- Petrobras provides an update and adjustments to its 2015-2019 Business and Management Plan.
- Key targets include reducing net debt, lowering net leverage below 40% by 2018 and 35% by 2020, prioritizing oil production in Brazil with a focus on pre-salt layers, and generating value for shareholders through capital discipline.
- Investments are reduced by 37% compared to the previous plan, with most funds going to exploration and production, particularly in pre-salt areas of Brazil. Production is expected to increase through new offshore systems coming online over the next few years.
2. DISCLAIMER
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS:
DISCLAIMER
The presentation may contain forward-looking statements about future events within
the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section
21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, that are not based on
historical facts and are not assurances of future results. Such forward-looking
statements merely reflect the Company’s current views and estimates of future
economic circumstances, industry conditions, company performance and financial
results. Such terms as "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "forecast", "intend", "plan",
"project", "seek", "should", along with similar or analogous expressions, are used to
identify such forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned that these
statements are only projections and may differ materially from actual future results
or events. Readers are referred to the documents filed by the Company with the
SEC, specifically the Company’s most recent Annual Report on Form 20-F, which
identify important risk factors that could cause actual results to differ from those
contained in the forward-looking statements, including, among other things, risks
relating to general economic and business conditions, including crude oil and other
commodity prices, refining margins and prevailing exchange rates, uncertainties
inherent in making estimates of our oil and gas reserves including recently
discovered oil and gas reserves, international and Brazilian political, economic and
social developments, receipt of governmental approvals and licenses and our ability
to obtain financing.
We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking
statements, whether as a result of new information or future events or for any other
reason. Figures for 2014 on are estimates or targets.
All forward-looking statements are expressly qualified in their entirety by this
cautionary statement, and you should not place reliance on any forward-looking
statement contained in this presentation.
NON-SEC COMPLIANT OIL AND GAS RESERVES:
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT FOR US INVESTORS
We present certain data in this presentation, such as oil and gas resources, that we
are not permitted to present in documents filed with the United States Securities
and Exchange Commission (SEC) under new Subpart
1200 to Regulation S-K because such terms do not qualify as
proved, probable or possible reserves under Rule 4-10(a)
of Regulation S-X.
3. 3
2015-2019 Business and Management Plan Targets
DELEVERAGE GENERATE VALUE FOR SHAREHOLDERS
Focus on profitability
Capital discipline
Strengthening of performance management
Net Leverage below 40%
Net Debt / EBITDA below 3.0x
By 2018
By 2020
Net Leverage below 35%
Net Debt / EBITDA below 2.5x
Prioritization of oil production
projects in Brazil, focusing on the
pre-salt
E&P
Downstream,
G&P and
Other Areas
Maintenance of Operations
4. 4
Financial Planning Assumptions
Import parity
Oil Product Prices
in Brazil
Preço do Brent
US$ 54/bbl in 2015
US$ 55/bbl in 2016
Under revision for 2017 on
Brent Prices
(Average)
Nominal
Exchange Rate
(Average)
R$/US$
2015
3.28
2016
3.80
2017-2020
Under Revision
No equity issuance
5. 5
Divestments and Restructurings
US$ 42.6 billion as follows:
Businesses restructurings
Demobilization of assets
Additional divestments
Divestments revised to US$ 15.1 billion2015-2016
2017-2018
6. 6
Manageable Operating Costs
Total costs and expenses, excluding costs related to basic materials
2015-2019 BMP
US$ 142 Billion
12.4
(9%)
14.0
(10%)
45.8
(32%)
69.8
(49%)
Other Areas
E&P G&P
Downstream
Efficiency in the management of contracted services
Rationalization of structures and reorganization of
businesses
Optimization of personnel costs
Reduction in the costs of inputs acquisition
Reduction in the transportation costs
Measures for productivity gains
7. 7
Investments
Reduction of 37% relative to 2014-2018 BMP
* Considers only financiability portfolio (implementation + under bidding process)
** Includes Petrobras investments abroad
*** Includes Distribution
6.3
(5%)
12.8
(10%)
2.6
(2%)
108.6
(83%)
Exploration and Production**
Gas & Power
Downstream***
Other Areas
2015-2019 BMP
US$ 130.3 Billion
3,2
(2%)
158,1
(76%)
9,1
(4%)
36,4
(18%)
2014-2018 BMP*
US$ 206.8 Billion
Redução de 37%
3,2
(2%)
158,1
(76%)
9,1
(4%)
36,4
(18%)
37% Reduction
8. 8
Investments By Segment
89.4
(82%)
3.0
(3%) 11.3
(10%)
4.9
(5%)
Operational Support
Investments Abroad
Exploration
Production Development
E&P
US$ 108.6 Billion
1.3
(10%)
1.4
(11%)
8.8
(69%)
1.3
(10%)
Others
Abreu e Lima Refinery
Distribution (BR Distribuidora)
Maintenance and Infrastructure
Downstream
US$ 12.8 Billion
(1%)
5.0
(80%)
0.3
(5%)0.9
(14%)
LNG
Pipelines
Gas Chemical Units
Electricity
G&P
US$ 6.3 Billion
Note: Downstream total amount includes investments in Comperj to receive and treat natural gas, maintenance of equipment, among others.
12. 12
Financial Ratios - Indebtedness
1) As of the 2Q15, the adjusted EBITDA used to calculate the ratio is the sum of the last 12 months
2) Net Debt / (Net Debt + Shareholders Equity)
17. 17
Production Systems on the Pre-Salt Layer
Production peak of 811 kbbl on June 26, 2015, with 40 wells. Petrobras share= 586 kbbl
FPSO Cid. Angra dos Reis
5 production wells
FPSO Cid. Paraty
5 production wells
FPSO Cid. São Paulo
4 production wells
FPSO Cid. Mangaratiba
3 production wells
FPSO Cid. Ilhabela
3 production wells
FPSO Dynamic
Producer
1 production well
P-58 (*)
5 production wells
FPSO Capixaba (*)
2 production wells
FPSO Cid. Anchieta
4 production wells
P-48 (*)
2 production wells
P-53 (*)
4 production wells
EWT
Lula/Iracema
Sapinhoá
Parque das Baleias
Marlim Leste + Marlim
Santos Basin
Pre-salt
Avg. WI – 60%
327 kbbl
Campos Basin
Pre-salt
WI – 100%
259 kbbl
* Post-salt and pre-salt production
FPSO Cid. São Vicente
1 production well
P-20 (*)
1 production well
18. 18
ATAPU
LIBRA
BUZIOS
LULA / IRACEMA
SURURU
JÚPITER
SÉPIA
SUL DE SURURU
OESTE DE ATAPU
SUL DE LULA
CARCARÁ
CARAMBA
LAPASAPINHOÁ
NORTE DE BERBIGÃO
ITAPÚ
SUL DE SAPINHOÁ
SAGITÁRIO
BERBIGÃO
SUL DE BERBIGÃO
IRACEMA
NORTE DE SURURU
Pre-Salt Performance
Fast production growth, low lifting cost and continuous reduction of well-construction time
Average Reduction
17% p.a.
days
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
PRODUCTION SHARING
TRANSFER OF RIGHTS
CONCESSION
Daily Production Record
811 th. bpd on Jun. 26th
AverageMonthlyProduction
(kbpd)
SANTOS BASIN
PRE-SALT
POLE
*Lula/Iracema field
19. 19* Top 5 fields in average productivity per well. Sources: Norwegian Petroleum Directorate and Bureau of Ocean Energy Management
Pre-salt Productivity
Average productivity above 30 kbpd
Apr/15, Source: NPDMay/15May/15 Apr/15, Source: BOEM
20. 20
Adjustments on Offshore Projects Schedule = 2015-2019 BMP
Variations on production systems first-oil years in comparison with 2014-18 BMP
1 year delay
Rev. of Marlim
Lula Sul
Atapu Sul
Berbigão
Sépia
Búzios 1
2 years delay
Lula Norte
Búzios 4
3 years delay
Lula Oeste
Búzios 2
After 2020
ES Águas Profundas
SE Águas Profundas 1
Parque das Baleias Sul
Maromba 1
Carcará
Júpiter
Espadarte 3
SE Águas Profundas 2
Rev. of Marlim 2
Itapu
No alteration
Iracema Norte
Lapa
Lula Alto
Lula Central
Tartaruga Verde e
Mestiça
Lula Ext. Sul / Sul de
Lula
Búzios 3
Iara NE / Atapu Norte
Búzios 5
Libra
Post-salt
Pre-salt
21. 21
New Offshore Production Systems in Brazil
Average capacity of oil processing is150 kbpd and production peak in 2 years
2.0
2.1
2.2
2.8
2.0
2.1
1,4
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
millionbpd
PAPA TERRA
(Mar/15)
IRACEMA
NORTE
(3Q)
LULA ALTO
(1H)
LULA CENTRAL
(1H)
LAPA
(2H)
TLD de LIBRA
(2H)
LULA SUL
Replicant FPSO
BÚZIOS 1
FPSO ToR
BÚZIOS 3
FPSO ToR
TARTARUGA
VERDE E
MESTIÇA
LULA EXT. SUL
Replicant FPSO
LULA NORTE
Replicant FPSO
ATAPU NORTE/
PILOTO SURURU
Replicant FPSO
ATAPU SUL
Replicant FPSO
BÚZIOS 2
FPSO ToR
BÚZIOS 4
FPSO ToR
SÉPIA
REVITALIZAÇÃO
DE MARLIM 1
BÚZIOS 5
BERBIGÃO /
SURURU
Replicant FPSO
PRE –SALT
(CONCESSION)
TRANSFER OF
RIGHTS
POST -SALT
PRODUCTION
SHARING
To be
contracted
LIBRA PILOT
LULA OESTE
+ New Systems
Current Systems Production
+ Ramp-up + Complementary