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ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL
    INFRASTRUCTURE


3.1 Overview


T
        he government has taken measures to
        step up investments in infrastructure
        by both public and private sectors and
has commenced a series of projects including
several major infrastructure projects across the
country as highlighted in the Ten-Year Horizon
Development Framework 2006-2016 and its
‘Randora programme’ (infrastructure development
programme). The continuous budgetary support for
infrastructure development, despite fiscal constraints,
is laudable, while more efforts to catalyse greater
private financing through Public Private Partnerships
(PPPs) are needed to supplement government
investments and for a sustained development of
infrastructure. Consistent policy, good governance
and transparency, institutional capacity building,
effective regulations and efficient financial markets
are pre-requisites in promoting private investments in
both economic and social infrastructure projects.
   The government’s policy on infrastructure
development is designed with a view to developing
a regionally balanced economy, addressing the
economic and social disparity in the urban and
rural areas. With the liberation of the Eastern and
the Northern provinces, the country faces a huge
challenge of developing basic infrastructure facilities
as fast as possible for the people in those areas
to start their original livelihood and to recoup the
development in other areas and to fuel economic
activities. In respect of the Eastern province, the
government has already prepared a three-year
comprehensive development plan, the ‘Nagenahira
Navodaya’ (Eastern Revival), which is now being
implemented with a total investment expenditure of
Rs. 200 billion. Similarly, the government is preparing
Central Bank of Sri Lanka Annual Report - 2008


                                     a development plan for the Nothern province,                                                 As revealed by social indicators, the key social
                                     the ‘Vadakkin Wasantham’ (Uthuru Wasanthaya/                                             infrastructure facilities in the country continue to

3
                                     Florishing North), which includes the construction                                       be satisfactory, though the current achievements
                                     of roads and bridges, railroads, transport services,                                     are threatened by paucity of resources. Accordingly,
                                     electricity transmission lines, water supply schemes,                                    financial constraints for expanding and improving
ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE




                                     housing development, telecommunications services                                         the service quality, maintaining equity in service
                                     and irrigation facilities in the province.                                               distribution and maximizing the utilization level
                                          In 2008, the government engaged in                                                  of existing strong institutional framework and
                                     the implementation of mega infrastructure                                                physical and human resources have threatened
                                     development projects highlighted in the Randora,                                         the sustainability of the health and the education
                                     at the national level and the ‘Gama Neguma’ and                                          sectors, making it vilely necessary to address the
                                     ‘Maga Neguma’ programmes at the regional                                                 issue urgently at national level.
                                     level. Under the Randora programme, major
                                                                                                                                  Infrastructure services showed mixed
                                     infrastrcture projects such as the Upper Kotmale
                                                                                                                              performance in 2008. A rapid growth was seen in
                                     Hydropower Project, the Puttalam Coal Power
                                     Plant, the Colombo Port Expansion Project, the                                           the telecommunications industry with the continuous
                                     Hambantota Sea Port Development Project, the                                             adoption of improved technology, higher competition,
                                     Galle Port Development Project, the Oluvil Port                                          increased capacity and coverage as well as
                                     Development Project, the Southern Expressway and                                         conducive policies. Port services grew at a healthy
                                     the Colombo-Katunayake Expressway were under                                             rate, particularly during the first three quarters,
                                     various stages of implemetation in 2008.There are a                                      benefitting from increased trade and productivity
                                     few other projects such as the Northern Expressway,                                      improvements. Energy sector continued to suffer
                                     and the Trincomalee Coal Power Plant, the Greater                                        from historically high oil prices in 2008. The electricity
                                     Dambulla Development Project, the Habarana-                                              sector, which heavily depends on thermal power
                                     Trincomalee main road, the Puttalam-Anuradhapura                                         was badly affected by high oil prices. However, the
                                     main highway and the Jaffna Peninsula Water and                                          reduction of oil prices in the international markets
                                     Sanitation Project at planning or project negotiation                                    from mid-July, 2008 mitigated the impact of high oil
                                     stages. Maga Neguma (Development of roads)                                               prices to some extent on the Ceylon Electricity Board
                                     and Gama Neguma (Development of villages)                                                (CEB), but could not take the CEB completely out
                                     programmes are implemented to improve small scale                                        of its tough financial constraints. The adjustment
                                     infrastructure facilities, covering all regions to ease                                  of domestic petroleum prices to reflect high
                                     infrastructure bottlenecks for rural development.                                        international prices, instead of subsidizing, helped
                                                                                                                              to reduce the subsidy burden on the government
                                      Table 3.1                  Government Investment in
                                                                      Infrastructure                                          budget. Adjustments of prices in the transport,
                                                                                                                              petroleum and power sectors in response to rising
                                           Year          Economic                     Social                                  costs mainly due to high oil prices and, thereby,
                                                                                                                  Total
                                                          Services                   Services
                                                                                                                              reducing unproductive direct and indirect subsidies
                                                      Rs. bn.    % of           Rs. bn.   % of            Rs. bn.    % of
                                                                GDP (a)                  GDP (a)                    GDP (a)   were policy measures taken in the right direction in
                                      1999            44.9       4.1              17.5     1.6             62.4      5.6      achieving macroeconomic stability. The passenger
                                      2000            54.7       4.4              16.5     1.3             71.1      5.7
                                      2001            54.9       3.9              14.6     1.0             69.5      4.9      transportation registered a moderate growth in 2008.
                                      2002            51.7       3.4              15.7     1.0             67.4      4.3      The civil aviation sector, which was badly affected
                                      2003            58.7       3.2              19.2     1.1             77.9      4.3
                                      2004            61.3       2.9              29.0     1.4             90.3      4.3      by high fuel prices in the first half and downturn in
                                      2005            77.5       3.2              60.4(b) 2.5             137.9      5.6
                                      2006           106.8       3.6              48.4     1.6            155.2      5.3      the tourism industry, registered a negative growth
                                      2007           141.2       3.9              55.0     1.5            196.2      5.5      in 2008. Some policy initiatives have been taken to
                                      2008 (c)       168.9       3.8              60.2     1.4            229.1      5.2
                                     (a) From 2003, data based on estimates       Sources: Ministry of Finance and Planning
                                                                                                                              improve the education sector specially the tertiary
                                         compiled by the Department of Census and
                                         Statistics
                                                                                           Central Bank of Sri Lanka
                                                                                                                              education while, the health sector continued its
                                     (b) Inclusive of Tsunami related capital
                                         expenditure
                                                                                                                              efforts to achieve the goals identified in the Health
                                     (c) Provisional                                                                          Master Plan.

                                      60
Central Bank of Sri Lanka Annual Report - 2008


3.2 Economic Infrastructure                                                             Chart 3.1                      Telephone Density
    Policies, Institutional Framework

                                                                                                                                                                         3
                                                                                        80
    and Performance                                                                                 Fixed Access       Total (Including Cellular Phones)
                                                                                        70

Communications Services




                                                           Telephones per 100 persons
                                                                                        60




                                                                                                                                                                         ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE
                                                                                        50
    Telecommunications sector has shown a
                                                                                        40
remarkable progress during the last few years in
                                                                                        30
terms of improvement in technology, capacity and                                        20
coverage, which have led to a higher subscriber                                         10
network and higher service quality. The growth                                           0
                                                                                              2004              2005      2006           2007              2008
in the telecommunications sector was facilitated by
intensified competition in the industry with the arrival    and promotion of motor and life insurance policies
of new service providers, expansion of coverage,           for agreed insurance providers and selling pre-paid
reduction of initial cost to an affordable level and the   phone cards through post offices have been carried
adoption of new technology. The subscriber network         out to diversify the services offered by the postal
of the telecommunications sector grew by 35.5 per          network, thereby generating additional revenue. While
cent in 2008, following the 47 per cent growth in 2007.    it is encouraging that the postal service is venturing
Fixed access telephone connections expanded by             into providing value added services, given the
25.7 per cent during the period, largely due to an         extensive post office network and easy accessibility
expansion of the wireless network with Code Division       of the public, coupled with rising demand for a variety
Multiple Access (CDMA) technology, which along             of services, the post office network need to be further
with Global System Mobile (GSM) technology helped          modernised and encouraged as a vital point of sale
people in rural areas to have easy connections. The        for a variety of services across the country.
mobile telephone network increased by 38.8 per cent
in 2008, compared to the previous year. The mobile            Financial performance of the Department of
telephone penetration (mobile connections as a per         Posts (DOP) has slightly improved in 2008. The
cent of total population) increased significantly to        operating loss of the DOP continued to remain high,
54.8 per cent in 2008 from 39.9 per cent in 2007
                                                                                                        Growth of Telecommunications and
surpassing the level of penetration in other countries                      Table 3.2
                                                                                                                 Postal Services
in the region. With these developments, the telephone
density (telephones per 100 persons), including
                                                                                                                                                 Growth Rate (%)
cellular phones, increased to 71.9 in 2008 from 53.6                                                     Item
                                                                                                                                 2007 2008(a) 2007 2008(a)
in 2007. By end 2008, the telecommunications sector
                                                                   1. Telecommunications services
consisted of 4 fixed line operators, 4 mobile operators,             1.1 Fixed access services
33 external gateway operators and 22 internet service                    Wireline telephones in service (‘000)      932    934                      2.4        0.2
                                                                         Wireless local loop telephones (‘000)    1,810 2,513                      85.8       38.8
providers. Another mobile operator commenced its                         Cellular phones (‘000)                   7,983 11,083                     47.5       38.8
                                                                         Telephone density
operations in Sri Lanka in January, 2009.                                  (Telephones per 100 persons, including
                                                                            cellular phones)                       53.6   71.9                     46.1       34.1
   Postal services showed mixed performance in
                                                                                  1.2 Other services
2008. The post office network, including private                                       Public pay phones                          8,526   8,500     12.8       -0.3
agency post offices, has not grown in 2008.                                            Internet & e-mail (‘000)                     202     234     55.7       15.6
                                                                   2. Postal service
However, two sub post offices have been upgraded                        Delivery areas (No)                                       6,729   6,729      0.0            0.0
to main post offices in 2008. The average population                    Post offices (No)                                           4,737   4,737      0.2            0.0
                                                                         Public                                                  4,053   4,053      0.2            0.0
served by a post office stood at 4,268 in 2008. Several                   Private                                                   684     684      0.0            0.0
new services such as providing banking facilities                    Area served by a post office (Sq.km)                           13.8    13.8      0.0            0.0
                                                                     Population served by a post office                            4,252   4,268      2.0            0.4
including accepting savings and fixed deposits                       Letters per inhabitant                                         23      21     -4.2           -8.7
and promotion of credit cards for several banks,                   (a) Provisional                                          Sources: Telecommunications Regulatory
                                                                                                                                        Commission of Sri Lanka
insurance services including premium collection                                                                                      Department of Posts



                                                                                                                                                              61
Central Bank of Sri Lanka Annual Report - 2008


                                     though it declined to Rs. 2,143 million in 2008 from
                                                                                                    Table 3.3                    Power Sector Performance
                                     Rs. 2,893 million recorded in 2007. The revenue of

3                                    DOP has increased significantly by 71.2 per cent due
                                     to an upward revision of postal charges with effect
                                     from mid-2007. The operating expenditure of DOP has
                                                                                                                    Item
                                                                                                                                                   2007      2008(a)
                                                                                                                                                                         Growth Rate (%)

                                                                                                                                                                         2007       2008(a)
ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE




                                     declined by 20.8 per cent, due to the implementation         Installed capacity (MW)                         2,444       2,644       0.4          8.2
                                                                                                         Hydro                                    1,324       1,344       0.8          1.5
                                     of a cost management programme. The measures                        Thermal (b)                              1,115       1,285       0.0         15.2
                                     taken to improve the financial position and to generate              Wind                                         3           3       0.0          0.0
                                                                                                         Other                                        2          12     100.0        500.0
                                     additional funds by venturing into non-traditional           Units generated (GWh)                           9,814       9,901        4.5         0.9
                                     services should be continued until it becomes self-                Hydro                                     3,947       4,128      -14.8         4.6
                                                                                                        Thermal (b)                               5,864       5,763       23.4        -1.7
                                     supporting to avoid being a burden on the budget.                  Wind                                          2           3        0.0        50.0
                                                                                                        Other                                         1           6      -36.7       500.0
                                                                                                  Total sales by CEB (GWh)                        8,276       8,417        5.7          1.7
                                     Energy                                                              Domestic and religious                   2,771       2,799        5.7          1.0
                                                                                                         Industrial                               2,627       2,678        0.8          1.9
                                                                                                         General purpose and hotel                1,626       1,703       16.6          4.7
                                         The energy sector suffered from soaring oil                     Bulk sales to LECO                       1,144       1,130        3.0         -1.2
                                     prices in the international market during the                       Street lighting                            108         108       10.2          0.0
                                                                                                  LECO sales (GWh)                                1,099       1,070        5.3         -2.6
                                     first seven months of 2008. International oil prices              Domestic and religious                        499         478        3.1         -4.2
                                     increased to a historically high level of US dollars 146         Industrial                                    267         237        5.1        -11.2
                                                                                                      General purpose and hotel                     303         328        8.6          8.3
                                     per barrel by July, 2008. However, due to the price              Street lighting                                27          25        0.0         -7.4

                                     decline in the latter part of the year, the average import   Overall system loss of CEB (%)                   15.7        15.0       -5.6         -4.3
                                                                                                  Number of consumers (‘000) (c)                  4,307       4,518        6.0          4.9
                                     price of crude oil (C&F) by the Ceylon Petroleum             o/w Domestic and religious                      3,811       4,001        6.1          5.0
                                     Corporation (CPC) increased only by about 34.7 per               Industrial                                     41          44        2.5          7.3
                                                                                                      General purpose and hotel                     450         469        4.9          4.2
                                     cent to US dollars 97 per barrel. However, historically       (a) Provisional                              Sources: Ceylon Electricity Board
                                     high oil prices clearly indicated the importance of           (b) Inclusive of Independent Producers (IPP)
                                                                                                   (c) Inclusive of LECO Consumers
                                                                                                                                                         Lanka Electricity Company (Pvt) Ltd.

                                     adopting a multi-faceted strategy to address the issue,
                                     by way of developing alternative energy sources;
                                                                                                  Electricity sales had been growing by an average rate
                                     including renewable energy, adhering to energy
                                                                                                  of 7-8 per cent per year in the recent past. However,
                                     conservation measures and adopting country-wide
                                                                                                  it has been observed that the demand for electricity
                                     demand management measures.
                                                                                                  has been declining in recent years mainly due to
                                                                                                  tariff increases as well as high growth in less energy
                                     Electricity                                                  intensive sectors in the economy. An upward revision
                                         Total electricity generation increased                   of electricity tariff at a higher rate has led to economise
                                     marginally by 0.9 per cent to 9,901 GWh in                   electricity consumption and encouraging consumers
                                     2008. The share of hydropower in the total electricity       to conserve electricity by shifting to use energy
                                     generation increased to 42 per cent in 2008 from             efficient equipments, lowering the electricity sales
                                     40 per cent in 2007 due to conducive weather                 growth substantially. The electricity consumption in
                                     conditions. Out of the total power generation,               the domestic sector, general purpose and hotel and
                                     about 58 per cent was generated by CEB and the               the industrial sector increased by 1.1 per cent, 4.7
                                     balance by the private sector. The system losses             per cent and 1.9 per cent, respectively, in 2008.
                                     as a percentage of total generation which was 15.7
                                                                                                     The electricity sector continued to suffer from
                                     per cent in 2007 declined to 15 per cent in 2008.
                                                                                                  escalating oil prices as well as other institutional
                                     However, the system losses are still high in terms
                                                                                                  and structural weaknesses. The CEB continued
                                     of international best-practices level.
                                                                                                  to depend heavily on thermal power, mainly from
                                        The sales of electricity, which excludes system           the private sector. In 2008, about 58 per cent of
                                     losses out of the total generation, increased                electricity demand was met by thermal power. The
                                     marginally by 1.7 per cent to 8,417 GWh in 2008.             fuel bill of the CEB increased by 45.7 per cent. On

                                     62
Central Bank of Sri Lanka Annual Report - 2008


average, the CEB incurred Rs. 19.17 to generate a          as a national policy and take all other remedial
unit of electricity at its thermal power plants in 2008,   measures to deal with any oil price shock in the
which is an increase of 45.8 per cent compared
to 2007. The average purchase price of private
power increased by 37.9 per cent to Rs. 20.58 per
                                                           future. Any delay in the planned low cost power
                                                           generation projects will incur high expenditure on
                                                           petroleum imports for electricity generation. Energy
                                                                                                                     3




                                                                                                                     ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE
unit in 2008. However, the decrease in oil prices in       conservation by curbing the growth of unnecessary
the international market towards the latter part of        energy intensity in the economy and developing
2008 mitigated the heavy pressure on electricity           renewable energy sources are also important to arrest
generation cost, thereby easing the burden on the          the high oil import bill in the country. However, these
already weakened financial position of the CEB.             types of micro measures will not help sufficiently to
                                                           deal with future energy crises. Therefore, it should
    The sustainability of the power sector entirely
                                                           be noted that a sustainable energy policy should be
depends on shifting towards low cost power
                                                           based on shifting towards low cost power generation
generation in the medium-term to bring electricity
                                                           methods coupled with a flexible pricing policy.
tariff to an affordable level and increase the
competitiveness of export-oriented industries.                 The government has identified the importance
Several power projects were at various stages of           of rural electrification which helps many villagers
implementation in 2008. The first phase (200 MW) of         generating self-employment activities, thereby
the Kerawalapitiya combined cycle power plant with         helping to alleviate poverty in rural areas. The
a capacity of 300 MW was completed in November,            CEB has been able to provide grid connected
2008 and added to the national grid, while the             electricity to level of 83 per cent of households and
remaining 100 MW is expected to be added to the            the future rural electrification projects are expected
national grid in 2009. The Norochcholai coal power         to enhance the electrification level to 86 per cent
plant (900 MW) which was started in 2007 is expected       by end 2010. Although, the financial benefits to the
to add 300 MW to the national grid in the first stage by    CEB is low due to high transmission cost, since
2011 and 600 MW in the second and third stages. The        the economic and social benefits of electrifying
cost of power generation from coal fired power plants       rural areas are high, the government with the
is relatively low compared to oil fired power plants,       collaboration of funding agencies has launched
which may result in reducing the overall cost of power     several programmes to connect the rural households
generation. Meanwhile, the construction work of the        to the national grid. Six rural electrification projects
Upper Kothmale hydropower plant was in progress in         have been completed in 2008 with an estimated cost
2008 and is expected to add 150 MW to the national         of US dollars 189 million.
grid by 2011. Negotiations were also in progress with          Several changes were introduced to the
foreign investors to set up a coal power plant with a      electricity tariff in 2008. The CEB revised its
capacity of 1,000 MW in Trincomalee. In addition,          tariff structure to a flat tariff system in March, 2008
four medium scale hydropower plants namely, Uma            and increased electricity tariff by an average of 30
Oya (120 MW), Ginganga (49 MW), Broadland (35              per cent. However, as per a Court ruling the CEB
MW) and Morogolla (27 MW) have been identified for          reverted to its block tariff system from November,
implementation. These power plants, once completed,        2008. In addition, the fuel adjustment charge of 30
would provide a space for the country to rationalize its   per cent was levied across all the tariff categories
power generation mix, thereby helping the country to       from March, 2008. However, a waiver on the fuel
cope with internal and external shocks and maintain        adjustment charge was granted to the religious
the stability in the power system.                         category with effect from May, 2008. Further, a
   It is imperative to take necessary measures             waiver of the fuel adjustment charge was granted
to expedite low cost power generation projects             for the industrial and hotel categories for a period of
without any delay and discourage the installation          11 months from January, 2009 under the Economic
of high cost thermal power projects in the future          Stimulus Package, considering the difficulties faced

                                                                                                             63
Central Bank of Sri Lanka Annual Report - 2008


                                     by industries in this category due to the global                       amounted to Rs. 64 billion by end 2008. This
                                     economic slowdown. In addition, a discount of Rs.                      fragile financial position of the CEB highlights the

3
                                     30.00 per household, which consumes less than 90                       importance of quickly dealing with this problem, as
                                     units per month was granted by the Budget 2009.                        otherwise the CEB may have to be bailed out by tax
                                     These cross-subsidies have led to significant financial                  payers’ money.
ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE




                                     losses to the CEB, burdening the government budget
                                                                                                                The Sri Lanka Electricity Bill was passed by the
                                     and tax payers. This situation, therefore, calls for an
                                                                                                            Parliament in March, 2009. The Sri Lanka Electricity
                                     implementation of a cost-reflective tariff system in
                                                                                                            Act provides the basic legal framework for separation
                                     order to make the CEB viable and thereby sustain
                                                                                                            of policy, regulatory and operational aspects allowing
                                     Sri Lanka’s energy sector.
                                                                                                            the Public Utilities Commision of Sri Lanka (PUCSL)
                                         The tariff increase was not sufficient to cover                     to regulate the electricity sector. Nevertheless,
                                     the cost of power generation. The average tariff                       the Act still imposes certain constraints on private
                                     in 2008 was Rs. 13.22 per unit, while the average                      sector participation in key areas of operation such
                                     cost was Rs. 14.94 per unit. The estimated average                     as generation and distribution, whereby either
                                     purchased cost of private power was Rs. 20.58 per                      complete or partial involvement of the government
                                     unit in 2008. The already high electricity tariff in the               in the generation and distribution is compulsory.
                                     country suggests that there is no room for a further                   Further, under the provision of the Act, the CEB will
                                     tariff increase without hampering competitiveness                      continue to function as a vertically integrated utility
                                     and, hence, the rationale for shifting towards low                     with powers to hold generation, transmission and
                                     cost power generation methods and implementation                       distribution licences simultaneously.
                                     of necessary reforms in the power sector aiming at
                                     bringing down the cost of power generation as a
                                                                                                            Petroleum
                                     national priority.                                                         International oil prices reached record high
                                                                                                            levels towards the middle of 2008. Oil prices in the
                                        The financial position of the CEB further
                                                                                                            international market reached its highest level of US
                                     weakened in 2008. The CEB’s operating losses
                                                                                                            dollars 146 per barrel in July, 2008. Several factors
                                     increased to Rs. 35 billion in 2008. An increase
                                                                                                            including a steady increase in demand from emerging
                                     of expenditure due to high oil prices was the main
                                                                                                            economies such as India and China, low OPEC spare
                                     reason for the increase in losses. The CEB’s
                                                                                                            capacity in oil production, weakened US dollar, supply
                                     accumulated short-term borrowings from banks
                                                                                                            constraints resulted from geo-political uncertainties,
                                     and other outstanding liabilities to the CPC and to
                                                                                                            low inventories and refinery bottlenecks led to high
                                     Independent Power Producers (IPPs) amounted
                                                                                                            oil prices during the first seven months of 2008.
                                     to Rs. 57 billion, while, CEB’s long-term loans
                                                                                                            However, oil prices declined rapidly to a lowest level
                                                                                                            in four years to US dollars 34 per barrel in December,
                                           Chart 3.2             Average Tariff and Cost of Electricity     2008 with the restoration of supply from Brazil and
                                                14                                                          Nigeria, coupled with a declining world demand for
                                                12                                                          oil due to financial turmoil and slowingdown of the
                                                10
                                                                                                            world economy. The average crude oil price (Brent)
                                                 8
                                                                                                            increased by 35 per cent to US dollars 97 per barrel
                                     Rs./unit




                                                                                                            in 2008 in comparison to US dollars 72 per barrel in
                                                 6
                                                                                                            2007. The average price of crude oil (C&F) imported
                                                 4
                                                                                                            by CPC stood at US dollars 97 in 2008, reflecting an
                                                 2
                                                                                                            increase of 34.7 per cent.
                                                 0
                                                     2004           2005      2006            2007   2008

                                                     Domestic Tariff           Average Tariff                  Domestic petroleum prices were adjusted in line
                                                     Industry Tariff           Average Cost                 with the changes in international prices in 2008.
                                                     Commercial Tariff
                                                                                                            Accordingly, prices of petrol (90 octane), auto diesel

                                      64
Central Bank of Sri Lanka Annual Report - 2008


and kerosene were raised by 34.2 per cent, 46.7 per
                                                                                           Table 3.4              Petroleum Sector Performance
cent and 17.6 per cent, respectively, to Rs. 157.00,
Rs.110.00, and Rs. 80.00 per litre, respectively, in
two steps during the first half of 2008. The 15 per                                                       Item                        2007      2008(a)
                                                                                                                                                          Growth Rate %
                                                                                                                                                           2007     2008(a)
                                                                                                                                                                              3
cent Value Added Tax (VAT) on petrol was reduced




                                                                                                                                                                              ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE
to 5 per cent with effect from January, 2008 to ease                                    Quantity imported (Mt ‘000)
                                                                                         Crude oil                                 1,938   1,853           -9.9        -4.1
the pressure on consumers. However, in line with                                         Refined products (b)                       2,216   2,145           15.1        -3.2
                                                                                         L.P. gas                                    156     144           -1.3        -7.7
declining international oil prices, petrol, diesel and                                  Domestic L.P. gas production (Mt ‘000)        16      16            5.4         4.5
                                                                                         Value of imports (c&f )
kerosene prices were reduced to Rs. 120.00, Rs.                                          Crude oil          (Rs. mn)             113,584 143,159            6.5       26.0
70.00 and Rs. 50.00 per litre, respectively, during                                                         (US dollars mn)        1,025   1,323           -0.4       29.1
                                                                                         Refined products (Rs. mn)                150,390 202,144           31.0       34.4
the latter part of 2008 in several steps. In addition,                                                      (US dollars mn)        1,358   1,863           26.0       37.2
                                                                                         L.P. gas           (Rs. mn.)             12,027 15,301            27.6       27.2
VAT on petrol was increased to 12 per cent from                                                             (US dollars mn)          111     141            2.8       27.0
January, 2009 and the full duty wavier of Rs. 20.00                                      Average price of crude oil (c&f )
                                                                                                            (Rs./barrel)           8,113 10,226            21.7       26.0
per litre on importation of petrol was suspended                                                            (US dollars/barrel)    72.01   97.01           12.0       34.7
                                                                                         Quantity of exports (Mt ‘000)               283     310          -11.3        9.5
in May 2008. The total sales of major petroleum                                          Value of exports (Rs. mn.)               18,693 27,542            -4.5       47.3
products declined by 6.4 per cent responding to the                                                         (US dollars mn.)
                                                                                         Local sales (Mt ‘000)
                                                                                                                                     169
                                                                                                                                   3,965
                                                                                                                                             255
                                                                                                                                           4,391
                                                                                                                                                          -10.1
                                                                                                                                                           11.6
                                                                                                                                                                      50.9
                                                                                                                                                                      10.7
price hike in 2008. Petrol consumption registered                                        o/w Petrol (90 Octane)                      487     490            7.3        0.6
                                                                                              Petrol (95 Octane)                      31      29           29.2       -6.5
a marginal growth of 0.2 per cent, while diesel and                                           Auto diesel                          1,752   1,613            7.3       -7.9
                                                                                              Super diesel                            14       9           55.6      -35.7
kerosene consumption decreased by 7.9 per cent                                                Kerosene                               168     151          -18.4      -10.1
and 10.1 per cent, respectively.                                                              Furnace oil                            986     973            8.1       -1.3
                                                                                              Avtur                                  199     189          -22.0       -5.0
                                                                                              Naphtha                                 97     142           61.7       46.4
     The CPC reported operational losses in 2008.                                           L.P. gas                                 197     174           15.9      -11.7
                                                                                         Local Price (at period end) (Rs./litre)
Non-revision of oil prices on time was the main                                             Petrol (90 Octane)                    117.00 120.00            27.2        2.6
                                                                                            Petrol (95 Octane)                    120.00 133.00            26.3       10.8
reason for the CPC’s losses recorded in 2008.                                               Auto diesel                            75.00   70.00           25.0       -6.7
The non-payment of outstanding bills by several                                             Super diesel
                                                                                            Kerosene
                                                                                                                                   80.30
                                                                                                                                   68.00
                                                                                                                                           85.30
                                                                                                                                           50.00
                                                                                                                                                           23.0
                                                                                                                                                           41.7
                                                                                                                                                                       6.2
                                                                                                                                                                     -26.5
institutions, particularly a sum of around Rs. 45                                           Furnace Oil
                                                                                                500 Seconds                        54.30   54.30           17.3        0.0
billion from the CEB, placed additional burden on                                               800 Seconds                        53.90   33.90           17.7      -37.1
                                                                                                1,000 Seconds                      52.70   52.70           18.7        0.0
the CPC in its attempt to function as a commercially                                            1,500 Seconds                      51.70   31.70           19.4      -38.7
viable institution. The Government of Iran granted                                              3,500 Seconds                      46.65   25.00           13.8      -46.4
                                                                                            L.P. Gas (Rs./kg)
an interest free credit facility, initially for 120 days                                        Shell gas                         105.04 129.52            36.8       22.9
                                                                                                Laugfs gas                         97.12 109.60            33.6       12.9
which was extended to 210 days to purchase crude
                                                                                        (a) Provisional                         Sources:   Ceylon Petroleum Corporation
oil from Iran. The CPC had utilized this facility up to                                 (b) Imports by Ceylon Petroleum                    Lanka IOC Ltd.
                                                                                            Corporation, Lanka IOC Ltd. and                Lanka Marine Services (Pvt) Ltd.
US dollars 1,226 million in 2008 and has repaid US                                          Lanka Marine Services (pvt.) Ltd.              Shell Gas Lanka Ltd
                                                                                                                                           Laugfs Gas (Pvt) Ltd.
dollars 845 million by end 2008.                                                                                                           Sri Lanka Customs




                                  International Crude Oil (Brent) Prices
                                                                                            Progress was made in respect of oil exploration
     Chart 3.3                                                                          in the Mannar Basin in 2008. The Ministry of
                                      (Monthly Average) 2007/2008
          140                                                                           Petroleum and Petroleum Resources Development,
          130
          120                                                                           called for bids from international oil companies
          110
                                                                                        for petroleum exploration in Blocks 2, 3 and 4 in
          100
                                                                                        the Mannar Basin. Cairns India Ltd was selected
US$/bbl




           90
           80
           70                                                                           as the successful tenderer and has been offered
           60
                                                                                        the licence for exploring oil in the Block 2. Cairns
           50
           40                                                                           Lanka Ltd, the local subsidiary of Cairns India Ltd
           30
                07'   Mar   May   Jul   Sep   Nov   08'   Mar   May   Jul   Sep   Nov
                                                                                        is to commence exploration activities during the first
                Jan                                 Jan                                 quarter of 2009.


                                                                                                                                                                      65
Central Bank of Sri Lanka Annual Report - 2008



                                                       Box 5                                              Commodity Hedging: Risks for Buyers and Sellers

3                                        This Box Article discusses the potential risks                                     Why has the principle of suitability become
ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE




                                     of entering into hedging transactions and ways of                                 important in the modern hedging deals? That is because
                                     mitigating the risks involved1 . A hedging transaction is                         of the existence of a crucial problem called ‘information
                                     a sub-product in the wider market for derivative products                         asymmetry’ in markets. In the case of hedging deals,
                                     which have been developed and offered on the basis                                the seller may be well equipped with knowledge, but
                                     of an available financial product to generate liquidity,                           the buyer needs to be educated. The disparity in the
                                     mitigate risks and raise the depth of the market.                                 knowledge of the two parties would elevate the seller
                                                                                                                       to a superior position, thereby enabling him to get
                                         A long established legal principle relating to business                       himself enriched unduly. When the buyers became
                                     deals has been the ‘caveat emptor’ or ‘let the buyer                              victims of this information asymmetry, the hedging
                                     beware’. This principle simply enunciates that buyers                             markets on their own devised a code of good practices
                                     of a transaction should take the requisite measures to                            to minimise its occurrence. In markets where there is no
                                     protect themselves and the sellers have no responsibility                         such market developed code for hedging transactions,
                                     for the losses incurred by buyers. When applied to a                              it is the responsibility of the regulators to introduce a
                                     hedging product, it means that the buyer should learn                             mandatory code of best practices to ensure fair deals in
                                     of the risks involved and enter into the transaction with                         the derivative markets.
                                     full knowledge. The principle holds even if the sellers
                                     have deliberately and intentionally misled the buyers                                 In order to ensure fair deals in the derivative market
                                     into accepting a product that would bring them potential                          and protect the interests of all the parties, the Central
                                     losses. However, the application of this legal principle                          Bank of Sri Lanka, in 2005 and 2006, after following
                                     for the derivative transactions has been withheld by                              an elaborative consultative process, introduced a set of
                                     courts in the wake of a plethora of cases in which the                            directions to be followed by banks intending to enter
                                     buyers in derivative transactions had incurred substantial                        into hedging deals. These directions, among other things,
                                     losses persistently. That was after the issuers of hedging                        specifically required the banks or authorized dealers to
                                     products, mainly investment banks, were accused                                   educate the clients of the pros and cons and the risks
                                     of ‘mis-selling’ or ‘mis-labelling’ of products to the                            involved in hedging deals. According to the directions,
                                     detriment of the buyers.                                                          “authorized dealers shall obtain an undertaking from
                                                                                                                       the customers interested in using the derivative products
                                         Therefore, the accepted principle relating to                                 that they have clearly understood the nature of the
                                     derivative transactions today is not the caveat emptor,                           products and their inherent risk”, and “authorized
                                     but ‘suitability’. The principle of suitability casts                             dealers shall provide adequate information on the
                                     upon the seller the responsibility of ascertaining the                            transaction especially with regard to the conditions and
                                     appropriateness of the buyer of a product before entering                         clauses to be incorporated into the product-determined
                                     into a formal deal with him. Since many financial                                 benchmark interest rate, strike price, premia if any and
                                     products and derivatives are complex in nature, not all                           risks involved to their customers and ensure highest
                                     buyers could adequately assess the risks they are taking                          level of transparency”. In terms of a set of guidelines
                                     when buying such products. In view of the fact that                               issued in 2007, in the case of corporate customers, the
                                     such derivative products are of high value, the resultant                         bank that proposes the hedging deal should inform all
                                     losses to buyers could also be substantial. Hence, it is the                      the board members of the nature and the level of the
                                     responsibility of the seller to make the buyer ‘suitable’ to                      risks involved in the proposed hedging and get a signed
                                     enter into a deal with him. In other words, the two parties                       acknowledgement from the board to that effect. In this
                                     to a derivative transaction should be well-informed of                            manner, the corporate client who is to sign the hedging
                                     the risks faced by each other and participate in the deal                         agreement with the bank would do so as an equal partner
                                     as equal partners. Bringing up the buyer to that status                           fully aware of the risks involved. It is mandatory for
                                     is the responsibility of the seller. Thus, the principle of                       banks in Sri Lanka to follow these directions. If the
                                     suitability precludes the seller from ‘unjustly enriching                         banks fail to comply with the directions, the hedging
                                     himself out of the ignorance of the buyer’.                                       contracts involved will become ‘tainted and materially
                                                                                                                       defective’. In such a situation, courts may discharge
                                                                                                                       the buyers from the responsibility for honouring the
                                     1
                                      The rationale and the product range available for commodity hedgers with
                                     special reference to hedge oil for mitigating price risks were presented in Box
                                                                                                                       hedging contracts. Hence, the appropriate dictum in the
                                     No. 4 in Annual Report 2006 (page 47).




                                     66
Central Bank of Sri Lanka Annual Report - 2008



 current circumstances should be, not that the buyer be            Regulations alone cannot prevent the occurrence of
 aware as pronounced by the principle caveat emptor, but       mis-selling or mis-labelling in the hedging markets. If the
 that the seller be aware as pronounced by the principle
 ‘caveat venditor’, in order to avoid losses and costly
                                                               banks do not comply with these regulations, a regulator
                                                               is not in a position to prevent mis-selling or mis-labelling
                                                               before it occurs. Any detection of such an incident after it
                                                                                                                              3
 legal battles.




                                                                                                                              ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE
                                                               has occurred would not ensure a fair deal for the buyers.
     The principle of suitability has been criticised on the   Hence, banks should make an extra effort to build suitable
 ground that it would spawn ‘moral hazard practices’ by        governance structures within them to make their hedging
 buyers, put the selling banks in the defensive and stunt      clients suitable parties for the transactions.
 the risk taking behaviour of clients. In the long run,            While hedging is a product that can be used by
 such adverse developments would discourage financial           a customer to insulate himself from adverse price
 innovations and weaken market resilience. It also raises      fluctuations, it should be undertaken by them with full
 the cost of financial transactions by requiring lending        knowledge and understanding of all the risks involved,
 banks to maintain elaborative client profiles.                 so as to prevent a major financial catastrophe.


Transportation                                                     The improvement of the road network would
                                                               help reduce the disparities between and within the
    With the regional development efforts and
                                                               provinces and districts. The development of the road
increase in economic activities, the demand
                                                               network helps improve the connectivity between rural
for transport sector continued to increase.
                                                               and urban centres and opens access to services as
An efficient and convenient transportation system
                                                               well as to physical and human resources. Further, it
will accelerate economic growth by facilitating easy
                                                               would improve people’s access to markets and services
and faster mobility of people, goods and services
                                                               such as education and health. Thus, improving access
and reducing disparities in regional development.
                                                               to remote areas is important to create new markets, to
Recognising the importance of the expansion and
                                                               improve mobility of labour from regional areas thereby
improvement of the road network, the government has
                                                               generating more employment opportunities for the
prioritised the development of the existing road network
                                                               rural masses, helping to reduce poverty and achieve
and improving the road network by way of constructing
                                                               a regionally balanced economic growth.
highways and expressways and construction of rural
roads under the Maga Neguma Programme.                             Though the coverage of the road network in
                                                               Sri Lanka is relatively satisfactory with 1.8 km of
Road Transportation                                            roads per km2, the conditions and the capacity
                                                               of roads are inadequate to cater to the rapidly
Road Development
                                                               growing demand for freight and passenger
    Roads are the backbone of the transportation               transportation. The government has commenced
system. The country has an extensive road network;             several road development projects to address these
the total length of road network is about 116,862 km           issues. The Southern Expressway, which is under
comprising 11,902 km of national highways (classes             construction, is expected to boost economic activities
A and B), 16,532 km of provincial roads (classes               in the Southern province including potential growth
C and D), and 88,428 km of roads maintained by                 in industries, tourism, fisheries and agriculture in
Local Authorities, estates and state agencies. The             lagging areas. The construction work of the Southern
government policy on road development emphasises               Expressway is expected to be completed by 2011. It
building a national highway system and an                      is expected to rehabilitate approximately 620 km of
integrated road network, improving the management              national roads and 160 km of rural roads under the
of the existing road network, strengthening traffic             Road Sector Assistance Project. The project loan
management and implementing measures to                        agreement was signed for the construction of the
minimise road accidents by regulatory agencies and             Colombo-Katunayake Expressway with the Exim Bank
promoting private sector participation in investment           of China and the land acquisition and major utility
in new roads.                                                  shifting works were in progress in 2008. The Colombo

                                                                                                                       67
Central Bank of Sri Lanka Annual Report - 2008


                                     Outer Circular Highway Project is planned to link all      Road Passenger Transportation
                                     major roads radiating from Colombo with a view of
                                                                                                    The road passenger transportation showed

3
                                     reducing traffic congestion within the city of Colombo
                                                                                                some improvement in 2008. The average number
                                     by providing a high mobility road outside the city. The
                                                                                                of buses operated per day by the Sri Lanka Transport
                                     project is planned to be implemented in three stages
ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE




                                                                                                Board (SLTB) increased by 2.9 per cent to 4,247,
                                     and the land acquisition and the preparation of tender
                                                                                                while the average number of buses operated by
                                     documents were in progress in 2008. The negotiation
                                                                                                the private sector increased by 6.8 per cent to
                                     on the concession agreement was in progress for the
                                                                                                12,929 in 2008. The total operated kilometres and
                                     Colombo-Kandy Alternative Highway Project, while
                                                                                                passenger kilometres of SLTB increased by 2.5
                                     the feasibility study of the Kandy - Badulla alternative
                                     highway was carried out in 2008.                           per cent and 2.3 per cent, respectively, during the
                                                                                                year. The total operated kilometres and passenger
                                         The government has initiated a project to              kilometres by private bus operators increased by
                                     construct 21 flyovers to avoid traffic congestion            6.8 per cent. However, in 2008 new registration of
                                     in the city of Colombo and its suburbs. The flyover         passenger buses has decreased substantially by
                                     at the railway crossing at Kelaniya was completed          55.3 per cent.
                                     in April, 2008 and the flyover at Nugegoda junction
                                     was opened for traffic in January, 2009. Flyovers              In terms of the national bus fares policy,
                                     at Orugodawatte, Pannipitiya, Panadura and                 bus fares were revised several times in 2008.
                                     Gampaha were under construction during 2008. The           Passenger bus fares were increased by an average
                                     construction of these flyovers would help reduce the        rate of 4.6 per cent in February, 2008 mainly to
                                     road congestion significantly, thereby generating           compensate for the increase in fuel prices. Bus fares
                                     economic benefits such as saving fuel and time              were again increased in May, 2008; private sector
                                     spent for travel.                                          by an average of 27.2 per cent, and the state sector
                                                                                                by a lower rate of 17.4 per cent. However, in line
                                         Road development sector faces several
                                                                                                with declining petroleum prices, private sector bus
                                     issues in fast implementation of planned
                                                                                                fares were reduced by 11.6 per cent in November,
                                     projects. Delays in land acquisition and resettlement
                                                                                                2008. This has made the private sector bus fares
                                     activities, resistance from parties affected by land
                                                                                                comparable with the state sector by end 2008.
                                     acquisition, inadequate resources allocation,
                                     increase in price of road construction material,               Several projects have been launched to
                                     problems related to enforcement of laws are the            address the weaknesses in the road passenger
                                     main issues confronted in this sector. Uncontrolled        transportation sector in 2008. The National
                                     traffic and unauthorized roadside developments              Transport Commission has prepaired a strategic
                                     have also caused underutilization of the capacity of
                                                                                                plan for traffic management with a view to reducing
                                     the existing road network.
                                                                                                vehicles entering the city and reducing emission
                                                                                                levels to mitigate traffic congestion and environmental
                                     Passenger Transportation
                                                                                                pollution in the Greater Colombo area. Under this
                                          It is a long felt need to upgrade the services of     plan, a new bus service was launched in early 2009
                                     the public transport system comprising railway             with the help of the private sector in Colombo and
                                     and road passenger transportation to cater to              suburbs to divert private vehicle users to a more
                                     the rising demand for a quality and convenient             comfortable public transport system. The Nisi Seriya
                                     passenger mobility. To cater to this requirement,          night time bus service, Sisu Seriya School bus
                                     it is important to improve the facilities and quality of   service and Gemi Seriya to provide transport facilities
                                     the public transportation. An efficient mass transport      in uneconomic and remote areas were continued
                                     system can reduce the traffic congestion on main            in 2008. Operation of bus services in uneconomic
                                     roads and thereby saving time and expenditure on           routes were subsidised at a cost of Rs. 372 million
                                     petroleum imports.                                         by the Treasury.

                                     68
Central Bank of Sri Lanka Annual Report - 2008


    The financial position of SLTB continued to           taken to improve the signaling and communication
remain weak in 2008. The total revenue of SLTB           systems and infrastructure including re-construction
for the year 2008, increased by 16.8 per cent to Rs.
17,150 million mainly due to increase in bus fares.
Reflecting high fuel prices, operating expenditure
                                                         of several railway bridges. With the increase in
                                                         rolling stock position of SLR, new service between
                                                         Colombo-Nanuoya was commenced while several
                                                                                                                                                  3




                                                                                                                                                  ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE
also increased by 21.8 per cent to Rs. 20,704            sub-urban services which remained suspended were
million which led to an operational loss of Rs. 3,554    recommenced.
million in 2008. The operational loss has increased
                                                             Several measures have been taken to upgrade
by 53.8 per cent in 2008 compared to the previous
                                                         the railway services to meet customer demand
year, indicating the need for measures to improve
                                                         and to attract passengers to the railway. Under
the financial position of SLTB to reduce the burden
                                                         Stage I of upgrading the Colombo-Matara Railway
on the government budget.
                                                         line, while improving the rail track, selected railway
                                                         stations including Panadura, Kalutara, Galle and
Railway Transportation                                   Matara are to be developed. The loan agreement
    The railway sector showed mixed performance          for this project has already been signed with the
in 2008. Passenger transportation and goods              Government of India. Under Stage II, the second
transportation decreased by 2.1 per cent and             line will also be constructed from Kalutara South to
9.4 per cent, respectively, in 2008 mainly due to        Matara. Meanwhile, the land acquisition for the first
cancellation of train operations between several         27 km of the new Matara-Kataragama Railway line
areas due to security reasons and curtailment of
unproductive train operations as well as increase in                                  Salient Features of the
railway fares and freight charges. At present, the Sri     Table 3.5
                                                                                         Transport Sector
Lanka Railways (SLR) contributes only around 5 per
cent and 1 per cent, respectively, to the passenger                                                                           Growth Rate (%)
transportation and goods transportation in the                             Item
                                                                                                       2007      2008(a)       2007     2008(a)
country. Though, the railway network of Sri Lanka        1. New registration of motor vehicles (No.) 297,892 265,199           -0.9     -11.0
                                                              Buses                                    2,637   1,180          -21.2     -55.3
consists of 1,640 kilometres, it operates only 1,200          Private cars                            22,603 20,237           -18.0     -10.5
kilometres due to the closure of several sections in          Three wheelers                          43,068 44,804           -33.2       4.0
                                                              Dual purpose vehicles                    5,193   2,856          -28.3     -45.0
the North and the East. However, with the liberation          Motor cycles                           182,508 155,952           16.5     -14.6
                                                              Goods transport vehicles                18,408 14,038            -9.9     -23.7
of the North and the East and reconstruction of the           Land vehicles                           23,475 26,132            12.7      11.3
destroyed rail track, the SLR will be able to start      2. Sri Lanka Railways
                                                               Operated kilometers (‘000)             9,560        8,960(b)    22.6     -6.3
railway operations to those areas.                             Passenger kilometers (mn)              4,769        4,669       10.6     -2.1
                                                               Freight ton kilometers (mn)              133          121       -3.5     -9.4
    The SLR initiated several projects in 2008 to              Total revenue (Rs.mn)                  2,999        3,671       20.4     22.4
                                                               Operating expenditure (Rs.mn)          7,297        8,225       12.7     12.7
improve the railway operations which has been                  Operating loss (Rs.mn)                 4,298        4,553        8.0      5.9
constrained by non-availability of a sufficient           3. Sri Lanka Transport Board
                                                               Operated kilometers (mn)                 305         313        16.2      2.5
number of passenger carriages, locomotives and                 Passenger kilometers (mn)             14,694      15,037        14.2      2.3
                                                               Total revenue (Rs.mn)                 14,687      17,150        18.6     16.8
diesel multiple units. Though the SLR has a fleet               Operating expenditure (Rs.mn)         16,999      20,704        13.9     21.8
of 98 engines, 75 per cent of this fleet is more than           Operating loss (Rs.mn)                 2,312       3,554        -9.0     53.7
                                                         4. SriLankan Airlines
30 years old and subject to frequent breakdowns.               Hours flown (hrs.)                     69,184      67,796         2.9      -2.0
With a view to relieving this situation, the SLR has           Passenger kilometers flown (mn)         9,841       9,169         5.2      -6.8
                                                               Passenger load factor (%)                 79          74         3.8      -5.9
set up a workshop to repair coaches locally. Under             Weight load factor (%)                    60          59         1.6      -2.0
                                                               Freight (Mt. ‘000)                        98          87         0.0     -11.2
this re-furbishing programme, 15 coaches were                  Employment (No.)                       5,213       4,874        -2.8      -6.5
refurbished by end 2008. Further, the SLR imported       (a) Provisional                        Sources: Department of Motor Traffic
                                                         (b) Estimates                                   Sri Lanka Railways
100 passenger carriages and 15 diesel multiple                                                           National Transport Commission
                                                                                                         Civil Aviation Authority of Sri Lanka
units under a concessional loan from China by end                                                        SriLankan Airlines

2008 to upgrade its fleet. In addition, actions were

                                                                                                                                         69
Central Bank of Sri Lanka Annual Report - 2008


                                     extension has been completed. The SLR is planning              The government has highlighted in its
                                     to upgrade 281 km of railway track in the Eastern           policy framework that it will maintain a liberal

3                                    province with new sleepers and other infrastructure
                                     facilities. With a view to reducing the traffic congestion
                                                                                                 and competitive civil aviation industry in Sri
                                                                                                 Lanka with efficient and modern facilities to
                                                                                                 ensure safety and security in accordance with
                                     and to popularise mass-scale transportation, it is
ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE




                                     planned to introduce a Light Rail Rapid Transit System      international standards. Accordingly, BIA will be
                                     in Colombo Metropolitan area. The feasibility study of      developed as an international aviation hub and
                                     the project has already been completed.                     the institutional framework will be re-engineered
                                                                                                 to ensure high level of efficiency in landing aircraft
                                         Railway fares were revised upward in 2008               and passengers at BIA. Stage 2 of Phase II of the
                                     after a lapse of three years. Railway fares were            Bandaranaike International Airport Modernisation
                                     increased by an average rate of 70 per cent in              project was in progress in 2008. This project aims
                                     June, 2008 mainly considering increased fuel prices.        at constructing a new passenger terminal facility
                                     However, fares were adjusted downward by about 9            to accommodate the increasing number of air
                                     per cent in line with the reduction in diesel prices in     passengers.
                                     December, 2008. Accordingly, the average railway
                                                                                                     Several developments have been taken place
                                     fare has been increased by 42 per cent in 2008.
                                                                                                 in the civil aviation sector in 2008. The Government
                                     However, the fare revision in 2008 was not sufficient
                                                                                                 of Sri Lanka took over the management of SriLankan
                                     to mitigate the already weakened financial position of
                                                                                                 Airlines from April, 2008 from Emirates Airlines,
                                     the SLR. The total revenue of the SLR increased by
                                                                                                 at the end of the ten year management contract
                                     22.4 per cent to Rs. 3,671 million, while the current       agreement. International Air Transport Association
                                     expenditure increased by 12.7 per cent to Rs. 8,225         has introduced a complete electronic ticketing
                                     million, resulting in a 5.9 per cent increase in an         system replacing the traditional paper tickets.
                                     operational loss to Rs. 4,553 million in 2008.              Several new airlines started their operations to Sri
                                                                                                 Lanka. Mihin Air, the second national carrier and a
                                     Civil Aviation                                              budget airline suspended its operations from May,
                                         The performance of the civil aviation sector            2008 and re-commenced operations from January,
                                     was hindered by the slowdown in the tourism                 2009 with government budgetary allocations to
                                     sector in 2008. A total of 4.7 million passengers           meet its capital requirements. While it is important
                                     were served at the Bandaranaike International               to have a budget airline, it is necessary to maintain
                                     Airport (BIA) in 2008, reflecting a 5.8 per cent            its operations in a commercially viable manner. In
                                     decrease over the number of passengers in 2007.             this regard, it is important that the budget airline
                                     Air freight also decreased by 7.5 per cent during the       should put in place a medium-term business plan
                                     year. The share of the national carrier, SriLankan          taking into account, the global trends in air traffic,
                                     Airlines, in passenger and freight operations               cost cutting experiences of other budget airline
                                     remained at 62.7 per cent and 59.7 per cent,                operations and the high cost of acquiring aircraft for
                                     respectively, in 2008. The domestic air passenger           operations. Meanwhile, Sri Lanka participated in five
                                     transportation reflected a substantial growth and            bilateral air services negotiations with five countries
                                     passenger kilometreage grew by 28.2 per cent in             and entered into new agreements with Turkey and
                                     2008. A significant progress can be expected in              Madagascar.
                                     the civil aviation sector, with the North and the East
                                     conflict reaching its final phase, and peace returning
                                                                                                 Port Services
                                     to the country. However, the performance of the civil          The growth momentum in port services
                                     aviation sector is not expected to show a speedy            continued in 2008 despite some impact from
                                     recovery in 2009 due to the anticipated prolonged           slowdown in global trade during the latter part
                                     world economic recession.                                   of the year. Total cargo handling grew by 9.1 per

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Sri Lanka Economy

  • 1. ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE 3.1 Overview T he government has taken measures to step up investments in infrastructure by both public and private sectors and has commenced a series of projects including several major infrastructure projects across the country as highlighted in the Ten-Year Horizon Development Framework 2006-2016 and its ‘Randora programme’ (infrastructure development programme). The continuous budgetary support for infrastructure development, despite fiscal constraints, is laudable, while more efforts to catalyse greater private financing through Public Private Partnerships (PPPs) are needed to supplement government investments and for a sustained development of infrastructure. Consistent policy, good governance and transparency, institutional capacity building, effective regulations and efficient financial markets are pre-requisites in promoting private investments in both economic and social infrastructure projects. The government’s policy on infrastructure development is designed with a view to developing a regionally balanced economy, addressing the economic and social disparity in the urban and rural areas. With the liberation of the Eastern and the Northern provinces, the country faces a huge challenge of developing basic infrastructure facilities as fast as possible for the people in those areas to start their original livelihood and to recoup the development in other areas and to fuel economic activities. In respect of the Eastern province, the government has already prepared a three-year comprehensive development plan, the ‘Nagenahira Navodaya’ (Eastern Revival), which is now being implemented with a total investment expenditure of Rs. 200 billion. Similarly, the government is preparing
  • 2. Central Bank of Sri Lanka Annual Report - 2008 a development plan for the Nothern province, As revealed by social indicators, the key social the ‘Vadakkin Wasantham’ (Uthuru Wasanthaya/ infrastructure facilities in the country continue to 3 Florishing North), which includes the construction be satisfactory, though the current achievements of roads and bridges, railroads, transport services, are threatened by paucity of resources. Accordingly, electricity transmission lines, water supply schemes, financial constraints for expanding and improving ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE housing development, telecommunications services the service quality, maintaining equity in service and irrigation facilities in the province. distribution and maximizing the utilization level In 2008, the government engaged in of existing strong institutional framework and the implementation of mega infrastructure physical and human resources have threatened development projects highlighted in the Randora, the sustainability of the health and the education at the national level and the ‘Gama Neguma’ and sectors, making it vilely necessary to address the ‘Maga Neguma’ programmes at the regional issue urgently at national level. level. Under the Randora programme, major Infrastructure services showed mixed infrastrcture projects such as the Upper Kotmale performance in 2008. A rapid growth was seen in Hydropower Project, the Puttalam Coal Power Plant, the Colombo Port Expansion Project, the the telecommunications industry with the continuous Hambantota Sea Port Development Project, the adoption of improved technology, higher competition, Galle Port Development Project, the Oluvil Port increased capacity and coverage as well as Development Project, the Southern Expressway and conducive policies. Port services grew at a healthy the Colombo-Katunayake Expressway were under rate, particularly during the first three quarters, various stages of implemetation in 2008.There are a benefitting from increased trade and productivity few other projects such as the Northern Expressway, improvements. Energy sector continued to suffer and the Trincomalee Coal Power Plant, the Greater from historically high oil prices in 2008. The electricity Dambulla Development Project, the Habarana- sector, which heavily depends on thermal power Trincomalee main road, the Puttalam-Anuradhapura was badly affected by high oil prices. However, the main highway and the Jaffna Peninsula Water and reduction of oil prices in the international markets Sanitation Project at planning or project negotiation from mid-July, 2008 mitigated the impact of high oil stages. Maga Neguma (Development of roads) prices to some extent on the Ceylon Electricity Board and Gama Neguma (Development of villages) (CEB), but could not take the CEB completely out programmes are implemented to improve small scale of its tough financial constraints. The adjustment infrastructure facilities, covering all regions to ease of domestic petroleum prices to reflect high infrastructure bottlenecks for rural development. international prices, instead of subsidizing, helped to reduce the subsidy burden on the government Table 3.1 Government Investment in Infrastructure budget. Adjustments of prices in the transport, petroleum and power sectors in response to rising Year Economic Social costs mainly due to high oil prices and, thereby, Total Services Services reducing unproductive direct and indirect subsidies Rs. bn. % of Rs. bn. % of Rs. bn. % of GDP (a) GDP (a) GDP (a) were policy measures taken in the right direction in 1999 44.9 4.1 17.5 1.6 62.4 5.6 achieving macroeconomic stability. The passenger 2000 54.7 4.4 16.5 1.3 71.1 5.7 2001 54.9 3.9 14.6 1.0 69.5 4.9 transportation registered a moderate growth in 2008. 2002 51.7 3.4 15.7 1.0 67.4 4.3 The civil aviation sector, which was badly affected 2003 58.7 3.2 19.2 1.1 77.9 4.3 2004 61.3 2.9 29.0 1.4 90.3 4.3 by high fuel prices in the first half and downturn in 2005 77.5 3.2 60.4(b) 2.5 137.9 5.6 2006 106.8 3.6 48.4 1.6 155.2 5.3 the tourism industry, registered a negative growth 2007 141.2 3.9 55.0 1.5 196.2 5.5 in 2008. Some policy initiatives have been taken to 2008 (c) 168.9 3.8 60.2 1.4 229.1 5.2 (a) From 2003, data based on estimates Sources: Ministry of Finance and Planning improve the education sector specially the tertiary compiled by the Department of Census and Statistics Central Bank of Sri Lanka education while, the health sector continued its (b) Inclusive of Tsunami related capital expenditure efforts to achieve the goals identified in the Health (c) Provisional Master Plan. 60
  • 3. Central Bank of Sri Lanka Annual Report - 2008 3.2 Economic Infrastructure Chart 3.1 Telephone Density Policies, Institutional Framework 3 80 and Performance Fixed Access Total (Including Cellular Phones) 70 Communications Services Telephones per 100 persons 60 ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE 50 Telecommunications sector has shown a 40 remarkable progress during the last few years in 30 terms of improvement in technology, capacity and 20 coverage, which have led to a higher subscriber 10 network and higher service quality. The growth 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 in the telecommunications sector was facilitated by intensified competition in the industry with the arrival and promotion of motor and life insurance policies of new service providers, expansion of coverage, for agreed insurance providers and selling pre-paid reduction of initial cost to an affordable level and the phone cards through post offices have been carried adoption of new technology. The subscriber network out to diversify the services offered by the postal of the telecommunications sector grew by 35.5 per network, thereby generating additional revenue. While cent in 2008, following the 47 per cent growth in 2007. it is encouraging that the postal service is venturing Fixed access telephone connections expanded by into providing value added services, given the 25.7 per cent during the period, largely due to an extensive post office network and easy accessibility expansion of the wireless network with Code Division of the public, coupled with rising demand for a variety Multiple Access (CDMA) technology, which along of services, the post office network need to be further with Global System Mobile (GSM) technology helped modernised and encouraged as a vital point of sale people in rural areas to have easy connections. The for a variety of services across the country. mobile telephone network increased by 38.8 per cent in 2008, compared to the previous year. The mobile Financial performance of the Department of telephone penetration (mobile connections as a per Posts (DOP) has slightly improved in 2008. The cent of total population) increased significantly to operating loss of the DOP continued to remain high, 54.8 per cent in 2008 from 39.9 per cent in 2007 Growth of Telecommunications and surpassing the level of penetration in other countries Table 3.2 Postal Services in the region. With these developments, the telephone density (telephones per 100 persons), including Growth Rate (%) cellular phones, increased to 71.9 in 2008 from 53.6 Item 2007 2008(a) 2007 2008(a) in 2007. By end 2008, the telecommunications sector 1. Telecommunications services consisted of 4 fixed line operators, 4 mobile operators, 1.1 Fixed access services 33 external gateway operators and 22 internet service Wireline telephones in service (‘000) 932 934 2.4 0.2 Wireless local loop telephones (‘000) 1,810 2,513 85.8 38.8 providers. Another mobile operator commenced its Cellular phones (‘000) 7,983 11,083 47.5 38.8 Telephone density operations in Sri Lanka in January, 2009. (Telephones per 100 persons, including cellular phones) 53.6 71.9 46.1 34.1 Postal services showed mixed performance in 1.2 Other services 2008. The post office network, including private Public pay phones 8,526 8,500 12.8 -0.3 agency post offices, has not grown in 2008. Internet & e-mail (‘000) 202 234 55.7 15.6 2. Postal service However, two sub post offices have been upgraded Delivery areas (No) 6,729 6,729 0.0 0.0 to main post offices in 2008. The average population Post offices (No) 4,737 4,737 0.2 0.0 Public 4,053 4,053 0.2 0.0 served by a post office stood at 4,268 in 2008. Several Private 684 684 0.0 0.0 new services such as providing banking facilities Area served by a post office (Sq.km) 13.8 13.8 0.0 0.0 Population served by a post office 4,252 4,268 2.0 0.4 including accepting savings and fixed deposits Letters per inhabitant 23 21 -4.2 -8.7 and promotion of credit cards for several banks, (a) Provisional Sources: Telecommunications Regulatory Commission of Sri Lanka insurance services including premium collection Department of Posts 61
  • 4. Central Bank of Sri Lanka Annual Report - 2008 though it declined to Rs. 2,143 million in 2008 from Table 3.3 Power Sector Performance Rs. 2,893 million recorded in 2007. The revenue of 3 DOP has increased significantly by 71.2 per cent due to an upward revision of postal charges with effect from mid-2007. The operating expenditure of DOP has Item 2007 2008(a) Growth Rate (%) 2007 2008(a) ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE declined by 20.8 per cent, due to the implementation Installed capacity (MW) 2,444 2,644 0.4 8.2 Hydro 1,324 1,344 0.8 1.5 of a cost management programme. The measures Thermal (b) 1,115 1,285 0.0 15.2 taken to improve the financial position and to generate Wind 3 3 0.0 0.0 Other 2 12 100.0 500.0 additional funds by venturing into non-traditional Units generated (GWh) 9,814 9,901 4.5 0.9 services should be continued until it becomes self- Hydro 3,947 4,128 -14.8 4.6 Thermal (b) 5,864 5,763 23.4 -1.7 supporting to avoid being a burden on the budget. Wind 2 3 0.0 50.0 Other 1 6 -36.7 500.0 Total sales by CEB (GWh) 8,276 8,417 5.7 1.7 Energy Domestic and religious 2,771 2,799 5.7 1.0 Industrial 2,627 2,678 0.8 1.9 General purpose and hotel 1,626 1,703 16.6 4.7 The energy sector suffered from soaring oil Bulk sales to LECO 1,144 1,130 3.0 -1.2 prices in the international market during the Street lighting 108 108 10.2 0.0 LECO sales (GWh) 1,099 1,070 5.3 -2.6 first seven months of 2008. International oil prices Domestic and religious 499 478 3.1 -4.2 increased to a historically high level of US dollars 146 Industrial 267 237 5.1 -11.2 General purpose and hotel 303 328 8.6 8.3 per barrel by July, 2008. However, due to the price Street lighting 27 25 0.0 -7.4 decline in the latter part of the year, the average import Overall system loss of CEB (%) 15.7 15.0 -5.6 -4.3 Number of consumers (‘000) (c) 4,307 4,518 6.0 4.9 price of crude oil (C&F) by the Ceylon Petroleum o/w Domestic and religious 3,811 4,001 6.1 5.0 Corporation (CPC) increased only by about 34.7 per Industrial 41 44 2.5 7.3 General purpose and hotel 450 469 4.9 4.2 cent to US dollars 97 per barrel. However, historically (a) Provisional Sources: Ceylon Electricity Board high oil prices clearly indicated the importance of (b) Inclusive of Independent Producers (IPP) (c) Inclusive of LECO Consumers Lanka Electricity Company (Pvt) Ltd. adopting a multi-faceted strategy to address the issue, by way of developing alternative energy sources; Electricity sales had been growing by an average rate including renewable energy, adhering to energy of 7-8 per cent per year in the recent past. However, conservation measures and adopting country-wide it has been observed that the demand for electricity demand management measures. has been declining in recent years mainly due to tariff increases as well as high growth in less energy Electricity intensive sectors in the economy. An upward revision Total electricity generation increased of electricity tariff at a higher rate has led to economise marginally by 0.9 per cent to 9,901 GWh in electricity consumption and encouraging consumers 2008. The share of hydropower in the total electricity to conserve electricity by shifting to use energy generation increased to 42 per cent in 2008 from efficient equipments, lowering the electricity sales 40 per cent in 2007 due to conducive weather growth substantially. The electricity consumption in conditions. Out of the total power generation, the domestic sector, general purpose and hotel and about 58 per cent was generated by CEB and the the industrial sector increased by 1.1 per cent, 4.7 balance by the private sector. The system losses per cent and 1.9 per cent, respectively, in 2008. as a percentage of total generation which was 15.7 The electricity sector continued to suffer from per cent in 2007 declined to 15 per cent in 2008. escalating oil prices as well as other institutional However, the system losses are still high in terms and structural weaknesses. The CEB continued of international best-practices level. to depend heavily on thermal power, mainly from The sales of electricity, which excludes system the private sector. In 2008, about 58 per cent of losses out of the total generation, increased electricity demand was met by thermal power. The marginally by 1.7 per cent to 8,417 GWh in 2008. fuel bill of the CEB increased by 45.7 per cent. On 62
  • 5. Central Bank of Sri Lanka Annual Report - 2008 average, the CEB incurred Rs. 19.17 to generate a as a national policy and take all other remedial unit of electricity at its thermal power plants in 2008, measures to deal with any oil price shock in the which is an increase of 45.8 per cent compared to 2007. The average purchase price of private power increased by 37.9 per cent to Rs. 20.58 per future. Any delay in the planned low cost power generation projects will incur high expenditure on petroleum imports for electricity generation. Energy 3 ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE unit in 2008. However, the decrease in oil prices in conservation by curbing the growth of unnecessary the international market towards the latter part of energy intensity in the economy and developing 2008 mitigated the heavy pressure on electricity renewable energy sources are also important to arrest generation cost, thereby easing the burden on the the high oil import bill in the country. However, these already weakened financial position of the CEB. types of micro measures will not help sufficiently to deal with future energy crises. Therefore, it should The sustainability of the power sector entirely be noted that a sustainable energy policy should be depends on shifting towards low cost power based on shifting towards low cost power generation generation in the medium-term to bring electricity methods coupled with a flexible pricing policy. tariff to an affordable level and increase the competitiveness of export-oriented industries. The government has identified the importance Several power projects were at various stages of of rural electrification which helps many villagers implementation in 2008. The first phase (200 MW) of generating self-employment activities, thereby the Kerawalapitiya combined cycle power plant with helping to alleviate poverty in rural areas. The a capacity of 300 MW was completed in November, CEB has been able to provide grid connected 2008 and added to the national grid, while the electricity to level of 83 per cent of households and remaining 100 MW is expected to be added to the the future rural electrification projects are expected national grid in 2009. The Norochcholai coal power to enhance the electrification level to 86 per cent plant (900 MW) which was started in 2007 is expected by end 2010. Although, the financial benefits to the to add 300 MW to the national grid in the first stage by CEB is low due to high transmission cost, since 2011 and 600 MW in the second and third stages. The the economic and social benefits of electrifying cost of power generation from coal fired power plants rural areas are high, the government with the is relatively low compared to oil fired power plants, collaboration of funding agencies has launched which may result in reducing the overall cost of power several programmes to connect the rural households generation. Meanwhile, the construction work of the to the national grid. Six rural electrification projects Upper Kothmale hydropower plant was in progress in have been completed in 2008 with an estimated cost 2008 and is expected to add 150 MW to the national of US dollars 189 million. grid by 2011. Negotiations were also in progress with Several changes were introduced to the foreign investors to set up a coal power plant with a electricity tariff in 2008. The CEB revised its capacity of 1,000 MW in Trincomalee. In addition, tariff structure to a flat tariff system in March, 2008 four medium scale hydropower plants namely, Uma and increased electricity tariff by an average of 30 Oya (120 MW), Ginganga (49 MW), Broadland (35 per cent. However, as per a Court ruling the CEB MW) and Morogolla (27 MW) have been identified for reverted to its block tariff system from November, implementation. These power plants, once completed, 2008. In addition, the fuel adjustment charge of 30 would provide a space for the country to rationalize its per cent was levied across all the tariff categories power generation mix, thereby helping the country to from March, 2008. However, a waiver on the fuel cope with internal and external shocks and maintain adjustment charge was granted to the religious the stability in the power system. category with effect from May, 2008. Further, a It is imperative to take necessary measures waiver of the fuel adjustment charge was granted to expedite low cost power generation projects for the industrial and hotel categories for a period of without any delay and discourage the installation 11 months from January, 2009 under the Economic of high cost thermal power projects in the future Stimulus Package, considering the difficulties faced 63
  • 6. Central Bank of Sri Lanka Annual Report - 2008 by industries in this category due to the global amounted to Rs. 64 billion by end 2008. This economic slowdown. In addition, a discount of Rs. fragile financial position of the CEB highlights the 3 30.00 per household, which consumes less than 90 importance of quickly dealing with this problem, as units per month was granted by the Budget 2009. otherwise the CEB may have to be bailed out by tax These cross-subsidies have led to significant financial payers’ money. ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE losses to the CEB, burdening the government budget The Sri Lanka Electricity Bill was passed by the and tax payers. This situation, therefore, calls for an Parliament in March, 2009. The Sri Lanka Electricity implementation of a cost-reflective tariff system in Act provides the basic legal framework for separation order to make the CEB viable and thereby sustain of policy, regulatory and operational aspects allowing Sri Lanka’s energy sector. the Public Utilities Commision of Sri Lanka (PUCSL) The tariff increase was not sufficient to cover to regulate the electricity sector. Nevertheless, the cost of power generation. The average tariff the Act still imposes certain constraints on private in 2008 was Rs. 13.22 per unit, while the average sector participation in key areas of operation such cost was Rs. 14.94 per unit. The estimated average as generation and distribution, whereby either purchased cost of private power was Rs. 20.58 per complete or partial involvement of the government unit in 2008. The already high electricity tariff in the in the generation and distribution is compulsory. country suggests that there is no room for a further Further, under the provision of the Act, the CEB will tariff increase without hampering competitiveness continue to function as a vertically integrated utility and, hence, the rationale for shifting towards low with powers to hold generation, transmission and cost power generation methods and implementation distribution licences simultaneously. of necessary reforms in the power sector aiming at bringing down the cost of power generation as a Petroleum national priority. International oil prices reached record high levels towards the middle of 2008. Oil prices in the The financial position of the CEB further international market reached its highest level of US weakened in 2008. The CEB’s operating losses dollars 146 per barrel in July, 2008. Several factors increased to Rs. 35 billion in 2008. An increase including a steady increase in demand from emerging of expenditure due to high oil prices was the main economies such as India and China, low OPEC spare reason for the increase in losses. The CEB’s capacity in oil production, weakened US dollar, supply accumulated short-term borrowings from banks constraints resulted from geo-political uncertainties, and other outstanding liabilities to the CPC and to low inventories and refinery bottlenecks led to high Independent Power Producers (IPPs) amounted oil prices during the first seven months of 2008. to Rs. 57 billion, while, CEB’s long-term loans However, oil prices declined rapidly to a lowest level in four years to US dollars 34 per barrel in December, Chart 3.2 Average Tariff and Cost of Electricity 2008 with the restoration of supply from Brazil and 14 Nigeria, coupled with a declining world demand for 12 oil due to financial turmoil and slowingdown of the 10 world economy. The average crude oil price (Brent) 8 increased by 35 per cent to US dollars 97 per barrel Rs./unit in 2008 in comparison to US dollars 72 per barrel in 6 2007. The average price of crude oil (C&F) imported 4 by CPC stood at US dollars 97 in 2008, reflecting an 2 increase of 34.7 per cent. 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Domestic Tariff Average Tariff Domestic petroleum prices were adjusted in line Industry Tariff Average Cost with the changes in international prices in 2008. Commercial Tariff Accordingly, prices of petrol (90 octane), auto diesel 64
  • 7. Central Bank of Sri Lanka Annual Report - 2008 and kerosene were raised by 34.2 per cent, 46.7 per Table 3.4 Petroleum Sector Performance cent and 17.6 per cent, respectively, to Rs. 157.00, Rs.110.00, and Rs. 80.00 per litre, respectively, in two steps during the first half of 2008. The 15 per Item 2007 2008(a) Growth Rate % 2007 2008(a) 3 cent Value Added Tax (VAT) on petrol was reduced ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE to 5 per cent with effect from January, 2008 to ease Quantity imported (Mt ‘000) Crude oil 1,938 1,853 -9.9 -4.1 the pressure on consumers. However, in line with Refined products (b) 2,216 2,145 15.1 -3.2 L.P. gas 156 144 -1.3 -7.7 declining international oil prices, petrol, diesel and Domestic L.P. gas production (Mt ‘000) 16 16 5.4 4.5 Value of imports (c&f ) kerosene prices were reduced to Rs. 120.00, Rs. Crude oil (Rs. mn) 113,584 143,159 6.5 26.0 70.00 and Rs. 50.00 per litre, respectively, during (US dollars mn) 1,025 1,323 -0.4 29.1 Refined products (Rs. mn) 150,390 202,144 31.0 34.4 the latter part of 2008 in several steps. In addition, (US dollars mn) 1,358 1,863 26.0 37.2 L.P. gas (Rs. mn.) 12,027 15,301 27.6 27.2 VAT on petrol was increased to 12 per cent from (US dollars mn) 111 141 2.8 27.0 January, 2009 and the full duty wavier of Rs. 20.00 Average price of crude oil (c&f ) (Rs./barrel) 8,113 10,226 21.7 26.0 per litre on importation of petrol was suspended (US dollars/barrel) 72.01 97.01 12.0 34.7 Quantity of exports (Mt ‘000) 283 310 -11.3 9.5 in May 2008. The total sales of major petroleum Value of exports (Rs. mn.) 18,693 27,542 -4.5 47.3 products declined by 6.4 per cent responding to the (US dollars mn.) Local sales (Mt ‘000) 169 3,965 255 4,391 -10.1 11.6 50.9 10.7 price hike in 2008. Petrol consumption registered o/w Petrol (90 Octane) 487 490 7.3 0.6 Petrol (95 Octane) 31 29 29.2 -6.5 a marginal growth of 0.2 per cent, while diesel and Auto diesel 1,752 1,613 7.3 -7.9 Super diesel 14 9 55.6 -35.7 kerosene consumption decreased by 7.9 per cent Kerosene 168 151 -18.4 -10.1 and 10.1 per cent, respectively. Furnace oil 986 973 8.1 -1.3 Avtur 199 189 -22.0 -5.0 Naphtha 97 142 61.7 46.4 The CPC reported operational losses in 2008. L.P. gas 197 174 15.9 -11.7 Local Price (at period end) (Rs./litre) Non-revision of oil prices on time was the main Petrol (90 Octane) 117.00 120.00 27.2 2.6 Petrol (95 Octane) 120.00 133.00 26.3 10.8 reason for the CPC’s losses recorded in 2008. Auto diesel 75.00 70.00 25.0 -6.7 The non-payment of outstanding bills by several Super diesel Kerosene 80.30 68.00 85.30 50.00 23.0 41.7 6.2 -26.5 institutions, particularly a sum of around Rs. 45 Furnace Oil 500 Seconds 54.30 54.30 17.3 0.0 billion from the CEB, placed additional burden on 800 Seconds 53.90 33.90 17.7 -37.1 1,000 Seconds 52.70 52.70 18.7 0.0 the CPC in its attempt to function as a commercially 1,500 Seconds 51.70 31.70 19.4 -38.7 viable institution. The Government of Iran granted 3,500 Seconds 46.65 25.00 13.8 -46.4 L.P. Gas (Rs./kg) an interest free credit facility, initially for 120 days Shell gas 105.04 129.52 36.8 22.9 Laugfs gas 97.12 109.60 33.6 12.9 which was extended to 210 days to purchase crude (a) Provisional Sources: Ceylon Petroleum Corporation oil from Iran. The CPC had utilized this facility up to (b) Imports by Ceylon Petroleum Lanka IOC Ltd. Corporation, Lanka IOC Ltd. and Lanka Marine Services (Pvt) Ltd. US dollars 1,226 million in 2008 and has repaid US Lanka Marine Services (pvt.) Ltd. Shell Gas Lanka Ltd Laugfs Gas (Pvt) Ltd. dollars 845 million by end 2008. Sri Lanka Customs International Crude Oil (Brent) Prices Progress was made in respect of oil exploration Chart 3.3 in the Mannar Basin in 2008. The Ministry of (Monthly Average) 2007/2008 140 Petroleum and Petroleum Resources Development, 130 120 called for bids from international oil companies 110 for petroleum exploration in Blocks 2, 3 and 4 in 100 the Mannar Basin. Cairns India Ltd was selected US$/bbl 90 80 70 as the successful tenderer and has been offered 60 the licence for exploring oil in the Block 2. Cairns 50 40 Lanka Ltd, the local subsidiary of Cairns India Ltd 30 07' Mar May Jul Sep Nov 08' Mar May Jul Sep Nov is to commence exploration activities during the first Jan Jan quarter of 2009. 65
  • 8. Central Bank of Sri Lanka Annual Report - 2008 Box 5 Commodity Hedging: Risks for Buyers and Sellers 3 This Box Article discusses the potential risks Why has the principle of suitability become ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE of entering into hedging transactions and ways of important in the modern hedging deals? That is because mitigating the risks involved1 . A hedging transaction is of the existence of a crucial problem called ‘information a sub-product in the wider market for derivative products asymmetry’ in markets. In the case of hedging deals, which have been developed and offered on the basis the seller may be well equipped with knowledge, but of an available financial product to generate liquidity, the buyer needs to be educated. The disparity in the mitigate risks and raise the depth of the market. knowledge of the two parties would elevate the seller to a superior position, thereby enabling him to get A long established legal principle relating to business himself enriched unduly. When the buyers became deals has been the ‘caveat emptor’ or ‘let the buyer victims of this information asymmetry, the hedging beware’. This principle simply enunciates that buyers markets on their own devised a code of good practices of a transaction should take the requisite measures to to minimise its occurrence. In markets where there is no protect themselves and the sellers have no responsibility such market developed code for hedging transactions, for the losses incurred by buyers. When applied to a it is the responsibility of the regulators to introduce a hedging product, it means that the buyer should learn mandatory code of best practices to ensure fair deals in of the risks involved and enter into the transaction with the derivative markets. full knowledge. The principle holds even if the sellers have deliberately and intentionally misled the buyers In order to ensure fair deals in the derivative market into accepting a product that would bring them potential and protect the interests of all the parties, the Central losses. However, the application of this legal principle Bank of Sri Lanka, in 2005 and 2006, after following for the derivative transactions has been withheld by an elaborative consultative process, introduced a set of courts in the wake of a plethora of cases in which the directions to be followed by banks intending to enter buyers in derivative transactions had incurred substantial into hedging deals. These directions, among other things, losses persistently. That was after the issuers of hedging specifically required the banks or authorized dealers to products, mainly investment banks, were accused educate the clients of the pros and cons and the risks of ‘mis-selling’ or ‘mis-labelling’ of products to the involved in hedging deals. According to the directions, detriment of the buyers. “authorized dealers shall obtain an undertaking from the customers interested in using the derivative products Therefore, the accepted principle relating to that they have clearly understood the nature of the derivative transactions today is not the caveat emptor, products and their inherent risk”, and “authorized but ‘suitability’. The principle of suitability casts dealers shall provide adequate information on the upon the seller the responsibility of ascertaining the transaction especially with regard to the conditions and appropriateness of the buyer of a product before entering clauses to be incorporated into the product-determined into a formal deal with him. Since many financial benchmark interest rate, strike price, premia if any and products and derivatives are complex in nature, not all risks involved to their customers and ensure highest buyers could adequately assess the risks they are taking level of transparency”. In terms of a set of guidelines when buying such products. In view of the fact that issued in 2007, in the case of corporate customers, the such derivative products are of high value, the resultant bank that proposes the hedging deal should inform all losses to buyers could also be substantial. Hence, it is the the board members of the nature and the level of the responsibility of the seller to make the buyer ‘suitable’ to risks involved in the proposed hedging and get a signed enter into a deal with him. In other words, the two parties acknowledgement from the board to that effect. In this to a derivative transaction should be well-informed of manner, the corporate client who is to sign the hedging the risks faced by each other and participate in the deal agreement with the bank would do so as an equal partner as equal partners. Bringing up the buyer to that status fully aware of the risks involved. It is mandatory for is the responsibility of the seller. Thus, the principle of banks in Sri Lanka to follow these directions. If the suitability precludes the seller from ‘unjustly enriching banks fail to comply with the directions, the hedging himself out of the ignorance of the buyer’. contracts involved will become ‘tainted and materially defective’. In such a situation, courts may discharge the buyers from the responsibility for honouring the 1 The rationale and the product range available for commodity hedgers with special reference to hedge oil for mitigating price risks were presented in Box hedging contracts. Hence, the appropriate dictum in the No. 4 in Annual Report 2006 (page 47). 66
  • 9. Central Bank of Sri Lanka Annual Report - 2008 current circumstances should be, not that the buyer be Regulations alone cannot prevent the occurrence of aware as pronounced by the principle caveat emptor, but mis-selling or mis-labelling in the hedging markets. If the that the seller be aware as pronounced by the principle ‘caveat venditor’, in order to avoid losses and costly banks do not comply with these regulations, a regulator is not in a position to prevent mis-selling or mis-labelling before it occurs. Any detection of such an incident after it 3 legal battles. ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE has occurred would not ensure a fair deal for the buyers. The principle of suitability has been criticised on the Hence, banks should make an extra effort to build suitable ground that it would spawn ‘moral hazard practices’ by governance structures within them to make their hedging buyers, put the selling banks in the defensive and stunt clients suitable parties for the transactions. the risk taking behaviour of clients. In the long run, While hedging is a product that can be used by such adverse developments would discourage financial a customer to insulate himself from adverse price innovations and weaken market resilience. It also raises fluctuations, it should be undertaken by them with full the cost of financial transactions by requiring lending knowledge and understanding of all the risks involved, banks to maintain elaborative client profiles. so as to prevent a major financial catastrophe. Transportation The improvement of the road network would help reduce the disparities between and within the With the regional development efforts and provinces and districts. The development of the road increase in economic activities, the demand network helps improve the connectivity between rural for transport sector continued to increase. and urban centres and opens access to services as An efficient and convenient transportation system well as to physical and human resources. Further, it will accelerate economic growth by facilitating easy would improve people’s access to markets and services and faster mobility of people, goods and services such as education and health. Thus, improving access and reducing disparities in regional development. to remote areas is important to create new markets, to Recognising the importance of the expansion and improve mobility of labour from regional areas thereby improvement of the road network, the government has generating more employment opportunities for the prioritised the development of the existing road network rural masses, helping to reduce poverty and achieve and improving the road network by way of constructing a regionally balanced economic growth. highways and expressways and construction of rural roads under the Maga Neguma Programme. Though the coverage of the road network in Sri Lanka is relatively satisfactory with 1.8 km of Road Transportation roads per km2, the conditions and the capacity of roads are inadequate to cater to the rapidly Road Development growing demand for freight and passenger Roads are the backbone of the transportation transportation. The government has commenced system. The country has an extensive road network; several road development projects to address these the total length of road network is about 116,862 km issues. The Southern Expressway, which is under comprising 11,902 km of national highways (classes construction, is expected to boost economic activities A and B), 16,532 km of provincial roads (classes in the Southern province including potential growth C and D), and 88,428 km of roads maintained by in industries, tourism, fisheries and agriculture in Local Authorities, estates and state agencies. The lagging areas. The construction work of the Southern government policy on road development emphasises Expressway is expected to be completed by 2011. It building a national highway system and an is expected to rehabilitate approximately 620 km of integrated road network, improving the management national roads and 160 km of rural roads under the of the existing road network, strengthening traffic Road Sector Assistance Project. The project loan management and implementing measures to agreement was signed for the construction of the minimise road accidents by regulatory agencies and Colombo-Katunayake Expressway with the Exim Bank promoting private sector participation in investment of China and the land acquisition and major utility in new roads. shifting works were in progress in 2008. The Colombo 67
  • 10. Central Bank of Sri Lanka Annual Report - 2008 Outer Circular Highway Project is planned to link all Road Passenger Transportation major roads radiating from Colombo with a view of The road passenger transportation showed 3 reducing traffic congestion within the city of Colombo some improvement in 2008. The average number by providing a high mobility road outside the city. The of buses operated per day by the Sri Lanka Transport project is planned to be implemented in three stages ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE Board (SLTB) increased by 2.9 per cent to 4,247, and the land acquisition and the preparation of tender while the average number of buses operated by documents were in progress in 2008. The negotiation the private sector increased by 6.8 per cent to on the concession agreement was in progress for the 12,929 in 2008. The total operated kilometres and Colombo-Kandy Alternative Highway Project, while passenger kilometres of SLTB increased by 2.5 the feasibility study of the Kandy - Badulla alternative highway was carried out in 2008. per cent and 2.3 per cent, respectively, during the year. The total operated kilometres and passenger The government has initiated a project to kilometres by private bus operators increased by construct 21 flyovers to avoid traffic congestion 6.8 per cent. However, in 2008 new registration of in the city of Colombo and its suburbs. The flyover passenger buses has decreased substantially by at the railway crossing at Kelaniya was completed 55.3 per cent. in April, 2008 and the flyover at Nugegoda junction was opened for traffic in January, 2009. Flyovers In terms of the national bus fares policy, at Orugodawatte, Pannipitiya, Panadura and bus fares were revised several times in 2008. Gampaha were under construction during 2008. The Passenger bus fares were increased by an average construction of these flyovers would help reduce the rate of 4.6 per cent in February, 2008 mainly to road congestion significantly, thereby generating compensate for the increase in fuel prices. Bus fares economic benefits such as saving fuel and time were again increased in May, 2008; private sector spent for travel. by an average of 27.2 per cent, and the state sector by a lower rate of 17.4 per cent. However, in line Road development sector faces several with declining petroleum prices, private sector bus issues in fast implementation of planned fares were reduced by 11.6 per cent in November, projects. Delays in land acquisition and resettlement 2008. This has made the private sector bus fares activities, resistance from parties affected by land comparable with the state sector by end 2008. acquisition, inadequate resources allocation, increase in price of road construction material, Several projects have been launched to problems related to enforcement of laws are the address the weaknesses in the road passenger main issues confronted in this sector. Uncontrolled transportation sector in 2008. The National traffic and unauthorized roadside developments Transport Commission has prepaired a strategic have also caused underutilization of the capacity of plan for traffic management with a view to reducing the existing road network. vehicles entering the city and reducing emission levels to mitigate traffic congestion and environmental Passenger Transportation pollution in the Greater Colombo area. Under this It is a long felt need to upgrade the services of plan, a new bus service was launched in early 2009 the public transport system comprising railway with the help of the private sector in Colombo and and road passenger transportation to cater to suburbs to divert private vehicle users to a more the rising demand for a quality and convenient comfortable public transport system. The Nisi Seriya passenger mobility. To cater to this requirement, night time bus service, Sisu Seriya School bus it is important to improve the facilities and quality of service and Gemi Seriya to provide transport facilities the public transportation. An efficient mass transport in uneconomic and remote areas were continued system can reduce the traffic congestion on main in 2008. Operation of bus services in uneconomic roads and thereby saving time and expenditure on routes were subsidised at a cost of Rs. 372 million petroleum imports. by the Treasury. 68
  • 11. Central Bank of Sri Lanka Annual Report - 2008 The financial position of SLTB continued to taken to improve the signaling and communication remain weak in 2008. The total revenue of SLTB systems and infrastructure including re-construction for the year 2008, increased by 16.8 per cent to Rs. 17,150 million mainly due to increase in bus fares. Reflecting high fuel prices, operating expenditure of several railway bridges. With the increase in rolling stock position of SLR, new service between Colombo-Nanuoya was commenced while several 3 ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE also increased by 21.8 per cent to Rs. 20,704 sub-urban services which remained suspended were million which led to an operational loss of Rs. 3,554 recommenced. million in 2008. The operational loss has increased Several measures have been taken to upgrade by 53.8 per cent in 2008 compared to the previous the railway services to meet customer demand year, indicating the need for measures to improve and to attract passengers to the railway. Under the financial position of SLTB to reduce the burden Stage I of upgrading the Colombo-Matara Railway on the government budget. line, while improving the rail track, selected railway stations including Panadura, Kalutara, Galle and Railway Transportation Matara are to be developed. The loan agreement The railway sector showed mixed performance for this project has already been signed with the in 2008. Passenger transportation and goods Government of India. Under Stage II, the second transportation decreased by 2.1 per cent and line will also be constructed from Kalutara South to 9.4 per cent, respectively, in 2008 mainly due to Matara. Meanwhile, the land acquisition for the first cancellation of train operations between several 27 km of the new Matara-Kataragama Railway line areas due to security reasons and curtailment of unproductive train operations as well as increase in Salient Features of the railway fares and freight charges. At present, the Sri Table 3.5 Transport Sector Lanka Railways (SLR) contributes only around 5 per cent and 1 per cent, respectively, to the passenger Growth Rate (%) transportation and goods transportation in the Item 2007 2008(a) 2007 2008(a) country. Though, the railway network of Sri Lanka 1. New registration of motor vehicles (No.) 297,892 265,199 -0.9 -11.0 Buses 2,637 1,180 -21.2 -55.3 consists of 1,640 kilometres, it operates only 1,200 Private cars 22,603 20,237 -18.0 -10.5 kilometres due to the closure of several sections in Three wheelers 43,068 44,804 -33.2 4.0 Dual purpose vehicles 5,193 2,856 -28.3 -45.0 the North and the East. However, with the liberation Motor cycles 182,508 155,952 16.5 -14.6 Goods transport vehicles 18,408 14,038 -9.9 -23.7 of the North and the East and reconstruction of the Land vehicles 23,475 26,132 12.7 11.3 destroyed rail track, the SLR will be able to start 2. Sri Lanka Railways Operated kilometers (‘000) 9,560 8,960(b) 22.6 -6.3 railway operations to those areas. Passenger kilometers (mn) 4,769 4,669 10.6 -2.1 Freight ton kilometers (mn) 133 121 -3.5 -9.4 The SLR initiated several projects in 2008 to Total revenue (Rs.mn) 2,999 3,671 20.4 22.4 Operating expenditure (Rs.mn) 7,297 8,225 12.7 12.7 improve the railway operations which has been Operating loss (Rs.mn) 4,298 4,553 8.0 5.9 constrained by non-availability of a sufficient 3. Sri Lanka Transport Board Operated kilometers (mn) 305 313 16.2 2.5 number of passenger carriages, locomotives and Passenger kilometers (mn) 14,694 15,037 14.2 2.3 Total revenue (Rs.mn) 14,687 17,150 18.6 16.8 diesel multiple units. Though the SLR has a fleet Operating expenditure (Rs.mn) 16,999 20,704 13.9 21.8 of 98 engines, 75 per cent of this fleet is more than Operating loss (Rs.mn) 2,312 3,554 -9.0 53.7 4. SriLankan Airlines 30 years old and subject to frequent breakdowns. Hours flown (hrs.) 69,184 67,796 2.9 -2.0 With a view to relieving this situation, the SLR has Passenger kilometers flown (mn) 9,841 9,169 5.2 -6.8 Passenger load factor (%) 79 74 3.8 -5.9 set up a workshop to repair coaches locally. Under Weight load factor (%) 60 59 1.6 -2.0 Freight (Mt. ‘000) 98 87 0.0 -11.2 this re-furbishing programme, 15 coaches were Employment (No.) 5,213 4,874 -2.8 -6.5 refurbished by end 2008. Further, the SLR imported (a) Provisional Sources: Department of Motor Traffic (b) Estimates Sri Lanka Railways 100 passenger carriages and 15 diesel multiple National Transport Commission Civil Aviation Authority of Sri Lanka units under a concessional loan from China by end SriLankan Airlines 2008 to upgrade its fleet. In addition, actions were 69
  • 12. Central Bank of Sri Lanka Annual Report - 2008 extension has been completed. The SLR is planning The government has highlighted in its to upgrade 281 km of railway track in the Eastern policy framework that it will maintain a liberal 3 province with new sleepers and other infrastructure facilities. With a view to reducing the traffic congestion and competitive civil aviation industry in Sri Lanka with efficient and modern facilities to ensure safety and security in accordance with and to popularise mass-scale transportation, it is ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL INFRASTRUCTURE planned to introduce a Light Rail Rapid Transit System international standards. Accordingly, BIA will be in Colombo Metropolitan area. The feasibility study of developed as an international aviation hub and the project has already been completed. the institutional framework will be re-engineered to ensure high level of efficiency in landing aircraft Railway fares were revised upward in 2008 and passengers at BIA. Stage 2 of Phase II of the after a lapse of three years. Railway fares were Bandaranaike International Airport Modernisation increased by an average rate of 70 per cent in project was in progress in 2008. This project aims June, 2008 mainly considering increased fuel prices. at constructing a new passenger terminal facility However, fares were adjusted downward by about 9 to accommodate the increasing number of air per cent in line with the reduction in diesel prices in passengers. December, 2008. Accordingly, the average railway Several developments have been taken place fare has been increased by 42 per cent in 2008. in the civil aviation sector in 2008. The Government However, the fare revision in 2008 was not sufficient of Sri Lanka took over the management of SriLankan to mitigate the already weakened financial position of Airlines from April, 2008 from Emirates Airlines, the SLR. The total revenue of the SLR increased by at the end of the ten year management contract 22.4 per cent to Rs. 3,671 million, while the current agreement. International Air Transport Association expenditure increased by 12.7 per cent to Rs. 8,225 has introduced a complete electronic ticketing million, resulting in a 5.9 per cent increase in an system replacing the traditional paper tickets. operational loss to Rs. 4,553 million in 2008. Several new airlines started their operations to Sri Lanka. Mihin Air, the second national carrier and a Civil Aviation budget airline suspended its operations from May, The performance of the civil aviation sector 2008 and re-commenced operations from January, was hindered by the slowdown in the tourism 2009 with government budgetary allocations to sector in 2008. A total of 4.7 million passengers meet its capital requirements. While it is important were served at the Bandaranaike International to have a budget airline, it is necessary to maintain Airport (BIA) in 2008, reflecting a 5.8 per cent its operations in a commercially viable manner. In decrease over the number of passengers in 2007. this regard, it is important that the budget airline Air freight also decreased by 7.5 per cent during the should put in place a medium-term business plan year. The share of the national carrier, SriLankan taking into account, the global trends in air traffic, Airlines, in passenger and freight operations cost cutting experiences of other budget airline remained at 62.7 per cent and 59.7 per cent, operations and the high cost of acquiring aircraft for respectively, in 2008. The domestic air passenger operations. Meanwhile, Sri Lanka participated in five transportation reflected a substantial growth and bilateral air services negotiations with five countries passenger kilometreage grew by 28.2 per cent in and entered into new agreements with Turkey and 2008. A significant progress can be expected in Madagascar. the civil aviation sector, with the North and the East conflict reaching its final phase, and peace returning Port Services to the country. However, the performance of the civil The growth momentum in port services aviation sector is not expected to show a speedy continued in 2008 despite some impact from recovery in 2009 due to the anticipated prolonged slowdown in global trade during the latter part world economic recession. of the year. Total cargo handling grew by 9.1 per 70