September 2 Technology Trends Rpaquet
- 1. Gartner Webinars Technology Trends You Can’t Afford to Ignore Raymond Paquet, Managing Vice President
- 2. Welcome! Thank you for joining this Gartner webinar. Today's topic is “Technology Trends You Can’t Afford to Ignore. " 10,800 60,000 Client Clients Enterprises 100,000 5,500 IT End-User Benchmarks Inquiries 65% of 2.7 Million Fortune 1000 IT End-User 80% of Searches Global 500 730 Analysts 55 Serving Clients Conferences in 80 Countries 10,000 3,800 Media CIOs Inquiries 1
- 3. Technology Trends You Can’t Afford to Ignore Raymond Paquet, Managing Vice President
- 4. 10 Trends to Watch — Carefully 2011 2012 2013 1 Virtualization 2011 2 Data Deluge 3 Energy and Green IT Mid-2011 4 Complex Resource Tracking 2011–2012 5 Consumerization and Social Software 6 Unified Communications 2012 7 Mobile and Wireless 8 System Density 2012–2013 9 Mashups and Portals 10 Cloud Computing
- 5. 1 Virtualization ? Did You Know? Percent Power Used: Typical x86 Server Doing Nothing
- 6. 1 Virtualization Applications Infrastructure How does it affect you? • IT becomes one logical system • Changing how IT is used Dimensions of • Additional "power" on demand Virtualization • Mgmt. Players: VMware, Microsoft Hyper-V, Citrix • Plays well with green IT • SMBs — ease of migration Server Next Monday Morning Hardware Virtualization Virtualization Review consolidation plans; can we do Storage more? Do you have all the virtualization Virtualization bases covered? Do we have a plan? Desktop Critical Timeframe Network Virtualization Now Virtualization
- 7. 1 Virtualization — The New Client How does it affect you? • Long-term, flexible workforce • Reduced operating complexity Application Application Application • Standards alignment, audit and control PC OS PC OS PC OS VMM Next Monday Morning Server Hardware Evaluate multiple options — create test environments Hosted Virtual Desktops Get end users involved for real-world • Architectural equivalent of the blade PC analysis • Full "thick client" image, thin-client delivery model Critical Timeframe 2011 Portable Personalities • Carry the bubble, not the hardware • Portable media, stored on the network • Bubbles of various sizes, some with OS, some without
- 8. 2 Data Deluge ? Did You Know? Estimated Enterprise Data Growth in Five Years? 80% Will be Unstructured!
- 9. 2 Data Deluge How does it affect you? • Complexity continues — regardless of budget constraints • Demand driven — more access creates more data — this will get worse • Compliance, backup, audit, security Next Monday Morning • Virtualize storage quickly • Deduplication soon Key Technologies • Evaluate all data inputs • Thin provisioning • Keep only what you need • Data deduplication • Segment and prioritize • Automated tiering Critical Timeframe • HSM principles Now • Virtual tape
- 10. 3 Energy and Green IT How does it affect you? Useful Work • Increased awareness/focus on power PPE = Total Facility Power • Compute to consumption ratios critical • EU or EPA metrics are coming How Much Work Can My IT Equipment Do, In My Facility? • New KPIs based on efficiency Source: Gartner Inc. Next Monday Morning • Begin evaluation of PUE and/or PPE • Power to Performance Effectiveness (PPE) • Begin continuous improvement planning • Forced review of IT efficiency • Focus on consumption, rather than • Intersection between facilities and IT technologies • Moved the power issue up the food chain Critical Timeframe 2010–2011 • Corporate social responsibility
- 11. 4 Complex Resource Tracking • Monitor Energy consumption. How does it affect you? • Visualize power consumption of resources. • New KPIs based on power • Automate energy usage to optimal levels. • New vendors and skills needed • Dynamically move workloads. Next Monday Morning • Get to know your facilities team • Begin market research • Watch EPA and EMU Initiatives Critical Timeframe 2012–2013 Source: Aperture
- 12. 5 Consumerization and Social Software What was the fastest growing social network in 2008? % 62% of New Users are between 39 and 51
- 13. Social Software: A Factor Inside 5 and Outside the Enterprise How does it affect you? The Distributed Social Web The Distributed Social Web • It's affecting you now, and increasing rapidly • Early pattern detection Social collaboration • The "Collective" matters - Wikis Next Monday Morning - Blogs • Establish rules of engagement - Facebook • Begin monitoring, look for signals - Twitter Social media • Begin participating - Content sharing (tags) • Bring a social dimension to your internal - Content aggregation and external websites Social validation Critical Timeframe - Social rating, ranking, commentary 2011–2013 - Social content structure - The collective
- 14. Unified Communications 6 and Collaboration ? Did You Know? The number of text messages sent in the past 24 hours…
- 15. Unified Communications 6 and Collaboration >6,700,000,000 ..exceeded the total population of the planet.
- 16. Unified Communications 6 and Collaboration How does it affect you? Email • Combines many overlapping areas Wireless Workspaces • A technology and organizational issue. VOIP • Strong area for managed services to Text /SMS take hold Unified VTC Next Monday Morning Communications • Are your apps providers planning for Tightly integrated taking advantage of unified communications communications? What's their strategy? applications • What other UC business scenarios make IM ATC sense in your business? Critical Timeframe Mobility 2012–2014 Presence PBX
- 17. 7 Mobile and Wireless How does it affect you? • Mobile applications need new servers for delivery • Application delivery complexity • Immature management tools • The next target for virtualization Next Monday Morning • What's your strategy for supporting mobile applications? • Look at mobile apps as a critical enabler of client interaction, and satisfaction Thousands of new applications are coming online. Critical Timeframe 2011–2013 Text messaging is not a convenience, it's a way of life.
- 18. 8 System Density ? Did You Know? "At current pricing, the operating expense (energy) to support an x86 server will exceed the cost of that server …" … within three years!
- 19. 8 System Density ? Did You Know? Energy cost per year can exceed: for just two racks of servers.
- 20. Blades Are Leading Toward 8 Componentized Servers Blades = Servers 2009 Today, blades are proprietary server-infrastructure-in-a- chassis solutions… …but they are evolving into componentized, data-center- Blades = Servers, storage in-a-chassis solutions switches, memory, I/O… (but still mostly proprietary). 2013+
- 21. 8 System Density How does it affect you? Server and Power Growth • Virtualization is critical to success 70 • Trend is high-density, high use of floor space 60 • Utilization levels and compute to 50 energy ratios paramount by 2010 40 Next Monday Morning 30 • Analyze asset use (highs and lows). 20 • Map server growth to energy and cooling required 10 • Engage facilities team 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Critical Timeframe 2011–2012 New Server ($B) Power and Cooling ($B) Install Base M)
- 22. 9 Mashups and Enterprise Portals How does it affect you? • Customers doing this today • Unrecognized business processes • Creeping standards, uncontrolled Enterprise value • Internal and external sources - Private cloud enabler Next Monday Morning - Rapid/flexible development • Evaluate use; highlight the best Application types • Set clear standards — encourage - Packaged application extension innovation - Personal portal delivery Critical Timeframe - Location awareness 2011-2012 Integration patterns - Visualization integration - Content integration - Gadget page space co-location
- 23. 10 Cloud Computing How does it affect you? Cloud Computing • Common services are available now — A style of computing where may reduce operating expenses scalable and elastic IT-enabled • Private clouds improve agility and will dominate capabilities are delivered as a • Focus on service levels service to customers using • Ignore the hype — focus on results Internet technologies Next Monday Morning • Evaluate commodity services you provide and what can move to the cloud • Evaluate cloud delivery model for internal use • Categorize applications/services based on SLAs and risk before proceeding Critical Timeframe 2012–2014
- 24. 10 Private Clouds Through 2012, IT organizations will invest more on private cloud services than on external cloud providers. Reasons for Private Cloud Reasons for Public Cloud • Low barrier to entry • Scale on demand • Elastic and scalable • Increased agility and flexibility • Lower cost and pay per use • Pay per use • Increased agility (to customers) • Higher compute capacities • Ease of sourcing migrations • Elasticity • Many cloud benefits — • Time to market reduced risks
- 25. Future Challenge: 10 Managing Cloud Sourcing Client/server: customer-driven Service Brokers • Costs skyrocketed, little integration • Small enterprises • Evolution of today's system integrators, VARs • Orchestrates cloud providers to meet needs • Industry-specific, etc. Dynamic Sourcing Team • Large enterprises • New team, new skills Cloud computing: going around IT (business- and IT-savvy) • Lots of choices, little integration, little • Manages day-to-day understanding of real service requirements sourcing decisions • Failures will be rampant, unless IT involved
- 26. Action Plan • Today - Focus on virtualization and green IT for immediate cost and flexibility benefits. - Look at storage virtualization, deduplication and thin provisioning. - Evaluate Web social software to transform customer/employee interactions. • The Next 18 Months - Exploit mashups and cloud-based services to address immediate user needs. - Link UC to collaboration and enterprise applications to support growth initiatives. - Begin to track weak signals and subtle business patterns — from everywhere. • Longer Term - Public and private cloud services together with new servers and specialized systems promise to minimize costs and maximize agility. - Apply more-sophisticated resource analytics to support ongoing improvement in operational costs and energy efficiency. - Look for opportunities emerging from cloud computing, social networking and new approaches to infrastructure.
- 27. Related Gartner Research Magic Quadrant for Unified Communications 1 September 2009, ID Number: G00169996 Run Book Automation Reaches the Peak of Inflated Expectations 20 August 2009, ID:G00169977 — David Williams Modernize Your Data Center Network by Virtualizing Network Functions 24 August 2009, ID:G00166882 — Neil Rickard Data Center Efficiency and Capacity: A Metric to Calculate Both 18 September 2009, ID:G00164493 — Dave Cappuccio The Spectrum of Public-to-Private Cloud Computing 14 May 2009, ID:G00167187 — Tom Bittman
- 28. Gartner Events Experience live analyst expertise plus much more at a Gartner event. Events for Infrastructure & Operations Professionals: Data Center & IT Operations Summit November 22-23, London, UK Data Center Conference December 6 – 9, Las Vegas, NV Visit .gartner.com/us/events 27
- 29. Gartner Symposium/ITxpo: The world's most important gathering of CIOs and senior IT executives • Hundreds of analyst led sessions, workshops, how-to clinics and more • Role-based tracks designed to address your key priorities and challenges • Immediately actionable take-aways—a clear action plan for the next 3, 6 and 12 months • Mastermind Interview Keynotes with industry leaders • The ITxpo show floor with hundreds of top solution providers and exciting startups Celebrating 20 years of Symposium/ITxpo September 14 – 16 São Paulo, Brazil October 17 – 21 Orlando, FL October 25 – 27 Tokyo, Japan November 8 – 11 Cannes, France November 16 – 18 Sydney, Australia Visit gartner.com/symposium to learn more 28
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