2. At The Start
Key Math Elements in Business
Business/Financial Model
Financial Planning - Strategic
MIS – Measure/Analyse/Reset
In Summary
Discussion Topics: ’To trigger thinking’
2 2
3. BEFORE YOU START
What do you want to understand about the Math
… of a business..?
.. .. of a startup ..?
3
4. TO TRIGGER THINKING
Why Math
… An Input/Output:
… Helps Measure
… Assists in decision making
… To Understand if business is healthy or needs
improvement..
… etc..
4
5. BEFORE YOU START: Recap
• WHAT is your Dream?
• Dreams get you started
Best
.. LARGEST..
.. first..
.. contribute..
.. impact..
.. change..
5
6. BEFORE YOU START: Recap
• WHAT is your motivation .. for this Dream?
IMPACT
NAME
FAME
MONEY
….
OTHER
6
7. At The Start
Key Math Elements in Business
Business/Financial Model
Financial Planning - Strategic
MIS – Measure/Analyse/Reset
In Summary
Discussion Topics: ’To trigger thinking’
7 7
11. SALES/REVENUE
Customer Segments
– B2B ; B2
– Corporate/Home
– Premium/luxury // Mass/low income
– Online/offline in stores …… etc.
• Check % of sales quantity and amount category-wise
• What should be activities to reach out to customers
and get revenue in each segment?
……….. MATH is Language that communicates this
s11
12. EXPENSES
Activity
• Pick your business
• List individually.. shortlist as a team
What are your KEY EXPENSES ?
Can you sort them into different buckets?
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13. EXPENSES: Capital and Revenue
• Set up costs – Land, building, machinery etc.
• Vehicles, computers etc.
• Cost of raw material
• Employee costs
• Finance costs
• Travel costs
• Other Expenses … etc.
• Depreciation and amortization
13
15. KEY EQUATION - 1
Profit = Revenue/Income – Expenses
• In the longer term, business must generate profit, i.e.
Sales must be greater than cost.
• Price and cost both impact profit.
– Pricing – an art and science
– Costing – math with assumptions
15
18. 18
A CUP OF COFFEE
• A cup of coffee costs Rs. 15 to make
– What are the elements of this cost?
• HOW will you plan to price this?
19. KEY EQUATIONS
• Profit = Revenue/Income – Expenses
• Shareholders Stake = Assets – Liabilities
( Costs of material used = Opening stock + purchases
– closing stock)
19
20. Where the entrepreneur did not track finance
(Based on a true situation)
• A services business took advance in cash.
• The founder, Tim did not keep track of project-wise
expenses, on a regular basis.
• 4 months after a project was completed, Tim found out
that he had made a substantial loss in the project.
• He realised that if he had tracked expenses, he could
have contained expenditure and perhaps even been
profitable in this key project.
• If you had been the founder what would you have done
differently, to avoid the situation above?
• How can Tim take corrective measures to address loss?
MISSING THE MATH? Caselet
21. Where the entrepreneur did not track finance
(Based on a true situation)
• Ram Kumar focused on sales and operations.
• He did not know to read/interpret financial statements.
• After two years of business, there was a conflict between
him and co-founder Dinesh.
• Ram was given a statement showing loss in business.
• Ram was shocked because he had expected the
business to be profitable.
• If you had been the founder what would you have done
differently, to avoid such a situation?
• Can you think of how Ram can address this issue?
MISSING THE MATH? Caselet
22. At The Start
Key Math Elements in Business
Business/Financial Model
Financial Planning - Strategic
MIS – Measure/Analyse/Reset
In Summary
Discussion Topics: ’To trigger thinking’
22 22
23. WHAT IS A BUSINESS MODEL
• Investopedia definition
“The plan implemented by a company to generate
revenue and make a profit from operations. The model
includes the components and functions of the
business, as well as the revenues it generates and the
expenses it incurs.”
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/businessmodel.asp
• HBR article by Andrea Ovans: What is a
business model https://hbr.org/2015/01/what-is-a-business-model
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24. EXAMPLES OF INDIAN COMPANIES…
Where the business model was different from those
existing at that point in time:
Some years ago
• Bharti Airtel, Big Bazaar, RedBus, Café Coffee Day
Later
• E-commerce companies, platform business, for
example Flipkart, Zomato, Big Basket, Paytm,
Practo, Ola …
Now & emerging
• Any names to suggest?
• YOU and TEAM?
24
25. BUSINESS MODEL CANVAS: 9 building blocks
BUSINESS MODEL CANVAS (BMC)
• Customer segments
• Value propositions
• Channels
• Customer relationships
• Revenue streams
• Key resources
• Key activities
• Key partnerships
• Cost structures
SOURCE:http://www.businessmodelgeneration.com/canvas
• Acknowledgements:
– Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
– http://www.businessmodelgeneration.com
– http://www.businessmodelhub.com
– Alexander Osterwalder
25
26. At The Start
Key Math Elements in Business
Business/Financial Model
Financial Planning - Strategic
MIS – Measure/Analyse/Reset
In Summary
Discussion Topics: ’To trigger thinking’
26 26
27. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
BALANCE SHEET:
The State of affairs of the organization
PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT:
Working results for given period
CASH FLOW STATEMENT:
Cash receipts, payments during period
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28. STRATEGIC FINANCIAL PLANNING
Your
• Financial Model depends on
• Business Model
See how changes in these can impact:
• Revenue
• Profits/Costs
• Cash / Cash Burn
• Growth
• Value
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29. FINANCIAL FORECAST: Overview
• It helps to take time to think through
– Your business strategy and business model
– Your key strengths
– The pain points you face, financial and non-financial
• A financial model develops and evolves over
time – it is not static
30. STRATEGIC FINANCIAL PLANNING
In 3 Dimensions of time:
• Short term:
Typically 1 year; month-wise; sometimes week-wise;
more easily available, fewer assumptions
• Medium term:
Typically 3-5 years; Estimates and Guesstimates…
trends
• Long term:
Typically 10 – 15 years; less numbers
Action: THINK and Plan based on above
Required: Balancing Act between planned activities
and unplanned sudden requirements.. ..
30
31. PLUS: To Think Through
• Requirements of cash at different times and
different stages of business
• Resource/money constraints
• Possible valuations at these stages
FINANCIAL FORECAST: Overview
32. Look at
• Various revenue streams
• Capital expenditure (land, computers, vehicles,
furniture etc.)
• Revenue expenditure (Salary, raw material cost,
maintenance and repair costs etc.)
You may be able to convert a capital expenditure
into a revenue and vise-versa .. HOW?
FINANCIAL FORECAST: Overview
33. FINANCIAL FORECASTS
• Key elements in a forecast
– Revenue
– Costs: operational, sales & general admn.
– Capital expenses
– Working capital expenses
– Earnings
– Tax, interest and other costs
– Sources of funding
– Uses of funding
33
34. FINANCIAL FORECAST: Preparation
• Uncertainties and unknowns can be captured
through:
– Scenario and sensitivity analysis
– Templates that allow for different scenarios – i.e.
optimistic, pessimistic, expected. For example making
the changes in the input, the output financials should
show the impact
• Use tools available – eg.spreadsheets
• Link and create templates, suitable to your
requirement
35. At The Start
Key Math Elements in Business
Business/Financial Model
Financial Planning - Strategic
MIS – Measure/Analyse/Reset
In Summary
Discussion Topics: ’To trigger thinking’
35 35
36. MEASURE, REVIEW, CORRECT..
MEASURE..
• An individual measures height, weight, BP, sugar levels
etc.. as key parameters for wellness
• What are the Wellness and Value measures for a
business/idea?
– Top Line: Revenue
– Bottom Line: earnings/profits
– Cash Flow
– Number of employees
– Key costs
– … ??
36
37. MEASURE, REVIEW, CORRECT..
MEASURE..
• Capture data periodically;
monthly/fortnightly/weekly …
• Design a reporting Management Information
System (MIS) to evaluate
– the Key Performance Indices (KPIs)
– Key Value Drivers and
– Key Value Depleters
37
38. QUALITY PARAMETERS - EXAMPLE
• Illustrative parameters, for Sales
– Sales Quantity
– Quality of revenue - in terms of product/service/location
etc.
– Average revenue per employee
– Number of customers, number of high value customers
– Number of customers who are above a certain revenue or
category, eg. large companies, well known brands ..
– New customers added
– Customers lost
– Pipeline customers
– Etc.
• Quality can impact valuation in addition to Quantity
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39. MEASURE, REVIEW, CORRECT..
MEASURE..
• More illustrative indicative parameters
– Key expenses
– Number of employees
– Average cost per employee
– Receivables and payables
– Cash balance
– Key assets
– Loans outstanding
– Equity capital
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40. MEASURE, REVIEW, CORRECT..
MEASURE..
• Design MIS with care:
– too little information is not helpful
– too much data can be counter productive
• Analyse data, look for patterns and trends, recast
– Check for variances over time, with underlying causes
– Compare with benchmark companies
– Factor learnings into business strategy and action plan
– Recast and redo projections and plan if required
• Periodically revisit MIS framework and add/update
40
41. At The Start
Key Math Elements in Business
Business/Financial Model
Financial Planning - Strategic
MIS – Measure/Analyse/Reset
In Summary
Discussion Topics: ’To trigger thinking’
41 41
42. IN SUMMARY
• Finance is important for survival, sustainability
and success; however finance is not everything
• As …
All the entrepreneurs who have money
are not successful
&
All those with no money or limited money
are not unsuccessful
42