah Ha! Now here’s something
interesting.”
Hiccup
Hiccup
Xbar/S Chart for repmstd
Sometimes a process
53
Hiccup
4
3
1
1
3.0SL=3.132
will occur as occasional
2
1
S=1.382 values that are clearly
0 -3.0SL=0.00E+00
not a part of the basic
process distribution.
After one occurs, the
Some typical Causes:
• Mistake in measuring
process behaves in its
• Bottom piece (or top piece normal manner until the
in stack) next hiccup.
• End of bar, coil, etc.
• Dirt or foreign material
06A.27
Statistical Process Control
Symptom:
Nine points in a row one
side of center
Xbar/S Chart for repmstd After a change, the
52.5 3.0SL=52.25
process makes the
51.5
50.5
2
parts larger on the
2
49.5
X=50.00
average or the yield
48.5
47.5
-3.0SL=47.75 greater or the
Subgroup 0 5 10 15 20 25 hardness higher and
3 3.0SL=3.132 so on.
2
S=1.382
The basic variability
1
of the process has not
0 -3.0SL=0.00E+00
changed, and the
range chart does not
show a change.
Some typical Causes:
• Mis-adjustment or
improper setting
• Change of material or
lubricant,
• Shift change
06A.28
Statistical Process Control
Process Trend
“Where’s it going?”
Symptom:
A trend is a gradual • 7 points in a row trending up.
shift of the process • 7 points
Xbar/S in aforrow
Chart trending down
repmstd
level, reflected on the 53 1 1
52
51
50 X=50.00
Sometimes raw 49
48
47
-3.0SL=47.75
material, Subgroup 0 5 10 15 20 25
measurement or 3 3.0SL=3.132
Sample StDev
is unlikely. The
trouble is usually in Some typical Causes: :
the equipment itself,
• Often associated with “tool wear”
in the power supply or
since it often shows tool wear
prior process (usually of an aging or wear out
environment. nature)
• Example:
• bath depletion in a plating
operation or various chemical
operations
• tube wearout in an electronic
circuit
06A.29
Statistical Process Control
Zone Testing
Process is “Out of Control” if
A
+
B+
C
+
C
-B-
A
-
06A.30
Statistical Process Control
-3.0SL=3.963
cumbersome when 3.9
3.8
1
done manually, the 3.7
Subgroup 0 5
1
10 15 20 25
charts. 0.0
-3.0SL=0.09634
06A.31
Statistical Process Control
Individuals and
Moving Range Charts
(XmR)
I and MR Chart for Evaluations The Individual X -
4.5
1
3.0SL=4.517
Moving Range chart is
X=4.096
appropriate where there
4.0
-3.0SL=3.675
is no measurable
1
3.5 1
1
11 variation within a
3.0 11 subgroup (such as
Subgroup 0 50 100 150 200 250
process temperature,
1.5
1 pressure or other
1 homogeneous
1.0
1
1
1
1 1
measurement), or when
0.5 3.0SL=0.5171
rational sub grouped
R=0.1583
0.0 -3.0SL=0.00E+00 data is not available (due
to cost or other limiting
factors).
Caution
• When used inappropriately with a process having “within
subgroup” variation, (example control chart data shown above)
the resulting chart sometimes is difficult to read and use.
• When tracking individual measurements, there is no information
about short term and long term variation differences.
06A.32
Statistical Process Control
Exponentially Weighted
Moving Range (EWMA)
Charts
The EWMA Chart is EWMA Chart for Evaluati
4.15 3.0SL=4.148
06A.33
Statistical Process Control
• np
• p
06A.34
Statistical Process Control
p Chart Formulas:
06A.35
Statistical Process Control
Measurement Performance
Over Time
Percentage of Appointment "No Shows"
0.6
1996 1997
3.0SL=0.5395
0.5
Proportion
0.4 P=0.3930
0.3
-3.0SL=0.2465
0.2
1 1 1 1
1
0.1 1 1
1
Subgroup 1 6 9 12 16
Month July December March June October
• Control limits were established from the 1996 “no show” data.
• The advocacy team examined and prioritized the various
reasons why patients were missing their appointments.
• The team determined that providing flex-time for patients
resulted in fewer missed appointments.
• A new flexible appointment policy was adopted in January 1997.
• The control chart shows a dramatic reduction in the number of
missed appointments after the implementation of the flex-time
policy.
• By adopting the new appointment policy, the team was able to
reduce the average percentage of “no shows” from 40% to 20%
(20% is the new average for 1997 data only).
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Statistical Process Control
You’ll need
two columns
on the
spreadsheet,
one for the
count data
and a second
to identify the
subgroup
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Statistical Process Control
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Statistical Process Control
Fine Tuning
If there is important
information you want
footnoted, use the
Annotate>Footnote
button. In this case,
the historical P value
reference.
If a reference line is
desired, use the
Frame>Reference button.
In this case, the line at
December 1996 to show
end of year.
06A.39
Statistical Process Control
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Statistical Process Control
Target
0% Rejected
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Statistical Process Control