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icuARM-II: improving the reliability of personalized risk prediction in pediatric intensive care units

Published: 20 September 2014 Publication History

Abstract

Clinicians in intensive care units (ICUs) rely on standardized scores as risk prediction models to predict a patient's vulnerability to life-threatening events. Current scales calculate scores from a fixed set of conditions collected within a specific time window. However, modern monitoring technologies generate complex, temporal, and multimodal patient data that conventional prediction scales cannot fully utilize. Thus, a more sophisticated model is needed to tailor individual characteristics and incorporate multiple temporal modalities for a personalized risk prediction. Furthermore, most scales focus on adult patients. To address this need, we propose a new ICU risk prediction system, called icuARM-II, using a large-scaled pediatric ICU database from Children's Healthcare of Atlanta. This novel database contains clinical data collected in 5,739 ICU visits from 4,975 patients. We propose a temporal association rule mining framework giving a potential to predict risks based on all available conditions without being restricted by a fixed observation window. We also develop a new metric that rigidly assesses the reliability of all generated association rules. In addition, icuARM-II features an interactive user interface. Using icuARM-II, our results showed a use case of short-term mortality prediction using lab testing results, which demonstrated a potential for reliable ICU risk prediction using personalized clinical data in a previously neglected population.

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  • (2018)Analysis of Medical Opinions about the Nonrealization of Autopsies in a Mexican Hospital Using Association Rules and Bayesian NetworksScientific Programming10.1155/2018/43040172018Online publication date: 13-Feb-2018
  • (2017)Association Analysis of Medical Opinions About the Non-realization of Autopsies in a Mexican HospitalNew Perspectives on Applied Industrial Tools and Techniques10.1007/978-3-319-56871-3_12(233-251)Online publication date: 17-Jun-2017
  • (2015)Improving personalized clinical risk prediction based on causality-based association rulesProceedings of the 6th ACM Conference on Bioinformatics, Computational Biology and Health Informatics10.1145/2808719.2808759(386-392)Online publication date: 9-Sep-2015

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  1. icuARM-II: improving the reliability of personalized risk prediction in pediatric intensive care units

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        cover image ACM Conferences
        BCB '14: Proceedings of the 5th ACM Conference on Bioinformatics, Computational Biology, and Health Informatics
        September 2014
        851 pages
        ISBN:9781450328944
        DOI:10.1145/2649387
        • General Chairs:
        • Pierre Baldi,
        • Wei Wang
        Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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        Published: 20 September 2014

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        Author Tags

        1. association rule validation
        2. pediatric intensive care units
        3. personalized clinical risk prediction
        4. temporal association rule

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        September 20 - 23, 2014
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        View all
        • (2018)Analysis of Medical Opinions about the Nonrealization of Autopsies in a Mexican Hospital Using Association Rules and Bayesian NetworksScientific Programming10.1155/2018/43040172018Online publication date: 13-Feb-2018
        • (2017)Association Analysis of Medical Opinions About the Non-realization of Autopsies in a Mexican HospitalNew Perspectives on Applied Industrial Tools and Techniques10.1007/978-3-319-56871-3_12(233-251)Online publication date: 17-Jun-2017
        • (2015)Improving personalized clinical risk prediction based on causality-based association rulesProceedings of the 6th ACM Conference on Bioinformatics, Computational Biology and Health Informatics10.1145/2808719.2808759(386-392)Online publication date: 9-Sep-2015

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