This document discusses customer development and the business model canvas. It explains that most startups fail because they focus on the product without talking to customers. The business model canvas is introduced as a tool to plan a business using 9 building blocks: key partners, activities, value propositions, customer relationships, segments, channels, revenue streams, resources, and cost structure. Customer development involves testing hypotheses about the business model with customers through minimum viable products and getting feedback to iterate quickly. Examples of pivots based on customer feedback are provided. The importance of validating problems and solutions with customers prior to seeking funding is emphasized.
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Happy farm canvas and discovery bd
1. An Introduction to Customer Development
and the Business Model Canvas
BOB DORF
allegedly retired serial entrepreneur
bob@kandsranch.com
www.steveblank.com
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2. Our Agenda
• What’s a business model?
• How do I use the business model?
• How do I know if it’s any good?????
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3. Why 95+% of startups die?
• All product, no customers
• No problem
• The “lock step”
• Premature scaling
• No product/market fit
• No more dough
• …some of us will fail. Certainly it’s not YOU!
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4. Why 95% of Startups Fail…
Product Introduction Model:
Two Implicit Assumptions
Customer Problem: known
Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/
Seed Round Dev. Test 1st Ship
Product Features: known
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5. No Business Plan survives first contact
with customers
…get customer feedback as early as possible
…it starts at the “idea” phase, not much later
…and customers help you develop the product
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17. Our Guesses DON’T Matter
• Anybody can build almost anything today
(just a few exceptions: anti-gravity, transporters)
• What we need are CUSTOMERS!!
• Build the customers while building product
• …and let customer feedback and your coach guide
you all the way through the process!
• note: Clones may be different!
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18. How Do You Search For A Business Model?
• The Canvas drives the planning process
• The Search is Customer Development
• Manufacturing iterates based on solid feedback
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21. Customer Development
The Search For the Business Model
Customer Customer Customer Company
Discovery Validation Creation Building
Pivot
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22. Customer Discovery
Customer Customer Customer Company
Discovery Validation Creation Building
• Stop selling, start listening
• Test your hypotheses
• Continuous Discovery
• Done by founders
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23. TWO key Discovery phases
• FIRST: Does anybody care?
…are we solving a serious problem?
…are we filling a “big” need?
• THEN: Does our product do the job?
…do they grab it out of your hands?
…are they eager to tell their friends?
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24. Where it begins:
Minimum Viable Product (MVP)
• Smallest feature set that gets you the most …
orders, learning, feedback, failure…
• MVP + Customer are the first two you need to nail
• MVP is just 1 of the 9 parts of your model
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25. What’s a Minimum Viable Product?
• Google without ads
• Zappos without inventory
• Diapers.com without diapers
…Fewest possible features to make the point!
…Why? It’s hard to truly react to a powerpoint
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26. Discovery: Not just “do you like it?”
• How big is the market? Not today…eventually!
• Who’s the customer?
– What’s their problem/need
• What’s the product/service/need?
– Does it solve the customer’s problem?
• How do you create demand?
• How do you deliver the product?
• How do you make money?
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30. The Pivot
• The heart of Customer Development
• Iteration without crisis
• Fast, agile and opportunistic
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31. Three Great Pivots
• Steve Blank: “Page 6”
• Perimeter: “there are 9000 of us”
• Groupon: the $12billion pivot
• …and hundreds more!
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32. Pivot Cycle Time Matters
Search Execution
Customer Customer Customer Company
Discovery Validation Creation Building
Pivot
• Speed of cycle minimizes cash needs
• Minimum feature set speeds up cycle time
• Near instantaneous customer feedback drives feature set
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33. Web/Mobile Versus Physical
Custome Customer
r Validatio
Discover n
y
Pivot
• Web/Mobile startups run faster
• Different process steps for web vs. physical
• Customer Relationships are radically different
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36. Who Do I Call On?
• Read the Startup Owner’s Manual
• Network like heck
• Cold calls are a badge of honor
• Don’t worry about titles or the right person
• …and DO NOT TALK…listen!
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37. What Do I Say?
• Remember you are 1st testing the problem
• “Hi, I’ve been told you’re the smartest person
in this industry. We’re building x and I want
to see if I understand the problem. I’d like 10
minutes of your time.”
• …give them choices that make them talk
• …resist the strong temptation to sell
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38. I Have a Meeting – Now What?
• The goal is to test all hypotheses, but first:
have you found “product/market fit”
• Does the customer care?
• How do they solve this problem TODAY?
• What channel do they use to buy?
• Where will they go to find you?
• How will you create demand?
• How much will they pay? Do they pay today?
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39. Then what?
• Assemble all the data, organize/rank responses
• Slam it against industry, third party resources
• Get a tighter, more concise view of the market
• …and adjust your Business Model as you go!
Next:
• Test the “solution” in a very similar way
• …and determine if you “pivot or proceed”
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41. Business Model Canvas Score Card
Key Partners Key Activities Value Proposition Customer Relationships Customer Segments
Who are our key partners/ suppliers Which key activities does the biz What value do we deliver to the What type of relationship does each For whom are we creating value
segment require of us
model require customer
Complete regional overview Populate life cycle data for performance key distinctive product features & product positioning/elevator pitch for identify key market segments
guarantees benefits for the target customer each segment (geography/application) and customer
segment Prospect roadmap: how to get face-to- segments (e.g. operator versus owner)
Educate market on metric: $/kWh- total cost of ownership for segment face with right person at prospects in how many customers in each segment
versus alternatives each segment and estimated potential volume for
day delivered over life of asset
key competitors in each segment and
why will segment buy Durathon versus each customer
their market share
Establish strong partnerships with alternatives (i.e. value proposition) key competitors' characteristics & how do customers make money … key
channel partners minimum feature set (i.e. our launch dynamics customer pain/gain points in each
configuration) and ultimate feature set What outbound marketing/ segment
opportunities to claim IP or trademark advertising/ promotion activities are how are buying decisions made in each
/ is there freedom to practice needed segment - id process, hurdles, decision
0 what regulatory/ certification/ support tools required by segment makers
transportation/ customs requirements (white papers, TCO calc., tradeshow) what does an Earlyvangelist look like in
should be met or could be pipeline of leads each segment
Key Resources differentiator 25
who influences purchases in each
Which key resources does the biz segment (trade groups, key resellers,
model require Channels trend watchers)
Integrated power system engineering – Through which channel does each
compatibility for retrofit and optimized segment want to be reached
system solutions
Financing options for Power services which segments can only or best be
operators reached through a channel partner
which channel partners are important to
optimize sales in each segment
what are channel partners' requirements
and cost to become a proactive sales
channel
initial channel partner response to value
proposition & customer segments
12 25 4 50
Cost Structure Revenue Streams
What are our cost drivers How much is each segment willing to pay and how would they like to pay us this amount
Launch reliability What are price /performance characteristics of competing technology
What is the 2013 price target for 1 MM cells
What is the 2015 price target for 10 MM cells
what is optimum sales method for each segment (asset sale, lease, pay for performance, etc.)
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X = number of in depth customer data points / data sources used to validate hypothesis
x
red = low hypothesis confidence
x yellow = medium hypothesis confidence
green = high hypothesis confidence
x 41
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42. When Customer Discovery is Done:
Time to Ask for Money!
HINT: YOUR VC PITCH WAS HIDING IN
THE LAST 12 SLIDES…DISCOVERY
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43. Who has completed serious Customer
Discovery?
…an example from the USA
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44. Examples: Discovery Learning
• Too much process
• Benefits too “soft”
• The Philadelphia Architect
• A day in the freezer
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45. Pivot Example
Robotic Weeding
Talked to 75 Customers in 8 Weeks
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47. 20 interviews, 6 site visits…
We got OUR Boots dirty
Mowing
Interviewed:
• Golf: Stanford Golf course
• Parks: Stanford Grounds Supervisor, head of maintenance
and lead operator (has crew of 6)
• Toro dealer (large mower manufacturer)
• User of back-yard mowing system
• Maintenance Services for City of Los Altos
• Colony Landscaping (Mowing service for stadiums)
Weeding
Visited two farms in Salinas Valley to better understand problem
Interviewed:
• Bolthouse Farms, Large Agri-Industry in Bakersfield
• White Farms, Large Peanut farmer in Georgia
• REFCO Farms, large grower in Salinas Valley
• Rincon Farms, large grower in Salinas Valley
• Small Organic Corn/Soy grower in Nebraska
• Heirloom Organics, small owner/operator, Santa Cruz Mts
• Two small organic farmers at farmers market 47
• Ag Services of Salinas, Fertilizer applicator
48. Business Plan
Autonomous Vehicles for Mowing & Weeding
- Innovation Dealers sell, Mowing
- Dealers - Customer We reduce installs and - Owners of
(Mowing and Education operating cost supports public or
Ag) - Dealer training - Labor customer commercially
- Vehicle OEMs reduction used green
(John Deere, - Better Co. trains dealers, spaces (e.g. golf
Toro, Jacobsen, utilization of supports dealers courses)
etc) assets (eg mow - Landscaping
Engineers on or weed at - Mowing
service provider
- Research labs Autonomous nights) Dealers
vehicles, GPS, - Improved - Ag Dealers Weeding
path-planning performance - Farmers with
(less manual weeding
rework, food operations
safety)
Dealer discount Asset sale
COGS seek a 50-60% Gross Margin Our revenue stream derives from selling the
Heavy R&D investment equipment
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49. Found weeding in organic crops is HUGE problem;
50 - 75% of costs
Crews of 100s-1000
Back-breaking task
(Illegal) labor harder to get
1-5 weedings per year/field
$250-3,500 per acre and
increasing
Food contamination risk
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50. Decision to make – mowing vs. weeding
Application If ROI is < 1 Labor costs Autonomous TAM
yr they will significant? would solve
buy problem?
Mowing of Yes. Yes Yes Adjusted up to
Professionally xxx
large fields run
organizations
Weeding in Agri Industry: YES! for TAM increased
YES! organic crops Not necessarily to $2.6 B (Total
Agriculture organic)
Large They are Key need is
Growers: Yes spending weed vs. crop Target Market
$500/ac! differentiation (organic
Small specialty)
Growers: No 162 M/yr
18%/yr growth
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51. Autonomous vehicles WEEDING
- Innovation Dealers sell, installs - Low density
- Ag Dealers - Customer We reduce and supports vegetable growers
- Ag Service Education operating cost customer - High density
providers - Dealer training - Labor reduction vegetable growers
(100 to 1) Co. trains dealers, - Thinning
- Research labs - Reduced risk of supports dealers operations
contamination - Conventional
- Mitigate labor vegetables
availability
Engineers on concerns - Ag Dealers
Machine Vision - Ag Service
Two problems: providers
- Identification
- Elimination
Dealer discount Asset sale
COGS seek a 50-60% Gross Margin Our revenue stream derives from selling the
Heavy R&D investment equipment
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52. World Ag Expo interviews:
the need is real and wide spread
• 10+ interviews at show
– Everyone confirmed the need
– Robocrop, UK based, crude
competitor sells for $171 K
• Revenue Stream
– Mid to small growers prefer a service
– Large growers prefer to buy, but OK
with service until technology is proven
– Charging for labor cost saved is OK, as
we provide other benefits (food
safety, labor availability)
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Confidential
53. Autonomous weeding - Final
- Innovation Direct - Low density
- Ag Service - Customer We reduce - Provide high vegetable
providers Education operating cost quality service at growers
- Dealer training - Labor competitive price - High density
- Research reduction (100 to vegetable
Institutes (eg 1) growers
UC Davis, Laser - Reduced risk of - Thinning
Zentrum contamination operations
Hannover) Engineers on - Mitigate labor Direct
- Conventional
Machine availability - Alliance with
vegetables
- 3-4 key farms Vision concerns service
Two problems: providers
- Identification - Eventually sell
- Elimination through dealers
Costs for service provision Service provision
COGS seek a 50-60% Gross Margin - Charge by the acre with modifier according to
Heavy R&D investment weed density
- Eventually move to asset sale 53
54. Customer Validation
Search
Customer Customer Customer Company
Discovery Validation Creation Building
Pivot Execution
• Repeatable and scalable business model?
• Passionate earlyvangelists?
• Pivot back to Discovery if no customers
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