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    Future Trends in Healthcare v2

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    ogangurel
    The document discusses trends in healthcare that will impact group practices, including an aging population demanding more convenient care, growth of chronic diseases, and emerging technologies decentralizing care delivery. Group practices will need to provide more coordinated and integrated care that addresses complex conditions, forms strategic alliances, measures quality, leverages health IT, and controls costs to succeed amid increasing competition and regulatory changes in the evolving healthcare system. The presentation was given by Dr. Ogan Gurel of Aesis Research Group to provide insights on challenges and opportunities facing group medical practices.

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    Future Trends in Healthcare v2

    Uploaded by

    ogangurel
    695 views17 pages
    The document discusses trends in healthcare that will impact group practices, including an aging population demanding more convenient care, growth of chronic diseases, and emerging technologies decentralizing care delivery. Group practices will need to provide more coordinated and integrated care that addresses complex conditions, forms strategic alliances, measures quality, leverages health IT, and controls costs to succeed amid increasing competition and regulatory changes in the evolving healthcare system. The presentation was given by Dr. Ogan Gurel of Aesis Research Group to provide insights on challenges and opportunities facing group medical practices.

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    The document discusses trends in healthcare that will impact group practices, including an aging population demanding more convenient care, growth of chronic diseases, and emerging technologies decentralizing care delivery. Group practices will need to provide more coordinated and integrated care that addresses complex conditions, forms strategic alliances, measures quality, leverages health IT, and controls costs to succeed amid increasing competition and regulatory changes in the evolving healthcare system. The presentation was given by Dr. Ogan Gurel of Aesis Research Group to provide insights on challenges and opportunities facing group medical practices.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as ppt, pdf, or txt
    695 views17 pages

    Future Trends in Healthcare v2

    Uploaded by

    ogangurel
    The document discusses trends in healthcare that will impact group practices, including an aging population demanding more convenient care, growth of chronic diseases, and emerging technologies decentralizing care delivery. Group practices will need to provide more coordinated and integrated care that addresses complex conditions, forms strategic alliances, measures quality, leverages health IT, and controls costs to succeed amid increasing competition and regulatory changes in the evolving healthcare system. The presentation was given by Dr. Ogan Gurel of Aesis Research Group to provide insights on challenges and opportunities facing group medical practices.

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    You are on page 1of 17

    Acute

    Event
    Future
    Treatment
    Plus
    Monitoring
    Trends in
    Healthcare:
    Chronic
    Disease

    Impact on Group Practices

    Ogan Gurel, MD MPhil


    Aesis Research Group, LLC
    gurel@aesisgroup.com

    Leader’s Board
    San Diego, CA
    January 23rd , 2006
    Outline

     Change
     The Future of Healthcare
     Imperatives for Group Practices
    Competitive forces cause
    change
    • Entry of hospitals

    • Relaxation of CON

    • Aging of the population

    •Emphasis of baby-boomers
    on convenience and
    • Growing influence of device seamlessness
    companies
    • Consumer-directed health
    • Relative physician/surgeon plans
    shortages
    • Growing influence of
    • Physician work-life balance Federal government
    issues
    • Emphasis on quality
    measures

    • BBA II?

    • Emerging technologies

    • Convergence of
    diagnosis and treatment
    Source: Porter, Michael, On Competition, 1995
    Change can be
    incremental or disruptive

    Source: Christensen, Clayton et al, Seeing What’s Next, 2004


    Outline

     Change
     The Future of Healthcare
     Imperatives for Group Practices
    The hospital as center of
    care

    Acute
    Event

    Chronic
    Disease
    Care is now decentralized
    and fragmented
    Acute
    Event

    Diagnosis Monitoring

    Treatment
    Plus

    Chronic
    Disease
    The future will demand more
    integration and coordination

    Acute
    Event

    Sub-
    Diagnosis
    Diagnosis

    Treatment
    Plus
    Chronic
    Disease
    Buyer driven forces

    • Aging of the population

    •Emphasis of baby-boomers
    on convenience and
    seamlessness

    • Consumer-directed health
    plans

    • Growing influence of
    Federal government

    • Emphasis on quality
    measures

    • BBA II?

    Source: Porter, Michael, On Competition, 1995


    Growth of Over-65 Age Group
    Accelerates After 2010
    Forecasted Percent Change The Baby Boomers
    US, 2004-2014 US, 2004-2014
    Millions

    Total 10.7% 45-64


    86

    65-UP 22.4%
    76

    66

    45-64 19.7%
    56 65 +

    46
    18-44 6.3%

    36 Year
    2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014

    00-17 3.0%
    Source: Sg2 Analysis, 2004
    Supplier-driven forces

    • Growing influence of device


    companies

    • Relative physician/surgeon
    shortages

    • Physician work-life balance


    issues
    Potential entrants
    • Entry of hospitals

    • Relaxation of CON

    Source: Porter, Michael, On Competition, 1995


    Substitutes

    • Emerging technologies

    • Convergence of
    diagnosis and treatment
    Source: Porter, Michael, On Competition, 1995
    Key disruptive technologies
    Carotid stenting
    CVLess invasive intervention
    Non-invasive angiography
    Targeted therapies
    CancerMIS advances
    & GeneralVirtual colonoscopy
    SurgeryHIFU
    Image-guided surgery
    Carotid stenting
    Image-guided surery
    Neuro/OrthoRobotic surgery
    MIS advances (hip,knee,spine)
    Outline

     Change
     The Future of Healthcare
     Imperatives for Group Practices
    Imperatives for Group Practices
    In order to meet the changes in the future group practices must …

     Provide coordinated, seamless care


     Address increasingly complex conditions and must address more than just the medical / surgical problem
     Consider alliances to help address these challenges
     Measure quality
     “Ride the IT wave” or be rendered irrelevant
     Increasingly consider the integration of imaging (and diagnosis) to their operations
     Be increasingly aware that the federal government (Medicare, etc.) are not just “bystanders” in the process.
    Regulation and compliance are critical
     Keep costs down – reimbursements will not be increasing and may very well decrease (though without
    compromising quality)
     Keep physicians happy … which is not always about money
     Be flexible enough to accommodate technology changes.
    Æsis Research Group
    Ogan Gurel, MD MPhil
    Providing forward-looking information, intelligence and
    research services to healthcare investment decision-makers
    Facilitating hospital-clinician relationships to help implement
    and move forward strategic, operational and facilities initiatives

    11 S. LaSalle Street, 5th Floor, Chicago, IL 60603


    T (312) 423-2764 | F (773) 409-5897 | M (312) 543-9019

    gurel@aesisgroup.com

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