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Lecture 6 - Technology, Innovation and Great Power Competition - Autonomy and Unmanned Systems

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Stanford University
Stanford University

Technology, Innovation and Great Power Competition,TIGPC, Gordian knot Center, DIME-FIL, department of defense, dod, hacking for defense, intlpol 340, joe felter, ms&e296, raj shah, stanford, Steve blank, AI, ML, AI/ML, china, unmanned, autonomy, ONR, Lorin Selby, Maynard Holliday, Bradley Garber,

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Technology, Innovation, and Great Power Competition INTLPOL 340; MS&E 296 Steve Blank, Joe Felter, Raj Shah Lecture #6: Unmanned Platforms & Autonomy 26 October 2021
Agenda • Logistics • Guest speakers and panel • Mid-term memo review • Group Project and Problem
Logistics • Reminder: November 2 class rescheduled. Now Monday, November 1 at 5:30 - 8:30 PM (normal time) • New room assignment will come out • Individual Assignments due midnight Nov 2nd • Extended 1 day
Unmanned Systems
● Navy’s Chief Engineer (2016-2020) ● Commander Naval Surface Warfare Centers (2014-2016) ● BS UVirginia, MS MIT Rear Admiral Lorin Selby Chief of Naval Research
Director of Defense Research & Engineering for Modernization Principal Director for Autonomy ● Defense Science Board and Ex-DIUE ● Autonomy & Drones at RAND Corporation (2017-2020) ● BS CMU, MS Stanford ● Director of Strategic Initiatives @ ARL ● Deputy Director, Aviation Portfolio @ ASAALT ● PhD Virginia Polytechnic, MS North Carolina State Maynard Holliday Jaret C. Riddick, PhD
Chief of Naval Research Director of Defense Research & Engineering for Modernization Principal Director for Autonomy ● Navy’s Chief Engineer (2016-2020) ● Commander Naval Surface Warfare Centers (2014- 2016) ● BS UVirginia, MS MIT Rear Admiral Lorin Selby Maynard Holliday Jaret C. Riddick, PhD ● Member Defense Science Board and Ex-DIUE ● Autonomy & Drones at RAND Corporation (2017- 2020) ● BS CMU, MS Stanford ● Director of Strategic Initiatives @ ARL ● Deputy Director, Aviation Portfolio @ ASAALT ● PhD Virginia Polytechnique, MS North Carolina State
Unmanned Systems
Technical Director (Code 03) Director; Ocean, Atmosphere, & Space Research Division Office of Naval Research OPNAV N9IB, Executive Director U.S. Navy Unmanned Task Force Deputy Director/Principal Civilian Assistant to the Vice Chief of Naval Operations ● ONR Portfolio Manager for Autonomy (2018-2021) ● ONR Team Lead Mine Warfare and Ocean Engineering (2015-2018) ● Ph.D. , MSE Georgia Tech, MBA MIT Dr. Jason Stack, SES Mr. Michael Stewart, SES Mr. Bradley Garber ● Deputy Director Integrated Warfare, Department of the Navy ● CAPT USN (Ret.) ● MBA Harvard, MA NWC, BS USNA ● Fmr. OPNAV N31; Commanding Officer HSL- 46; Branch Chief, Joint Ops War Plans Division, Joint Staff ● CAPT USN (Ret.) ● MS NDU, BS USNA Chief Engineer, Anduril Industries Dr. Shane Arnott ● Program Director, Autonomous Systems, Boeing (2019-2021) ● Ph.D. University of Queensland, BSc La Trobe University
Technology, Innovation, and Great Power Competition INTLPOL 340; MS&E 296 Steve Blank, Joe Felter, Raj Shah Thank You Notes
Group Projects
Group Project • Problem Statement Review and Feedback • 5 minutes per group • Blunt and direct feedback • “Socratic method with a stick” - Steve Blank • We give feedback this way because it will help you move faster; indirect feedback takes too long for the course
The gap between U.S. and Chinese military capabilities is rapidly closing and poses a threat to U.S. military dominance in the Indo-Pacific Region. In order to maintain our capability gap, the DoD needs to reevaluate and improve its funding strategies and partnerships with mid-stage private companies that have potential for dual-use technologies, which will play a vital role in catalyzing U.S. military innovation. Team 1: Team AVCI
Team 2: Team Conflicted Capital Chinese adversarial venture capital investments in US dual-use startups continue to threaten US military capabilities across critical technologies. Despite the passing of FIRRMA in 2018 and updates to CFIUS in 2020, American regulations controlling foreign investment are still largely voluntary. As the Chinese State increasingly comprehends how to circumvent US regulations, it becomes imperative to address the challenge from the other side – the private sector. Current venture capitalist and startup founder sentiments indicate that American startups would shun known sources of Chinese funding. The problem amounts to exposing undisclosed Chinese State connections to venture capital funding.
Team 3: Project Aurora Hong Kong presents a unique opportunity to support activists currently attempting to maintain democratic institutions inside the PRC. The US can amplify its soft power by supporting these activists through facilitating free information access and secure communications channels outside the control of the CCP security apparatus. The US should pursue opportunities to support pro-democracy activists, particularly when they use protests, unsanctioned expression, or other mobilization activities to advocate for self-determination. The US government should support this through cyber and commerce policies that support companies who resist CCP restrictions; discrete security and technical support for activists; and the establishment of immigration policies that facilitate Hong Kong residents’ living and working in America, free from PRC interference.
In order to maximize the impact of the estimated $1 billion USD allocated in the CHIPS act to stimulate semiconductor education and innovation, and produce talented hardware expertise in the U.S., Congress needs to surmount differing consensus among academia, industry, and venture capital. The policy makers crafting this bill need to be aware of the various positions interested in this allocation, and informed of the risks and rewards associated with each investment strategy. Team 4: Team ShortCircuit
To enhance the command and control capabilities of Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense (MND) and protect friendly forces, team Drone identifies low cost, survivable Counter Small Unmanned Aircraft System (C- sUAS) solutions aimed at dynamically detecting, tracking, and engaging emerging aerial, swarm based platforms likely to be used by the People’s Republic of China (PRC) during the initial phase of an amphibious landing on Taiwan. Team 5: Team Drones
Given the prospect of a cross-strait conflict with China, the US Space Force must proactively partner with the private sector to develop a resilient asset network and increase the wartime readiness of its space assets. Team 6: Apollo
The CCP’s increasingly common use of coercive diplomacy tactics such as trade sanctions and investment restrictions, combined with America’s limited response in support of our targeted allies in the South Pacific, poses a threat to our strategic position in the region. The U.S. requires a collective response counterstrategy in tandem with Australia to eliminate the leverage China can achieve toward disrupting the alliance. Team 7: Catena
Questions? We are here to support!
Reach out to teaching team with questions! Midterm Memo - Key Reminders • Due Wednesday @ 12:01 PST (extended 1 day) • No more than 2,000 words • Follow the prompt PDF as uploaded on Canvas • TA’s will hold open OH on Friday for any questions
Next Week • Class 7 Topic: Space • Updated readings will be on Canvas shortly • TA Team will post Week 7 Reading Reflection prompt once readings are updated • Next class is on November 1 at 5:30 PM • Room location will be announced later this week • Updated problem statements and interview trackers due Mondays @ 11:59 PM PST
Technology, Innovation, and Great Power Competition INTLPOL 340; MS&E 296 Steve Blank, Joe Felter, Raj Shah Lecture #6: Unmanned Platforms & Autonomy 26 October 2021

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Lecture 6 - Technology, Innovation and Great Power Competition - Autonomy and Unmanned Systems

  • 1. Technology, Innovation, and Great Power Competition INTLPOL 340; MS&E 296 Steve Blank, Joe Felter, Raj Shah Lecture #6: Unmanned Platforms & Autonomy 26 October 2021
  • 2. Agenda • Logistics • Guest speakers and panel • Mid-term memo review • Group Project and Problem
  • 3. Logistics • Reminder: November 2 class rescheduled. Now Monday, November 1 at 5:30 - 8:30 PM (normal time) • New room assignment will come out • Individual Assignments due midnight Nov 2nd • Extended 1 day
  • 5. ● Navy’s Chief Engineer (2016-2020) ● Commander Naval Surface Warfare Centers (2014-2016) ● BS UVirginia, MS MIT Rear Admiral Lorin Selby Chief of Naval Research
  • 6. Director of Defense Research & Engineering for Modernization Principal Director for Autonomy ● Defense Science Board and Ex-DIUE ● Autonomy & Drones at RAND Corporation (2017-2020) ● BS CMU, MS Stanford ● Director of Strategic Initiatives @ ARL ● Deputy Director, Aviation Portfolio @ ASAALT ● PhD Virginia Polytechnic, MS North Carolina State Maynard Holliday Jaret C. Riddick, PhD
  • 7. Chief of Naval Research Director of Defense Research & Engineering for Modernization Principal Director for Autonomy ● Navy’s Chief Engineer (2016-2020) ● Commander Naval Surface Warfare Centers (2014- 2016) ● BS UVirginia, MS MIT Rear Admiral Lorin Selby Maynard Holliday Jaret C. Riddick, PhD ● Member Defense Science Board and Ex-DIUE ● Autonomy & Drones at RAND Corporation (2017- 2020) ● BS CMU, MS Stanford ● Director of Strategic Initiatives @ ARL ● Deputy Director, Aviation Portfolio @ ASAALT ● PhD Virginia Polytechnique, MS North Carolina State
  • 9. Technical Director (Code 03) Director; Ocean, Atmosphere, & Space Research Division Office of Naval Research OPNAV N9IB, Executive Director U.S. Navy Unmanned Task Force Deputy Director/Principal Civilian Assistant to the Vice Chief of Naval Operations ● ONR Portfolio Manager for Autonomy (2018-2021) ● ONR Team Lead Mine Warfare and Ocean Engineering (2015-2018) ● Ph.D. , MSE Georgia Tech, MBA MIT Dr. Jason Stack, SES Mr. Michael Stewart, SES Mr. Bradley Garber ● Deputy Director Integrated Warfare, Department of the Navy ● CAPT USN (Ret.) ● MBA Harvard, MA NWC, BS USNA ● Fmr. OPNAV N31; Commanding Officer HSL- 46; Branch Chief, Joint Ops War Plans Division, Joint Staff ● CAPT USN (Ret.) ● MS NDU, BS USNA Chief Engineer, Anduril Industries Dr. Shane Arnott ● Program Director, Autonomous Systems, Boeing (2019-2021) ● Ph.D. University of Queensland, BSc La Trobe University
  • 10. Technology, Innovation, and Great Power Competition INTLPOL 340; MS&E 296 Steve Blank, Joe Felter, Raj Shah Thank You Notes
  • 12. Group Project • Problem Statement Review and Feedback • 5 minutes per group • Blunt and direct feedback • “Socratic method with a stick” - Steve Blank • We give feedback this way because it will help you move faster; indirect feedback takes too long for the course
  • 13. The gap between U.S. and Chinese military capabilities is rapidly closing and poses a threat to U.S. military dominance in the Indo-Pacific Region. In order to maintain our capability gap, the DoD needs to reevaluate and improve its funding strategies and partnerships with mid-stage private companies that have potential for dual-use technologies, which will play a vital role in catalyzing U.S. military innovation. Team 1: Team AVCI
  • 14. Team 2: Team Conflicted Capital Chinese adversarial venture capital investments in US dual-use startups continue to threaten US military capabilities across critical technologies. Despite the passing of FIRRMA in 2018 and updates to CFIUS in 2020, American regulations controlling foreign investment are still largely voluntary. As the Chinese State increasingly comprehends how to circumvent US regulations, it becomes imperative to address the challenge from the other side – the private sector. Current venture capitalist and startup founder sentiments indicate that American startups would shun known sources of Chinese funding. The problem amounts to exposing undisclosed Chinese State connections to venture capital funding.
  • 15. Team 3: Project Aurora Hong Kong presents a unique opportunity to support activists currently attempting to maintain democratic institutions inside the PRC. The US can amplify its soft power by supporting these activists through facilitating free information access and secure communications channels outside the control of the CCP security apparatus. The US should pursue opportunities to support pro-democracy activists, particularly when they use protests, unsanctioned expression, or other mobilization activities to advocate for self-determination. The US government should support this through cyber and commerce policies that support companies who resist CCP restrictions; discrete security and technical support for activists; and the establishment of immigration policies that facilitate Hong Kong residents’ living and working in America, free from PRC interference.
  • 16. In order to maximize the impact of the estimated $1 billion USD allocated in the CHIPS act to stimulate semiconductor education and innovation, and produce talented hardware expertise in the U.S., Congress needs to surmount differing consensus among academia, industry, and venture capital. The policy makers crafting this bill need to be aware of the various positions interested in this allocation, and informed of the risks and rewards associated with each investment strategy. Team 4: Team ShortCircuit
  • 17. To enhance the command and control capabilities of Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense (MND) and protect friendly forces, team Drone identifies low cost, survivable Counter Small Unmanned Aircraft System (C- sUAS) solutions aimed at dynamically detecting, tracking, and engaging emerging aerial, swarm based platforms likely to be used by the People’s Republic of China (PRC) during the initial phase of an amphibious landing on Taiwan. Team 5: Team Drones
  • 18. Given the prospect of a cross-strait conflict with China, the US Space Force must proactively partner with the private sector to develop a resilient asset network and increase the wartime readiness of its space assets. Team 6: Apollo
  • 19. The CCP’s increasingly common use of coercive diplomacy tactics such as trade sanctions and investment restrictions, combined with America’s limited response in support of our targeted allies in the South Pacific, poses a threat to our strategic position in the region. The U.S. requires a collective response counterstrategy in tandem with Australia to eliminate the leverage China can achieve toward disrupting the alliance. Team 7: Catena
  • 20. Questions? We are here to support!
  • 21. Reach out to teaching team with questions! Midterm Memo - Key Reminders • Due Wednesday @ 12:01 PST (extended 1 day) • No more than 2,000 words • Follow the prompt PDF as uploaded on Canvas • TA’s will hold open OH on Friday for any questions
  • 22. Next Week • Class 7 Topic: Space • Updated readings will be on Canvas shortly • TA Team will post Week 7 Reading Reflection prompt once readings are updated • Next class is on November 1 at 5:30 PM • Room location will be announced later this week • Updated problem statements and interview trackers due Mondays @ 11:59 PM PST
  • 23. Technology, Innovation, and Great Power Competition INTLPOL 340; MS&E 296 Steve Blank, Joe Felter, Raj Shah Lecture #6: Unmanned Platforms & Autonomy 26 October 2021