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False Assurance
Drew Rae
d.rae@Griffith.edu.au
Safety Science Innovation Lab
Are we trying to create safety?
Or just reduce anxiety?
Safety Science Innovation Lab
ASSURED
ANXIOUS
Safety Science Innovation Lab
ASSURED
ANXIOUS
Safety Science Innovation Lab
ASSURED
ANXIOUS
UNSAFE &
ANXIOUS
SAFE &
ASSURED
FALSE
ASSURANCE
FALSE
ALARM
False Assurance
False Assurance
Deepwater Horizon
Safety Science Innovation Lab
Safety Science Innovation Lab
RISK MANAGEMENT FAILURE
Risk assessment creates assurance
Safety Science Innovation Lab
“Risk is
Acceptable”
Original Belief
“Risk is
Unacceptable”
Assessment
Activity
Final belief
“Risk is
Acceptable”
“Risk is
unacceptable”
Safety Science Innovation Lab
Safety Science Innovation Lab
Non-fatal injuries
Fatalities
US Dept of Labor (from Thomas Krause)
Safety Science Innovation Lab
Safety Science Innovation Lab
Safety Science Innovation Lab
WARNING SIGNS
Avoiding False Assurance
Safety Science Innovation Lab
For more information …
d.rae@griffith.edu.au
Safety Science Innovation
Lab
Safety Science Innovation Lab

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False Assurance