The document summarizes Unum Group's fourth quarter 2007 results and provides an overview of the company. Key points include:
- Fourth quarter profits increased 15.8% year-over-year and the group disability benefit ratio declined.
- Unum US had strong sales growth while Unum UK sales declined due to legislative changes in the prior year.
- Colonial continued favorable benefit ratio trends and higher sales.
- Unum Group has diversified its earned premium base across business segments and geographies compared to prior years.
2. Safe Harbor Statement
Statements in this presentation that are not historical facts, such as our earnings per share, return
on equity and our Unum US group disability benefit ratio guidance, constitute “forward-looking
statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and involve
risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in
the forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include such general matters as
general economic or business conditions; events or consequences relating to terrorism, acts of war
and catastrophes, including natural and man-made disasters; competitive factors, including pricing
pressures; legislative, regulatory, accounting, or tax law changes; and the interest rate environment.
More specifically, they include fluctuations in insurance reserve liabilities; changes in projected new
sales and renewals; variations between projections and actual experience in persistency rates,
incidence and recovery rates, pricing and underwriting; retained risks in our reinsurance operations;
availability and cost of reinsurance; the level and results of litigation, rating agency actions, and
regulatory actions and investigations; actual experience in implementing and complying with the
multistate market conduct regulatory settlement agreements and the California Department of
Insurance settlement agreement; negative media attention; changes in assumptions relating to
deferred acquisition costs, value of business acquired or goodwill; the level of pension benefit costs
and funding; investment results, including credit deterioration of investments; the ability of our
insurance company subsidiaries to pay dividends or extend credit to us and certain of our
intermediate holding company subsidiaries and/or finance subsidiaries; and effectiveness of product
support and customer service. For further information of risks and uncertainties that could affect
actual results, see our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including information in
the sections titled “Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements” and “Risk
Factors” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2006 and
subsequently filed 10-Qs. The forward-looking statements in this presentation are being made as of
the date of this presentation, and we expressly disclaim any obligation to update or revise any
forward-looking statement contained herein.
2
5. Our Business
Unum Group
Unum US Colonial Unum UK
#1 Group Disability #2 Voluntary Benefits #1 Group Disability
#1 Individual Disability #1 Group Critical Illness
#3 Voluntary Benefits #2 Group Life
#3 Group Life
#3 Group Long-term Care
5
7. 4Q-2007 Results
• BTOE of $306.8 million, excluding special items, increased 15.8%
from 4Q-2006.
– Operating EPS is $0.59 per share.
• Unum US BTOE of $166.6 million, increased 22.6% from 4Q-2006.
– Group Disability benefit ratio declined to 91.5% in 4Q-2007 from 94.0% in 4Q-
2006
– Group Life and Supplemental & Voluntary lines performed well
– Strong core market sales growth
• Unum UK BTOE of $85.0 million, increased 3.9% from 4Q-2006 but
declined 2.3% in local currency.
– Stable benefit ratio trends
– Lower sales reflects 4Q-2006 benefit from legislative changes
• Colonial BTOE of $58.8 million, increased 16.4% from 4Q-2006.
– Continued favorable benefit ratio trends
– Higher expenses reflect branding and advertising launch
– Strong 4Q sales growth of 12.1%; favorable agent recruiting trends
7
9. 4Q-2007 Results
Unum US Group Disability Benefit Ratio
96%
95.5%
95.1%
94.5%
93.9% 94.0%
94%
93.4%
92.7%
92.4%
92.1%
92%
91.5%
90%
3Q05* 4Q05 1Q06* 2Q06 3Q06* 4Q06 1Q07 2Q07* 3Q07 4Q07
* Excludes claim reassessment impact
9
10. 4Q-2007 Results
Growing Case Count in all Segments
Unum US Group Disability Unum US Group Life
9,000 9,000
7,901
+7%
7,371
6,531
%
+12
5,806
6,000 6,000
3,000 3,000
2006 2007 2006 2007
Colonial Unum UK
9,000 2,500
7,763 2,076
%
+16
%
6,990 +11 1,790
6,000 1,500
3,000 500
2006 2007 2006 2007
10
11. Business Mix Shift
Group Long-term Disability Business Mix
2001 2007 Current Inforce
New Sales New Sales Inforce Mix Goal
28% 39% 40%
37%
Small Small Small
Small
17%
Mid
17%
22%
Mid 20%
Mid
Mid
55%
Large 46%
39% 40%
Large
Large Large
11
13. A Different Company
More Diversified Earned Premium Base
Colonial
IDI-Closed Block
Colonial 11%
IDI-Closed Block 13%
9%
16%
Unum UK
4% Unum UK
Other 12%
1%
Unum US
Other
Supplemental
0%
& Voluntary
13%
Unum US
Supplemental
Unum US
& Voluntary
Unum US Large-Case
18%
Large-Case 24%
33%
Unum US
Core Market
Unum US
24%
Core Market
22%
2002 2007
13
14. A Different Company
More Diversified Earnings Base*
IDI-Closed Block IDI-Closed Block
8% 8%
Colonial
Colonial
19%
13%
Unum US
Unum US
Group Disability
Group Disability
13%
27%
Unum UK
7%
Other
6%
Unum US
Group Life
Unum UK
16%
25%
Unum US Unum US
Supplemental & Supplemental & Other
Unum US Voluntary Voluntary 1%
Group Life 18% 18%
21%
2002 2007
* Excludes Corporate segment
14
15. A Different Company
Solid Investment Portfolio
Credit Quality of Bond Portfolio
Below Baa
Below Baa
5.7%
10.5% Aaa
Aaa 23.2%
27.3%
Baa
37.3%
Aa
Aa 8.5%
Baa
4.1%
38.1%
A A
20.0% 25.3%
12/31/07
12/31/02
15
17. A Different Company
Significant Financial Flexibility
3/31/03 2007
Cash at Holding Company $ (755) $1,002
RBC 210% 344%
Debt to Total Capital 30.2% 21.4%
(as adjusted)
Market Value $2,370 $7,500 (current)
($ millions)
17
18. A Different Company
Recent Financial Results
Unum Stock Price
200
150
100
50
0
Mar-03 Nov-03 Jun-04 Jan-05 Aug-05 Apr-06 Nov-06 Jun-07 Jan-08
UNM S&P 500
18
19. A Different Company
Unum CDS Spreads
500
UNM BB 5 yr CDX Investment Grade 5yr CDX
450
400
350
Increasing concerns regarding
the sub-prime mortgage
market contribute to significant
300
widening of spreads
250
200 1
239 bps
150
2
3 bps
100
50
0
May-04 Dec-04 Jul-05 Mar-06 Oct-06 Jun-07 Jan-08
Source: JPMorgan
Note: CDX are CDS indices traded by the street
1 Difference between Unum 5yr CDS and Investment Grade 5yr CDX in May 2004
2 Difference between Unum 5yr CDS and Investment Grade 5yr CDX in December 2007
19
21. Outlook
Focus
• Consistent execution of our operating plans
• Maintain emphasis on disciplined, profitable growth
• Better leverage our leadership position
21
22. Outlook
Short-term Guidance: 2008 Expectations
Earnings Per Share $2.35 to $2.40
Return on Equity: Core 15.5% to 16.0%
Total Company 11.0% to 11.5%
Capital Position
Liquidity >$300mm
Leverage 24% - 25%
RBC 315% - 325%
22
23. Outlook
Long-term Trends: 2009 and Beyond
2007 Target
ROE ROE
Unum US 10.9% 11% - 13%
Unum UK 38.6% 26% – 28%
Colonial 24.6% 20% – 22%
Core Total 16.7% 15% – 16%
IDI - Closed Block 2.1% 2% - 3%
Company Total 11.2% 11.5% - 13.0%
23
26. Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Three Months Ended December 31
2007 2006
(in millions)
Operating Income Before Income Tax and Net Realized
Investment Gain (Loss), As Adjusted $ 306.8 $ 265.0
Debt Extinguishment Cost (55.6) (2.7)
Interest on Federal Income Tax Refund - 2.6
Operating Income Before Income Tax and Net Realized
Investment Gain (Loss) 251.2 264.9
Income Tax (Benefit) on Operating Income 74.2 (8.8)
Net Realized Investment Gain (Loss), After Tax (16.5) 0.5
Income from Continuing Operations 160.5 274.2
Income from Discontinued Operations, Net of Tax - 1.9
Net Income $ 160.5 $ 276.1
26
27. Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Three Months Ended *
12/31/2007 9/30/2007 6/30/2007 3/31/2007 12/31/2006 9/30/2006 6/30/2006 3/31/2006
Net Income (Loss) $ 0.44 $ 0.52 $ 0.43 $ 0.51 $ 0.80 $ (0.19) $ 0.38 $ 0.23
Net Realized Investment Gain (Loss) (0.05) (0.08) 0.02 (0.01) - 0.01 (0.01) -
Income from Discontinued Operations - - - 0.02 0.01 - 0.01 0.01
After-tax Operating Income (Loss) from
Continuing Operations Excluding Net Realized
Investment Gain (Loss) 0.49 0.60 0.41 0.50 0.79 (0.20) 0.38 0.22
UK Reserve Release, Net of Tax - 0.03 - - - - - -
UK Tax Law Change - 0.01 - - - - - -
Regulatory Reassessment Charges,
Net of Tax - - (0.10) - - (0.62) - (0.17)
Special Tax Items - - - - 0.28 - - -
Broker Compensation Settlement, Net of Tax - - - - - (0.04) - -
Debt Extinguishment Cost, Net of Tax (0.10) - - - (0.01) - (0.04) (0.01)
After-tax Operating Income from
Continuing Operations Excluding Net Realized
Investment Gain (Loss) and Special Items $ 0.59 $ 0.56 $ 0.51 $ 0.50 $ 0.52 $ 0.46 $ 0.42 $ 0.40
* Amounts per diluted common share
27
28. Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
As of
December 31 September 30 June 30 March 31 December 31 September 30 June 30 March 31 December 31
2007 2007 2007 2007 2006 2006 2006 2006 2005
(in millions)
Total Stockholders' Equity, As Adjusted $ 7,501.3 $ 7,347.2 $ 7,158.2 $ 6,705.8 $ 6,989.8 $ 6,725.4 $ 6,800.0 $ 6,108.2 $ 6,049.9
Net Unrealized Gain on Securities 356.1 346.6 78.0 490.3 534.8 687.9 60.7 256.2 1,040.7
Net Gain on Cash Flow Hedges 182.5 137.0 135.4 180.5 194.2 181.1 126.2 203.6 273.3
Total Stockholders' Equity (Book Value) $ 8,039.9 $ 7,830.8 $ 7,371.6 $ 7,376.6 $ 7,718.8 $ 7,594.4 $ 6,986.9 $ 6,568.0 $ 7,363.9
Quarterly Average Equity, As Adjusted** $ 7,424.3 $ 7,252.7 $ 6,932.0 $ 6,636.6 $ 6,857.6 $ 6,762.7 $ 6,454.2 $ 6,079.0
Annual Average Equity, As Adjusted** 7,034.3
** First quarter and full year 2007 average adjusted for cumulative effect of accounting principle changes of $422.5 million effective January 1, 2007
28
29. Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Adjusted
Operating Operating
Income (Loss) Income (Loss)
Before Net Allocated Before Net
Average Average Average Realized After-tax After-tax Realized Leveraged
Allocated Allocated Leveraged Investment Special Item Interest Investment Return
Equity Debt Equity Gain/Loss Adjustments Expense Gain/Loss On Equity
(in millions)
Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2007
Unum US $ 4,557.2 $ (1,301.3) $ 3,255.9 $ 371.8 $ 43.1 $ (59.5) $ 355.4 10.9%
Unum UK 866.6 (230.5) 636.1 256.1 - (10.7) 245.4 38.6%
Colonial 829.8 (220.8) 609.0 159.8 - (10.2) 149.6 24.6%
Core Operations 6,253.6 (1,752.6) 4,501.0 787.7 43.1 (80.4) 750.4 16.7%
Individual Disability - Closed Block 2,481.4 (663.2) 1,818.2 76.7 (8.6) (29.9) 38.2 2.1%
Corporate and Other (1,700.7) 2,415.8 715.1 (148.8) 36.1 110.3 (2.4) -0.3%
Total $ 7,034.3 $ - $ 7,034.3 $ 715.6 $ 70.6 $ - $ 786.2 11.2%
Adjusted
Operating Operating
Income (Loss) Income (Loss)
Before Net Allocated Before Net Annualized
Average Average Average Realized After-tax After-tax Realized Leveraged
Allocated Allocated Leveraged Investment Special Item Interest Investment Return
Equity Debt Equity Gain/Loss Adjustments Expense Gain/Loss On Equity
(in millions)
Three Months Ended December 31, 2007
Core Operations $ 6,418.2 $ (1,594.4) $ 4,823.8 $ 226.9 $ - $ (20.9) $ 206.0 17.1%
Individual Disability - Closed Block 2,458.5 (717.1) 1,741.4 15.2 - (7.8) 7.4 1.7%
Corporate and Other (1,452.4) 2,311.5 859.1 (65.1) 36.1 28.7 (0.3) -0.1%
Total $ 7,424.3 $ - $ 7,424.3 $ 177.0 $ 36.1 $ - $ 213.1 11.5%
29
31. Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Three Months Ended
December 31 September 30 June 30 March 31 December 31 September 30 June 30 March 31
2007 2007 2007 2007 2006 2006 2006 2006
(in millions)
Operating Income (Loss) from Continuing
Operations Before Net Realized Investment
Gain (Loss) $ 177.0 $ 217.0 $ 147.0 $ 174.6 $ 273.7 $ (68.4) $ 126.9 $ 69.9
Net Realized Investment Gain (Loss), Net of Tax (16.5) (30.0) 6.5 (3.2) 0.5 3.1 (3.6) 1.5
Income from Discontinued Operations, Net of Tax - - - 6.9 1.9 1.6 1.9 2.0
Net Income (Loss) $ 160.5 $ 187.0 $ 153.5 $ 178.3 $ 276.1 $ (63.7) $ 125.2 $ 73.4
31
32. Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
As of
December 31 March 31
2007 2003
(in millions)
Debt, As Reported $ 2,690.2 $ 2,421.2
Exclude Non-recourse Debt 912.5 -
Debt, As Adjusted $ 1,777.7 $ 2,421.2
Total Stockholders' Equity, As Reported $ 8,039.9 $ 6,545.3
Exclude Net Unrealized Gain on Securities
and Cash Flow Hedges 538.6 951.7
Exclude Northwind and Tailwind's Capital
and Non-recourse Debt 954.7 -
6,546.6 5,593.6
Debt, As Adjusted 1,777.7 2,421.2
Total Capital, As Adjusted $ 8,324.3 $ 8,014.8
Debt to Capital Ratio 21.4% 30.2%
32
33. Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2007
Debt Claim
Extinguishment Reassessment
As Reported Cost Charges As Adjusted
(in millions)
Operating Income (Loss) by Segment Before Income Tax
and Net Realized Investment Gain (Loss)
Unum US
Group Disability $ 105.0 $ - $ (66.2) $ 171.2
Group Life and Accidental Death and Dismemberment 217.2 - - 217.2
Supplemental and Voluntary 243.4 - - 243.4
Total Unum US 565.6 - (66.2) 631.8
Unum UK 338.8 - - 338.8
Colonial 245.8 - - 245.8
Core Operating Segments 1,150.2 - (66.2) 1,216.4
Individual Disability - Closed Block 117.9 - 13.2 104.7
Other 17.5 - - 17.5
Corporate (223.2) (58.8) - (164.4)
Operating Income by Segment $ 1,062.4 $ (58.8) $ (53.0) $ 1,174.2
33