Korean Case - MTEF
Korean Case - MTEF
Korean Case - MTEF
Contents
Why Korea?
- Fiscal Consolidation and Uniqueness
Why Korea?
FISCAL CONSOLIDATION
Fiscal Consolidation has been and will be restored quickly after Global Financial Crisis
% of Fiscal balance/GDP
Source: 2011-2015 NFMP, MOSF
4 2 0 -2 -4 -6
2011-2015 NFMP
MTEF is the critical tool for restoring Fiscal Consolidation while supporting national agenda such as Green Growth
Why Korea?
UNIQUENESS Introduction style
MTEF stage
MTPF (stage 3)
Due to Koreas sound PIM system and the simultaneous introduction of PBB and MTEF, not only was Big bang reform possible but also the jump of MTEF stage from MTFF to MTPF Sound fiscal consolidation was key factor to overcome financial crisis in 1997 and 2008
Why
What
When
How
Budget Office
-Strengthening Policy initiatives (while empowering budget authority to LMs) -Fiscal Consolidation
-Transparency (aligned with the philosophy of political regime) -Control (Tool for supporting national agendas fiscally)
President
Internal Staff
-Empowerment (BO will respect LMs budget request within the ceiling)
-Certainty in budget allocation
Line Ministries
MTEF
Integrated FMIS
PBB
(PART/In-Depth Study)
Fiscal Reforms closely connected with each other and function harmoniously
Category Revenue
MTEF 2011-2015(A) 2010-2014(B) 2009-2013(C) Gap(A-C) Expenditure 2011-2015(D) 2010-2014(E) 2009-2013(F) Gap(D-F) Consolidated 2011-2015(G) Fiscal 2010-2014(H) Balance 2009-2013(I) Gap(G-I)
292.8 291.8
-0.2 -0.4
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 314.4 344.1 375.7 395.8 415.3 314.6 342.9 365.1 390.9 309.5 337.6 361.7 4.9 6.5 14.0 309.1 326.1 341.9 357.5 373.1 309.6 324.8 337.7 353.0 306.6 322.0 335.3 2.5 4.1 6.6 0.4 1.3 2.3 2.4 2.5 0.4 1.3 1.9 2.5 0.2 1.2 1.9 0.2 0.1 0.4
Source: MOSF NFMPs
-Conservative Revenue forecast -Increase in expenditure is well below that of revenue -With this effort fiscal balance is getting better than last MTEF
Thank you
Young Kyu Kang Senior Public Sector Specialist World Bank PRMPS ykang2@worldbank.org Office phone: 1 (202) 458-9451
2
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
No official process
-BO checks major ongoing and new projects internally -LMs request next year budget on May 31
- Budget Formulation (without ceiling) - MOSF submit Budget Draft to the Assembly
- Assembly Review
12
January 3
MOSFLMs
MOSF (Budget Office) sends the guideline for rolling MTEF to LMs
- Guideline covers how and in what case resource can be increased
January 31
LMsMOSF
Feb - Apr
MOSF/LMs
Apr 30
MOSFLM
MOSF (Budget Office) sends Budget call circular and the ceilings to LMs
- Budget call circular covers economic condition forecast and resource allocation direction - Next years expenditure in MTEF are set as ceilings (Ceilings for sectoral, entities and some major project)
May - June
LM
June 30
LM MOSF
July-Sept
MOSF/LM
MOSF settle the budget for each project with consultation with LMs considering MTEF T/F recommendation
- Budget review committee in Budget office decide final allocation - After MTEF introduction Budget office review only some major and important projects while checking whether national agenda are properly supported (Ceilings for sectoral, entities and some major project) - MTEF is finalized by adjusting with annual budget and reflecting MTEF T/F teams suggestions - With MTEF introduction, the budget coordination period was shortened by a month whereas LMs Budget formulation period extended by a month
Oct 2
MOSF
MOSF submit Budget Draft to Assembly for finalization and MTEF for information
- With meetings with stakeholders like fiscal experts, LMs and local governments, Budget office finalize budget draft
Oct-Dec 2
Assembly
Assembly finalize budget through each standing committee and Budget committee
December
MOSF/LMs
Overview
-Fiscal Policy direction and future goal -Economic forecast based on internal and external conditions Growth rate forecast Revenue forecast -Integrated Expenditure forecast considering national agenda and other policy supports -Government debt and Fiscal Balance forecasts -Ratio of tax against national income -Sectoral expenditure allocation plan - 16 areas (R&D, SOC, Social Welfare etc.) covered -Each sector consists policy direction and the annual size of resources -Major projects detail investment plan commented
Tax Office
Tax revenue forecast
Budget Office
Economic forecast
T/F teams
External expert
Expenditure forecast
Ceilings
Expenditure requests
Line ministries