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Influenza Forecasting with Google Flu Trends
Figure 3
Final Autoregressive Forecast Model.
Number of confirmed Emergency Department (ED) influenza cases (dots) compared to the final 3rd order Negative Binomial Generalized Autoregressive Poisson (GARMA) model with Google Flu Trends as an added external variable (line) over (a) the 2008–2009 atypical influenza season and (b) the 2010–2011 typical influenza season.