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Macroeconomic Goal - Economic Growth

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 LECTURE 2 :

MACROECONOMIC
GOAL – ECONOMIC
GROWTH

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Learning Outcome (s) November 14, 2021

At the end of the lecture, students will be able to :

 define economic growth and discuss the factors that promote


economic growth
 analyze the features of LDCs.

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The Basics of Economic Growth
 Economic growth is the increase in GDP
over a given period.

• GDP = total market value of all final goods and


services produced within a country in a given
period of time.

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Growth rate

 Growth rate =
Real GDP last year

 Real GDP this year – Real GDP last year X


100

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GDP per person/ GDP per capita

 GDP per person tells us the income and


expenditure of the average person in the economy.

 GDP / Total population = GDP per capita

 Higher GDP per person indicates a higher


standard of living.

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November 14, 2021

GDP per head (2020)


Malawi USD480
Cambodia USD1215
Uganda USD860
India USD2,338
Malaysia USD11,484
China USD8,130
Singapore USD58,500
UK USD39,800
US USD53,240
Japan USD47,200

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The Sources of Economic Growth

 Aggregate Hours
– Aggregate hours, the total number of hours worked
by all the people employed, change as a result of:
– 1. Working-age population growth
– 2. Changes in the employment-to-population
ratio
– 3. Changes in average hours per worker
– Population growth increases aggregate hours and
real GDP.

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The Sources of Economic Growth

 Labor Productivity
– Labor productivity is the quantity of real GDP produced by an
hour of labor; it equals real GDP divided by aggregate hours.
– The growth of labor productivity depends on
– Physical capital growth
– Human capital growth
– Technological advances
 World bank (2005) found that higher productivity is strongly
and positively related with favourable “investment climate”

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The Sources of Economic Growth
 Human Capital Growth
– Human capital acquired through education, on-
the-job training, and learning-by-doing is the most
fundamental source of economic growth.
– It is the source of increased labor productivity and
technological advance

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The sources of growth
 Rate of savings
To provide funds for investment there need
to be a good level of savings. This should in
turn mean more growth in the future.

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The sources of growth
 Technological progress
 Increase production from the same quantity of
resources
 boosts the potential level of output of the
economy.
 The pace of technological change will depend
on:
• the scientific skills of the country
• the quality of education
• the amount of GDP devoted to research and development

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Sources of Growth
– Encourage International Trade
– Free international trade stimulates growth by extracting
all the available gains from specialization and trade.
– The fastest growing nations are the ones with the
fastest growing exports and imports.
– World Bank (2004) estimated that removing trade
protection in developed countries could provide gain to
developing countries of $ 85 b by 2015,

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November 14, 2021

Features of Less Developed Countries


(LDCs) -47 coutries
 Low income per capita
 earned less than 3% of the average employed
adult in US.
 This is usually the result of low productivity, low
savings, low investment, less resources,
backward technology

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Features of Less Developed
November 14, 2021

Countries (LDCs)
 High population growth

 Many LDCs have experienced high population


growth rate.

 47 LDCs have grown at 2.5% per annum over


the period 1975 – 2003, compared to only 0.6%
for high income countries.

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November 14, 2021

Features of Less Developed Countries


(LDCs)
 Large scale of unemployment

 Contributed by low level of economic activity


especially in industrial sector.

 75 per cent of the LDCs' population still live in


poverty

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November 14, 2021

Features of Less Developed Countries


(LDCs)

 Inequalities in the distribution of income.


 The richest 10% in Sierra Leone have 43.6% of
all income but the poorest 10% have only 0.5%.
 In Norway, richest 10% have 23. 4% of all
income and poorest 10% have 3.9% of all
income.

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Features of Less Developed
November 14, 2021

Countries (LDCs)
 Large but neglected agricultural sector
 In most LDCs, agriculture accounts for 40 – 85%
of national income and 60 – 90 % of total
employment.
 Nevertheless, policy makers have opted for
industrialization, often at the expense of
agricultural development to promote rapid
economic growth.
 Such neglect of agriculture has often led to food
shortages, poverty and famine.
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November 14, 2021

Features of Less Developed Countries


(LDCs)
 Environmental degradation
 Developing countries are acting as pollution
havens, particularly attractive to firms in toxic
intensive industries which release large
amounts of toxic chemicals per unit output.

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November 14, 2021

Features of Less Developed Countries


(LDCs)
 Volatile export earnings
 Foreign trade has tended to contribute relatively little to
national income of many LDCs. Many LDCs remain net
exporters of primary goods and net importers of industrial
goods.
 Export of primary goods fluctuates due to fall in price ,
increase in supply of primary goods, low income elasticity
– rising prosperity in developed countries has resulted in
modest increases in demand for primary goods.

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Features of Less Developed November 14, 2021

Countries (LDCs)
 Poor governance
 Corruption.
 In 2019 :
– Denmark 1,
– New Zealand – 1
– Finland – 3
– Singapore – 4
– India – 80
– Pakistan – 120
– Indonesia – 85
– Maaysia-53
 constrain corruption is a key ingredient for growth and prosperity.

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November 14, 2021

The UN Millennium Development Goals for LDCs


Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger
Achieve universal primary education
Promote gender equality
Reduce child mortality
Combat HIV
Ensure environmental sustainability.

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Conclusion/Summary November 14, 2021

 Economic growth of a country can be measured


using GDP. However, GDP is not a perfect
measurement because it excludes some important
factors. Business cycle shows the trend in GDP
growth rate. A country can achieve economic
growth by investing in human capital, technology,
increasing the volume of trade, increase savings,
promote research and development.

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November 14, 2021

References:

Griffiths, A. and Wall, S. Eds. (2011). Applied


Economics.
Financial Times Prentice Hall
Parkin,M (2008). Economics 8th edition, Pearson
International Edition.

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