The document provides an overview of Customer Development, which is the process startups use to search for a business model. It discusses how startups should test hypotheses about their problem, customer, product, and other business model components by getting out of the building and talking to customers. The Lean LaunchPad process of building a minimum viable product and continuously pivoting based on customer feedback is highlighted. An example is given of a team that conducted customer interviews over 8 weeks and pivoted from an autonomous mowing idea to focus on weeding for organic farmers after determining a bigger problem and opportunity.
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True ventures 072011
1. Welcome to Customer DevelopmentSteve BlankStanford - School of EngineeringU.C. Berkeley - Haas School Of Businesswww.steveblank.comTwitter: sgblankSlides at: slideshare.net/sblank
7. i.e. Product/Market fit- Repeatable sales model- Managers hiredWhat’s A Startup?Search ExecuteA Startup is a temporary organization used to search for a repeatable and scalable business model
8. The Memo You Never GetThe Transition – Founders LeaveScalableStartupTransitionLarge CompanySearch BuildExecuteFounders depart
11. Beginning of scaleStartups Search and PivotThe Search for the Business ModelScalableStartupTransitionLarge Company Business Model found by founders customer needs/product features found i.e. Product/Market fit Repeatable sales model- Managers hired
12. Startups Search, Companies ExecuteThe Execution of the Business ModelThe Search for the Business ModelScalableStartupTransitionLarge Company- Cash-flow breakeven- Profitable- Rapid scale- New Senior Mgmt~ 150 peopleBusiness Model found
16. Income StatementMetrics Versus AccountingThe Search for the Business ModelThe Execution of the Business ModelScalableStartupTransitionLargeCompanyStartup Metrics Customer Acquisition Cost
26. Revenue PlanCustomer Validation Versus SalesThe Search for the Business ModelThe Execution of the Business ModelScalableStartupTransitionLargeCompanyCustomer Validation Early Adopters
32. Revenue PlanEngineering Versus Agile DevelopmentThe Execution of the Business ModelScalableStartupTransitionLarge CompanyEngineering Requirements Docs.
35. Tech PubsEngineering Versus Agile DevelopmentThe Search for the Business ModelThe Execution of the Business ModelScalableStartupTransitionLarge CompanyEngineering Requirements Docs.
45. business modelStartups Model, Companies PlanThe Search for the Business ModelThe Execution of the Business ModelScalableStartupTransitionLarge CompanyBusiness Model
127. Validate Business ModelTest Hypotheses:Pricing Model / PricingThe Minimum Viable Product (MVP) Smallest feature set that gets you the most … - orders, learning, feedback, failure…
132. Near instantaneous customer feedback drives feature setThe PivotA Pivot is the change of one or more Business Model Canvas Components
133. The PivotStrong clinical dataTrainingMaintenanceConferencesCME coursesProduct DevelopmentIPClinical trialsFDAPublishingDoctors:Earlier detectionPriceAccuracyPatients:Radiation FreeNon-InvasiveA Pivot is the change of one or more Business Model Canvas Components Leading doctorsKey Opinion Leaders3rd party manufacturersDistributorsBreast Cancer FoundationsACOGACSOB/GYNsPCPsDirect Sales to hospitalsDistributorIP Leading doctorsTechnical ExpertiseProduct DevelopmentClinical trialsOperating CostsMarketing CostsCapital Equipment Sales and disposable itemPer use fees
134. How Does This Really Work?Stanford Lean LaunchPad Class
135. How Does This Really Work?Stanford Lean LaunchPad Class8 Weeks From an Idea to a Business
138. 20 interviews, 6 site visits…We got OUR Boots dirtyWeedingVisited two farms in Salinas Valley to better understand problemInterviewed:Bolthouse Farms, Large Agri-Industry in Bakersfield
150. Colony Landscaping (Mowing service for stadiums)Business Plan Autonomous Vehicles for Mowing & WeedingDealers sell, installs and supports customerCo. trains dealers, supports dealers- Innovation- Customer Education- Dealer trainingMowing- Owners of public or commercially used green spaces (e.g. golf courses)- Landscaping service providerWeeding- Farmers with manual weeding operationsWe reduce operating cost- Labor reduction- Better utilization of assets (eg mow or weed at nights)- Improved performance (less rework, food safety)- Dealers (Mowing and Ag)- Vehicle OEMs (John Deere, Toro, Jacobsen, etc)- Research labs- Mowing Dealers- Ag DealersEngineers on Autonomous vehicles, GPS, path-planningAsset saleOur revenue stream derives from selling the equipmentDealer discount COGS seek a 50-60% Gross MarginHeavy R&D investment
151. Found weeding in organic crops is HUGE problem; 50 - 75% of costsCrews of 100s-1000Back-breaking task(Ilegal) labor harder to get 1-5 weedings per year/field$250-3,500 per acre and increasingFood contamination risk
153. Autonomous vehiclesWEEDINGDealers sell, installs and supports customerCo. trains dealers, supports dealers- Innovation- Customer Education- Dealer training- Low density vegetable growers- High density vegetable growers- Thinning operations- Conventional vegetablesWe reduce operating cost- Labor reduction (100 to 1)- Reduced risk of contamination- Mitigate labor availability concerns- Ag Dealers- Ag Service providers- Research labs- Ag Dealers- Ag Service providersEngineers on Machine VisionTwo problems:- Identification- EliminationAsset saleOur revenue stream derives from selling the equipmentDealer discount COGS seek a 50-60% Gross MarginHeavy R&D investment
182. Visit HighlightsAbove: Organic Carrots, 7wks. Top right: Conventional carrotsBottom Right: Very weedy. Will require multiple passes of hand weeding
201. Service MgrMe (left), Marty (middle, Service Mgr), Doug (right, Grower) ?? (service mgr’s boss)The Business Plan Canvas UpdatedFarming conventions.
228. World Ag Expo interviews:the need is real and wide spread10+ interviews at showEveryone confirmed the needRobocrop, UK based, crude competitor sells for $171 KRevenue StreamMid to small growers prefer a serviceLarge growers prefer to buy, but OK with service until technology is provenCharging for labor cost saved is OK, as we provide other benefits (food safety, labor availability)Confidential
258. SalesAutonomous weeding - FinalDirect- Provide high quality service at competitive price- Innovation- Customer Education- Dealer training- Low density vegetable growers- High density vegetable growers- Thinning operations- Conventional vegetablesWe reduce operating cost- Labor reduction (100 to 1)- Reduced risk of contamination- Mitigate labor availability concerns- Ag Service providers- Research Institutes (eg UC Davis, Laser Zentrum Hannover)- 3-4 key farmsDirect - Alliance with service providers- Eventually sell through dealersEngineers on Machine VisionTwo problems:- Identification- EliminationService provision- Charge by the acre with modifier according to weed density - Eventually move to asset saleCosts for service provisionCOGS seek a 50-60% Gross MarginHeavy R&D investment
261. MammOpticsInitial IdeaBreast cancerMammographyLeading cause of cancer in women190,000 diagnosis every year US41,000 deaths every year USIncreasing diagnosis rates15%-25% false negatives rate25% false positives rateRequires X-ray radiationLow resolutionMammOpticsNovel technology based on RF-modulated optical spectroscopy Earlier detection
264. MammOpticsBusiness Model Canvas 1 of 4Strong clinical dataTrainingMaintenanceProduct DevelopmentIPClinical trialsFDAHospitalsLeading doctors3rd party manufacturersDistributorsPioneering radiologists inhospitalsRadiation-freeEarlier detectionNon-invasiveIP Leading doctorsTechnical ExpertiseDirect sales to hospitalsProduct DevelopmentClinical trialsOperating CostsCapital equipment sales and disposable item
265. MammOpticsMammOpticsBusiness Model Canvas 1 of 4Business Model Canvas 1 of 4Strong clinical dataTrainingMaintenanceProduct DevelopmentIPClinical trialsFDAInitial guessInitial guessHospitalsLeading doctors3rd party manufacturersDistributorsPioneering radiologists inhospitalsRadiation-freeEarlier detectionNon-invasiveTest: Customer segment Value propositionInitial guessIP Leading doctorsTechnical ExpertiseDirect sales to hospitalsProduct DevelopmentClinical trialsOperating CostsInitial guessCapital equipment sales and disposable item
272. MammOpticsBusiness Model Canvas 2 of 4Strong clinical dataTrainingMaintenanceProduct DevelopmentIPClinical trialsFDADoctors:Earlier detectionPriceAccuracyPatients:Radiation FreeNon-InvasiveHospitals (Capital Spending Committee)Leading doctors3rd party manufacturersDistributorsResearch HospitalsPioneering DoctorsHospitalsOB/GYNsPCPsDirect Sales to doctorsIP Leading doctorsTechnical ExpertiseProduct DevelopmentClinical trialsOperating CostsCapital Equipment Sales and disposable item
273. MammOpticsBusiness Model Canvas 2 of 4Strong clinical dataTrainingMaintenanceProduct DevelopmentIPClinical trialsFDADoctors:Earlier detectionPriceAccuracyPatients:Radiation FreeNon-InvasiveHospitals (Capital Spending Committee)Leading doctors3rd party manufacturersDistributorsResearch HospitalsPioneering DoctorsHospitalsOB/GYNsPCPsHow do we get to our customer?Need sensitivity and specificityDirect Sales to doctorsIP Leading doctorsTechnical ExpertiseProduct DevelopmentClinical trialsOperating CostsCapital Equipment Sales and disposable item
274. Getting to our customerThe world of direct sales and medical marketing
278. MammOpticsMarketingResearchers with strong peer recommendationsResearchers conducting important clinical trialsOutsourced survey researchResearchers with numerous publications
280. MammOpticsMarketingEffective method for educating doctorsWorkshop must be approved by ACOGDoctors required to attend workshopsTaught by objective medical experts
287. InexpensiveMammOpticsChannel Strategies and CostsSales strategy 1Sales strategy 25 dedicated sales people$150,000 each/yearHire nurses or technicianswith establishedrelationshipsEarly adopter feedbackContinue with core group of sales peopleUse women’s healthcare equipment distributorAlready established network of customers
288. MammOpticsPricing StrategyEquipment Lease modelPer-use modelConsumableCost of the device$50,000$5,000$5,000$25,000Service per year$3,000$10,00000Per-use fee00$500Consumable000$20
289. MammOpticsPricing StrategyApproved by customers and investorsEquipment Lease modelPer-use modelConsumableCost of the device$50,000$5,000$5,000$25,000Service per year$3,000$10,00000Per-use fee00$500Consumable000$20
291. MammOpticsCustomer WorkflowCurrent marketBut what would happen if we replace mammography?InsuranceMammographyRadiologistHospital AdministrationTechnicianACOGACSDoctor specialty committee
299. MammOpticsBusiness Model Canvas 3 of 4Strong clinical dataTrainingMaintenanceConferencesCME coursesProduct DevelopmentIPClinical trialsFDAPublishingDoctors:Earlier detectionPriceAccuracyPatients:Radiation FreeNon-InvasiveLeading doctorsKey Opinion Leaders3rd party manufacturersDistributorsBreast Cancer FoundationsACOGACSOB/GYNsPCPsDirect Sales to hospitalsDistributorIP Leading doctorsTechnical ExpertiseProduct DevelopmentClinical trialsOperating CostsMarketing CostsCapital Equipment Sales and disposable itemPer use fees
300. MammOpticsBusiness Model Canvas 3 of 4Strong clinical dataTrainingMaintenanceConferencesCME coursesProduct DevelopmentIPClinical trialsFDAReimbursementPublishingDoctors:Earlier detectionPriceAccuracyPatients:Radiation FreeNon-InvasiveLeading doctorsKey Opinion Leaders3rd party manufacturersDistributorsBreast Cancer FoundationsACOGACSOB/GYNsPCPsLearned how to reach the customerHow do we build a company based on this?Direct Sales to hospitalsDistributorIP Leading doctorsTechnical ExpertiseProduct DevelopmentClinical trialsOperating CostsMarketing CostsCapital Equipment Sales and disposable itemPer use fees
316. MammOpticsMammOpticsFinancial / Operations Timeline2016201220132014201520172018M&A / IPO $50 MMQ1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Series D $35 MM$40MSeries C $30.5 MM$30M$20MCash ReserveSeries B $9 MM$15MSeries A $3.5 MM$10M$5MFinancial timeline SystemInitializeLaunch Regulatory / ClinicalMarketable ProductProof of ConceptSecond ReleaseBeta PrototypeDesign Milestones1st Release Test2nd Release TestBeta-Version TestingLaboratory PrototypePublicationPublicationClinical ResultsPost-Market Clinical StudiesPilot StudiesUS Pivotal Clinical TrialsClinical MilestonesUS Interim TrialsNon-Specific Codes Provisional PatentIRB / IDESpecific Codes (Cat. I CPT / APC)Cat III CPTFDA – Class II – 510 (k) with Clinical TrialsRegulatory/ IP MilestonesApplication and System PatentsInitial Product LaunchIC and Processing PatentsTechnology Licensing14512/4/2009
317. MammOpticsMammOpticsFinancial / Operations Timeline2016201220132014201520172018Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3$40M$30M$20MCash Reserve$15M$10M$5MInitializeProof of ConceptDesign MilestonesClinical MilestonesProvisional PatentRegulatory/ IP MilestonesTechnology Licensing14612/4/2009
318. MammOpticsMammOpticsFinancial / Operations Timeline2016201220132014201520172018Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3$40M$30M$20MCash Reserve$15MSeries A $3.5 MM$10M$5MSystemInitializeProof of ConceptBeta PrototypeDesign MilestonesBeta-Version TestingLaboratory PrototypePilot StudiesClinical MilestonesProvisional PatentRegulatory/ IP MilestonesTechnology Licensing14712/4/2009
319. MammOpticsMammOpticsFinancial / Operations Timeline2016201220132014201520172018Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3$40M$30M$20MCash ReserveSeries B $9 MM$15MSeries A $3.5 MM$10M$5MSystemRegulatory / ClinicalMarketable ProductBeta PrototypeDesign MilestonesBeta-Version TestingLaboratory PrototypePilot StudiesClinical MilestonesIRB / IDERegulatory/ IP MilestonesApplication and System PatentsIC and Processing Patents14812/4/2009
320. MammOpticsMammOpticsFinancial / Operations Timeline2016201220132014201520172018Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3$40MSeries C $30.5 MM$30M$20MCash ReserveSeries B $9 MM$15M$10M$5MSystemRegulatory / ClinicalSecond ReleaseDesign Milestones1st Release TestPublicationPilot StudiesUS Pivotal Clinical TrialsClinical MilestonesUS Interim TrialsIRB / IDECat III CPTRegulatory/ IP MilestonesApplication and System PatentsIC and Processing Patents149
321. MammOpticsMammOpticsFinancial / Operations Timeline2016201220132014201520172018Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Series D $35 MM$40MSeries C $30.5 MM$30M$20MCash Reserve$15M$10M$5MLaunch Regulatory / ClinicalSecond ReleaseDesign Milestones2nd Release TestPublicationPublicationClinical ResultsUS Pivotal Clinical TrialsClinical MilestonesUS Interim TrialsNon-Specific Codes FDA – Class II – 510 (k) with Clinical TrialsRegulatory/ IP MilestonesInitial Product Launch15012/4/2009
322. MammOpticsMammOpticsFinancial / Operations Timeline2016201220132014201520172018M&A / IPO $50 MMQ1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Series D $35 MM$40M$30M$20MCash Reserve$15M$10M$5MLaunch Regulatory / ClinicalDesign MilestonesPublicationPost-Market Clinical StudiesClinical ResultsClinical MilestonesNon-Specific Codes Specific Codes (Cat. I CPT / APC)FDA – Class II – 510 (k) with Clinical TrialsRegulatory/ IP MilestonesInitial Product Launch12/4/2009
323. MammOpticsMammOpticsFinancial / Operations Timeline2016201220132014201520172018M&A / IPO $50 MMQ1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Series D $35 MM$40MSeries C $30.5 MM$30M$20MCash ReserveSeries B $9 MM$15MSeries A $3.5 MM$10M$5MSystemInitializeLaunch Regulatory / ClinicalMarketable ProductProof of ConceptSecond ReleaseBeta PrototypeDesign Milestones1st Release TestBeta-Version Testing2nd Release TestLaboratory PrototypePublicationPublicationPost-Market Clinical StudiesClinical ResultsPilot StudiesUS Pivotal Clinical TrialsClinical MilestonesUS Interim TrialsNon-Specific Codes Provisional PatentIRB / IDESpecific Codes (Cat. I CPT / APC)Cat III CPTFDA – Class II – 510 (k) with Clinical TrialsRegulatory/ IP MilestonesApplication and System PatentsInitial Product LaunchIC and Processing PatentsTechnology Licensing15212/4/2009
324. MammOpticsBusiness Model Canvas 4 of 4Strong clinical dataTrainingMaintenanceConferencesCME coursesProduct DevelopmentIPClinical trialsFDAReimbursement PublishingDoctors:Earlier detectionPriceAccuracyImmediate ResultsPatients:Radiation FreeNon-InvasiveKOLs3rd party manufacturersDistributorsBreast Cancer FoundationsACOGACSClinical trial designerOB/GYNsPCPsDirect Sales to hospitalsDistributorOnlineIP Leading doctorsTechnical ExpertiseProduct DevelopmentClinical trialsOperating CostsMarketing CostsPer use fees
325. MammOpticsBusiness Model Canvas 4 of 4Strong clinical dataTrainingMaintenanceConferencesCME coursesProduct DevelopmentIPClinical trialsFDAReimbursement PublishingKOLs3rd party manufacturersBreast Cancer FoundationsACOGACSClinical trial designerEarlier detectionNon invasivePriceAccuracyImmediate ResultsOB/GYNsPCPsFinal iteration of our business modelBut… need to think about the big picture…Direct Sales to hospitalsDistributorOnlineIP Leading doctorsTechnical ExpertiseProduct DevelopmentClinical trialsOperating CostsMarketing CostsPer use fees
326. MammOpticsBusiness Model Canvas 1Strong clinical dataTrainingMaintenanceProduct DevelopmentIPClinical trialsFDAHospitalsLeading doctors3rd party manufacturersDistributorsRadiation-freeEarlier detectionNon invasivePioneering DoctorsHospitalsDirect Sales to hospitalsIP Leading doctorsTechnical ExpertiseProduct DevelopmentClinical trialsOperating CostsCapital Equipment Sales and disposable item
327. MammOpticsBusiness Model Canvas 2Strong clinical dataTrainingMaintenanceProduct DevelopmentIPClinical trialsFDAHospitalsLeading doctors3rd party manufacturersDistributorsResearch HospitalsRadiation-freeEarlier detectionNon invasivePioneering DoctorsHospitalsDirect Sales to hospitalsIP Leading doctorsTechnical ExpertiseProduct DevelopmentClinical trialsOperating CostsCapital Equipment Sales and disposable item
328. MammOpticsBusiness Model Canvas 3Strong clinical dataTrainingMaintenanceProduct DevelopmentIPClinical trialsFDADoctors:Earlier detectionPriceAccuracyPatients:Radiation FreeNon-InvasiveHospitals (Capital Spending Committee)Leading doctors3rd party manufacturersDistributorsResearch HospitalsPioneering DoctorsHospitalsDirect Sales to hospitalsIP Leading doctorsTechnical ExpertiseProduct DevelopmentClinical trialsOperating CostsCapital Equipment Sales and disposable item
329. MammOpticsBusiness Model Canvas 4 Strong clinical dataTrainingMaintenanceProduct DevelopmentIPClinical trialsFDADoctors:Earlier detectionPriceAccuracyImmediate ResultsPatients:Radiation FreeNon-InvasiveHospitals (Capital Spending Committee)Leading doctors3rd party manufacturersDistributorsResearch HospitalsBreast Cancer FoundationsPioneering DoctorsHospitalsOB/GYNsPCPsDirect Sales to hospitalsIP Leading doctorsTechnical ExpertiseProduct DevelopmentClinical trialsOperating CostsCapital Equipment Sales and disposable item
330. MammOpticsBusiness Model Canvas 5Strong clinical dataTrainingMaintenanceConferencesCME coursesProduct DevelopmentIPClinical trialsFDAReimbursementPublishingDoctors:Earlier detectionPriceAccuracyPatients:Radiation FreeNon-InvasiveLeading doctorsKey Opinion Leaders3rd party manufacturersDistributorsBreast Cancer FoundationsACOGACSOB/GYNsPCPsDirect Sales to hospitalsDistributorIP Leading doctorsTechnical ExpertiseProduct DevelopmentClinical trialsOperating CostsMarketing CostsCapital Equipment Sales and disposable item
331. MammOpticsBusiness Model Canvas 6Strong clinical dataTrainingMaintenanceConferencesCME coursesProduct DevelopmentIPClinical trialsFDAReimbursement PublishingDoctors:Earlier detectionPriceAccuracyImmediate ResultsPatients:Radiation FreeNon-InvasiveKOLs3rd party manufacturersDistributorsBreast Cancer FoundationsACOGACSOB/GYNsPCPsDirect Sales to hospitalsDistributorIP Leading doctorsTechnical ExpertiseProduct DevelopmentClinical trialsOperating CostsMarketing CostsCapital Equipment Sales and disposable itemPer use fees
332. MammOpticsBusiness Model Canvas 7Strong clinical dataTrainingMaintenanceConferencesCME coursesProduct DevelopmentIPClinical trialsFDAReimbursement PublishingDoctors:Earlier detectionPriceAccuracyImmediate ResultsPatients:Radiation FreeNon-InvasiveKOLs3rd party manufacturersDistributorsBreast Cancer FoundationsACOGACSClinical trial designerOB/GYNsPCPsDirect Sales to hospitalsDistributorIP Leading doctorsTechnical ExpertiseProduct DevelopmentClinical trialsOperating CostsMarketing CostsPer use fees
333. MammOpticsBusiness Model Canvas 8Strong clinical dataTrainingMaintenanceConferencesCME coursesProduct DevelopmentIPClinical trialsFDAReimbursement PublishingDoctors:Earlier detectionPriceAccuracyImmediate ResultsPatients:Radiation FreeNon-InvasiveKOLs3rd party manufacturers(local)Breast Cancer FoundationsACOGACSClinical trial designerOB/GYNsPCPsDirect Sales to hospitalsDistributorIP Leading doctorsTechnical ExpertiseProduct DevelopmentClinical trialsOperating CostsMarketing CostsPer use fees
334. MammOpticsBusiness Model Canvas 9Strong clinical dataTrainingMaintenanceConferencesCME coursesProduct DevelopmentIPClinical trialsFDAReimbursement PublishingDoctors:Earlier detectionPriceAccuracyImmediate ResultsPatients:Radiation FreeNon-InvasiveKOLs3rd party manufacturers(local)Breast Cancer FoundationsACOGACSClinical trial designerOB/GYNsPCPsDirect Sales to hospitalsDistributorIP Leading doctorsTechnical ExpertiseProduct DevelopmentClinical trialsOperating CostsMarketing CostsPer use fees
338. Original Idea: Personal Digital LibrariesImport, organize and share thousands of digital papers
339. something-something-something.comOriginal ideaInvincible Business Model: Version 1.0SHORT TERMResearchersLawyersScientists LONG TERMAvid book readersProfessionals Import, organize and share thousands of papersFB/TW posts from users you knowCompany blog, FB, TW, support forumsTargeted marketingProduct developmentConstant iteration & testingLibraries, Universities, Research CentersBloggers and media targeting customer segmentAcademic Database providersAffiliate programSEO/SEM/SMIE/FF/Chrome App StoresDevelopersMarketersAWS InfrastructureSEMEng & Marketing OpExAffiliate program feesLicensingSubscription feesAd revenue
380. Here's what we found: Version 1.0A great business if we had more users…GOODSubscriptions RockHere's what we found: Version 1.0Shorter pages raise conversions 80%GOODSubscriptions Rock
397. something-something-something.comOriginal ideaInvincible Business Model: Version 2.0Upwardly mobile young professionals making $2-10K of discretionary online purchases a year (excluding travel)Developing trusted advice and advisorsWeb marketing Affiliate partnershipsConstant iteration & testingFB/TW posts from users you knowCompany blog, FB, TW accountsDiscover online goods recommended by friends at the lowest possible price from trusted vendorsBloggers and Media targeting customer segmentRetail marketing partnersIE/FF/Chrome teamsAffiliate Program ProvidersAffiliate programSEO/SEM/SMIE/FF/Chrome App StoresDevelopersMarketersContent LibraryInstall baseReadership baseAWS InfrastructureSEMEng & Marketing OpExAffiliate program feesLicensingSubscription feesAd revenue
430. Refined PersonasCustomer Segment: Professional-class consumers shopping frequently online Pat the ProfessionalUpwardly mobile professional (some Grad Students)Salary: $40,000 – 150,000/yearFinance, Consulting, PR, MarketingFollows fashion/technology trendsSpends $1-15K on discretionary items onlinePurchased online in last 30 daysDemographicsMale/female, aged 18-35
437. Fears being cheated onlineBehaviorSpends 5 hour+ monthly hearing about products
438. Shares online and in person about products he lovesBudget$2-10K+/year in discretionary online purchases“The XXX is awesome, I really want one. I know I just bought the YYY, but it’s probably time to upgrade.” ~5.9M “Pat the Professionals” in USDrawn from top 1/3 of 17.8M frequent online shoppers17.8M based on 40.2M Professionals (2008 Census) * 0.762 US Internet Penetration (Nielsen 2010Q1) * 0.58 consumers shopping online in last month (Nielsen 2010Q1) Online Recommendation Market Opportunity (conservative strawman #s)Assuming 10% share, 5% affiliate feesTop Shoppers (~$7B/year spend): ~ $35M/year Professional-class frequent shoppers (~$1.8B/year): ~ $9M/yearOther Professional-class shoppers ($0.7B/year): ~3.5M/year Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics
440. something-something-something.comOriginal ideaInvincible Business Model: Version 2.0Upwardly mobile young professionals making $2-10K of discretionary online purchases a year (excluding travel)Developing trusted advice and advisorsWeb marketing Affiliate partnershipsConstant iteration & testingFB/TW posts from users you knowCompany blog, FB, TW accountsDiscover online goods recommended by friends at the lowest possible price from trusted vendorsBloggers and Media targeting customer segmentRetail marketing partnersIE/FF/Chrome teamsAffiliate Program ProvidersAffiliate programSEO/SEM/SMIE/FF/Chrome App StoresDevelopersMarketersContent LibraryInstall baseReadership baseAWS InfrastructureSEMEng & Marketing OpExAffiliate program feesLicensingSubscription feesAd revenue
450. Needs Addressed Super easy to install and use.I really did enjoy it! Great idea! I will keep the extension installed because I do think this is practical!I could see myself using this regularly
451. Findings on "Trusted Advice"Some negative results on “Trusted Advice” Shopping Add-in testingGOODFast Interest
456. Needs Addressed BADMissing FeaturesI was a little frustrated when it didn’t find the item I was looking forI can find more thorough price comparisons elsewhere…I usually don’t shop in Chrome, so that’s an inconvenience.
457. Findings on "Trusted Advice"MBA Exchange spams us out of GoogleGOODFast Interest
462. Trusted Advice website powered by Shopping Add-insomething-something-something.comOriginal ideaInvincible Business Model: Version 3.0PAT THE PROFESSIONALUpwardly mobile young professionals making $2-10K of discretionary online purchases a year (excluding travel)Developing trusted advice and advisorsWeb marketing Affiliate partnershipsConstant iteration & testingFB/TW posts from users you knowCompany blog, FB, TW accountsBloggers and Media targeting customer segmentRetail marketing partnersIE/FF/Chrome teamsAffiliate Program ProvidersTRUSTED ADVICE Discover online goods recommended by friends at the lowest possible price from trusted vendorsFoil advertorial spammers polluting the Interweb with toxic pseudo-contentAffiliate programSEO/SEM/SMIE/FF/Chrome App StoresDevelopersMarketersContent LibraryInstall baseReadership baseAWS InfrastructureSEMEng & Marketing OpExAffiliate program feesLicensingSubscription feesAd revenue
480. Customer DevelopmentTesting Your HypothesesSteve BlankStanford - School of EngineeringU.C. Berkeley - Haas School Of Businesswww.steveblank.comTwitter: sgblank
491. Testing the MVPSmoke testing with landing pages using AdWordsIn-product split-testingPrototypes (particularly for hardware)Removing featuresContinued customer discovery and validationSurveysInterviews
492. Testing the MVP (Web Example)Can you get customers to pay for a product that doesn’t yet exist (or barely does)?Do customers say they have a matching core problem?Landing page test for conversionWhat’s required to get customers to activate? (prizes, payment)Use customer problem to identify key word list plug into Google search traffic estimator - high traffic means there is problem awarenessDrive traffic to site using Google search and see how deep into a registration process customers are willing to go through
493. Testing the MVP (Non-Web)Can you get customers to pay for a product that doesn’t yet exist (or barely does)?Interview customers to make sure they have a matching core problemSet up web site landing page to test for conversionSet up a Lighthouse Customer Program where potential customers pay to get early access to product prototypes
497. Market/Opportunity AnalysisHow Big is It?: Market/Opportunity AnalysisIdentify a Customer and Market NeedSize the MarketCompetitorsGrowth Potential
498. How Big is the Pie?Total Available MarketTotal Available MarketHow manypeople would want/needthe product?
499. How large is the market be (in $’s) if they all bought?
500. How many units would that be?How Do I Find Out?Industry Analysts – Gartner, Forrester
501. Wall Street Analysts – Goldman, MorganHow Big is My Slice?Served Available MarketHow many people need/can use product?
517. Market Size: SummaryMarket Size Questions:How big can this market be? How much of it can we get?Market growth rateMarket structure (Mature or in flux?)Most important: Talk to Customers and Sales ChannelNext important: Market size by competitive approximationWall Street analyst reports are greatAnd : Market research firms Like Forester, Gartner
518. Corporate? Consumer?Business to Business (B to B)Use or buy inside a companyBusiness to Consumer (B to C)Use or buy for themselvesBusiness to Business to Consumer (B to B to C)Sell a business to get to a consumerOther Multi-sided Markets with multiple customers
519. What do they want you to do?CorporateIncrease revenue?Decrease costs?Get them new customers?Keep up with or pass competitors?How important is it?
520. What do they want you to do?ConsumersDoes it entertain them?Does it connect them with others?Does it make their lives easier?Does it satisfy a basic need?How important is it?Can they afford it?
521. Market Type & Ignoring CustomersExisting Market? Resegmenting an Existing Market?niche or low costNew Market?When do I ignore customer feedback?
522. Who’s the Customer in a Company?User?Influencer?Recommender?Decision Maker?Economic Buyer?Saboteur?Archetypes for each?
531. Multiple Customer SegmentsEach has its own Value PropositionEach has its own Revenue StreamOne segment cannot exist without the otherWhich one do you start with?
532. CHANNELShow does each customer segment want to be reached? through which interaction points?