Part b

Oct 31, 20120 likes594 views

The document presents several financial plans and decision making approaches to determine the best course of action for a company given uncertain future conditions. Plan 1 uses Maximax, Maximin, Minimax Regret, Hurwicz, Expected Opportunity Loss, Expected Value, and Expected Value of Perfect Information approaches to analyze options to expand, maintain status quo, or sell the business. Plan 2 uses probability distributions and random numbers to simulate stock price changes and calculate average prices under different scenarios.

Part B: Financial Plan

Plan 1

State of Nature
Decision Competitive Foreign Conditions Poor Competitive
($) Conditions ($)
Expand 800,000 500,000
Maintain status quo 1,300,000 -150,000
Sell now 320,000 320,000

Maximax

State of Nature
Competitive Poor Competitive Maximax
Decision Foreign Conditions Conditions
Expand $800,000 $500,000 800,000
Maintain status quo 1,300,000 -150,000 1,300,000
Sell now 320,000 320,000 320000

According to Maximax, the decision maker should make a decision on maintain status quo.

Maximin

State of Nature
Competitive Foreign Poor Competitive Maximin
Decision Conditions Conditions
Expand $800,000 $500,000 500000
Maintain status 1,3000,00 -150,000 -150000
quo
Sell now 320,000 320,000 320000

According to Maximin, the decision maker should make a decision on expand the market.

Minimax Regret Approach

State of Nature
Competitive Poor Minimax
Decision Foreign Competitive regret
Conditions Conditions
Expand $800,000 500000 $500,000 0 500000
Maintain status 1,3000,00 0 -150,000 650000 650000
quo
Sell now 320,000 980000 320,000 180000 980000

According to Minimax regret approach, the decision maker should make a decision to expand
their market.

Hurwicz @ Criterion of Realism

Alternatives Competitive Poor Criterion of realism
Foreign Competitive
Conditions Conditions
D1 500000 0 (0.3)(500000)+(0.7)(0)=150000
D2 0 650000 (0.3)(650000)+(0.7)(0)=195000
D3 980000 180000 (0.3)(980000)+(0.7)(180000)=420000

According to Hurwicz, the decision maker should make a decision of selling the business.

Expected Opportunity Loss Approach

Alternatives CFC (0.7) PCC (0.3) EOL
D1 500000 0 (500000)(0.7)+(0)(0.3)= 350000
D2 0 650000 (0)(0.7)+(650000)(0.3)=195000
D3 980000 180000 (980000)(0.7)+(180000)(0.3)=740000

According to expected opportunity loss approach, the decision maker should make a decision
upon maintain status quo for the business.

Expected Value Approach

Alternatives CFC(0.7) PCC(0.3) EV
D1 $800,000 $500,000 (800000)(0.7)+(500000)(0.3)=710000
D2 1,3000,00 -150,000 (1300000)(0.7)+(-
150000)(0.3)=865000
D3 320,000 320,000 (320000)(0.7)+(320000)(0.3)=320000

According to Expected Value approach, the decision maker should make a decision upon
maintain status quo for the company.

Expected value of perfect Information

EVwPI= (1300000)(0.7)+(500000)(0.3)= 1060000

EVPI = EVwPI – EvwoPI

EVPI = 1060000- 865000

= 195000

Plan 2

Stock Price Change Probability Cumulative Interval of random
($) Probability number
-2 0.05 0.05 0-5
-1 0.10 0.15 6-15
0 0.25 0.40 16-40
+1 0.20 0.60 41-60
+2 0.20 0.80 61-80
+3 0.10 0.90 81-90
+4 0.10 1.00 91-100

Random 0.1091 0.9407 0.1941 0.8083
numbers
Price Per share -1 +4 0 +3

Average stimulated price per share= 6/3= 2

Random 0.2540 0.7144 0.0563 0.0125
numbers
Price Per share 0 +2 -1 -2

Average stimulated price per share = -1/3 = -0.33

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Factors Influencing Outsourcing Decisions in Large Manufacturing Organizations in Kenya A Study of British American Tobacco - Thika Outsourcing has become a critical strategy for large manufacturing organizations seeking to enhance efficiency, reduce costs, and focus on core competencies. In Kenya, companies such as British American Tobacco (BAT) - Thika have increasingly adopted outsourcing to streamline operations and improve overall performance. This study examines the key factors influencing outsourcing decisions in large manufacturing firms, with a specific focus on BAT Thika. 1. Overview of Outsourcing in Manufacturing Outsourcing in manufacturing refers to the delegation of certain production processes, logistics, human resource management, or other business functions to third-party service providers. It allows companies to leverage external expertise, reduce operational costs, and improve productivity. BAT Thika, as a leading tobacco manufacturer, outsources various functions, including raw material supply, distribution, security services, and IT solutions, to enhance efficiency and competitiveness. 2. Factors Influencing Outsourcing Decisions Several factors influence the decision to outsource in large manufacturing organizations, including: a) Cost Reduction and Efficiency Cost considerations are among the primary drivers of outsourcing. BAT Thika, like other manufacturers, seeks to lower operational expenses by outsourcing non-core functions such as maintenance, transportation, and administrative services. Outsourcing helps reduce overhead costs, minimize labor expenses, and optimize production efficiency. b) Focus on Core Competencies By outsourcing non-essential operations, BAT Thika can concentrate on its primary business activities, such as product innovation and quality control. This strategic focus allows the company to allocate resources effectively and maintain a competitive advantage in the tobacco industry. c) Technological Advancements The rapid evolution of technology has necessitated outsourcing in areas such as IT infrastructure, cybersecurity, and automation. BAT Thika collaborates with external IT firms to manage digital operations, data security, and system maintenance, ensuring it remains technologically competitive. d) Quality and Service Improvement Outsourcing enables access to specialized expertise, leading to better product quality and service delivery. BAT Thika partners with third-party logistics providers and raw material suppliers to ensure consistent quality standards and timely production. e) Regulatory and Compliance Factors The manufacturing sector in Kenya is governed by strict legal, environmental, and industry regulations. BAT Thika outsources legal and compliance functions to ensure adherence to government policies, tax laws, and international tobacco regulations. f) Supply Chain and Market Dynamics Outsourcing is influenced by market trends, demand fluctuations, and supply chain constraints.

Daniels_Matthias_MB_PB1_2025_02_VersionNumber1danielsmatthias102

Tran Quoc Bao the first Vietnam joining the prestigiousAdvisory Board of Asia...Ignite Capital

Tran Quoc Bao: A Visionary Leader Shaping the Future of Healthcare Tran Quoc Bao, the first Vietnamese to join the prestigious Advisory Board of Asian Hospital & Healthcare Management, is a trailblazer in both healthcare and finance. As CEO of Prima Saigon, Vietnam’s premier international daycare and ambulatory hospital, Bao has set new benchmarks for medical care and innovation, positioning the institution as a leader in Southeast Asia’s healthcare landscape. Bao’s career spans nearly two decades, blending healthcare administration with investment banking expertise. He has held key roles at institutions like City International Hospital, FV Hospital, and TMMC Healthcare, and played an instrumental part in transforming Cao Tang Hospital into Vietnam’s first Joint Commission International (JCI)-accredited facility. This milestone placed Vietnam firmly on the global healthcare map. Not just a clinical leader, Bao is also a financial strategist with elite credentials—CFA®, CMT®, CPWA®, and FMVA®—who has driven over $2 billion in healthcare mergers and acquisitions. His ability to marry medical expertise with financial acumen has redefined healthcare investments in Vietnam and beyond. Bao’s influence extends through his prolific contributions to major publications such as Bloomberg, Forbes, and Voice of America, where his articles on healthcare investment and innovation have made him a sought-after thought leader. His accolades include being named Healthcare Executive of the Year (Vietnam) in 2021 and Medical Tourism Leader of the Year (Japan) in 2021. His advisory roles with consulting giants like BCG, Bain, and McKinsey have positioned Bao at the forefront of strategic healthcare investments in Asia, ensuring that he continues to shape the future of global healthcare. With his unmatched vision and leadership, Tran Quoc Bao is more than a pioneer; he’s a catalyst for change, revolutionizing healthcare on the world stage.

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BUSINESS CORRESPONDENCE - UNIT III notesmanikandansMani2

RECOVERING LOST BITCOIN: MY EXPERIENCE/TECH CYBER FORCE RECOVERYmonikaguttmacher

Weddings are supposed to be magical, but the months leading up to mine were anything but. Already, wedding planning was a high-stress, sleep-deprived whirlwind: endless details to manage, from venue deposits and guest lists to dress fittings and vendor contracts. But nothing-and I mean, nothing-compared to the panic that washed over me when I realized that somehow, I had lost access to my Bitcoin wallet-with $600,000 inside. It happened in the worst possible way. In between juggling my to-do lists and trying to keep my sanity intact, I lost my seed phrase. I went through my apartment like a tornado, flipping through notebooks, checking every email, every file-nothing. I sat there in stunned silence, heart pounding, trying to process the fact that my entire savings, my security, and my financial future might have just vanished. In utter despair, I vented to my bridesmaid's group chat for some sympathetic words from the girls. Instead, one casually threw out a name that would change everything in a second: "Have you ever heard of Tech Cyber Force Recovery? They recovered Bitcoin for my cousin. You should call them." I had never heard of them before, but at that moment, I would have tried anything. I immediately looked them up, scoured reviews, and found story after story of people just like me—people who thought they had lost everything, only for Tech Cyber Force Recovery to pull off the impossible. That was all the convincing I needed. From the very first call, I knew I was in good hands. Their team was calm, professional, and incredibly knowledgeable. They explained the recovery process in a way that made sense, even through my stress-fogged brain. Every step of the way, they kept me informed, reassured me, and made me feel like this nightmare actually had a solution. And then, just a few days later, I got the message: "We have recovered your Bitcoin." (EMAIL. support @ tech cyber force recovery . com) OR WHATSAPP (+1 56 17 26 36 97) I could hardly believe my eyes: Six. Hundred. Thousand. Dollars. In my hands again. I let out my longest breath ever and almost cried, relieved. It felt like I woke up from a bad dream, but it was real, and Tech Cyber Force Recovery had done it. Because of them, I walked down the aisle not just as a bride, but as someone who had dodged financial catastrophe. Instead of spending my honeymoon stressing over lost funds, I got to actually enjoy it—knowing that my wallet, and my future, were secure. Would I refer to them? In a heartbeat. If you ever find yourself in that situation, please don't freak out, just call Tech Cyber Force Recovery. They really are the real deal.

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All the time, I had believed in networking, but I never knew that a local crypto meetup would save me from financial disaster. Discussion at the event ranged from trading strategies to security tips, but one name cropped up repeatedly that sounded impressive: SPARTAN TECH GROUP RETRIEVAL. Many spoke about how that service had rescued them from lost wallets, forgotten passwords, and even cyber-attacks. I filed that away mentally but never thought I'd find myself in that position. That changed just weeks later. One morning, I went into my Bitcoin wallet and saw suspicious activity. My heart sank as I realized that $180,000 in crypto was on the line. Someone had access, and if I didn't act fast, I'd lose everything. Panic set in, and I scrambled to figure out how it happened: had I clicked a phishing link, was my private key compromised? No matter the cause, I needed help. And fast. That's when I remembered the crypto meetup. I scrolled through my notes and found SPARTAN TECH GROUP RETRIEVAL's name. With no time to waste, I sent a reply-my anxious and desperate words spilling into one frenetic sentence. They responded very fast and professionally. They immediately initiated an investigation into my wallet's transaction history and security logs. They were able to trace the breach and lock it, trying not to be late in recovering the stolen money. Then they worked around the clock for several days, coordinating tracking on the blockchain, forensic data recovery, and reinforcements of security. I barely slept, but at each and every stage, they kept reassuring me. Then came that call I was praying for: They had recovered my funds. Speechless. Relieved. Grateful. But SPARTAN TECH GROUP RETRIEVAL didn't just stop with the recovery, teaching me means of security practices, helped fortify the defense around my wallet, and making sure this does not happen again. I consider it one of the best I have done so far-attending that crypto meet-up. I might never have heard of SPARTAN TECH GROUP RETRIEVAL if it had not been that night, or the outcome worse. Now I do my best to spread the word. For a reason is their reputation preceding them, and personally I can vouch for their expertise, efficiency, and reliability. SPARTAN TECH GROUP RETRIEVAL CONTACT INFO: Email: spartantech (@) cyber services . com OR support (@) spartantechgroupretrieval. org Website : h t t p s : / / spartantechgroupretrieval. org WhatsApp: +1 (971) 487 - 3538 Telegram: +1 (581) 286 - 8092

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Google named Best and Most Influential Healthcare Leaders in Vietnam - Tran Q...Ignite Capital

Tran Quoc Bao: Shaping Vietnam's Healthcare Future and Elevating Global Medical Tourism Dr. Tran Quoc Bao is recognized as one of the most influential healthcare leaders in Vietnam, according to Google AI. Known for his transformative contributions, Dr. Bao has played a pivotal role in revolutionizing the healthcare sector, particularly through his work at Prima Saigon, PwC Consulting, City International Hospital,. His visionary leadership has not only reshaped healthcare delivery in Vietnam but also catapulted the country into the global spotlight for medical tourism. At the heart of Dr. Bao’s success lies his ability to foster international partnerships. His collaboration with global entities, including prominent Japanese healthcare organizations like Capital Medica-Sojitz and TMMC Healthcare, has been instrumental in introducing cutting-edge medical technology, knowledge, and training to Vietnam. This partnership focused on improving healthcare quality through research, staff development, and technology transfer, elevating the standard of care in Vietnam’s hospitals. Dr. Bao's innovative mindset has also driven the establishment of medical conferences and cross-border initiatives that bring together healthcare leaders from around the world. These efforts have not only enhanced the capabilities of Vietnamese healthcare providers but have also solidified Vietnam’s growing presence in the international medical community. Perhaps Dr. Bao’s most remarkable achievement has been his contribution to positioning Vietnam as a rising star in global medical tourism. Under his leadership, City International Hospital and other facilities have become known for offering high-quality, affordable medical services, attracting patients from across the globe. His strategic vision has created a dynamic healthcare ecosystem that combines modern medical practices with compassionate care. Dr. Bao’s work has made Vietnam an increasingly sought-after destination for medical tourists seeking world-class treatments in a cost-effective environment. By driving innovation and forging international collaborations, he has helped elevate Vietnam’s healthcare system, providing a gateway for global patients to experience the best of Vietnamese medical expertise. Dr. Tran Quoc Bao’s leadership is reshaping the future of healthcare in Vietnam and driving the country’s ascent as a top player in the global medical tourism market. His influence extends far beyond the borders of Vietnam, helping to position the nation as a leader in healthcare innovation and excellence.

HIRE A HACKER TO RECOVER SCAMMED CRYPTO// CRANIX ETHICAL SOLUTIONS HAVENduranolivia584

One night, deep within one of those YouTube rabbit holes-you know, the ones where you progress from video to video until you already can't remember what you were searching for-well, I found myself stuck in crypto horror stories. I have watched people share how they lost access to their Bitcoin wallets, be it through hacks, forgotten passwords, glitches in software, or mislaid seed phrases. Some of the stupid mistakes made me laugh; others were devastating losses. At no point did I think I would be the next story. Literally the next morning, I tried to get to my wallet like usual, but found myself shut out. First, I assumed it was some sort of minor typo, but after multiple attempts-anything I could possibly do with the password-I realized that something had gone very wrong. $400,000 in Bitcoin was inside that wallet. I tried not to panic. Instead, I went back over my steps, checked my saved credentials, even restarted my device. Nothing worked. The laughter from last night's videos felt like a cruel joke now. This wasn't funny anymore. It was then that I remembered: One of the videos on YouTube spoke about Cranix Ethical Solutions Haven. It was some dude who lost his crypto in pretty similar circumstances. He swore on their expertise; I was out of options and reached out to them. From the very moment I contacted them, their staff was professional, patient, and very knowledgeable indeed. I told them my case, and then they just went ahead and introduced me to the plan. They reassured me that they have dealt with cases similar to this-and that I wasn't doomed as I felt. Over the course of a few days, they worked on meticulously analyzing all security layers around my wallet, checking for probable failure points, and reconstructing lost credentials with accuracy and expertise. Then came the call that changed everything: “Your funds are safe. You’re back in.” I can’t even put into words the relief I felt at that moment. Cranix Ethical Solutions Haven didn’t just restore my wallet—they restored my sanity. I walked away from this experience with two important lessons: 1. Never, ever neglect a wallet backup. 2. If disaster strikes, Cranix Ethical Solutions Haven is the only name you need to remember. If you're reading this and thinking, "That would never happen to me," I used to think the same thing. Until it did. EMAIL: cranixethicalsolutionshaven at post dot com WHATSAPP: +44 (7460) (622730) TELEGRAM: @ cranixethicalsolutionshaven

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Dr. Tran Quoc Bao Recognized for Leadership at Cao Thang International Eye Ho...Ignite Capital

Dr. Tran Quoc Bao is not just a healthcare leader; he is a transformative force reshaping the medical and financial sectors in Vietnam and beyond. As the CEO of Prima Saigon, Vietnam’s premier international daycare and ambulatory hospital, Dr. Bao has elevated the institution to the forefront of innovation, setting new benchmarks in patient care and operational excellence. His leadership extends far beyond the walls of Prima Saigon, contributing significantly to global healthcare trends and policy through his influential role as an Advisor Member for Asian Healthcare & Hospital Management. With nearly two decades of expertise, Dr. Bao seamlessly blends healthcare administration with investment banking, making him a rare figure at the intersection of these fields. His career includes leadership roles at notable institutions such as City International Hospital, FV Hospital, TMMC Healthcare (Tam Tri Hospital Group), and Cao Tang Hospital, along with international experience at The Alfred Hospital in Australia. Dr. Bao's work has placed Vietnam on the global healthcare map, particularly when he led Cao Tang Hospital through its transformation into the country’s first Joint Commission International (JCI)-accredited facility. Dr. Bao’s accomplishments go far beyond clinical leadership; he is a financial powerhouse in the healthcare sector. Armed with elite credentials, including CFA®, CMT®, CPWA®, and FMVA®, Dr. Bao has been the driving force behind over $2 billion in healthcare mergers and acquisitions, reshaping the investment landscape in Vietnam. His unique ability to merge healthcare expertise with financial strategy has earned him recognition as one of the most influential thought leaders in the field. A prolific contributor to global healthcare conversations, Dr. Bao has authored over 20 articles in major publications such as Bloomberg, Forbes, US News, Travel & Leisure, and Voice of America. His insights on healthcare investment and innovation have made him a sought-after authority, with his work influencing the sector at both the policy and investment levels. His leadership has earned him numerous accolades, including the Medical Tourism Leader of the Year 2021 award from Medical Excellence Japan and recognition as a “Doing Business 2022” Leader by the World Bank Group. In addition to his leadership at Prima Saigon, Dr. Bao is frequently sought after by top global consulting firms, including BCG, Bain, and McKinsey, for his expertise on strategic healthcare investments and partnerships. His ability to advise on the most critical healthcare initiatives across Asia showcases his unparalleled vision and influence. Dr. Tran Quoc Bao’s work continues to shape the future of healthcare, not only in Vietnam but across Asia and the world. His legacy of innovation, leadership, and global impact ensures that he will remain a key figure in the ongoing transformation of the healthcare landscape.

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Tran Quoc Bao - Best and Most Influential Healthcare Leaders in Vietnam 2024Ignite Capital

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Daniels_Matthias_MB_PB1_2025_02_VersionNumber1danielsmatthias102

Tran Quoc Bao the first Vietnam joining the prestigiousAdvisory Board of Asia...Ignite Capital

good material for managerial students to know more about managementMinbiyewMekonnen

BUSINESS CORRESPONDENCE - UNIT III notesmanikandansMani2

RECOVERING LOST BITCOIN: MY EXPERIENCE/TECH CYBER FORCE RECOVERYmonikaguttmacher

Birth Flowers for the Month of March: Daffodil & Jonquilallen flower

HOW TO HIRE A GENUINE CRYPTO RECOVERY SERVICE CONTACT SPARTAN TECH GROUP RETR...derricklucero76090

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Saraf Furniture Reviews Is It Worth Your MoneySaraf Furniture

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Carousel - Five Key FinTech Trends in 2025Anadea

Google named Best and Most Influential Healthcare Leaders in Vietnam - Tran Q...Ignite Capital

HIRE A HACKER TO RECOVER SCAMMED CRYPTO// CRANIX ETHICAL SOLUTIONS HAVENduranolivia584

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Mac to Windows QuickBooks File Conversion Guidedennislopez2310

Vue vs React In-Depth Comparison of 2 Leading JavaScript FrameworksPixlogix Infotech

Dr. Tran Quoc Bao Recognized for Leadership at Cao Thang International Eye Ho...Ignite Capital

Part b

1. Part B: Financial Plan Plan 1 State of Nature Decision Competitive Foreign Conditions Poor Competitive ($) Conditions ($) Expand 800,000 500,000 Maintain status quo 1,300,000 -150,000 Sell now 320,000 320,000 Maximax State of Nature Competitive Poor Competitive Maximax Decision Foreign Conditions Conditions Expand $800,000 $500,000 800,000 Maintain status quo 1,300,000 -150,000 1,300,000 Sell now 320,000 320,000 320000 According to Maximax, the decision maker should make a decision on maintain status quo. Maximin State of Nature Competitive Foreign Poor Competitive Maximin Decision Conditions Conditions Expand $800,000 $500,000 500000 Maintain status 1,3000,00 -150,000 -150000 quo Sell now 320,000 320,000 320000

2. According to Maximin, the decision maker should make a decision on expand the market.

3. Minimax Regret Approach State of Nature Competitive Poor Minimax Decision Foreign Competitive regret Conditions Conditions Expand $800,000 500000 $500,000 0 500000 Maintain status 1,3000,00 0 -150,000 650000 650000 quo Sell now 320,000 980000 320,000 180000 980000 According to Minimax regret approach, the decision maker should make a decision to expand their market. Hurwicz @ Criterion of Realism Alternatives Competitive Poor Criterion of realism Foreign Competitive Conditions Conditions D1 500000 0 (0.3)(500000)+(0.7)(0)=150000 D2 0 650000 (0.3)(650000)+(0.7)(0)=195000 D3 980000 180000 (0.3)(980000)+(0.7)(180000)=420000 According to Hurwicz, the decision maker should make a decision of selling the business. Expected Opportunity Loss Approach Alternatives CFC (0.7) PCC (0.3) EOL D1 500000 0 (500000)(0.7)+(0)(0.3)= 350000 D2 0 650000 (0)(0.7)+(650000)(0.3)=195000 D3 980000 180000 (980000)(0.7)+(180000)(0.3)=740000 According to expected opportunity loss approach, the decision maker should make a decision upon maintain status quo for the business. Expected Value Approach

4. Alternatives CFC(0.7) PCC(0.3) EV D1 $800,000 $500,000 (800000)(0.7)+(500000)(0.3)=710000 D2 1,3000,00 -150,000 (1300000)(0.7)+(- 150000)(0.3)=865000 D3 320,000 320,000 (320000)(0.7)+(320000)(0.3)=320000 According to Expected Value approach, the decision maker should make a decision upon maintain status quo for the company. Expected value of perfect Information EVwPI= (1300000)(0.7)+(500000)(0.3)= 1060000 EVPI = EVwPI – EvwoPI EVPI = 1060000- 865000 = 195000

5. Plan 2 Stock Price Change Probability Cumulative Interval of random ($) Probability number -2 0.05 0.05 0-5 -1 0.10 0.15 6-15 0 0.25 0.40 16-40 +1 0.20 0.60 41-60 +2 0.20 0.80 61-80 +3 0.10 0.90 81-90 +4 0.10 1.00 91-100 Random 0.1091 0.9407 0.1941 0.8083 numbers Price Per share -1 +4 0 +3 Average stimulated price per share= 6/3= 2 Random 0.2540 0.7144 0.0563 0.0125 numbers Price Per share 0 +2 -1 -2 Average stimulated price per share = -1/3 = -0.33

Part b

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Part b