2012 10-12 video eis.ha.v2
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The documents summarize U.S. energy production, consumption, and import trends from 2009 to 2025. It shows that while U.S. energy consumption is expected to increase, domestic production will not keep pace, leading to larger import dependencies over time. Specifically, the U.S. energy gap is projected to widen from 13% in 2012 to 20% in 2025, and the liquid fuel gap may grow from 60% in 2006 to 37% in 2025, requiring increased imports. The top sources of U.S. crude oil imports are expected to remain Canada, Mexico, Saudi Arabia and other OPEC nations.
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2012 10-12 video eis.ha.v2
- 1. U.S. Total Energy Production vs. Consumption 120 2012 Energy Gap: 100 13% gap 20% 2025 Energy Gap: 80 13% Quads 60 Consumption 40 Production Source: EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2012, Reference Case 20 0 2009 2013 2017 2021 2025
- 2. U.S. Liquid Fuel Production vs. Consumption 25 2006 Fuel Gap: 20 60% 2025 Fuel Gap: 15 37% gap 37% Bb/d 10 Source: EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2012, Reference Consumption Case 5 Production 0 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
- 3. U.S. Crude Oil Imports by Country/Region 10 9 8 7 Other Quadrillion Btu 6 Persian Gulf (OPEC) West Africa (OPEC) 5 North Africa (OPEC) 4 Latin America (OPEC) North Sea 3 Mexico 2 Canada 1 0 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 Source: EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2012, Reference Case
- 4. 2025 Energy Demand by Fuel Type 100 10.04 quads is just 9.86% of total energy demand in 2025 80 Quadrillion Btu 60 Petroleum 40 Natural Gas Coal 20 Uranium Renewables 0 Biofuels Source: EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2012, Reference Case
- 5. 2025 Scenario: Imported Crude Oil Displaced Total Crude Oil (quads) Displaced Distillate fuel oil Freight LNG (32% penetration) 2.18 Gasoline Light duty CNG (22% penetration) 3.91 Gasoline EVs (10% penetration) 1.75 Various crude Canadian tight oil & gas (est. surplus) 4.86 products Total crude oil displaced 12.69 Total crude oil imported 10.04 Total percentage of crude oil imports displaced 126%
Editor's Notes
- Cause of Reduction in Gap1 bb/d increase in domestic crude production by 20201 mb/d increase in biofuel production by 2020Limited transportation growth in next decadeIncrease in domestic natural gas production
- Take away: Crude oil imports will further rely on Canadian imports