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#MozCon @mattthemathman
Hot Off the Press: 2013 Ranking Factors
Matthew Peters, Ph.D.
Data Scientist, Moz
#MozCon @mattthemathman
On Page signals: 8.4
PageRank: 7.8
Anchor text: 5.9
Social signals: 3.8
etc …
How does a search engine work?
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Search quality
raters
On Page signals: 8.4
PageRank: 7.8
Anchor text: 5.9
Social signals: 3.8
etc …
How does a search engine work?
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The
Algorithm
Search quality
raters
On Page signals: 8.4
PageRank: 7.8
Anchor text: 5.9
Social signals: 3.8
etc …
How does a search engine work?
#MozCon @mattthemathman
The
Algorithm
Search quality
raters
On Page signals: 8.4
PageRank: 7.8
Anchor text: 5.9
Social signals: 3.8
etc …
How does a search engine work?
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Different feature types include: On-page, links, anchor text, social
signals and properties of the URL
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Different feature types include: On-page, links, anchor text, social
signals and properties of the URL
URL www.mrqe.com
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Different feature types include: On-page, links, anchor text, social
signals and properties of the URL
On-page
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Different feature types include: On-page, links, anchor text, social
signals and properties of the URL
Links
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Different feature types include: On-page, links, anchor text, social
signals and properties of the URL
“movie reviews”
Anchor
Text
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Different feature types include: On-page, links, anchor text, social
signals and properties of the URL
Social
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Which factors are important?
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Which factors are important?
What Google says
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Which factors are important?
What’s in the
algorithmWhat Google says
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Which factors are important?
What’s in the
algorithmWhat Google says
What SEOs say
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Which factors are important?
What’s in the
algorithmWhat Google says
What SEOs say
Characteristics of
sites that rank well
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Survey
Thanks to everyone who participated and Cyrus Shepard and Matt Brown for organizing
120 professional
SEOs surveyed in
mid-June 2013
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Survey
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Survey
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Survey
Respondents rated each factor
from 1-10 on their importance in
ranking.
Use average importance rating.
Highest rated factors scored 7-8,
lower rated factors scored 3-5.
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Correlations
• 14,000+ keywords from Google Adwords
• All categories and search volumes included
• Top 50 results from Google US
• De-personalized, de-localized organic results
• First week of June 2013
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Correlations
• Mean Spearman Correlation
• Compute for each keyword, then average
• Measures extent to which increases in one factor
are related to rank
• Correlations between -1 and 1. Values of 0.1 -
0.3 are common.
• Thanks to Jerry Feng and Mike O’Leary for
extracting features!
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"Correlation is not causation but it sure is a hint" - Edward Tufte
Links
Correlation and causation
Higher
rank
??
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"Correlation is not causation but it sure is a hint" - Edward Tufte
Links
Correlation and causation
Higher
rank
#MozCon @mattthemathman25
"Correlation is not causation but it sure is a hint" - Edward Tufte
Links
Higher
rank
Correlation and causation Correlation, but causation?
Higher
rank
More words
on page
??
#MozCon @mattthemathman26
"Correlation is not causation but it sure is a hint" - Edward Tufte
Links
Higher
rank
Correlation and causation Correlation, but causation?
Higher
rank
Higher
quality
More words
on page
??
#MozCon @mattthemathman27
"Correlation is not causation but it sure is a hint" - Edward Tufte
Links
Higher
rank
Correlation and causation Correlation, but causation?
Higher
rank
Higher
quality
More words
on page
?? Links
#MozCon @mattthemathman28
"Correlation is not causation but it sure is a hint" - Edward Tufte
Links
Higher
rank
Correlation and causation Correlation, but causation?
Higher
rank
Higher
quality
More words
on page
Links
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Links
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Correlations: Page level links
Link diversity still very important.
Page Authority highest overall correlated metric.
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Page Authority is a
machine learning model
that predicts ranking
based on links.
See: http://moz.com/learn/seo/page-authority
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Correlations: Domain level links
Domain in-link correlations generally lower the page links.
Sub-domain metrics now have higher correlation then domain metrics.
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Survey: Links
Consistent with correlations, links from domains most important.
Relevance of page/domain also thought to be very important.
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Anchor Text
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Correlations: Anchor text
Partial and exact match have same correlation.
Internal anchor text correlations significantly lower then external.
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Survey: Anchor text
After Penguin, organic (mix of branded, non-branded) anchor text
distribution thought to be more important the quantity.
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Site Speed
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Correlations: Site speed
Zoompf to provided the speed data.
Response time has negative correlation, but total load time does not!
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Speed and users
Jonathon Colman:
http://www.slideshare.net/jcolman/seo-site-speed-and-battlestar-galactica-searchfest-2012-11735155
•40% of customers will abandon any site that
takes longer than 3 seconds to load
• Conversion rate drops by 7% for every
1second of load time
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On-Page
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In 2011, we found low on-page keyword related factors.
2011
Correlations: Keyword on-page
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Survey: On-page
General consensus that KW in are important.
2013
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Beyond TF-IDF
See http://moz.com/blog/determining-relevance-how-similarity-is-scored
> 700 papers
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Beyond TF-IDF
See http://moz.com/blog/determining-relevance-how-similarity-is-scored
> 700 papers
Language Model
P(optimization | search, engine)
>>
P(walking | search, engine)
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Correlations: Keyword on-page
Using a more sophisticated model increases correlations.
We also used a larger corpus in 2013 that should increase correlations.
2013
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Correlations: Keyword on-page
Title, meta description and H1 all have relatively high correlations.
2013
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Correlations: Other on-page
Document length has relatively high correlation.
Structured data and Google+ markup has no correlation
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Are sites implementing structured data?
Markup Percent of
URLs
Open graph 36.9%
schema.org 9.9%
G+ publisher 7.1%
G+ author 2.2%
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Don’t ignore authorship
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URL-Domain
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Correlations: URL
Query: “adidas sneakers”
Exact Match Domain (EMD): www.adidassneakers.com
Partial Match Domain (PMD): www.adidas.com
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Survey: URL
Query: “adidas sneakers”
Exact Match Domain (EMD): www.adidassneakers.com
Partial Match Domain (PMD): www.adidas.com
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Exact match domain over time
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Exact match domain over time
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Exact match domain over time
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Exact match domain over time
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Exact match domain over time
Removal of low
quality EMDs??
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Brand metrics
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Correlations: Brand metrics
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Correlations: Brand metrics
Fresh and brand mentions have a relatively high correlation.
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Survey: Brand metrics
Other then search volume, SEOs thought that brand mentions were
relatively unimportant.
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Social
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Correlations: Social
Google +1’s second highest correlation metric (behind PA)!
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Survey: Social
Overall, SEOs didn’t score social factors as highly as links or keywords.
Google +1’s ranked highest, followed by Tweets, then Facebook shares.
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Some words of caution
Methodology
matters!
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Comparing studies
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Comparing studies
Our correlation is 0.29 for keyword in
anchor text.
Searchmetrics removed navigation
queries, but we included them. Does this
explain the difference?
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Comparing studies
Our correlation is 0.29 for keyword in
anchor text.
Searchmetrics removed navigation
queries, but we included them. Does this
explain the difference?
EMD is their highest correlation at 0.43,
except they used rank-biserial correlation.
Using Spearman for EMD gives 0.15 (we
have 0.17).
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Takeaways
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Overall algorithm
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Overall algorithm
Links are still very
important, both as
judged by SEOs
and in the data.
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Overall algorithm
On page keyword
and content
features still
fundamental.
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Overall Algorithm
Despite high
correlations, SEOs
don’t think social is
important.
Correlation vs.
Causation?
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Overall algorithm, 2011 vs 2013
2011 2013
SEOs think EMD/PMDs decreased in importance.
Prevalence decreases but correlations remain same.
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Future
predictions
1. Quality, authorship,
structured data, social all
predicted to increase in
importance.
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Future
predictions
1. Quality, authorship,
structured data, social all
predicted to increase in
importance.
2. EMD, paid links, anchor
text expected to decrease.
#MozCon @mattthemathman

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