Honeywell Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation
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This document summarizes Dave Anderson's presentation at the Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference on February 9, 2009. It provides an overview of Honeywell, including its segments, financials, and key initiatives. It then reviews Honeywell's performance in 2008, provides guidance for 2009 in light of economic assumptions, and outlines Honeywell's strategies to drive sales and segment profit.
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Honeywell Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference Presentation
2. Forward Looking Statements
This report contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section
21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All statements, other than
statements of fact, that address activities, events or developments that we or
our management intend, expect, project, believe or anticipate will or may occur
in the future are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are
based on management’s assumptions and assessments in light of past
experience and trends, current economic and industry conditions, expected
future developments and other relevant factors. They are not guarantees of
future performance, and actual results, developments and business decisions
may differ from those envisaged by our forward-looking statements. Our
forward-looking statements are also subject to risks and uncertainties, which
can affect our performance in both the near- and long-term. We identify the
principal risks and uncertainties that affect our performance in our Form 10-K
and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
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3. Honeywell Overview
Segments Geographic Mix
Specialty
ROW
14%
Aerospace 22%
35%
Transportation US
13% 48%
Europe
30%
ACS
38%
Financials Key Initiatives
Sales ($B) Segment Profit ($B) FCF Conversion %
129%
• Velocity Product Development™
119%
110%
• Honeywell Operating System
• Functional Transformation
$36.6
$34.6
$31.4
$4.8
$4.7
• Acquisition and Divestiture Process
$4.1
2006 2007 2008
The New Honeywell
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4. 2008 Highlights
• $40B+ Aerospace Programs
• $0.4B+ Building Efficiency Projects
Multi-Year Contract Wins
• $4B+ Turbo Platforms
• HTF 7500 Engine
Attractive New Products • Wireless Sensing Technology
• UOP Heavy Oil Hydrocracking
• Norcross, Metrologic Acquisitions
Portfolio Management • Consumable Solutions Divestiture
• $1.2B Acquisitions / Divestitures, Net
• $1.4B Share Repurchases
Effective Capital Deployment
• $0.8B Dividends
• $0.4B Actions ($0.7B ‘06-’08)
Proactive Repositioning • Funded Through Operations / Gains
• 70% Sites HOS Initiated
Key Initiative Execution • ERP Progress / FT Savings
• VPDTM Contributions Increasing
Building Long-Term Value
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5. Fourth Quarter 2008 Results
4Q07 4Q08
(M)
• 6% Decline
Sales $9,275 $8,712
(4)% Organic
2% Acq. / Div.
(4)% F/X
Segment Profit $1,274 $1,160 • 9% Decline
ACS + 110 bps
Margin % 13.7% 13.3%
TS (1030) bps
Net Income $689 $707 • 3% Growth
Repo. Offsets Taxes
EPS $0.91 $0.97 • 7% Growth
Lower Sharecount
Free Cash Flow* $1,130 $1,093 • 155% Conversion
Good Performance In Tough Environment
*Excluding cash taxes relating to the sale of the Consumable Solutions business Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference
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6. Full Year 2008 Results
FY07 FY08
(M)
• 6% Growth
Sales $34,589 $36,556
2% Organic
3% Acq. / Div.
1% F/X
Segment Profit $4,654 $4,845 • 4% Growth
Margin Expansion
Margin % 13.5% 13.3%
3 of 4 Segments
Net Income $2,444 $2,792 • 14% Growth
Including $424M Repo.
EPS $3.16 $3.76 • 19% Growth
Lower Sharecount
Free Cash Flow* $3,144 $3,073 • 110% Conversion
Another Great Year
*Excluding cash taxes relating to the sale of the Consumable Solutions business Barclays Capital Industrial Select Conference
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February 9, 2009
7. 2009 Planning
• US GDP (3)% to (2)%
Developed Markets • EU GDP (2)% to (1)%
Global GDP
(1)% to 0%
• China GDP 5 to 6%
Emerging Markets • India GDP 4 to 5%
• EURO / USD $1.25
Foreign Exchange • GBP / USD $1.45
• Nickel Down 80%+ From Peak
Commodities • Natural Gas Down 55%+ From Peak
• + : Net Productivity, Repo Benefits
• - : Volume, FX
Segment Margin
• 1H Comps Challenging
• 100%+ Conversion
Free Cash Flow • Working Capital Contribution
• High Quality Earnings Stream
Macro Assumptions Supporting Outlook
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8. Key Market Assumptions
HON 2009 2009
Business
4Q08 Drivers Planning
AM: 0% Flight Hours (2)%
AT&R
OE: 13%* OE Deliveries 0% to 5%
AM: 3% TFE Flight Hours (15)%
B&GA
OE: 16% OE Deliveries (5)% to 0%
Defense 4% DOD Budget 3%
US/EU Housing Sales No Recovery
US/EU Non-Res Downturn
ACS – Developed 2%
Retrofit / Regulation Stable
Industrial Cap/Op Ex Cautious
ACS – Emerging 16% New Construction Moderating
Europe Auto Production (20)% to (15)%
Turbocharging (44)% Europe Diesel Penetration (1) pts
Small Engine Shift (4) pts
UOP $1.6B Backlog Refining / Gas / Petrochem Slowing
Challenging Market Conditions
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February 9, 2009
9. 2009 Financial Guidance Update
Consolidated 2009 Growth
Financial Outlook 2009E vs. 2008E
($B)
Sales $ 33.6 - 35.3 (8)% - (4)%
(4)% -
Organic (LCE) 1%
Segment Profit 4.4 - 4.8 (8)% - 0%
Segment Margin 13.2% - 13.7% (10) bps - 40 bps
Net Income 2.4 - 2.7 (14)% - (4)%
EPS $3.20 - 3.55 (15)% - (6)%
Free Cash Flow >100% Conversion
Status Since December 15 Guidance
– Pension Discount Rate 6.95% vs. 7.5%
+ Pension Plan Returns -29% vs. -33%
– China and India Slow-Down
+ Euro ~$1.30 Spot vs. $1.25 Plan
– Commercial Aerospace Weakness
+ ACS Performance
– Electronic Materials Demand
+ Commodity Costs
– Earnings and Cash Non-Linearity
+ Productivity Savings
Fluid Economic Environment
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11. 2009 Productivity Actions
Functional Transformation
~$0.8B Savings
• Targeting Functional Cost at 5.3% of Sales
– 60% Total Sales on SAP
AERO – 40% Reduction in Supplier Base
– Consolidating 75 Rooftops
Honeywell Operating System
• 80% Manufacturing Cost Base Initiated (~160 Sites)
– 40 Sites Attain Bronze Certification
ACS
>95% Delivery to Customer Request
>15% Improvement in Inventory
>25% Reduction in Defects
Improved Safety Maturity
TS
Repositioning Savings
• Benefits from $0.7B Proactive Actions ’06-’08
SM
– $0.5B+ Savings in 2009
– Fixed Costs Aligned With Slow Growth Environment
Projects Identified And Actionable
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February 9, 2009
12. 1Q09 Preview
Sales Comments
($B)
• Acq. / Div. -4% Estimated Impact
• OE Deliveries Decline
Aerospace ~2.6 – 2.8
• ATR Flight Hours -4%, TFE Hours -25%
• FX -12%, Acq. +8% Estimated Impact
• Contribution from Acquisitions
ACS ~3.0 – 3.2
• Conversion of Solutions Backlog
• FX -8% Estimated Impact
Transportation ~0.7 – 0.8 • Continued Automotive Weakness
• FX -2% Estimated Impact
Specialty ~0.9 – 1.0 • UOP Catalysts Decline, Negative Mix
• Continued R&C, EM Weakness
1Q09 Sales ~$7.4B - $8.0B
EPS $0.50 – $0.60
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13. Honeywell Playbook - Sales
• Delivery & Quality HOS Toolkit
• Pricing Advanced Analytics
• New Products VPD™ Leverage
• Emerging Market Growth Design / Source Locally
• Acquisition Leverage Synergy Benefits
Grow Faster Than Served Markets
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14. Honeywell Playbook – Segment Profit
• FT / ERP Project Execution
• HOS Deployment Deliver Benefits
• Cost Management Specific Accountability
• Direct Materials Strategic Sourcing
• Census / Restructuring Deliver Savings
Protect Bottom Line
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15. Summary
• Strong 2008 Finish in Tough Environment
• Anticipating Challenging 1H 2009
• Comparisons More Favorable in 2H 2009
• Reaffirming 2009 EPS Guidance
Investor Meeting February 23rd
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16. Appendix
Reconciliation of non-GAAP Measures
to GAAP Measures
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17. Reconciliation of Segment Profit to Operating Income and
Calculation of Segment Profit and Operating Income Margin
4Q07 4Q08
($M )
Sales $9,275 $8,712
Cost of Products and Services Sold (7,013) (6,523)
Selling, General and Administrative Expenses (1,205) (1,179)
Operating Income $1,057 $1,010
Stock Based Compensation (1) 11 21
Repositioning and Other (1, 2) 135 105
(1)
Pension and OPEB Expense 71 24
Segment Profit $1,274 $1,160
Operating Income $1,057 $1,010
÷ Sales $9,275 $8,712
Operating Income Margin % 11.4% 11.6%
Segment Profit $1,274 $1,160
÷ Sales $9,275 $8,712
Segment Profit Margin % 13.7% 13.3%
(1 Included in co st o f pro ducts and services so ld and selling, general and administrative expenses
)
(2) Includes repo sitio ning, asbesto s, enviro nmental expenses and equity inco me (beginning 1 /2008)
/1
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18. Reconciliation of Free Cash Flow to Cash Provided by Operating
Activities and Calculation of Cash Flow Conversion
4Q07 4Q08
($M )
Cash Provided by Operating Activities $1,440 $1,259
Expenditures for Property, Plant and Equipment (310) (332)
Free Cash Flow 1,130 927
Cash taxes relating to the sale of the Consumable Solutions business - 166
Free Cash Flow excluding cash taxes relating to the sale
of the Consumables Solution business 1,130 1,093
Cash Provided by Operating Activities $1,440 $1,259
÷ Net Income 689 707
Operating Cash Flow Conversion % 209% 178%
Free Cash Flow excluding cash taxes relating to the sale
of the Consumables Solution business $1,130 $1,093
÷ Net Income 689 707
Free Cash Flow excluding cash taxes relating to the sale
of the Consumables Solution business Conversion % 164% 155%
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19. Reconciliation of Segment Profit to Operating Income and
Calculation of Segment Profit and Operating Income Margin
2006 2007 2008
($B)
Sales $31.4 $34.6 $36.6
Cost of Products and Services Sold (24.1) (26.3) (28.0)
Selling, General and Administrative Expenses (4.2) (4.6) (5.0)
Operating Income $3.1 $3.7 $3.6
Stock Based Compensation (1) 0.1 0.1 0.1
Repositioning and Other (1, 2) 0.5 0.6 1.0
Pension and OPEB Expense (1) 0.4 0.3 0.1
Segment Profit $4.1 $4.7 $4.8
Operating Income $3.1 $3.7 $3.6
÷ Sales $31.4 $34.6 $36.6
Operating Income Margin % 9.9% 10.7% 9.8%
Segment Profit $4.1 $4.7 $4.8
÷ Sales $31.4 $34.6 $36.6
Segment Profit Margin % 13.0% 13.5% 13.3%
(1 Included in co st o f pro ducts and services so ld and selling, general and administrative expenses
)
(2) Includes repo sitio ning, asbesto s, enviro nmental expenses and equity inco me (beginning 1 /2008)
/1
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20. Reconciliation of Segment Profit to Operating Income and
Calculation of Segment Profit and Operating Income Margin
2008 2009E
($B)
Sales $36.6 $33.6 - $35.3
Cost of Products and Services Sold (28.0) (25.2) - (26.5)
Selling, General and Administrative Expenses (5.0) (4.6) - (4.8)
Operating Income $3.6 $3.8 - $4.0
Stock Based Compensation (1) 0.1 ~0.1
Repositioning and Other (1, 2) 1.0 0.3 - 0.4
Pension and OPEB Expense (1) 0.1 0.2 - 0.3
Segment Profit $4.8 $4.4 - 4.8
Operating Income $3.6 $3.8 - $4.0
÷ Sales $36.6 $33.6 - $35.3
Operating Income Margin % 9.8% ~11.3%
Segment Profit $4.8 $4.4 - 4.8
÷ Sales $36.6 $33.6 - $35.3
Segment Profit Margin % 13.3% 13.2 - 13.7%
(1 Included in co st o f pro ducts and services so ld and selling, general and administrative expenses
)
(2) Includes repo sitio ning, asbesto s, enviro nmental expenses and equity inco me (beginning 1 /2008)
/1
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21. Reconciliation of Free Cash Flow to Cash Provided by Operating
Activities and Calculation of Cash Flow Conversion
2006 2007 2008
($B)
Cash Provided by Operating Activities $3.2 $3.9 $3.8
Expenditures for Property, Plant and Equipment (0.7) (0.8) (0.9)
Free Cash Flow 2.5 3.1 2.9
Cash taxes relating to the sale of the Consumables Solution business - - 0.2
Free Cash Flow excluding cash taxes relating to the sale
of the Consumables Solution business $2.5 $3.1 $3.1
Cash Provided by Operating Activities $3.2 $3.9 $3.8
÷ Net Income $2.4 $2.4 2.8
Operating Cash Flow Conversion % 154% 160% 136%
Free Cash Flow excluding cash taxes relating to the sale
of the Consumables Solution business $2.5 $3.1 $3.1
÷ Net Income $2.1 $2.4 $2.8
Free Cash Flow excluding cash taxes relating to the sale
of the Consumables Solution business Conversion % 119% 129% 110%
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