Bond Valuation
Bond Valuation
Bond Valuation
5-1
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5.1 BONDS AND BOND VALUATION
• Primary Principle:
• Value of financial securities = PV of expected future
cash flows
• Bond value is, therefore, determined by the
present value of the coupon payments plus the
present value of the par, or face, value
• Interest rates are inversely related to present
(i.e., bond) values
5-3
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CONCEPTUAL CASH FLOW OF A 10
YEAR BOND
• Xanth Co. has issued a 10 year bond with an 8%
annual coupon. The cash flows from the bond
would be paid as follows:
5-4
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THE BOND-PRICING EQUATION
1
1 -
(1 r) T F
Bond Value C
(1 r)
T
r
Notice that:
• The first term is the present value of the coupon payments (an
annuity); and,
• The second term is the present value of the bond’s par value
5-5
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FREQUENCY OF COUPON PAYMENTS
5-6
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BOND EXAMPLE
• Consider a U.S. government bond with a
6-3/8% coupon that expires in December 2020.
• The Par Value of the bond is $1,000.
• Coupon payments are made semi-annually (June
30 and December 31 for this particular bond).
• Since the coupon rate is 6 3/8%, the payment is
$31.875.
• On January 1, 2016 the size and timing of cash
flows are:
$ 3 1 .8 7 5 $ 3 1 .8 7 5 $ 3 1 .8 7 5 $ 1,0 3 1 .8 7 5
1 / 1 / 16 6 / 30 / 16 12 / 31 / 16 6 / 30 / 20 12 / 31 / 20
5-7
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BOND EXAMPLE: PREMIUM BOND
• On January 1, 2016, the required yield is 5%.
• The size and timing of the cash flows are:
$ 3 1 .8 7 5 $ 3 1 .8 7 5 $ 3 1 .8 7 5 $ 1,0 3 1 .8 7 5
1 / 1 / 16 6 / 30 / 16 12 / 31 / 16 6 / 30 / 20 12 / 31 / 20
$ 31 . 875 1 $ 1, 000
PV 1 10
10
$ 1, 060 . 17
. 05 2 (1 . 025 ) (1 . 025 )
5-8
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BOND EXAMPLE: DISCOUNT BOND
• Now assume that the required yield is 11%.
• How does this change the bond’s price?
$ 3 1 .8 7 5 $ 3 1 .8 7 5 $ 3 1 .8 7 5 $ 1,0 3 1 .8 7 5
1 / 1 / 16 6 / 30 / 16 12 / 31 / 16 6 / 30 / 20 12 / 31 / 20
$ 31 . 875 1 $ 1, 000
PV 1 10
10
$ 825 . 69
. 11 2 (1 . 055 ) (1 . 055 )
5-9
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YTM AND BOND VALUE
When the YTM < coupon, the bond
1300 trades at a premium.
Bond Value
1200
800
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.1
6 3/8% Discount Rate
When the YTM > coupon, the bond trades at a discount.
5-10
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BOND CONCEPTS
5-11
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INTEREST RATE RISK
• Price Risk
• Change in price due to changes in interest rates
• Long-term bonds have more price risk than short-
term bonds
• Low coupon rate bonds have more price risk than
high coupon rate bonds
• Reinvestment Rate Risk
• Uncertainty concerning rates at which cash flows can be
reinvested
• Short-term bonds have more reinvestment rate risk than
long-term bonds
• High coupon rate bonds have more reinvestment rate risk
than low coupon rate bonds
5-12
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MATURITY AND BOND PRICE
VOLATILITY
Bond Value
Par
Par
C Discount Rate
Low Coupon Bond
5-14
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COMPUTING YIELD TO MATURITY
5-15
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YTM WITH ANNUAL COUPONS
5-16
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YTM WITH SEMIANNUAL COUPONS
5-17
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CURRENT YIELD VS. YIELD TO
MATURITY
• Current Yield = annual coupon / price
• Yield to maturity = current yield + capital gains
yield
• Example: 10% coupon bond, with semi-annual
coupons, face value of 1,000, 20 years to
maturity, $1,197.93 price
• Current yield = 100 / 1197.93 = .0835 = 8.35%
• Price in one year, assuming no change in YTM =
1,193.68
• Capital gain yield = (1193.68 – 1197.93) / 1197.93
=
-.0035 = -.35%
• YTM = 8.35 - .35 = 8%, which is the same YTM
computed earlier
5-18
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BOND PRICING THEOREMS
5-19
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BOND PRICING WITH A SPREADSHEET
5-20
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5.2 MORE ON BOND FEATURES
5-21
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DEBT VERSUS EQUITY
• Debt • Equity
• Not an ownership • Ownership interest
interest • Common stockholders
• Creditors do not have vote for the board of
voting rights directors and other issues
• Interest is considered a • Dividends are not
cost of doing business considered a cost of doing
and is tax deductible business and are not tax
• Creditors have legal deductible
recourse if interest or • Dividends are not a
principal payments are liability of the firm, and
missed stockholders have no
• Excess debt can lead to legal recourse if dividends
financial distress and are not paid
bankruptcy • An all-equity firm cannot
go bankrupt
5-22
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THE BOND INDENTURE
5-23
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SAMPLE BOND FEATURES
5-24
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BOND CLASSIFICATIONS
5-25
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BOND CLASSIFICATIONS (CONT.)
• Sinking Funds
• Call Provisions:
• Deferred Call
• Call Premium
• Protective Covenants
5-26
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REQUIRED YIELDS
5-27
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5.3 BOND RATINGS –
INVESTMENT QUALITY
• High Grade
• Moody’s Aaa and S&P AAA – capacity to pay is
extremely strong
• Moody’s Aa and S&P AA – capacity to pay is very
strong
• Medium Grade
• Moody’s A and S&P A – capacity to pay is strong,
but more susceptible to changes in circumstances
• Moody’s Baa and S&P BBB – capacity to pay is
adequate, adverse conditions will have more
impact on the firm’s ability to pay
5-28
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BOND RATINGS – SPECULATIVE
• Low Grade
• Moody’s Ba and B
• S&P BB and B
• Considered speculative with respect to
capacity to pay
• Very Low Grade
• Moody’s C
• S&P C & D
• Highly uncertain repayment and, in many
cases, already in default, with principal and
interest in arrears
5-29
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5.4 SOME DIFFERENT TYPES OF
BONDS
• There are many different types of
bonds
• Some common bonds include:
• Government Bonds
• Federal
• State and Municipal
• Zero Coupon Bonds (AKA Pure Discount
Bonds)
• Floating Rate Bonds
• Each are discussed below
5-30
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GOVERNMENT BONDS
• Treasury Securities
• Federal government debt
• T-bills – pure discount bonds with original
maturity less than one year
• T-notes – coupon debt with original maturity
between one and ten years
• T-bonds – coupon debt with original maturity
greater than ten years
• Municipal Securities
• Debt of state and local governments
• Varying degrees of default risk, rated similar to
corporate debt
• Interest received is tax-exempt at the federal
level
5-31
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AFTER-TAX YIELDS
5-32
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ZERO COUPON BONDS
5-33
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PURE DISCOUNT BONDS
Information needed for valuing pure discount bonds:
• Time to maturity (T) = Maturity date - today’s
date
• Face value (F)
• Discount rate (r)
$0 $0 $0 $F
0 2 T 1 T
$0 $0 $0 $ 1, 0 0 0
0 2 29 30
F $ 1, 000
PV $ 174 . 11
(1 r ) T
(1 . 06 ) 30
5-35
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FLOATING RATE BONDS
5-36
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OTHER BOND TYPES
• Income bonds
• Convertible bonds
• Put bonds
• There are many other types of provisions that can
be added to a bond, and many bonds have
several provisions – it is important to recognize
how these provisions affect required returns.
5-37
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5.5 BOND MARKETS
5-38
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5.6 INFLATION AND INTEREST RATES
5-39
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THE FISHER EFFECT
5-40
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THE FISHER EFFECT: EXAMPLE
5-41
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5.7 DETERMINANTS OF BOND YIELDS
• Term structure is the relationship between time
to maturity and yields, all else equal
• It is important to recognize that we pull out the
effect of default risk, different coupons, etc.
• Yield curve – graphical representation of the term
structure
• Normal – upward-sloping, long-term yields are higher
than short-term yields
• Inverted – downward-sloping, long-term yields are
lower than short-term yields
• Typically shown for the Treasury yield curve
5-42
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FACTORS AFFECTING REQUIRED
RETURN
• Default risk premium – remember bond ratings
• Taxability premium – remember municipal versus
taxable
• Liquidity premium – bonds that have more
frequent trading will generally have lower
required returns (remember bid-ask spreads)
• Anything else that affects the risk of the cash
flows to the bondholders will affect the required
returns
5-43
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QUICK QUIZ
5-44
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