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An Introduction to Customer Development
     and the Business Model Canvas




                BOB DORF
       allegedly retired serial entrepreneur
                bob@kandsranch.com

                www.steveblank.com

                                               1
Our Agenda

• What’s a business model?
• How do I use the business model?
• How do I know if it’s any good?????




                                        2
Why 95+% of startups die?

•   All product, no customers
•   No problem
•   The “lock step”
•   Premature scaling
•   No product/market fit
•   No more dough
•   …some of us will fail. Certainly it’s not YOU!


                                                     3
Why 95% of Startups Fail…
       Product Introduction Model:
             Two Implicit Assumptions


  Customer Problem: known

 Concept/        Product      Alpha/Beta     Launch/
Seed Round        Dev.           Test        1st Ship



                     Product Features:   known


                                                        4
No Business Plan survives first contact
with customers

…get customer feedback as early as possible
…it starts at the “idea” phase, not much later
…and customers help you develop the product




                                                 5
So Search for a Business Model




                                 6
The Business Model:
Any company can be described in
       9 building blocks




                                  7
key activities   value             customer
                         proposition       relationships




     key                                               customer
partners                                               segments




     cost                                              revenue
structure         key                                  streams
            resources                  channels
                                                             8
                                                             8
                                                       images by JAM
CUSTOMER SEGMENTS




 which customers and users are you serving?
 which jobs do they really want to get done?
                                               9
VALUE PROPOSITIONS




 what are you offering them? what is that
  getting done for them? do they care?
                                            10
CHANNELS




how does each customer segment want to be reached?
          through which interaction points?
                                                     11
CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIPS




what relationships are you establishing with each segment?
       personal? automated? acquisitive? retentive?
                                                        12
REVENUE STREAMS




   what are customers really willing to pay for? how?
are you generating transactional or recurring revenues?
                                                          13
key activities   value             customer
                         proposition       relationships




     key                                               customer
partners                                               segments




     cost                                              revenue
structure         key                                  streams
            resources                  channels
                                                            14
                                                            14
                                                       images by JAM
But,
Realize They’re Hypotheses




                             15
9 Guesses



Guess    Guess               Guess
                                     Guess
                   Guess

         Guess               Guess



        Guess                   Guess
                                        16
Our Guesses DON’T Matter

• Anybody can build almost anything today
  (just a few exceptions: anti-gravity, transporters)
• What we need are CUSTOMERS!!
• Build the customers while building product
• …and let customer feedback and your coach guide
  you all the way through the process!
• note: Clones may be different!



                                                        17
How Do You Search For A Business Model?




•   The Canvas drives the planning process
•   The Search is Customer Development
•   Manufacturing iterates based on solid feedback
                                                     18
Customer
Development




              19
Customer Development
The founders
     Get Out of the Building



                               20
Customer Development
   The Search For the Business Model



Customer            Customer     Customer   Company
Discovery           Validation   Creation   Building



            Pivot




                                                       21
Customer Discovery


    Customer     Customer           Customer   Company
    Discovery    Validation         Creation   Building




•   Stop selling, start listening
•   Test your hypotheses
•   Continuous Discovery
•   Done by founders
                                                          22
TWO key Discovery phases


• FIRST: Does anybody care?
   …are we solving a serious problem?
   …are we filling a “big” need?
• THEN: Does our product do the job?
   …do they grab it out of your hands?
   …are they eager to tell their friends?


                                            23
Where it begins:
 Minimum Viable Product (MVP)




• Smallest feature set that gets you the most …
       orders, learning, feedback, failure…

• MVP + Customer are the first two you need to nail
• MVP is just 1 of the 9 parts of your model
                                                      24
What’s a Minimum Viable Product?

• Google without ads
• Zappos without inventory
• Diapers.com without diapers

…Fewest possible features to make the point!
…Why? It’s hard to truly react to a powerpoint


                                                 25
Discovery: Not just “do you like it?”

• How big is the market? Not today…eventually!
• Who’s the customer?
  – What’s their problem/need
• What’s the product/service/need?
  – Does it solve the customer’s problem?
• How do you create demand?
• How do you deliver the product?
• How do you make money?

                                                 26
Hypotheses Testing and Insight




                                 27
Turning Hypotheses to Facts


        Test
        Hypotheses:
        • Product
        • Market Type
        • Competition




                              28
Test
Hypotheses:
• Problem
• Customer
• User
• Payer




       29
The Pivot




• The heart   of Customer Development
• Iteration without crisis
• Fast, agile and opportunistic
                                        30
Three Great Pivots

•   Steve Blank: “Page 6”
•   Perimeter: “there are 9000 of us”
•   Groupon: the $12billion pivot
•   …and hundreds more!




                                        31
Pivot Cycle Time Matters

              Search                               Execution

      Customer         Customer              Customer       Company
      Discovery        Validation            Creation       Building

               Pivot



• Speed of cycle minimizes cash needs
• Minimum feature set speeds up cycle time
• Near instantaneous customer feedback drives feature set
                                                                       32
Web/Mobile Versus Physical


                       Custome            Customer
                           r              Validatio
                       Discover               n
                           y
                                  Pivot



• Web/Mobile startups run faster
• Different process steps for web vs. physical
• Customer Relationships are radically different

                                                      33
Putting Discovery to Work




                            34
Customer Discovery




                     35
Who Do I Call On?

•   Read the Startup Owner’s Manual
•   Network like heck
•   Cold calls are a badge of honor
•   Don’t worry about titles or the right person
•   …and DO NOT TALK…listen!




                                                   36
What Do I Say?


• Remember you are 1st testing the problem
• “Hi, I’ve been told you’re the smartest person
  in this industry. We’re building x and I want
  to see if I understand the problem. I’d like 10
  minutes of your time.”
• …give them choices that make them talk
• …resist the strong temptation to sell

                                                37
I Have a Meeting – Now What?


• The goal is to test all hypotheses, but first:
  have you found “product/market fit”
• Does the customer care?
• How do they solve this problem TODAY?
• What channel do they use to buy?
• Where will they go to find you?
• How will you create demand?
• How much will they pay? Do they pay today?
                                               38
Then what?

•   Assemble all the data, organize/rank responses
•   Slam it against industry, third party resources
•   Get a tighter, more concise view of the market
•   …and adjust your Business Model as you go!

Next:
• Test the “solution” in a very similar way
• …and determine if you “pivot or proceed”

                                                      39
But wait…there’s MORE!
Yeah who says…

    When Discovery is DONE



                             40
Business Model Canvas Score Card
Key Partners                          Key Activities                               Value Proposition                              Customer Relationships                           Customer Segments
Who are our key partners/ suppliers   Which key activities does the biz            What value do we deliver to the                What type of relationship does each              For whom are we creating value
                                                                                                                                  segment require of us
                                      model require                                customer
Complete regional overview             Populate life cycle data for performance    key distinctive product features &             product positioning/elevator pitch for         identify key market segments
                                        guarantees                                   benefits for the target customer                each segment                                    (geography/application) and customer
                                                                                     segment                                        Prospect roadmap: how to get face-to-           segments (e.g. operator versus owner)
                                       Educate market on metric: $/kWh-            total cost of ownership for segment             face with right person at prospects in         how many customers in each segment
                                                                                     versus alternatives                             each segment                                    and estimated potential volume for
                                        day delivered over life of asset
                                                                                                                                    key competitors in each segment and
                                                                                    why will segment buy Durathon versus                                                            each customer
                                                                                                                                     their market share
                                       Establish strong partnerships with           alternatives (i.e. value proposition)          key competitors' characteristics &             how do customers make money … key
                                        channel partners                            minimum feature set (i.e. our launch            dynamics                                        customer pain/gain points in each
                                                                                     configuration) and ultimate feature set        What outbound marketing/                        segment
                                                                                    opportunities to claim IP or trademark          advertising/ promotion activities are          how are buying decisions made in each
                                                                                     / is there freedom to practice                  needed                                          segment - id process, hurdles, decision
                                                                               0    what regulatory/ certification/                support tools required by segment               makers
                                                                                     transportation/ customs requirements            (white papers, TCO calc., tradeshow)           what does an Earlyvangelist look like in
                                                                                     should be met or could be                      pipeline of leads                               each segment
                                      Key Resources                                  differentiator                                                                         25
                                                                                                                                                                                    who influences purchases in each
                                      Which key resources does the biz                                                                                                               segment (trade groups, key resellers,
                                      model require                                                                               Channels                                           trend watchers)
                                       Integrated power system engineering –                                                     Through which channel does each
                                        compatibility for retrofit and optimized                                                  segment want to be reached
                                        system solutions
                                       Financing options for Power services                                                       which segments can only or best be
                                        operators                                                                                   reached through a channel partner
                                                                                                                                   which channel partners are important to
                                                                                                                                    optimize sales in each segment
                                                                                                                                   what are channel partners' requirements
                                                                                                                                    and cost to become a proactive sales
                                                                                                                                    channel
                                                                                                                                   initial channel partner response to value
                                                                                                                                    proposition & customer segments
                                 12                                                                                       25                                                  4                                            50



Cost Structure                                                                                            Revenue Streams
What are our cost drivers                                                                                 How much is each segment willing to pay and how would they like to pay us this amount
 Launch reliability                                                                                         What are price /performance characteristics of competing technology
                                                                                                             What is the 2013 price target for 1 MM cells
                                                                                                             What is the 2015 price target for 10 MM cells
                                                                                                             what is optimum sales method for each segment (asset sale, lease, pay for performance, etc.)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           3




                                                                         X = number of in depth customer data points / data sources used to validate hypothesis
                                                                 x

                                                                         red = low hypothesis confidence
                                                                 x       yellow = medium hypothesis confidence
                                                                         green = high hypothesis confidence
                                                                 x                                                                                                                                                      41
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                41
When Customer Discovery is Done:
    Time to Ask for Money!
  HINT: YOUR VC PITCH WAS HIDING IN
    THE LAST 12 SLIDES…DISCOVERY



                                      42
Who has completed serious Customer
           Discovery?
    …an example from the USA




                                 43
Examples: Discovery Learning

•   Too much process
•   Benefits too “soft”
•   The Philadelphia Architect
•   A day in the freezer




                                      44
Pivot Example
     Robotic Weeding
Talked to 75 Customers in 8 Weeks




                                    45
Our initial plan




                   46
    Confidential
20 interviews, 6 site visits…
                     We got OUR Boots dirty
Mowing
Interviewed:
• Golf: Stanford Golf course
• Parks: Stanford Grounds Supervisor, head of maintenance
   and lead operator (has crew of 6)
• Toro dealer (large mower manufacturer)
• User of back-yard mowing system
• Maintenance Services for City of Los Altos
• Colony Landscaping (Mowing service for stadiums)


Weeding
Visited two farms in Salinas Valley to better understand problem

Interviewed:
• Bolthouse Farms, Large Agri-Industry in Bakersfield
• White Farms, Large Peanut farmer in Georgia
• REFCO Farms, large grower in Salinas Valley
• Rincon Farms, large grower in Salinas Valley
• Small Organic Corn/Soy grower in Nebraska
• Heirloom Organics, small owner/operator, Santa Cruz Mts
• Two small organic farmers at farmers market                      47
• Ag Services of Salinas, Fertilizer applicator
Business Plan
   Autonomous Vehicles for Mowing & Weeding

                  - Innovation                         Dealers sell,         Mowing
- Dealers         - Customer          We reduce        installs and          - Owners of
(Mowing and       Education           operating cost   supports              public or
Ag)               - Dealer training   - Labor          customer              commercially
- Vehicle OEMs                        reduction                              used green
(John Deere,                          - Better         Co. trains dealers,   spaces (e.g. golf
Toro, Jacobsen,                       utilization of   supports dealers      courses)
etc)                                  assets (eg mow                         - Landscaping
                  Engineers on        or weed at       - Mowing
                                                                             service provider
- Research labs   Autonomous          nights)          Dealers
                  vehicles, GPS,      - Improved       - Ag Dealers          Weeding
                  path-planning       performance                            - Farmers with
                                      (less                                  manual weeding
                                      rework, food                           operations
                                      safety)

Dealer discount                              Asset sale
COGS seek a 50-60% Gross Margin              Our revenue stream derives from selling the
Heavy R&D investment                         equipment
                                                                                        48
Found weeding in organic crops is HUGE problem;
               50 - 75% of costs
                               Crews of 100s-1000

                               Back-breaking task

                               (Illegal) labor harder to get

                               1-5 weedings per year/field

                               $250-3,500 per acre and
                               increasing

                               Food contamination risk




                                                               49
Decision to make – mowing vs. weeding

Application    If ROI is < 1    Labor costs     Autonomous             TAM
               yr they will     significant?    would solve
                   buy                           problem?

Mowing of           Yes.            Yes              Yes          Adjusted up to
               Professionally                                          xxx
large fields        run
               organizations
Weeding in     Agri Industry:     YES! for                        TAM increased
                    YES!        organic crops   Not necessarily   to $2.6 B (Total
Agriculture                                                           organic)
                  Large          They are        Key need is
               Growers: Yes      spending       weed vs. crop     Target Market
                                 $500/ac!       differentiation      (organic
                  Small                                             specialty)
               Growers: No                                          162 M/yr
                                                                  18%/yr growth




                                                                                     50
Autonomous vehicles WEEDING

                    - Innovation                             Dealers sell, installs   - Low density
- Ag Dealers        - Customer          We reduce            and supports             vegetable growers
- Ag Service        Education           operating cost       customer                 - High density
providers           - Dealer training   - Labor reduction                             vegetable growers
                                        (100 to 1)           Co. trains dealers,      - Thinning
- Research labs                         - Reduced risk of    supports dealers         operations
                                        contamination                                 - Conventional
                                        - Mitigate labor                              vegetables
                                        availability
                    Engineers on        concerns              - Ag Dealers
                    Machine Vision                            - Ag Service
                    Two problems:                             providers
                    - Identification
                    - Elimination




Dealer discount                                   Asset sale
COGS seek a 50-60% Gross Margin                   Our revenue stream derives from selling the
Heavy R&D investment                              equipment
                                                                                                 51
World Ag Expo interviews:
the need is real and wide spread
                      •    10+ interviews at show
                            – Everyone confirmed the need
                            – Robocrop, UK based, crude
                              competitor sells for $171 K


                      •    Revenue Stream
                            – Mid to small growers prefer a service
                            – Large growers prefer to buy, but OK
                              with service until technology is proven
                            – Charging for labor cost saved is OK, as
                              we provide other benefits (food
                              safety, labor availability)




                                                              52
            Confidential
Autonomous weeding - Final

                  - Innovation                            Direct               - Low density
- Ag Service      - Customer          We reduce           - Provide high       vegetable
providers         Education           operating cost      quality service at   growers
                  - Dealer training   - Labor             competitive price    - High density
- Research                            reduction (100 to                        vegetable
Institutes (eg                        1)                                       growers
UC Davis, Laser                       - Reduced risk of                        - Thinning
Zentrum                               contamination                            operations
Hannover)         Engineers on        - Mitigate labor    Direct
                                                                               - Conventional
                  Machine             availability        - Alliance with
                                                                               vegetables
- 3-4 key farms   Vision              concerns            service
                  Two problems:                           providers
                  - Identification                        - Eventually sell
                  - Elimination                           through dealers


Costs for service provision                    Service provision
COGS seek a 50-60% Gross Margin                - Charge by the acre with modifier according to
Heavy R&D investment                           weed density
                                               - Eventually move to asset sale           53
Customer Validation

          Search


     Customer            Customer     Customer    Company
     Discovery           Validation   Creation    Building


                 Pivot                       Execution

• Repeatable and scalable business model?
• Passionate earlyvangelists?
• Pivot back to Discovery if no customers
                                                             54
Customer
Validation




             55
Questions?




             56

More Related Content

Happy farm canvas and discovery bd

  • 1. An Introduction to Customer Development and the Business Model Canvas BOB DORF allegedly retired serial entrepreneur bob@kandsranch.com www.steveblank.com 1
  • 2. Our Agenda • What’s a business model? • How do I use the business model? • How do I know if it’s any good????? 2
  • 3. Why 95+% of startups die? • All product, no customers • No problem • The “lock step” • Premature scaling • No product/market fit • No more dough • …some of us will fail. Certainly it’s not YOU! 3
  • 4. Why 95% of Startups Fail… Product Introduction Model: Two Implicit Assumptions Customer Problem: known Concept/ Product Alpha/Beta Launch/ Seed Round Dev. Test 1st Ship Product Features: known 4
  • 5. No Business Plan survives first contact with customers …get customer feedback as early as possible …it starts at the “idea” phase, not much later …and customers help you develop the product 5
  • 6. So Search for a Business Model 6
  • 7. The Business Model: Any company can be described in 9 building blocks 7
  • 8. key activities value customer proposition relationships key customer partners segments cost revenue structure key streams resources channels 8 8 images by JAM
  • 9. CUSTOMER SEGMENTS which customers and users are you serving? which jobs do they really want to get done? 9
  • 10. VALUE PROPOSITIONS what are you offering them? what is that getting done for them? do they care? 10
  • 11. CHANNELS how does each customer segment want to be reached? through which interaction points? 11
  • 12. CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIPS what relationships are you establishing with each segment? personal? automated? acquisitive? retentive? 12
  • 13. REVENUE STREAMS what are customers really willing to pay for? how? are you generating transactional or recurring revenues? 13
  • 14. key activities value customer proposition relationships key customer partners segments cost revenue structure key streams resources channels 14 14 images by JAM
  • 16. 9 Guesses Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess Guess 16
  • 17. Our Guesses DON’T Matter • Anybody can build almost anything today (just a few exceptions: anti-gravity, transporters) • What we need are CUSTOMERS!! • Build the customers while building product • …and let customer feedback and your coach guide you all the way through the process! • note: Clones may be different! 17
  • 18. How Do You Search For A Business Model? • The Canvas drives the planning process • The Search is Customer Development • Manufacturing iterates based on solid feedback 18
  • 20. Customer Development The founders Get Out of the Building 20
  • 21. Customer Development The Search For the Business Model Customer Customer Customer Company Discovery Validation Creation Building Pivot 21
  • 22. Customer Discovery Customer Customer Customer Company Discovery Validation Creation Building • Stop selling, start listening • Test your hypotheses • Continuous Discovery • Done by founders 22
  • 23. TWO key Discovery phases • FIRST: Does anybody care? …are we solving a serious problem? …are we filling a “big” need? • THEN: Does our product do the job? …do they grab it out of your hands? …are they eager to tell their friends? 23
  • 24. Where it begins: Minimum Viable Product (MVP) • Smallest feature set that gets you the most … orders, learning, feedback, failure… • MVP + Customer are the first two you need to nail • MVP is just 1 of the 9 parts of your model 24
  • 25. What’s a Minimum Viable Product? • Google without ads • Zappos without inventory • Diapers.com without diapers …Fewest possible features to make the point! …Why? It’s hard to truly react to a powerpoint 25
  • 26. Discovery: Not just “do you like it?” • How big is the market? Not today…eventually! • Who’s the customer? – What’s their problem/need • What’s the product/service/need? – Does it solve the customer’s problem? • How do you create demand? • How do you deliver the product? • How do you make money? 26
  • 28. Turning Hypotheses to Facts Test Hypotheses: • Product • Market Type • Competition 28
  • 30. The Pivot • The heart of Customer Development • Iteration without crisis • Fast, agile and opportunistic 30
  • 31. Three Great Pivots • Steve Blank: “Page 6” • Perimeter: “there are 9000 of us” • Groupon: the $12billion pivot • …and hundreds more! 31
  • 32. Pivot Cycle Time Matters Search Execution Customer Customer Customer Company Discovery Validation Creation Building Pivot • Speed of cycle minimizes cash needs • Minimum feature set speeds up cycle time • Near instantaneous customer feedback drives feature set 32
  • 33. Web/Mobile Versus Physical Custome Customer r Validatio Discover n y Pivot • Web/Mobile startups run faster • Different process steps for web vs. physical • Customer Relationships are radically different 33
  • 36. Who Do I Call On? • Read the Startup Owner’s Manual • Network like heck • Cold calls are a badge of honor • Don’t worry about titles or the right person • …and DO NOT TALK…listen! 36
  • 37. What Do I Say? • Remember you are 1st testing the problem • “Hi, I’ve been told you’re the smartest person in this industry. We’re building x and I want to see if I understand the problem. I’d like 10 minutes of your time.” • …give them choices that make them talk • …resist the strong temptation to sell 37
  • 38. I Have a Meeting – Now What? • The goal is to test all hypotheses, but first: have you found “product/market fit” • Does the customer care? • How do they solve this problem TODAY? • What channel do they use to buy? • Where will they go to find you? • How will you create demand? • How much will they pay? Do they pay today? 38
  • 39. Then what? • Assemble all the data, organize/rank responses • Slam it against industry, third party resources • Get a tighter, more concise view of the market • …and adjust your Business Model as you go! Next: • Test the “solution” in a very similar way • …and determine if you “pivot or proceed” 39
  • 40. But wait…there’s MORE! Yeah who says… When Discovery is DONE 40
  • 41. Business Model Canvas Score Card Key Partners Key Activities Value Proposition Customer Relationships Customer Segments Who are our key partners/ suppliers Which key activities does the biz What value do we deliver to the What type of relationship does each For whom are we creating value segment require of us model require customer Complete regional overview  Populate life cycle data for performance  key distinctive product features &  product positioning/elevator pitch for  identify key market segments guarantees benefits for the target customer each segment (geography/application) and customer segment  Prospect roadmap: how to get face-to- segments (e.g. operator versus owner)  Educate market on metric: $/kWh-  total cost of ownership for segment face with right person at prospects in  how many customers in each segment versus alternatives each segment and estimated potential volume for day delivered over life of asset  key competitors in each segment and  why will segment buy Durathon versus each customer their market share  Establish strong partnerships with alternatives (i.e. value proposition)  key competitors' characteristics &  how do customers make money … key channel partners  minimum feature set (i.e. our launch dynamics customer pain/gain points in each configuration) and ultimate feature set  What outbound marketing/ segment  opportunities to claim IP or trademark advertising/ promotion activities are  how are buying decisions made in each / is there freedom to practice needed segment - id process, hurdles, decision 0  what regulatory/ certification/  support tools required by segment makers transportation/ customs requirements (white papers, TCO calc., tradeshow)  what does an Earlyvangelist look like in should be met or could be  pipeline of leads each segment Key Resources differentiator 25  who influences purchases in each Which key resources does the biz segment (trade groups, key resellers, model require Channels trend watchers)  Integrated power system engineering – Through which channel does each compatibility for retrofit and optimized segment want to be reached system solutions  Financing options for Power services  which segments can only or best be operators reached through a channel partner  which channel partners are important to optimize sales in each segment  what are channel partners' requirements and cost to become a proactive sales channel  initial channel partner response to value proposition & customer segments 12 25 4 50 Cost Structure Revenue Streams What are our cost drivers How much is each segment willing to pay and how would they like to pay us this amount  Launch reliability  What are price /performance characteristics of competing technology  What is the 2013 price target for 1 MM cells  What is the 2015 price target for 10 MM cells  what is optimum sales method for each segment (asset sale, lease, pay for performance, etc.) 3 X = number of in depth customer data points / data sources used to validate hypothesis x red = low hypothesis confidence x yellow = medium hypothesis confidence green = high hypothesis confidence x 41 41
  • 42. When Customer Discovery is Done: Time to Ask for Money! HINT: YOUR VC PITCH WAS HIDING IN THE LAST 12 SLIDES…DISCOVERY 42
  • 43. Who has completed serious Customer Discovery? …an example from the USA 43
  • 44. Examples: Discovery Learning • Too much process • Benefits too “soft” • The Philadelphia Architect • A day in the freezer 44
  • 45. Pivot Example Robotic Weeding Talked to 75 Customers in 8 Weeks 45
  • 46. Our initial plan 46 Confidential
  • 47. 20 interviews, 6 site visits… We got OUR Boots dirty Mowing Interviewed: • Golf: Stanford Golf course • Parks: Stanford Grounds Supervisor, head of maintenance and lead operator (has crew of 6) • Toro dealer (large mower manufacturer) • User of back-yard mowing system • Maintenance Services for City of Los Altos • Colony Landscaping (Mowing service for stadiums) Weeding Visited two farms in Salinas Valley to better understand problem Interviewed: • Bolthouse Farms, Large Agri-Industry in Bakersfield • White Farms, Large Peanut farmer in Georgia • REFCO Farms, large grower in Salinas Valley • Rincon Farms, large grower in Salinas Valley • Small Organic Corn/Soy grower in Nebraska • Heirloom Organics, small owner/operator, Santa Cruz Mts • Two small organic farmers at farmers market 47 • Ag Services of Salinas, Fertilizer applicator
  • 48. Business Plan Autonomous Vehicles for Mowing & Weeding - Innovation Dealers sell, Mowing - Dealers - Customer We reduce installs and - Owners of (Mowing and Education operating cost supports public or Ag) - Dealer training - Labor customer commercially - Vehicle OEMs reduction used green (John Deere, - Better Co. trains dealers, spaces (e.g. golf Toro, Jacobsen, utilization of supports dealers courses) etc) assets (eg mow - Landscaping Engineers on or weed at - Mowing service provider - Research labs Autonomous nights) Dealers vehicles, GPS, - Improved - Ag Dealers Weeding path-planning performance - Farmers with (less manual weeding rework, food operations safety) Dealer discount Asset sale COGS seek a 50-60% Gross Margin Our revenue stream derives from selling the Heavy R&D investment equipment 48
  • 49. Found weeding in organic crops is HUGE problem; 50 - 75% of costs Crews of 100s-1000 Back-breaking task (Illegal) labor harder to get 1-5 weedings per year/field $250-3,500 per acre and increasing Food contamination risk 49
  • 50. Decision to make – mowing vs. weeding Application If ROI is < 1 Labor costs Autonomous TAM yr they will significant? would solve buy problem? Mowing of Yes. Yes Yes Adjusted up to Professionally xxx large fields run organizations Weeding in Agri Industry: YES! for TAM increased YES! organic crops Not necessarily to $2.6 B (Total Agriculture organic) Large They are Key need is Growers: Yes spending weed vs. crop Target Market $500/ac! differentiation (organic Small specialty) Growers: No 162 M/yr 18%/yr growth 50
  • 51. Autonomous vehicles WEEDING - Innovation Dealers sell, installs - Low density - Ag Dealers - Customer We reduce and supports vegetable growers - Ag Service Education operating cost customer - High density providers - Dealer training - Labor reduction vegetable growers (100 to 1) Co. trains dealers, - Thinning - Research labs - Reduced risk of supports dealers operations contamination - Conventional - Mitigate labor vegetables availability Engineers on concerns - Ag Dealers Machine Vision - Ag Service Two problems: providers - Identification - Elimination Dealer discount Asset sale COGS seek a 50-60% Gross Margin Our revenue stream derives from selling the Heavy R&D investment equipment 51
  • 52. World Ag Expo interviews: the need is real and wide spread • 10+ interviews at show – Everyone confirmed the need – Robocrop, UK based, crude competitor sells for $171 K • Revenue Stream – Mid to small growers prefer a service – Large growers prefer to buy, but OK with service until technology is proven – Charging for labor cost saved is OK, as we provide other benefits (food safety, labor availability) 52 Confidential
  • 53. Autonomous weeding - Final - Innovation Direct - Low density - Ag Service - Customer We reduce - Provide high vegetable providers Education operating cost quality service at growers - Dealer training - Labor competitive price - High density - Research reduction (100 to vegetable Institutes (eg 1) growers UC Davis, Laser - Reduced risk of - Thinning Zentrum contamination operations Hannover) Engineers on - Mitigate labor Direct - Conventional Machine availability - Alliance with vegetables - 3-4 key farms Vision concerns service Two problems: providers - Identification - Eventually sell - Elimination through dealers Costs for service provision Service provision COGS seek a 50-60% Gross Margin - Charge by the acre with modifier according to Heavy R&D investment weed density - Eventually move to asset sale 53
  • 54. Customer Validation Search Customer Customer Customer Company Discovery Validation Creation Building Pivot Execution • Repeatable and scalable business model? • Passionate earlyvangelists? • Pivot back to Discovery if no customers 54