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Horsesmouth Social Security COLA

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Better Financial Education
Better Financial Education

1) Cost-of-living adjustments (COLAs) increase Social Security benefits each year to offset inflation. These adjustments affect both current and future benefits. 2) COLAs increase benefits by indexing past earnings to current wage levels and then applying the COLA percentage to the primary insurance amount (PIA) each year. 3) Delaying benefits results in substantially higher benefits due to avoiding reductions and getting larger annual COLA increases applied to a higher starting benefit amount.

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How Cost-of-Living Adjustments Affect Social Security Benefits Larry R. Frank Sr, MBA, CFP® Registered Investment Adviser (California) Better Financial Education 300 Harding Blvd Suite 103D Roseville, CA 95678 916-303-7777 LarryFrankSr@BetterFinancialEducation.com BetterFinancialEducation.com By Elaine Floyd, CFP® You don’t have to be collecting Social Security to benefit from inflation adjustments. Unclaimed benefits go up too. Here’s how inflation factors into the benefit formula whether you’re working or collecting. Social Security recipients are celebrating the 3.6% Your employer withholds 6.2% of your gross pay cost-of-living adjustment effective January 2012. (4.2% in 2011) and sends it along to the Social After suffering through two years of 0% COLAs that Security Administration (SSA), along with another were needed to work off a hefty 5.8% COLA in 2009, 6.2% from the employer’s pocket, and a report of Social Security recipients are relieved to see a few your W-2 earnings for the year. The money goes more bucks coming in, although part of the increase into the Social Security trust fund and is used to will be offset by a rise in Medicare premiums. pay benefits to current retirees. The report goes into the SSA databank and is used to compile your While the effect of the COLA may be clear to people earnings record. who are already receiving Social Security, what isn’t so clear is how it affects people who haven’t filed When you turn 62, your earnings record is tallied up. for benefits yet. How will their eventual benefit be First, each year’s earnings are indexed to bring them affected by the 3.6% COLA? into line with current wages. Let’s use Boomer Bob as an example. He was born in June of 1949, which To answer this, we have to dig deep into the Social means he turned 62 in 2011. He has earned the Security benefit formula. Stay with me here, because maximum taxable Social Security wage base since it’s pretty interesting. 1971. In 1971 the maximum taxable wage base was $7,800. But when Bob’s earnings are indexed, the As you know, nearly everyone pays into Social $7,800 is multiplied by 6.4142399 to make it count as Security. (Certain groups such as civil service $48,875 on his record. The $9,000 he earned in 1972 employees that have opted out of the Social is multiplied by 5.8417435 and counts for $51,361, Security system are excluded from this discussion.) and so on. Each successive year’s earnings are Copyright © 2011 by Horsesmouth, LLC. All Rights Reserved. License #: 4171534-261047 Reprint Licensee: Larry R. Frank Sr PLEASE SEE NEXT PAGE FOR IMPORTANT RESTRICTIONS ON USE |1
multiplied by a gradually decreasing index until it record will be updated and his PIA will be reaches 1 at age 60. The $106,800 he earned in 2009 recomputed each year. If he earns the maximum and 2010 count at their nominal value. wage base of $106,800 in 2011, his 1976 indexed earnings of $67,510 will drop off and be replaced by After each year’s earnings are indexed, the highest 35 the $106,800. This is why even maximum earners years are identified. As it turns out, those early years, can continue to improve their Social Security benefit from 1971 through 1975 won’t be counted because his by continuing to work. But back to inflation. highest 35 years of earnings were 1976-2010. Adding up all the indexed earnings from 1976 through How inflation affects Boomer Bob’s Social Security benefit 2010, Bob had lifetime Social Security earnings of The inflation adjustments on Boomer Bob’s Social $3,330,098. Dividing this by 420, which is the number Security benefit happen in two ways: 1) the indexing of months in 35 years, Bob has average indexed factors that go into the initial calculation of his monthly earnings (AIME) of $7,928. benefit at 62, and 2) the annual COLA adjustments that raise his PIA after it has been calculated at age To calculate his Social Security primary insurance 62 — whether or not he has started receiving amount (PIA), the $7,928 is divided into three benefits. These inflation adjustments are different “bend points.” Each bend point is multiplied by a for each age cohort. Boomer Betty, born in 1950, will different percentage: have a slightly different PIA than Boomer Bob even if she is also a maximum earner. Bob’s PIA = 0.90 x $749 + The indexing factors that adjust Bob’s early wages 0.32 x $3,768 + and determine the bend points are based on the national average wage index when he turns 60. 0.15 x $3,411 = $2,391 The COLAs that raise his benefit each year after he turns 62 are based on the CPI-W. In other words, This primary insurance amount is Bob’s benefit his benefit increases before age 60 are based on when he turns full retirement age, or 66. So wage increases. After age 62 they are based on price although it’s calculated at age 62, it’s not the increases. (There is no increase from age 60 to 62.) benefit he would receive at 62. If he files now, his PIA would be reduced to 75%, giving him a The double whammy of COLAs and delayed credits monthly benefit of $1,793 ($2,391 x .75). Then When doing Social Security planning, it is important in January 2012, his benefit would be increased to understand the value of potential benefits over by the 3.6% COLA to give him a new benefit of your lifetime and maximize those benefits to the $1,858, a $65 increase. extent possible. This usually means delaying the start of benefits to full retirement age or later so But what happens if Bob doesn’t file for his benefit there will be no permanent reduction in benefits. at 62? Does he still somehow get the COLA Then when COLAs are paid, they will go on top of increase? The answer is yes. Next year, Bob’s PIA the higher starting amount. will go up to $2,477 ($2,391 x 1.036). And if there’s another COLA in 2013, his PIA will go up again. The following table shows what Boomer Bob’s Notice that it is compounded. This is important benefit will be if he applies in 2011 at 62, in 2012 at when you are considering the lifetime value of 63, and so on. The COLA-adjusted PIA shown in Social Security benefits. the third column assumes a starting PIA of $2,391 as noted above, increased by 3.6% in 2012 and 2.8% in Incidentally, if Bob keeps working, his earnings each succeeding year. Copyright © 2011 by Horsesmouth, LLC. All Rights Reserved. IMPORTANT NOTICE This reprint is provided exclusively for use by the licensee, including for client education, and is subject to applicable copyright laws. Unauthorized use, reproduction or distribution of this material is a violation 2| of federal law and punishable by civil and criminal penalty. This material is furnished “as is” without warranty of any kind. Its accuracy and completeness is not guaranteed and all warranties express or implied are hereby excluded.
Starting benefit including COLAs and see what Boomer Bob’s COLA raise would be when actuarial reduction or delayed credits he turns 71 depending on when he started benefits. Year Age COLA- Benefit as % of Starting Again, we’ll assume 2.8% adjusted PIA if he applies benefit PIA this year Benefit raise at age 71 if COLA is 2.8% 2011 62 $2,391 75.0 $1,793 Age COLA- Monthly Annual 2012 63 $2,477 80.0 $1,981 benefit adjusted raise at age raise at age 71 started benefit at 71 if COLA is if COLA 2013 64 $2,546 86.7 $2,207 age 70 2.8% is 2.8% 2014 65 $2,618 93.3 $2,442 62 $2,254 $63 $756 2015 66 $2,691 100 $2,691 63 $2,403 $67 $804 2016 67 $2,766 108 $2,987 64 $2,605 $73 $876 2017 68 $2,844 116 $3,299 65 $2,804 $78 $936 2018 69 $2,923 124 $3,625 66 $3,005 $84 $1,008 2019 70 $3,005 132 $3,966 67 $3,245 $91 $1,092 (Assumes 3.6% COLA in 2012 and 2.8% thereafter) 68 $3,486 $98 $1,176 69 $3,727 $104 $1,248 As you can see, there’s a huge disparity between 70 $3,966 $111 $1,332 the $1,793 he’ll receive in 2011 if he starts at 62, and the $3,966 he’ll receive in 2019 if he starts at 70. Note how much bigger the raises are on the higher So let’s even things out a bit by looking at what his benefit amounts. We can assume that all Social benefit will be in 2019, when he is 70, depending on Security recipients are celebrating the 3.6% COLA when he started benefits. increase for 2012. But some recipients are probably Benefit at age 70 based on claiming age celebrating more than others. These would be the Year Age Age benefit COLA-adjusted ones who received higher raises because the 3.6% started benefit increase was applied to a higher benefit amount. 2019 70 62 $2,254 2019 70 63 $2,403 In today’s low interest rate, low return environment, 2019 70 64 $2,605 the fixed Social Security formula that escalates the 2019 70 65 $2,804 starting benefit for delayed claiming is looking like 2019 70 66 $3,005 a better deal all the time. And when COLAs are 2019 70 67 $3,245 applied to the higher amounts, annual raises become 2019 70 68 $3,486 significant as well. 2019 70 69 $3,727 2019 70 70 $3,966 Elaine Floyd, CFP®, is the Director of Retirement and Life Planning, Horsesmouth, LLC., where she (Assumes 3.6% COLA in 2012 and 2.8% thereafter) focuses on helping people understand the practical So his income at age 70 will be substantially lower and technical aspects of retirement income planning. if he applies at 62 than if he applies at 70. Horsesmouth is an independent organization providing unique, unbiased insight into the most One of the points we like to make when encouraging critical issues facing financial advisors and their clients to delay benefits is that COLAs magnify the clients. Horsesmouth was founded in 1996 and is disparity between early and late claiming. So let’s located in New York City. Please refer to "Disclosure Stuff" page on website BetterFinancialEducation.com |3

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Horsesmouth Social Security COLA

  • 1. How Cost-of-Living Adjustments Affect Social Security Benefits Larry R. Frank Sr, MBA, CFP® Registered Investment Adviser (California) Better Financial Education 300 Harding Blvd Suite 103D Roseville, CA 95678 916-303-7777 LarryFrankSr@BetterFinancialEducation.com BetterFinancialEducation.com By Elaine Floyd, CFP® You don’t have to be collecting Social Security to benefit from inflation adjustments. Unclaimed benefits go up too. Here’s how inflation factors into the benefit formula whether you’re working or collecting. Social Security recipients are celebrating the 3.6% Your employer withholds 6.2% of your gross pay cost-of-living adjustment effective January 2012. (4.2% in 2011) and sends it along to the Social After suffering through two years of 0% COLAs that Security Administration (SSA), along with another were needed to work off a hefty 5.8% COLA in 2009, 6.2% from the employer’s pocket, and a report of Social Security recipients are relieved to see a few your W-2 earnings for the year. The money goes more bucks coming in, although part of the increase into the Social Security trust fund and is used to will be offset by a rise in Medicare premiums. pay benefits to current retirees. The report goes into the SSA databank and is used to compile your While the effect of the COLA may be clear to people earnings record. who are already receiving Social Security, what isn’t so clear is how it affects people who haven’t filed When you turn 62, your earnings record is tallied up. for benefits yet. How will their eventual benefit be First, each year’s earnings are indexed to bring them affected by the 3.6% COLA? into line with current wages. Let’s use Boomer Bob as an example. He was born in June of 1949, which To answer this, we have to dig deep into the Social means he turned 62 in 2011. He has earned the Security benefit formula. Stay with me here, because maximum taxable Social Security wage base since it’s pretty interesting. 1971. In 1971 the maximum taxable wage base was $7,800. But when Bob’s earnings are indexed, the As you know, nearly everyone pays into Social $7,800 is multiplied by 6.4142399 to make it count as Security. (Certain groups such as civil service $48,875 on his record. The $9,000 he earned in 1972 employees that have opted out of the Social is multiplied by 5.8417435 and counts for $51,361, Security system are excluded from this discussion.) and so on. Each successive year’s earnings are Copyright © 2011 by Horsesmouth, LLC. All Rights Reserved. License #: 4171534-261047 Reprint Licensee: Larry R. Frank Sr PLEASE SEE NEXT PAGE FOR IMPORTANT RESTRICTIONS ON USE |1
  • 2. multiplied by a gradually decreasing index until it record will be updated and his PIA will be reaches 1 at age 60. The $106,800 he earned in 2009 recomputed each year. If he earns the maximum and 2010 count at their nominal value. wage base of $106,800 in 2011, his 1976 indexed earnings of $67,510 will drop off and be replaced by After each year’s earnings are indexed, the highest 35 the $106,800. This is why even maximum earners years are identified. As it turns out, those early years, can continue to improve their Social Security benefit from 1971 through 1975 won’t be counted because his by continuing to work. But back to inflation. highest 35 years of earnings were 1976-2010. Adding up all the indexed earnings from 1976 through How inflation affects Boomer Bob’s Social Security benefit 2010, Bob had lifetime Social Security earnings of The inflation adjustments on Boomer Bob’s Social $3,330,098. Dividing this by 420, which is the number Security benefit happen in two ways: 1) the indexing of months in 35 years, Bob has average indexed factors that go into the initial calculation of his monthly earnings (AIME) of $7,928. benefit at 62, and 2) the annual COLA adjustments that raise his PIA after it has been calculated at age To calculate his Social Security primary insurance 62 — whether or not he has started receiving amount (PIA), the $7,928 is divided into three benefits. These inflation adjustments are different “bend points.” Each bend point is multiplied by a for each age cohort. Boomer Betty, born in 1950, will different percentage: have a slightly different PIA than Boomer Bob even if she is also a maximum earner. Bob’s PIA = 0.90 x $749 + The indexing factors that adjust Bob’s early wages 0.32 x $3,768 + and determine the bend points are based on the national average wage index when he turns 60. 0.15 x $3,411 = $2,391 The COLAs that raise his benefit each year after he turns 62 are based on the CPI-W. In other words, This primary insurance amount is Bob’s benefit his benefit increases before age 60 are based on when he turns full retirement age, or 66. So wage increases. After age 62 they are based on price although it’s calculated at age 62, it’s not the increases. (There is no increase from age 60 to 62.) benefit he would receive at 62. If he files now, his PIA would be reduced to 75%, giving him a The double whammy of COLAs and delayed credits monthly benefit of $1,793 ($2,391 x .75). Then When doing Social Security planning, it is important in January 2012, his benefit would be increased to understand the value of potential benefits over by the 3.6% COLA to give him a new benefit of your lifetime and maximize those benefits to the $1,858, a $65 increase. extent possible. This usually means delaying the start of benefits to full retirement age or later so But what happens if Bob doesn’t file for his benefit there will be no permanent reduction in benefits. at 62? Does he still somehow get the COLA Then when COLAs are paid, they will go on top of increase? The answer is yes. Next year, Bob’s PIA the higher starting amount. will go up to $2,477 ($2,391 x 1.036). And if there’s another COLA in 2013, his PIA will go up again. The following table shows what Boomer Bob’s Notice that it is compounded. This is important benefit will be if he applies in 2011 at 62, in 2012 at when you are considering the lifetime value of 63, and so on. The COLA-adjusted PIA shown in Social Security benefits. the third column assumes a starting PIA of $2,391 as noted above, increased by 3.6% in 2012 and 2.8% in Incidentally, if Bob keeps working, his earnings each succeeding year. Copyright © 2011 by Horsesmouth, LLC. All Rights Reserved. IMPORTANT NOTICE This reprint is provided exclusively for use by the licensee, including for client education, and is subject to applicable copyright laws. Unauthorized use, reproduction or distribution of this material is a violation 2| of federal law and punishable by civil and criminal penalty. This material is furnished “as is” without warranty of any kind. Its accuracy and completeness is not guaranteed and all warranties express or implied are hereby excluded.
  • 3. Starting benefit including COLAs and see what Boomer Bob’s COLA raise would be when actuarial reduction or delayed credits he turns 71 depending on when he started benefits. Year Age COLA- Benefit as % of Starting Again, we’ll assume 2.8% adjusted PIA if he applies benefit PIA this year Benefit raise at age 71 if COLA is 2.8% 2011 62 $2,391 75.0 $1,793 Age COLA- Monthly Annual 2012 63 $2,477 80.0 $1,981 benefit adjusted raise at age raise at age 71 started benefit at 71 if COLA is if COLA 2013 64 $2,546 86.7 $2,207 age 70 2.8% is 2.8% 2014 65 $2,618 93.3 $2,442 62 $2,254 $63 $756 2015 66 $2,691 100 $2,691 63 $2,403 $67 $804 2016 67 $2,766 108 $2,987 64 $2,605 $73 $876 2017 68 $2,844 116 $3,299 65 $2,804 $78 $936 2018 69 $2,923 124 $3,625 66 $3,005 $84 $1,008 2019 70 $3,005 132 $3,966 67 $3,245 $91 $1,092 (Assumes 3.6% COLA in 2012 and 2.8% thereafter) 68 $3,486 $98 $1,176 69 $3,727 $104 $1,248 As you can see, there’s a huge disparity between 70 $3,966 $111 $1,332 the $1,793 he’ll receive in 2011 if he starts at 62, and the $3,966 he’ll receive in 2019 if he starts at 70. Note how much bigger the raises are on the higher So let’s even things out a bit by looking at what his benefit amounts. We can assume that all Social benefit will be in 2019, when he is 70, depending on Security recipients are celebrating the 3.6% COLA when he started benefits. increase for 2012. But some recipients are probably Benefit at age 70 based on claiming age celebrating more than others. These would be the Year Age Age benefit COLA-adjusted ones who received higher raises because the 3.6% started benefit increase was applied to a higher benefit amount. 2019 70 62 $2,254 2019 70 63 $2,403 In today’s low interest rate, low return environment, 2019 70 64 $2,605 the fixed Social Security formula that escalates the 2019 70 65 $2,804 starting benefit for delayed claiming is looking like 2019 70 66 $3,005 a better deal all the time. And when COLAs are 2019 70 67 $3,245 applied to the higher amounts, annual raises become 2019 70 68 $3,486 significant as well. 2019 70 69 $3,727 2019 70 70 $3,966 Elaine Floyd, CFP®, is the Director of Retirement and Life Planning, Horsesmouth, LLC., where she (Assumes 3.6% COLA in 2012 and 2.8% thereafter) focuses on helping people understand the practical So his income at age 70 will be substantially lower and technical aspects of retirement income planning. if he applies at 62 than if he applies at 70. Horsesmouth is an independent organization providing unique, unbiased insight into the most One of the points we like to make when encouraging critical issues facing financial advisors and their clients to delay benefits is that COLAs magnify the clients. Horsesmouth was founded in 1996 and is disparity between early and late claiming. So let’s located in New York City. Please refer to "Disclosure Stuff" page on website BetterFinancialEducation.com |3