Media webcast presentation Royal Dutch Shell third quarter 2011 results
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Simon Henry, Chief Financial Officer of Royal Dutch Shell will host a live audio webcast of the 2011 third quarter results on Thursday October 27 2011, 09:00 BST (10:00 CEST / 04:00 EDT).
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Media webcast presentation Royal Dutch Shell third quarter 2011 results
1. ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
THIRD QUARTER 2011 RESULTS
THE HAGUE
OCTOBER 27, 2011
1 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 27/10/2011
2. ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
THIRD QUARTER 2011 RESULTS
SIMON HENRY
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
2 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 27/10/2011
3. DEFINITIONS AND CAUTIONARY NOTE
The companies in which Royal Dutch Shell plc directly and indirectly owns investments are separate entities. In this presentation “Shell”, “Shell group” and “Royal Dutch Shell”
are sometimes used for convenience where references are made to Royal Dutch Shell plc and its subsidiaries in general. Likewise, the words “we”, “us” and “our” are also used
to refer to subsidiaries in general or to those who work for them. These expressions are also used where no useful purpose is served by identifying the particular company or
companies. ‘‘Subsidiaries’’, “Shell subsidiaries” and “Shell companies” as used in this presentation refer to companies in which Royal Dutch Shell either directly or indirectly
has control, by having either a majority of the voting rights or the right to exercise a controlling influence. The companies in which Shell has significant influence but not control
are referred to as “associated companies” or “associates” and companies in which Shell has joint control are referred to as “jointly controlled entities”. In this presentation,
associates and jointly controlled entities are also referred to as “equity-accounted investments”. The term “Shell interest” is used for convenience to indicate the direct and/or
indirect (for example, through our 24% shareholding in Woodside Petroleum Ltd.) ownership interest held by Shell in a venture, partnership or company, after exclusion of all
third-party interest.
This presentation contains forward-looking statements concerning the financial condition, results of operations and businesses of Royal Dutch Shell. All statements other than
statements of historical fact are, or may be deemed to be, forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are statements of future expectations that are based on
management’s current expectations and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ
materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. Forward-looking statements include, among other things, statements concerning the potential exposure of Royal
Dutch Shell to market risks and statements expressing management’s expectations, beliefs, estimates, forecasts, projections and assumptions. These forward-looking statements
are identified by their use of terms and phrases such as ‘‘anticipate’’, ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could’’, ‘‘estimate’’, ‘‘expect’’, ‘‘intend’’, ‘‘may’’, ‘‘plan’’, ‘‘objectives’’, ‘‘outlook’’,
‘‘probably’’, ‘‘project’’, ‘‘will’’, ‘‘seek’’, ‘‘target’’, ‘‘risks’’, ‘‘goals’’, ‘‘should’’ and similar terms and phrases. There are a number of factors that could affect the future
operations of Royal Dutch Shell and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this presentation, including
(without limitation): (a) price fluctuations in crude oil and natural gas; (b) changes in demand for Shell’s products; (c) currency fluctuations; (d) drilling and production results;
(e) reserves estimates; (f) loss of market share and industry competition; (g) environmental and physical risks; (h) risks associated with the identification of suitable potential
acquisition properties and targets, and successful negotiation and completion of such transactions; (i) the risk of doing business in developing countries and countries subject to
international sanctions; (j) legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments including potential litigation and regulatory measures as a result of climate changes; (k) economic and
financial market conditions in various countries and regions; (l) political risks, including the risks of expropriation and renegotiation of the terms of contracts with governmental
entities, delays or advancements in the approval of projects and delays in the reimbursement for shared costs; and (m) changes in trading conditions. All forward-looking
statements contained in this presentation are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements contained or referred to in this section. Readers should not place
undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Additional factors that may affect future results are contained in Royal Dutch Shell’s 20-F for the year ended 31 December,
2010 (available at www.shell.com/investor and www.sec.gov ). These factors also should be considered by the reader. Each forward-looking statement speaks only as of the
date of this presentation, 27 October 2011. Neither Royal Dutch Shell nor any of its subsidiaries undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking
statement as a result of new information, future events or other information. In light of these risks, results could differ materially from those stated, implied or inferred from the
forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. There can be no assurance that dividend payments will match or exceed those set out in this presentation in the
future, or that they will be made at all.
We use certain terms in this presentation, such as discovery potential, that the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) guidelines strictly prohibit us from
including in filings with the SEC. U.S. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No 1-32575, available on the SEC website www.sec.gov.
You can also obtain these forms from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330.
3 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 27/10/2011
5. PRICES AND MARGINS
SHELL OIL & GAS REALISATIONS INDUSTRY REFINING MARGINS INDUSTRY CHEMICALS MARGINS
$/BARREL $/MSCF $/BARREL $/TONNE
US ETHANE
US WEST COAST ROTTERDAM COMPLEX
OIL GAS (RHS) WESTERN EUROPE NAPHTHA
US GULF COAST COKING SINGAPORE
NE/SE ASIA NAPHTHA
* Q211 SINGAPORE MARGIN IS ZERO • Q3 2011 CHEMICAL MARGINS: BASED ON AVAILABLE
PRICES/MARGINS AT THE END OF THE QUARTER
5 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 27/10/2011
6. Q3 2011 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
CCS EARNINGS ($ BILLION) Q3 2010 TO Q3 2011
$ BILLION
Q310 Q311
UPSTREAM 3.4 5.4
DOWNSTREAM (CCS) 1.5 1.8
BUSINESS SEGMENTS TOTAL 4.9 7.2
CORPORATE & MINORITIES 0.0 (0.2)
CCS NET EARNINGS 4.9 7.0
CCS EARNINGS, $ PER SHARE 0.80 1.12
CASH FROM OPERATIONS 9.0 11.6
SHARE BUY BACKS - 0.8
DIVIDENDS 2.6 2.6
DIVIDEND, $ PER SHARE 0.42 0.42
EARNINGS CCS BASIS, EARNINGS AND EPS EXCLUDING IDENTIFIED ITEMS
6 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 27/10/2011
7. UPSTREAM PERFORMANCE
EARNINGS OIL & GAS PRODUCTION
$ BILLION MILLION BOE/D MILLION TONNES
OTHER UPSTREAM INTEGRATED GAS GAS OIL LNG SALES (MLN TONNES)
EXCLUDING IDENTIFIED ITEMS
7 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 27/10/2011
9. CASH PERFORMANCE 12 MONTHS
BUSINESSES GROUP
$ BILLION $ BILLION
UPSTREAM DOWNSTREAM SOURCES USES
SOURCES
USES
SOURCES
USES
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS EXCL. NET ACQUISITIONS
MOVEMENTS IN WORKING CAPITAL CAPEX (EXCL. ACQUISITIONS) + EQUITY ACC. INVESTMENTS
ASSET SALES PAY-OUT
9 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 27/10/2011
10. PERFORMANCE FOCUS
CAPITAL EFFICIENCY
2011 ASSET SALES DIVESTMENT PROCEEDS
$ BILLION CUMULATIVE
CORPORATE
Gas infrastructure
UPSTREAM
Harburg refinery
Stanlow DOWNSTREAM
Wildcat Hills LPG business worldwide
/Woodenhouse
U.S. Car Care
South Texas GOM Assets Pakistan
Altamira Dominican
14 countries
Republic
Africa
Cano Sur Nigeria
Chile DW assets Clyde*
Brazil
Downstream Deal complete
Upstream Q3 announcement
* CONVERSION INTO TERMINAL
10 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 27/10/2011
11. DELIVERING NEW GROWTH
PORTFOLIO PROGRESS Q3 2011
Canada AOSP Oil Sands: Green Corridor FID: LNG for UK North Sea:
• Expansion-1 project delivered transport Clair Phase 2 FID
• Debottlenecking • 0.3 mtpa LNG plant • 120 kboe/d peak potential
• market LNG to transport sector • Shell 28%
Ukraine Australia:
Acme West gas discovery
• Shell 33%
Australia:
Wheatstone LNG FID
Colombia • 8.9 mtpa; Shell 6.4%
Australia:
Arrow LNG FEED
• 8 mtpa potential in 2 trains
• Shell 50%; PetroChina 50%
Australia: Bow Energy
• Proposed acquisition*
• Additional gas for Arrow LNG
French Guiana Tanzania Qatar: Pearl GTL NZ: Great South Basin
• Zaedyus discovery • 15,000 km2 exploration acreage • Train 1 delivered • 32,000 km2 exploration acreage
• New oil play • New well currently drilling • Train 2 start-up by end ’11 • 3D seismic to start in Q4
• Shell 45% • Shell 50%; Petrobras 50% • Shell 50%; operator from early ‘12
Canada and Qatar start-ups ~ 400,000 boe/d peak potential for Shell
Maturing new projects: UK and Australia
New frontier acreage: 50,000 sq km gross; Zaedyus discovery
* SUBJECT TO BOW SHAREHOLDER AND REGULATORY APPROVAL
11 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 27/10/2011
12. SUMMARY
Q3 2011 RESULTS
• Q3 CCS earnings $7 billion; Q3-Q3 earnings per share growth of 40%
• Higher earnings Upstream and Downstream
PERFORMANCE FOCUS
• $6 billion divestments delivered Q1-Q3 2011
• 2011 asset sales target $5 billion achieved
GROWTH DELIVERY
• Continued ramp-up of 2011 projects; underlying production +2%
• Zaedyus discovery
• Maturing new growth options: Wheatstone & Clair Ph2 FID; Arrow FEED; new acreage
EARNINGS CCS BASIS EXCLUDING IDENTIFIED ITEMS
12 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 27/10/2011
13. ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
THIRD QUARTER 2011 RESULTS
Q&A
13 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 27/10/2011
14. ROYAL DUTCH SHELL PLC
THIRD QUARTER 2011 RESULTS
THE HAGUE
OCTOBER 27th, 2011
14 Copyright of Royal Dutch Shell plc 27/10/2011