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Resource efficiency and resource-policy aspects of the electro-mobility system - Results
1. Resource efficiency and resource-policy aspects of
the electro-mobility system - Results
Contact: Dr. Matthias Buchert
m.buchert@oeko.de
Sponsored by:
November 2011
2. Selected results
This presentation outlines some of the results, together with
conclusions and recommendations for action.
The detailed results, including the underlying data, are contained in the
comprehensive report.
The report is available at www.resourcefever.org and www.oeko.de
3. Agenda
Introduction (background to the study)
Prioritising the elements
Market scenarios
Components of e-mobility and their resource needs
Outcomes of the scenarios
Environmental aspects
Recycling
Growth of overall demand / other sectors in terms of critical metals
Conclusions and recommendations for action
4. OPTUM resources
Title:
Resource efficiency and resource-policy aspects of the electro-
mobility system*
Objectives:
Analysis of the resource aspects of the electro-mobility system
(excluding batteries)**, taking account of recycling options and
outlook
Identification of important new technological developments that
impact on resource requirements
Early identification of possible bottlenecks or critical points in
terms of resource policy, and development of corresponding
strategies
* Covers all the specific components of electric vehicles including charging stations
** Batteries in electric vehicles are analysed in detail in the LiBRi and LithoRec projects
5. Priority elements
The 15 priority elements of electromobility*:
silver
gold
copper
dysprosium
neodymium
praseodymium
terbium
gallium
germanium
indium
palladium
platinum
(ruthenium)
(lithium) * Lithium and cobalt are not considered further in the project since scenarios for these
metals are being prepared in the LithoRec project
(cobalt) Ruthenium was downgraded in the course of the project because no significant
contribution was identified
6. Priority elements
The priority elements were agreed with experts at the first Expert Workshop
held in Berlin in September 2010.
Prioritisation decisions were based on the need for the material in electric
vehicles but also on competing uses: e.g.
The rare earths (neodymium, praseodymium, dysprosium, terbium)
are needed in particular for permanent magnets (electric motors in e-
vehicles). There are also competing applications – such as wind
turbines – that are growing very rapidly.
Indium is used in electric vehicles in the power electronics. The very
rapid growth in competing applications such as PV systems and the
potentials in terms of primary resources (minor metal) place indium
clearly in the group of critical metals (e.g. the EU’s 14 critical metals).
7. Selection of the market scenarios
Five studies were considered:
IEA 2009
McKinsey & Co., 2010
McKinsey & Co., 2009
The Boston Consulting Group, 2009
Fraunhofer ISI, 2009
Selection of the McKinsey & Co. study of 2009 because it
meets the following criteria:
Describes the market share of different types of electric motor for
the years 2020 & 2030.
Depicts the broadest possible range of possible developments.
Is internally consistent and can be compared with the alternative
scenarios.
8. Three global scenarios (McKinsey 2009)
Structure of new passenger vehicle registrations categorised by
propulsion type 2020 2030
100% 1% 1% 3% 5%
0.5% 0.6%
2.3% 2.7% 6%
90% 10% 10%
2.3% 2.7% 6%
1.0% 18% 2.0% 3%
80% 10%
8%
70% 23%
60%
28%
50% 99% 99%
84%
40%
74%
30% 58%
20% 40%
10%
0%
Optimized ICEs Mixed Hybrid and Optimized ICEs Mixed Hybrid and
technology electric technology electric
ICE HEV BEV PHEV REX FCEV
9. Three global scenarios (McKinsey 2009)
Annual registrations of new passenger vehicles with (partially)
electric motor [in million vehicles]
60
2020 2030
4
50
Starting scenarios for 9
the consideration of
40 resources
3 9
6
30 7
6
Alternative moderate
scenario 3
20 0.5
2
2
2
0.4 25
10 2 21
2
0.8 14
8
1 1
0
Optimized ICEs Mixed Hybrid and Optimized ICEs Mixed Hybrid and
technology electric technology electric
HEV BEV PHEV REX FCEV
10. Summary
Components – material requirements 2010
Blank ≙ Material not used Hatched – conventional powertrain
Praseodymium
≙ Amount per vehicle in the mg range
Dysprosium
Neodymium
Germanium
Ruthenium
Palladium
Platinum
≙ Amount per vehicle in the g range
Terbium
Gallium
Copper
Indium
Silver
Gold
≙ Amount per vehicle in the kg range
Electric motor
Power electronics
Battery / cables
Fuel cell components
(FC system module, -stack, H2 tank)
Standard in-car cabling
Charging station / pillar incl.
charging cable
Other electric applications
(steering, brakes, electronics)
ICE applications (catalytic converter,
combustion engine, alternator)
11. The scenarios
Market scenarios
Material coefficients
(ambitious)
2010=2020=2030
Outcome I
(baseline) Material efficiency
Outcome II
(innovation)
Estimate of recycling
Outcome III
(recycling)
Partial replacement of
the PSM by ESM in BEV,
FC, Rex
Outcome IV
(substitution) PSM = permanently excited synchronous motor
ESM = externally excited synchronous motor FC = fuel cell
BEV = battery electric vehicle Rex = range extender
12. The baseline scenario
Primary resource requirement for electric passenger vehicles worldwide / total
primary production in 2010 (in %)
Hatched: incl. requirements for ICE passenger
vehicles (for Cu: starter, alternator; for Pt, Pd:
catalytic convertor) and ICE applications in e-
vehicles (catalytic convertor, standard cabling,
brakes etc)
2010 PKW
2020 PKW
2030 PKW
Baseline scenario for hybrid and electric:
ambitious market penetration
Material coefficients 2010 = 2020 = 2030 (except for platinum) PKW = passenger vehicles
13. The innovation scenario
Primary resource requirement for electric passenger vehicles worldwide / total
primary Primärbedarfin 2010 (in %)
production Elektro-PKW Welt / Gesamt-Primärproduktion 2010 (in %)
287 %
200%
2010 PKW
2020 PKW
2030 PKW
100%
0%
Neodym
Neodymium Praseodymium Dysprosium
Praseodym Dysprosium Terbium
Terbium Gallium
Gallium
Innovation scenario:
ambitious market penetration of hybrid and electric
minus innovation potentials/material efficiency PKW = passenger vehicles
14. The recycling scenario
Primary resource requirement for electric passenger vehicles worldwide / total primary
production in 2010 (in Elektro-PKW Welt / Gesamt-Primärproduktion 2010 (in %)
Primärbedarf %)
200%
2010 PKW
2020 PKW
2030 PKW
100%
0%
Neodymium
Neodym Praseodymium Dysprosium
Praseodym Dysprosium Terbium
Terbium Gallium
Gallium
Recycling scenario:
ambitious market penetration of hybrid and electric
minus innovation potentials
minus recycling PKW = passenger vehicles
15. Recycling rates*
2010 2020 2030
rare earths
0% 60% 80%
(Dy, Tb, Nd, Pr)
Pt, Pd 55% 70% 80%
Ag, Au 2% 15% 40%
Cu 50% 75% 80%
Ga 0% 10% 25%
In, Ge 0% 5% 15%
* Recovery rates from the automobile system
16. The substitution scenario
Primary resource requirement for electric passenger vehicles worldwide%)total primary
Primärbedarf Elektro-PKW Welt / Gesamt-Primärproduktion 2010 (in /
production in 2010 (in %)
200%
2010 PKW
2020 PKW
2030 PKW
100%
0%
Neodymium
Neodym Praseodymium
Praseodym Dysprosium
Dysprosium Terbium
Terbium Gallium
Gallium
Substitution scenario:
material requirements for ambitious market penetration of hybrid and electric
minus innovation potentials
minus recycling
minus substitution of electric engine for BEV, FC, Rex (33% of e-vehicles in 2030)
17. The moderate scenario
Primary resource requirement for electric passenger vehicles worldwide / total primary
production in 2010 (in %)
200%
2010 PKW
2020 PKW
2030 PKW
100%
0%
Neodymium
Neodym Praseodymium
Praseodym Dysprosium
Dysprosium Terbium
Terbium Gallium
Gallium
moderate market penetration of mixed technology
minus innovation potentials
minus recycling
minus substitution of electric engines
replacement of amb. by moderate market scenario PKW = passenger vehicles
18. Gallium profile 1/2
Reserves: 28 billion tonnes of bauxite
250 million tonnes of zinc ore
Primary production 2010: 106 tonnes Ga Stat. reach:
(211 million tonnes bauxite production) 133 years (bauxite)
( 12 million tonnes zinc production) 21 years (zinc)
Major metal: no always minor metal
Natural ores: Bauxite (50 ppm Ga); of which 50% in solution in the
Bayer process – 80% of this can be extracted
Zinc (up to 0.01% Ga)
Demand growth (in % per year)
by 2020*: Ga: approx.16% (derived from EU study 2010)
Zinc growth 2-3.5% (source: BGR 2007)
Alu: 1 – 2.3% (source: BGR 2007) Ga potential from
current bauxite
2020 – 2030*: Ga: approx. 14% (derived from EU study 2010) production is far
Zinc growth 2-3.5% (source: BGR 2007)
Alu: 1 – 2.3% (source: BGR 2007) from being fully
utilised
*Base year 2010
19. Gallium profile 2/2
EOL recycling rate 2010: < 1%
Assessment of gallium recycling
Post-consumer recycling at present only rudimentary (Umicore).
Gallium recycling from production processes is better established.
Future recycling potentials for gallium 2020 / 2030:
Currently unpredictable. Most applications are dissipative in nature;
there will be a sharp increase in quantities used in future.
20. Nd, Dy, Tb, Pr profile 1/5
Reserves: approx. 24 million tonnes
Primary production 2010: approx. 35,355 tonnes Nd, Dy*, Tb*, Pr
oxides
* Dy: 1.980 t (Source BGR 2011) Stat. reach: 679
* Tb: 375 t (Source BGR 2011) years
Major metal: associated with other REOs
Natural ores: bastnaesite, xenotime, monazite, ion
adsorption/deposit
Demand growth (in % per year)
to 2020*: approx. 10% (average estimate)
2020 – 2030*: approx. 10% (average estimate)
*Base year 2010
21. Extraction of rare earths 2/5
Tailings:
Waste rock (impoundment
storage areas or
stockpiles)
Further
Mining Milling Flotation
processing
(~1-10% REO) (~60% REO)
Ores with low
concentrate
concentration
23. Environmental risks in the
extraction of REs – Summary 4/5
Primary extraction of rare earths is usually associated with
radioactive pollution
Residues remain mainly in the form of tailings, which are stored
in large basins: heavy metal pollution etc.
In-situ leaching poses major risks to groundwater
Separation and refining of rare earths and their compounds
requires large quantities of chemicals and energy
As a result of the huge problems in China, the government has
adopted extensive plans to optimise and consolidate operations
(closure of small mines) over the next 5 years
24. Rare earths profile 5/5
EOL recycling rate 2010: < 1%
Assessment of rare earth recycling (Nd, Pr, Dy, Tb):
Reports on pre-consumer recycling, mainly in Asia, indicate:
recovery of grinding sludge from magnet manufacture,
recovery of rare earths from nickel-metal hydride batteries (Mischmetal).
Future recycling potentials for rare earths (Nd, Pr, Dy, Tb) 2020 /
2030:
For heavy rare earth oxides the BGR estimates a recycling rate in 2015 of 10% of
the supply. On account of rising prices for REs, rapidly rising demand and scarcity
of primary supply, increased research & development and initial implementation of
recycling schemes can be expected: see Rhodia’s announcement of recycling of
REs from compact fluorescent lamps.
25. Environmental impact of primary
extraction per kg of extracted metal
2
21
130
150
180
210
10 000
15 600
18 800
Source: ecoinvent 2010
26. Environmental impact of primary
extraction per kg of extracted metal
No data available for gallium, germanium, ruthenium, rare earths
27. Global environmental impact of primary
production as a result of demand for electric
vehicles*
Baseline scenario in million tonnes CO2-equivalents
0.06 Hatched: incl. requirements for ICE vehicles (for Cu:
Gold
Gold
0.18 starter, alternator; for Pt, Pd: catalytic convertor) and
0.01 / 0.02
ICE applications in e-vehicles (catalytic convertor,
Silver
Silber standard cabling, brakes etc)
0.04 / 0.05
0.21 2.82
Platinum
Platin
0.67 3.48
0.01 1.99
Palladium
Palladium 0.04 2.16
Rare 2020
Seltene 0.19
Eaths
Erden 0.66
2030
Germanium
Germanium < 0.005
< 0.005
Indium
Indium < 0.005
< 0.005
0.01
Gallium
Gallium
0.03
0.91 3.44
Copper
Kupfer
3.15 5.94
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00
* Excluding consideration of the battery
Current GWP was held constant for 2020 and 2030
28. Global environmental impact of primary
production as a result of demand for electric
vehicles *
Mio. tonnes CO22-equivalents
Mio. Tonnen CO -Äquivalente
SEM 0.19
Baseline
REM 0.66
Basis-
scenario
Szenario Cu 0.91 3.44
Cu 3.15 5.94
SEM 0.17
Innovation REM 0.45
Innovations-
scenario
Szenario Cu 0.82 3.23
Cu 2.55 5.07
SEM 0.17
Recycling
Recycling-
REM 0.31
Szenario
scenario 0.81 1.65
Cu
Cu 1.90 2.49
0.10
Substitution REM
Substitutions- SEM 0.12
scenario
Szenario
Cu
Cu 1.05 1.90
2.70 3.29
SEM 0.06
Moderate
Moderates REM 0.11
Szenario
scenario 0.75 1.63
Cu
Cu 1.88 2.67
0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00
Cu = copper * Excluding consideration of the battery
REM = rare earth metal Current GWP was held constant for 2020 and 2030
29. Reduction in material consumption
attributable to electric vehicles
Electric mobility (fuel cells and fully electric passenger vehicles)
means that the following components and metals contained in
conventional vehicles are no longer required:
• engine (copper, aluminium, steel / ferrous materials)
• exhaust (copper, steel / ferrous materials)
• fuel system (steel / ferrous materials)
• catalytic convertor (platinum, palladium)
Copper Platinum Palladium Aluminium Steel
Saving 2020
in tonnes of material ca. 4 500 4 5 ca. 66 700 ca. 250 400
in tonnes of CO2-equivalents ca. 8 600 ca. 70 000 ca. 52 700 ca. 826 000 ca. 415 300
Saving 2030
in tonnes of material ca. 26 500 26 31 ca. 394 000 ca. 1 479 200
in tonnes of CO2-equivalents ca. 51 000 ca. 412 400 ca. 311 400 ca. 4 879 500 ca. 2 453 200
In relation to the baseline scenario for 2020 or 2030
30. Summary of present recycling
situation*
Recycling rates (EOL-RR)* of the relevant elements
*EOL-RR = End-of-life recycling rate (post consumer)
> 50%
> 25-50%
> 10-25%
1-10%
< 1%
Source: Graedel, Buchert et.al UNEP 2011 * Excluding consideration of the battery metals
31. Recyclability of top-priority elements
Element Recyclability Assessment
Palladium
Recycling precious metals presents no metallurgical problem. The most
Silver important requirement is appropriate pre-treatment of the products so
Platinum that the precious metals are actually removed for recycling / refining and
are not lost in other compounds as a result of unsuitable processing.
Gold
Copper is used as a “collector” for precious metals in pyrometallurgical
Copper processes and can be recovered by leaching and electrical
precipitation.
Gallium In low concentrations there are virtually no opportunities for economic
recycling; recyclability increases with increasing concentration. In pyro-
processes (Hoboken) Ga and Ge are vaporised and pass into the fly
Germanium
ash.
Losses of In and Ru would be high if these elements were to be
Indium
introduced right at the start of the recycling process, even in prepared
form; better recovery rates are achieved for both if Ru is fed into the
Ruthenium pyrometallurgical pre-concentration of precious metals, or if In is fed into
the lead process; however, without pre-concentration losses are high.
Praseodymium As trace elements forming part of the mix in complex materials, e.g. in
combination with precious metals, rare earth ores usually pass into the
slag where they are diluted to such an extent that recycling is not
Neodymoim
worthwhile.
Recyclability is greater if high concentrations of rare earth ores are
Terbium present in the product (see permanent magnets) or if the slag is enriched
(see UHT). Recycling and preparation processes are currently being
Dysprosium developed / some solutions are already available.
32. Summing up: The environment and
recycling 1/3
The following statements do not cover the largest component – the battery
CO2-equivalents:
The copper requirement of electro-mobility plays the largest role, followed by
platinum for fuel cells and rare earths for electric motors.
A similar picture applies to acidifiers, photochemical oxidation, over-fertilisation
and cumulated energy requirement.
In terms of ADP copper also makes the largest absolute contribution
Classical life-cycle assessments do not adequately depict the specific
environmental impact potential: in the case of rare earths specific impact factors
such as radioactivity etc. have substantial relevance.
Recycling:
Established systems exist for recycling copper and precious metals – the main
issue here is collection of the materials.
For special metals (rare earths, indium etc.) extensive research and
development is needed.
33. Summing up: The environment and
recycling 2/3
The following statements do not cover the largest component – the battery
Good recycling systems have clear environmental benefits (as
experiences with precious metals show).
A rough calculation of the savings of classical materials for ICE passenger
vehicles shows significant raw material savings and corresponding reduction
of environmental impacts (steel etc.).
The findings show where important environmental impacts and benefits arise.
They by no means have the same weight as the findings of life-cycle
assessments, because
A) the battery was completely excluded
B) the manufacturing processes of electrical components and specific
components of ICE vehicles were not taken into account.
34. Summing up: The environment and
recycling 3/3
For future projects there are the challenges of comprehensive inventorising
and evaluation of the environmental impacts and benefits of the various
components of electric mobility: life-cycle assessment procedures
supplemented by additional considerations (see rare earths).
It is important not to underestimate the level of complexity (different
components involving a very wide range of materials, manufacturing
processes with a major secrecy element and dynamic developments).
Calculating future relative environmental impacts (per production unit) for the
production of metals etc. is a challenging task since it needs to include the
development of environmental standards, electricity generation costs etc. in
many different countries.
Care should therefore be taken to avoid over-hasty conclusions when
assessing the environmental impacts and benefits of electric mobility.
35. Nd requirements of e-mobility in the scenarios
and total requirement across all applications
Source: IMCOA 2011 (total Nd requirement 2015), Öko-Institut 2011
36. Dy requirements of e-mobility in the scenarios
and total requirement across all applications
Sources: BGR 2011 (Dy production 2010), IMCOA 2011 (total Dy requirement 2015), Öko-Institut 2011
37. Tb requirements of e-mobility in the scenarios
and total requirement across all applications
Sources: BGR 2011 (Tb production 2010), IMCOA 2011 (total requirement 2015), Öko-Institut
38. Ga requirements of e-mobility in the scenarios
and total requirement across all applications
Sources: USGS 2011 (Ga production 2010), EU critical raw materials 2010 (total Ga requirement 2020), Öko-Institut
39. Rare earth applications: current
distribution (Nd, Pr, Dy, Tb)
Neodymium use:
approx. 77% in magnets,
approx. 12% in batteries,
and approx. 3% in ceramics, approx.
2% glass, approx. 1% catalytic
convertors, approx. 5% other
Praseodymium use:
approx. 71% in magnets,
approx. 10% in batteries,
approx. 6% in polishing powder,
and approx. 5% in ceramics, 3%
catalytic convertors, 1% glass, 4% other
Dysprosium use:
100% in magnets
Terbium use:
approx. 11% in magnets,
approx. 89% in illuminants
Calculation performed by the Öko-Institut
40. Other rare earth applications: Future
distribution
Growth rates are rising faster for magnet applications (approx. 12.5% per year
to 2014) than for other applications (5-8% per year).
The proportions of neodymium and praseodymium used for magnet
applications will rise to approx. 80% and 74% respectively. These proportions
may increase further by 2020 or 2030.
The future requirement for dysprosium will be determined entirely by magnet
applications. In the case of terbium illuminants will continue to dominate until
2014, accounting for 87%; magnet applications for terbium are also becoming
slightly more important (approx. 13% in 2014)
As far as we can currently tell, magnet applications will remain
the key growth driver for neodymium, praseodymium and
dysprosium until 2020 or 2030*
* Providing no revolutionary new motors or magnet technologies are
Calculation performed by the Öko-Institut introduced.
41. Rare earth applications: Various magnet
applications
Within magnet applications, only very small percentages are attributable to
electric mobility (passenger vehicles) in 2010:
for neodymium and praseodymium the proportion is approx. 0.25% of all
magnet applications,
for dysprosium it is approx. 1.4%,
for terbium it is approx. 5.7%
New wind power technology will account for approx. 2% of neodymium
(praseodymium) and approx. 5% of dysprosium.
In 2010 magnet applications continue to be dominated by a wide
range of classical applications such as PCs, notebooks,
medicine, loudspeakers, electric motors for industry, other
industrial applications, and many more.
Calculation performed by the Öko-Institut
42. Rare earth applications: Various
magnet applications
The findings of the OPTUM resources work package and other Öko-Institut
studies of rare earths and wind energy show that both these new technologies
are likely to account for a much larger proportion of all neodymium magnet
applications than they do now.
For neodymium and praseodymium the proportion of neodymium magnet
applications for which they account could rise to up to 12% by 2020 and to 12-
25% by 2030.
For dysprosium the proportion attributable to electric mobility could rise to
60% by 2020 and to 65-90% by 2030.
By 2020 or 2030 electric mobility will account for a significant
proportion of rare earth magnet applications. This is particularly
true for dysprosium. Wind power will also require increasing
percentages: both applications will be major drivers of future
demand.
Calculation performed by the Öko-Institut
43. Ga requirement by application
≈ 370 t
≈ 270 t
≈ 140 t
Source: EU critical raw materials 2010
44. Resource efficiency and resource-policy aspects of
the electro-mobility system
- Conclusions and recommendations for action
Sponsored by:
45. Conclusions 1/2
Supplies of rare earths (esp. Dy, Tb, Nd, Pr) are particularly critical. Recycling
will be an important option for reducing scarcity but is not the sole solution for
meeting future demands.
Gallium is used in many types of application (e.g. PV, LED). The requirement
for it is likely to rise sharply. If demand growth is strong, supply will not
become critical in the short term but it will do so in the long term.
Indium does not make a crucial contribution to electric mobility.
BUT: There are many competing areas of application with rapid growth rates.
Indium occurs only as a minor metal and must therefore be watched closely.
Germanium does not make a crucial contribution to electric mobility.
BUT: Rapid growth rates could occur in other applications (e.g. fibre optic
technology, LEDs) and we lack basic information on germanium (the
“phantom” element) and growth in demand for it.
46. Conclusions 2/2
The precious metals silver, gold, palladium and platinum also play a part
in components for electric mobility: platinum, in particular, is important for fuel-
cell vehicles. On the other hand, the development of electric mobility in terms
of fully electric vehicles may reduce demand pressure on platinum and
palladium by doing away with the need for catalytic convertors.
The current critical supply situation of some rare earths serves as a
warning that, despite extensive global geological reserves, shortages can
occur – at least temporarily – if geopolitical factors (extraction restricted
almost entirely to one country) goes hand in hand with very rapidly rising
demand growth. There are lessons to be learnt from this for the future so that
appropriate action can be taken promptly and proactively (through timely
exploration and development of deposits, diversification of supply, promotion
of recycling etc.)
47. Recommendations for action 1/4
In view of the risk of a “bottleneck” in the supply of rare earths,
different relief strategies need to be pursued simultaneously
R&D into reduction of REs (esp. Dy) in magnets for e-engines and
into RE-free e-engines
Responsible: Government ministries for promotion programmes,
OEMs (manufacturers of electric engines, magnet manufacturers)
and the scientific community with regard to innovation
Development of recycling technologies for permanent magnets from
different applications
Responsible: Government ministries for promotion programmes,
the recycling industry, the scientific community
Promotion of environmentally friendly primary production of REs
(standards!)
Responsible: German government and EU Commission via
international negotiations, companies involved in rare earth mining
48. Recommendations for action 2/4
Promotion of more environmentally sound mining of critical
metals
There is significant potential to make better use of natural
resources by improving extraction rates in the primary production
and processing of many metals (e.g. rare earths). For important
minor metals such as indium potential also exists in the form of
unused residues at mining sites now partly closed.
Responsible: BGR and institutes involved in mining and
processing that can prospect for mining residues and promote
technical cooperation and knowhow transfer in relation to
optimised extraction
49. Recommendations for action 3/4
Development of recycling strategies and technologies for the
recycling of power electronics from EOL electric vehicles
Recovery of copper, gallium, precious metals etc.
Responsible: Government ministries for promotion
programmes, the recycling industry and the scientific community
General research needs:
Analysis of potential and opportunities available in “conventional”
electronics and special magnet applications in future vehicles of
all types in terms of precious and special metals incl. rare earths
Responsible: Government ministries for promotion programmes
and OEMs (manufacturers of auto electronics and magnets)
50. Recommendations for action 4/4
Significant increases are expected in the use of gallium, indium and
germanium in other applications: it is at present unclear whether
growth rates – and hence supply risks – resulting from technological
revolutions such as LED or PV (post Fukushima) are still being
underestimated:
the medium- and long-term effects on e-mobility need to be
explored and solution strategies developed.
Responsible: Government ministries for promotion programmes
51. Final comments
Despite the challenges associated with supplying the specific raw
materials needed for electric mobility, it is important not to
underestimate the positive environmental effects (e.g. reduced use of
classical components and materials) and the other dimensions of
sustainability (e.g. new added value and jobs through innovative
recycling structures).
In the discussion it is extremely important not to ignore the significant
emission reduction potentials of electric mobility in the use phase,
provided that appropriate use is made of green electricity.