Network evolution and 5G implementation are driving massive structural changes.
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5G’s Impact on Telecom Infrastructure 2019 report by Yole Développement
1. From Technologies to Market
5G Impact onTelecom
Infrastructure 2019
Sample
@2019
Market and Technology
Report 2019
2. 2
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Glossaries & definitions 2
Table of contents 4
Scope of the report 5
Methodology 6
The authors 7
Companies list 8
What we got right/what we wrong? 9
Three pages summary 10
Executive summary 13
Market forecasts 31
Market trends 43
5G Infrastructure general market dynamics 44
Market shares & supply chain 59
Technology trends 75
Basics of telecom infrastructure 76
ModulationTechniques 112
Beamforming, MIMO and Massive MIMO 127
Radio Access Networks (RAN) 136
Network slicing 143
5G Spectrum 148
Power amplifiers substrates 169
Outlooks 173
Related reports 175
20. The telecom infrastructure market has not moved
much in the past decade in terms of the value of
operators’ investments. Customer pricing also
keeps decreasing, and building new infrastructure
keeps showing smaller and smaller returns
on investments for telecom operators. In this
context, an attempt to create new markets and
enlarge operators’ reach to customers beyond
mobile phones created 5G. By modifying the
network to allow for ultra-fast, ultra-reliable
and ultra-flexible communications, 5G’s aim is to
expand to new opportunities, such as enterprise-
owned networks, industrial automation or road
safety. Nevertheless this is a bet on the future,
and actual infrastructure market growth is not
expected in the foreseeable future at site level.
Yole Développement (Yole) expects the global
market to remain steady and oscillate between 1.7
and 2 million macro site antenna systems shipped a
year between 2018 and 2025. On the other hand, a
new type of smaller infrastructure should still see
notable growth. That infrastructure is referred to
as ‘small cells’, and should reach shipment levels
in the eight hundred thousands of units by 2025.
5G’S IMPACT ON TELECOM INFRASTRUCTURE 2019
Market & Technology Report - June 2019
5G –ANATTEMPTTO ENLARGEA STEADY,CONSOLIDATED MARKET
Network evolution and 5G implementation are driving massive structural changes.
REPORT KEY FEATURES
• Infrastructure market split
by antenna system technology,
by region
• Volumes of infrastructure RF line
products, characterized by power
level and frequency
• Key infrastructure players
positioning
• Regional market trends for 5G
implementation
• Technological comprehensive
description of 4G/5G networks
• Explanation of 5G market trends
and market interests
(Yole Développement, June 2019)
5G commercial uses cases – 2020 vs. 2025
A CONSOLIDATED MARKET,RECENTLY DESTABILIZED
In the infrastructure market, consolidation has
already occurred and it is dominated by only a
few players, namely Huawei, Ericsson, Nokia, ZTE
and Samsung. But even though no new entrant
is expected, some major changes are happening.
They are due to recent geopolitical events, such as
Huawei’s ban in the US, and the low interest in 5G
in developing countries. The players will remain
the same, but their market share will evolve.
Yole’s analysts expect Samsung to sharply increase
its global presence thanks to both its expertise in
small cell developments and the ban on Chinese
technology in developed countries. Indeed, one of
the outcomes is that operators will need Samsung
to increase its presence, as dealing with only
two infrastructure suppliers, namely Nokia and
Ericsson, represents a sourcing risk.
The global landscape at network level will not
move much before 2025. But it will definitely
change in terms of technology and antenna
systems, thus completely restructuring the radio
frequency (RF) component industry. On one hand
frequencies are going from less than 3 GHz to
up to 6 GHz for macro deployments, while small
cells exploit millimetre-wavelengths (mm-waves).
Meanwhile RF line power levels in front-ends
will decrease from a few hundred watts to down
to a few watts in macro site antenna systems,
thanks to massive MIMO and active antenna
Markets
Enterprise
(NaaS)
Consumer
(eMMB)
V2X
(URLLC)
Industry
(mMTC)
mmWave small
cells
Sub6 small
cells
Sub6 macro-
sites
Sub6 roadside
macro-sites
Sub6 roadside
small cells
Interest in
US Korea
Interest in
Japan
Interest in
developed
countries
Interest in US,
Japan, Korea
China
Worldwide
interest
No will for investment No commercial
use case
Low will for
investment
Expected use case
Will for
investment
Expected use case
In-fab Sub6
small cells
Sub6 macro-
sites
Global
interest
2020
2025
No interest
Interest via
NB IoT /
Cat M
Global
interest
In building mmwave
small cells
Pico/Femto cells
No interest
Common in USA,
Japan, Korea
Interest in USA
Common in USA,
Japan, Korea
21. Infrastructure power amplifiers technology landscape in 2019
Telecom infrastructure landscape evolution 2018-2025
(Yole Développement, June 2019)
5G’S IMPACT ON TELECOM INFRASTRUCTURE 2019
RF FRONT END CHARACTERISTICSARE DRIVEN BYANTENNA SYSTEM
TECHNOLOGY EVOLUTION
The most common antenna system today is the
combination of a remote radio head (RRH) with a
passive antenna array for signal transmission. This
combination uses high power components, with
a few RF lines per system handling up to a few
hundred watts of RF power each. These devices are
expected to remain the main approach for coverage
deployments in developing countries and China, or
in rural areas. On the other hand, in zones where
network improvement is sought instead of higher
coverage, the trend is for new generations of antenna
systems that include beamforming and multiple
streams. These new antenna technologies are active
antennas, meaning that each and every single antenna
element will have a dedicated low power RF front-
end feeding it. This is a drastic change of approach
as it means that instead of a few RF feeds of about
a hundred watts, the system will see up to 64 feeds
of a few watts each. This changes the component
types, their substrates, their form factors, their
key characteristics, and so on. Small cells and mm
waves will also bring innovations, with the need for
components working on frequency bands in the tens
of GHz, and at power levels down to a hundred mWs.
This is creating a completely new market, and new
opportunities for new entrants.
(Yole Développement, June 2019)
systems implementation. With these new higher
frequencies, the GaN players like Sumitomo Electric
Device Innovations, Cree, Qorvo and RFHIC should
see growing interest in their products. Also, very
low power levels are required for future small cell
developments, in the hundreds of mW per RF line
in small cells. Giants from the mobile RF front end
industry like Broadcom and Skyworks are expected
to come and compete with infrastructure players in
the longer term.
AREA
Developed countries
benefit from Chinese
ban
China offers advantage to
Huawei for macro site 5G
India and RoW go for low
cost high band LTE
Chinese ban subsists in
most developed countries
Chinese companies benefit
from their lower cost for
India and RoW LTE coverage
China invest to stimulate
Chinese innovation
Samsung is
sought as third
source in
developed
countries
Samsung has
leadership in
small cells
worldwide
Market penetration
evolution
Reduction Increase
++-= = =2018-2025 global
market share evolution
1000
Output
Power(W)
100
10
1
0.1
0 Frequency(GHz)1 2 4 8 20
Legend
5G Sub6 RRHLTE RRHLTE RRH
Macro-sites
Active antennas
32 elements
Active antennas
32 elements
Active antennas
32 elements
LTE small cells
5G Sub6 small cells mmWave small cells
Backhaul
LDMOS GaAs GaN
Macro-sites
Macro-sites
22. MARKET TECHNOLOGY REPORT
COMPANIES CITED IN THE REPORT (non exhaustive list)
Sprint, Verizon, Huawei, Ericsson, Nokia, ZTE, Samsung, NTT DOCOMO, GSMA, NEC, Fujitsu,
Qorvo, Skyworks, Sumitomo Electric, Infineon, NXP, RFHIC, MACOM, CREE, Wolfspeed,
AMPLEON, Broadcom, ATT, Spire, KT Telecom, LG U+, SK, Telecom, Analog, Devices,
Qualcomm, Commscope, IDT, Keysight Technologies, Linköping University, Telefonica, SigFox,
Murata, LG, Intel, and more.
Glossaries and definitions 2
Table of contents 4
Scope of the report 5
Methodology6
The authors 7
Company list 8
What did we get right and wrong? 9
Three page summary 10
Executive summary 13
Market forecasts 31
Market trends 43
5G infrastructure general market dynamics
Market shares and supply chain 59
Technology trends 75
Basics of telecom infrastructure
Modulation techniques
Beamforming, MIMO and massive MIMO
Radio Access Networks (RAN)
Network slicing
5G spectrum
Power amplifier substrates
Outlooks173
Related reports 175
TABLE OF CONTENTS (complete content on i-Micronews.com)
RELATED REPORTS
AUTHORS
Antoine Bonnabel works as a
Technology Market Analyst for the Power
Wireless team of Yole Développement
(Yole). He carries out technical, marketing
and strategic analyses focused on RF devices,
related technologies and markets. Prior to
Yole, Antoine was RD Program Manager
for DelfMEMS (FR), a company specializing
in RF switches and supervised Intellectual
Property and Business Intelligence activities
of this company. In addition, he also has co-
authored several market reports and is co-
inventor of three patents in RF MEMS design.
Antoine holds a M.Sc. in Microelectronics
from Grenoble Institute of Technologies
(France) and a M.Sc. in Management from
Grenoble Graduate School of Business
(France).
Cedric Malaquin as a Technology
Market Analyst, specialized in RF devices
technologies within the Power
Wireless division at Yole Développement
(Yole), Cédric Malaquin is involved in the
development of technology market
reports as well as the production of custom
consulting projects. Prior his mission at
Yole, Cédric first served Soitec as a process
integration engineer during 9 years, then as
an electrical characterization engineer during
6 years. He deeply contributed to FDSOI
and RFSOI products characterization. He
has also authored or co-authored three
patents and five international publications in
the semiconductor field.
Cédric graduated from Polytech Lille in
France with an engineering degree in
microelectronics and material sciences.
REPORT OBJECTIVES
• Provide an overview of the 4G/5G telecom infrastructure market
• Analyze geographical trends regarding 5G adoption and antenna technology/frequency band
choices
• Outline market evolution from macro antenna systems to individual RF lines, split in frequency
and power level
• Offer a comprehensive approach of the technologies encompassing 5G, from modulation to
signal beamforming
• Explain the difference between antenna systems and their role in 5G component characteristic
definitions
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