Exponential Climate Action Roadmap
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1) The document discusses the exponential growth of wind and solar technologies, with solar cell capacity doubling every 3-4 years. 2) It argues that Moore's Law of exponential growth in computing is an important economic driver that can be applied at all scales to focus on achievable climate solutions. 3) The "Carbon Law" concept of halving emissions every decade through exponential climate action is presented as a simple and achievable guiding principle.
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Exponential Climate Action Roadmap
- 1. Owen Gaffney @owengaffney Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research Stockholm Resilience Centre PROJECT DRAWDOWN10 April 2019
- 2. IEA’s World Energy Outlook solar cell growth predictions
- 3. Wind and solar are doubling every 3-4 years Exponential Climate Action Roadmap, Falk and Gaffney 2018
- 4. Because it is the key ECOMOMIC driver of the sector – Better and cheaper Why is Moore’s Law so important?
- 5. 1. A short-term economic driver 2. Applies at all scales 3. Focuses on what is achievable 4. Simple to communicate 5. Requires a different type of thinking Rockström, Gaffney, Rogelj, Meinshausen, Nakicenovic, Schellnhuber. Science 24 March 2017 The Carbon Law “Halving emissions” – a simple rule of thumb for all, guiding decadal pathways
- 6. Exponential Climate Action Roadmap, Falk and Gaffney 2018 Powered by Project Drawdown Data.
- 7. Over 350 companies signed up for high ambition targets
- 8. Exponential Climate Action Roadmap, Falk and Gaffney 2018
- 9. Long-term structural economic change 2020 Tipping Point? Policies
- 11. 800 million Customers 300 million on ”Ant Forest”
- 13. Where next? • Halving emissions every decade is achievable, desirable and essential • The markets are the most powerful force in the known universe…and they are on our side • Need exponential leadership
- 15. Owen Gaffney @owengaffney Potsdam Institute of Climate Impact Research Stockholm Resilience Centre PROJECT DRAWDOWN10 April 2019 ExponentialRoadmap.FutureEarth.org
Editor's Notes
- Not a law of nature or physics or of the land But a very useful rule of thumb and a business driver that works at all scales.