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Efficient Design and Sensitivity Analysis of Control Charts Using Monte Carlo Simulation

Published: 01 March 1999 Publication History

Abstract

The design of control charts in statistical quality control addresses the optimal selection of the design parameters such as the sampling frequency and the control limits and includes sensitivity analysis with respect to system parameters such as the various process parameters and the economic costs of sampling. The advent of more complicated control chart schemes has necessitated the use of Monte Carlo simulation in the design process, especially in the evaluation of performance measures such as average run length. In this paper, we apply two gradient estimation procedures-perturbation analysis and the likelihood ratio/score function method-to derive estimators that can be used in gradient-based optimization algorithms and in sensitivity analysis when Monte Carlo simulation is employed. We illustrate the techniques on a general control chart that includes the Shewhart chart and the exponentially-weighted moving average chart as special cases. Simulation examples comparing the estimators with each other and with "brute force" finite differences demonstrate the possibility of significant variance reduction in settings of practical interest.

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  • (2021)Gradient-Based Simulation Optimization for Economic Design of Control Charts2021 IEEE 17th International Conference on Automation Science and Engineering (CASE)10.1109/CASE49439.2021.9551514(1979-1984)Online publication date: 23-Aug-2021
  • (2020)On the Variance of Single-Run Unbiased Stochastic Derivative EstimatorsINFORMS Journal on Computing10.1287/ijoc.2019.089732:2(390-407)Online publication date: 1-Apr-2020
  • (2018)A New Unbiased Stochastic Derivative Estimator for Discontinuous Sample Performances with Structural ParametersOperations Research10.1287/opre.2017.167466:2(487-499)Online publication date: 1-Apr-2018
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      Published In

      cover image Management Science
      Management Science  Volume 45, Issue 3
      March 1999
      158 pages

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      INFORMS

      Linthicum, MD, United States

      Publication History

      Published: 01 March 1999

      Author Tags

      1. Monte Carlo simulation
      2. average run length
      3. control charts
      4. economic design problem
      5. likelihood ratio/score function method
      6. perturbation analysis
      7. sensitivity analysis
      8. statistical quality control

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      View all
      • (2021)Gradient-Based Simulation Optimization for Economic Design of Control Charts2021 IEEE 17th International Conference on Automation Science and Engineering (CASE)10.1109/CASE49439.2021.9551514(1979-1984)Online publication date: 23-Aug-2021
      • (2020)On the Variance of Single-Run Unbiased Stochastic Derivative EstimatorsINFORMS Journal on Computing10.1287/ijoc.2019.089732:2(390-407)Online publication date: 1-Apr-2020
      • (2018)A New Unbiased Stochastic Derivative Estimator for Discontinuous Sample Performances with Structural ParametersOperations Research10.1287/opre.2017.167466:2(487-499)Online publication date: 1-Apr-2018
      • (2016)High quality process monitoring using a class of inter-arrival time distributions of the renewal processComputers and Industrial Engineering10.1016/j.cie.2016.01.01294:C(45-62)Online publication date: 1-Apr-2016
      • (2009)Sample average approximation approach to multi-location transshipment problem with capacitated productionWinter Simulation Conference10.5555/1995456.1995782(2384-2394)Online publication date: 13-Dec-2009
      • (2006)Multi-location transshipment problem with capacitated production and lost salesProceedings of the 38th conference on Winter simulation10.5555/1218112.1218379(1470-1476)Online publication date: 3-Dec-2006
      • (2003)Freight simulationProceedings of the 35th conference on Winter simulation: driving innovation10.5555/1030818.1031054(1729-1736)Online publication date: 7-Dec-2003

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